7-0 record, write-up for tonight

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  • bubblebuttluv
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-13-12
    • 5179

    #1
    7-0 record, write-up for tonight
    Back to capping the NBA. Here is my one pick of the night. As always,

    IMPORTANT: THESE WRITE-UPS DO NOT FACTOR IN ANY ROSTER CHANGES! (This preface will be copy pasted into all my future threads).

    Here are my previous write-ups:

    http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/2085382-write-ups-early-games-tonight.html

    Write-ups for today's games

    NBL game this morning

    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


    When I crunched the numbers I arrived at Washington -21 tonight, and even though I always trust my numbers, even i think that is a little rich. So for tonight:

    1/1/2013

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    Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets
    Los Angeles Clippers:


    1.) Avg points last 4 games: 110.25
    2.) Avg points last 4 road games: 104.5
    3.) Avg points last 4 home games: 105.5
    4.) Avg points last 2 meetings: only played once this season (112)
    5.) Avg rebounds last 4 games: 41.25
    6.) Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 11.5
    7.) Avg free throw % last for games: 65.2
    8.) Avg turnovers last 4 games: 12.5
    9.) Avg points allowed last 4 games: 96.75

    Denver Nuggets:

    1.) Avg points last 4 games: 101
    2.) Avg points last 4 road games: 92.75
    3.) Avg points last 4 home games: 111.75
    4.) Avg points last 2 meetings: only one meeting this season (100)
    5.) Avg rebounds last 4 games: 47.75
    6.) Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 14
    7.) Avg free throw % last for games: 66
    8.) Avg turnovers last 4 games: 15.25
    9.) Avg points allowed last 4 games: 98

    The Clippers win in 5 out of 9 categories so they should win straight up. For the clippers the number is 13.5 (110.25 – 96.75), the nuggets number is 3 (101 – 98). My raw spread has Clippers favored by 10.5. For the pad the Nuggets have more rest and home court so let’s give them two points. My spread has Clippers -8.5 and 5Dimes has it at Nuggets -1. I have rarely seen a b-ball games end with a 1 point difference, but taking Clippers and the points would be the most conservative play. 5Dimes reduced lines has Clippers +1 at -103, and Clippers ML at +102. My “one pick of the day” is Clippers +1, but for me personally I am taking Clippers ML.

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  • davopnz
    SBR MVP
    • 02-12-12
    • 1736

    #2
    this is a trap. 7-1 time son
    Comment
    • bubblebuttluv
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-13-12
      • 5179

      #3
      We'll see. Gl on whatever bets you have tonight.
      Comment
      • innovation
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-27-12
        • 6218

        #4
        Trap? Please the spread could've been anywhere from Clippers -3 and Denver -3.5. The books nailed this line for everyone to give it there personal opinion. I'm staying away. GL
        Comment
        • johnnymapalo
          SBR MVP
          • 06-14-08
          • 2999

          #5
          Yes, I was initially thinking Clippers but I figured this was going to be a tight game and I didn't want to be pulling my hair out. Lol. I went with the safe bet at Hawks -2. I just hope the Hawks show up tonite. They're so damn inconsistent. We shall see..
          Comment
          • HardCore
            SBR MVP
            • 06-05-12
            • 3615

            #6
            i hope so johnny cause thats all they really have to Fn do is show up to beat this sorry ass team
            Comment
            • Khiaao
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-12-12
              • 650

              #7
              tailing
              Comment
              • Yinz Hooligan
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-04-12
                • 318

                #8
                love the clippers here, should be an awesome game to watch.

                i love that avatar also bubblebuttluv!

                Comment
                • bubblebuttluv
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-13-12
                  • 5179

                  #9
                  Thanks bruh, I like it too.
                  Comment
                  • tatddy
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-02-10
                    • 10779

                    #10
                    Hope you're right...

                    Jan 01 05:00 PM
                    Jan 01 09:00 PM
                    Jan 01 03:39 PM CFB
                    NBA
                    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
                    [256] STANFORD -175
                    [509] L.A. CLIPPERS +1-110
                    1000.00 / 2000.00
                    Comment
                    • Leo818
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 02-05-12
                      • 64

                      #11
                      Tailing, BOL!
                      Comment
                      • Honda
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 12-07-12
                        • 26

                        #12
                        looks like the clippers is done tonight bro
                        Comment
                        • Honda
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 12-07-12
                          • 26

                          #13
                          btw, i like that butt avatar of yours...looks hot
                          Comment
                          • davopnz
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-12-12
                            • 1736

                            #14
                            Originally posted by davopnz
                            this is a trap. 7-1 time son
                            yip
                            Comment
                            • DOM-Ganador
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-30-12
                              • 4479

                              #15
                              Good run BB, start another tomorrow.
                              Comment
                              • bubblebuttluv
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-13-12
                                • 5179

                                #16
                                Ya, the Clippers clearly didn't care tonight. davopnz, pile on your trolling. NBA pisses me off sometimes, the passion isn't always there for some guys. I might lay off nba for a while, idk. I have a few other sports I bet on.
                                Comment
                                • davopnz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-12-12
                                  • 1736

                                  #17
                                  how am i trolling? i like your work was just stating its a trap....
                                  Comment
                                  • Yinz Hooligan
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-04-12
                                    • 318

                                    #18
                                    Dude, your still doing great, your not gonna win them all.
                                    Comment
                                    • riskyProps
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-11-10
                                      • 2201

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by bubblebuttluv
                                      Ya, the Clippers clearly didn't care tonight. davopnz, pile on your trolling. NBA pisses me off sometimes, the passion isn't always there for some guys. I might lay off nba for a while, idk. I have a few other sports I bet on.
                                      Too much partying for a lot of athletes new year's eve. A lot of teams didn't show up today in all sports.
                                      Comment
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