GoatMilk vs Vyomguy Handicapping Contest

**sbrhgary** · 01-13-13, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Lakers -7 -103

What? No max 3 bet?

**mitch51** · 01-13-13, 01:08 PM

you never give up, I like that.

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-13-13, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

you never give up, I like that.

Thin line between NGU and insanity,

goat is on the latter side of the line.....

**vyomguy** · 01-13-13, 01:17 PM

Knicks 2nd half under 94 -102 for 1 unit

**Vreston** · 01-13-13, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

Lakers might cover. But I dont like both those games. I am thinking of blazers tomorrow...havent finalized yet.

When I first saw the line I wanted to jump on OKC. They're solid ATS this year and 9-5-1 ATS in away games and they don't have any injuries. Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City. Portland is also 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home. Then I saw the line for OKC drop to -4.5 and I started wondering if I was making a mistake.
Why are you thinking about taking Portland if you don't mind answering. Thanks.

**mitch51** · 01-13-13, 01:22 PM

Yup

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Thin line between NGU and insanity,

goat is on the latter side of the line.....

**vyomguy** · 01-13-13, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by Vreston

When I first saw the line I wanted to jump on OKC. They're solid ATS this year and 9-5-1 ATS in away games and they don't have any injuries. Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City. Portland is also 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home. Then I saw the line for OKC drop to -4.5 and I started wondering if I was making a mistake.
Why are you thinking about taking Portland if you don't mind answering. Thanks.

My model has OKC as a small favorite. I am getting 3 point edge according to my model. Also, my instinct says that they are the play as well. Havent really pulled the trigger though.

**reppin_the_847** · 01-13-13, 01:53 PM

Knicks 2nd half Under is looking good Vyom. Wish I had seen that post, mighta tailed.

**Vreston** · 01-13-13, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

My model has OKC as a small favorite. I am getting 3 point edge according to my model. Also, my instinct says that they are the play as well. Havent really pulled the trigger though.

Thanks for answering.
Even though your instinct tells you that OKC is the play you are thinking about Portland? I'm kind of confused as well. Like I said, I wanted to jump on OKC when I first saw the line, but I haven't done it yet.
Let me know what you decide.

**sbrhgary** · 01-13-13, 02:15 PM

Sweating the under right now.

Originally posted by reppin_the_847

Knicks 2nd half Under is looking good Vyom. Wish I had seen that post, mighta tailed.

**vyomguy** · 01-13-13, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by Vreston

Thanks for answering.
Even though your instinct tells you that OKC is the play you are thinking about Portland? I'm kind of confused as well. Like I said, I wanted to jump on OKC when I first saw the line, but I haven't done it yet.
Let me know what you decide.

I meant my instinct says portland as well.

Its portland or no play for me. I am not touching thunder.

**Vreston** · 01-13-13, 02:34 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

I meant my instinct says portland as well.

Its portland or no play for me. I am not touching thunder.

OK thanks for your input!

**reppin_the_847** · 01-13-13, 03:10 PM

Ooohh damn, the 2nd half UNDER failed to hit didn't it. That sucks. I'm usually hesitant to take the UNDER for the 2nd half when taking the OVER still falls underneath the Game Total Over/Under that is projected before tipoff. Ah well.

Originally posted by sbrhgary

Sweating the under right now.

**vyomguy** · 01-13-13, 04:21 PM

blazers +5 -107 for 1 unit

**vyomguy** · 01-13-13, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by reppin_the_847

Ooohh damn, the 2nd half UNDER failed to hit didn't it. That sucks. I'm usually hesitant to take the UNDER for the 2nd half when taking the OVER still falls underneath the Game Total Over/Under that is projected before tipoff. Ah well.

Was very close. They score 6 points in the last 37 seconds of a blowout game.

Oh well, cant win it all.

**reppin_the_847** · 01-13-13, 04:39 PM

That is true. If your record is above .500 (in your case it is well above that), and your unit sizes aren't big enough to break the bank then you're fine.

Originally posted by vyomguy

Was very close. They score 6 points in the last 37 seconds of a blowout game.

Oh well, cant win it all.

**sbrhgary** · 01-13-13, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

blazers +5 -107 for 1 unit

their first meeting blazers lost by 14. What's changed other than home court?

**NickMill** · 01-13-13, 05:14 PM

Is Ibaka and Aldridge out tonight?

**sbrhgary** · 01-13-13, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by NickMill

Is Ibaka and Aldridge out tonight?

Couldn't find anything. They should both be playing tonight.

**blanco** · 01-13-13, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by sbrhgary

their first meeting blazers lost by 14. What's changed other than home court?

homecourt is huge to the blazers and they are playing great ball right now

**brizo42** · 01-13-13, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by sbrhgary

their first meeting blazers lost by 14. What's changed other than home court?

That was veryyy early in the year and it was the first home game for OKC so crowd was a big factor. Portland has gotten better. If Lamarcus is healthy, I think Portland at +5 is solid but he's questionable spraining his ankle last game. I don't think Portland will take any chance with their superstar if he's not 100%

**brizo42** · 01-13-13, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by sbrhgary

Couldn't find anything. They should both be playing tonight.

Ibaka has a chest bruise which is not a injury I have ever heard of that has held a player out. Aldridge sprained his ankle so I think he's the one you will really have to keep an eye on.

**vyomguy** · 01-13-13, 05:55 PM

pacers under 181 -102 for 1 unit

**brizo42** · 01-13-13, 05:57 PM

Vyom, do you still like Portland with Lamarcus OUT? I know a lot of people like teams with their star out but his backup Myers Leonard is hurt too so it will be 3rd stringer Joel Freeland if Lamarcus is hurt.

**brizo42** · 01-13-13, 06:06 PM

And any lean on the total in the Cavs/LA game? Thanks

**vyomguy** · 01-13-13, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by brizo42

Vyom, do you still like Portland with Lamarcus OUT? I know a lot of people like teams with their star out but his backup Myers Leonard is hurt too so it will be 3rd stringer Joel Freeland if Lamarcus is hurt.

i am taking blazers with or without him.

Originally posted by brizo42

And any lean on the total in the Cavs/LA game? Thanks

no opinion. lot of new variables without starters.

**t-wizzle** · 01-13-13, 07:59 PM

Goat man you're gettin smacked around time to wake up. You should probably stop taking the Lakers every night, they don't cover in case you haven't noticed.

Vyommer on a great run looks like this contest was great timing for you.

**GreekMagic** · 01-13-13, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

i am taking blazers with or without him.

no opinion. lot of new variables without starters.

Is the Blazers an official pick?

**GreekMagic** · 01-13-13, 08:20 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

pacers under 181 -102 for 1 unit

So tight...shouldve hig 195 at the pace it was going

**mvanja** · 01-13-13, 08:24 PM

2 pts again unlucky

**sbrhgary** · 01-13-13, 08:27 PM

Lion, blazers now +4.5. Still go for it?

**pimike** · 01-13-13, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Goat man you're gettin smacked around time to wake up. You should probably stop taking the Lakers every night, they don't cover in case you haven't noticed.

Vyommer on a great run looks like this contest was great timing for you.

Lol tonight is best shot for Lakers.

Goat take Lakers all in.

**reppin_the_847** · 01-13-13, 11:15 PM

Yeah this may be a night where Goat Milk's pick hits and Vyom's doesn't. Hope the Blazers make this one tight again.

**reppin_the_847** · 01-13-13, 11:28 PM

Wow, what a comeback. Too bad the Blazers are still gonna lose SU. Still will barely get the +4.5 cover by half a point it looks like.

**sbrhgary** · 01-13-13, 11:33 PM

Lion redeems himself with blazers pick. Totals didn't do well today, but keep them picks coming. Thanks again for blazers pick.