i'm gonna track bets on teams that have the best and worst home/road differentials in power ratings. i guess one problem is it's impossible to know what a team is neutral (i.e. how much of a great HFA statistically is great home play vs. terrible road play)
anyway, going to start tonight and because it's a system it's no big deal to pick the plays after the game has started. i'm going to go with top 5 and bottom 5 HFA teams from teamrankings.com new rankings (they have old and new. not sure of the difference. pretty similar ratings).
if two teams qualify and are inconsistent, no play. if two teams qualify and enhance each other, then 3 units. otherwise, 1 unit. -106 for each.
the ratings show best HFA miami, denver, portland, utah, detroit... worst HFA NOH, clev, chicago, orlando, phil..... so i'll be playing these teams either way (miami relatively very strong at home. very weak on road. relatively though)
picks in a second
anyway, going to start tonight and because it's a system it's no big deal to pick the plays after the game has started. i'm going to go with top 5 and bottom 5 HFA teams from teamrankings.com new rankings (they have old and new. not sure of the difference. pretty similar ratings).
if two teams qualify and are inconsistent, no play. if two teams qualify and enhance each other, then 3 units. otherwise, 1 unit. -106 for each.
the ratings show best HFA miami, denver, portland, utah, detroit... worst HFA NOH, clev, chicago, orlando, phil..... so i'll be playing these teams either way (miami relatively very strong at home. very weak on road. relatively though)
picks in a second