When I looked last night the Atlanta Hawks were a 6 point favorite (-6) against the Washington Wizards. Below is my write up about the game. My question is, what stats do I use to set what I think the spread should be, so that I can find value? I think the Hawks should win tonight, I haven't checked rosters yet though. But, I am not sure if they will win be 7 points.
Here is the write up:
Hawks:
Average points over last 4 games: 96
Avg points last 4 home games: 104.5
Avg points last 4 road games: 93
Avg points last 2 meetings between the teams: 102.5
Avg rebounds last 4 games: 40.25
Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 8.25
Free throw % last 4 games: 71.55
Avg turnovers last 4 games: 13
Avg points allowed last 4 games: 96.5
Wizards:
Avg points last 4 games: 84.5
Avg points last 4 home games: 95.5
Avg points last 4 road games: 84.25
Avg points last 2 meetings between teams: 97.5
Avg rebounds last 4 games: 45.75
Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 10.75
Free throw %last 4 games: 77.9
Avg turnovers last 4 games: 16.75
Avg points allowed last 4 games: 93.25
Here is the write up:
Hawks:
Average points over last 4 games: 96
Avg points last 4 home games: 104.5
Avg points last 4 road games: 93
Avg points last 2 meetings between the teams: 102.5
Avg rebounds last 4 games: 40.25
Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 8.25
Free throw % last 4 games: 71.55
Avg turnovers last 4 games: 13
Avg points allowed last 4 games: 96.5
Wizards:
Avg points last 4 games: 84.5
Avg points last 4 home games: 95.5
Avg points last 4 road games: 84.25
Avg points last 2 meetings between teams: 97.5
Avg rebounds last 4 games: 45.75
Avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 10.75
Free throw %last 4 games: 77.9
Avg turnovers last 4 games: 16.75
Avg points allowed last 4 games: 93.25