Blanco's 2012-2013 NBA Thread

[blanco]

I am finally starting a thread. This will mostly be for my own tracking purposes. I will be playing and keeping track of a few different things separately.

These will include 1) Leo's Q1 road fav system 2) blindly fading the lakers each game all season 3) Sides 4) MLs 5) Totals 6) 2H plays 7) Other.

I check a lot of the respected cappers plays and at the end of the day make what I think are the best plays taking into account all available information. I am a professional poker player who decided to take up sports betting with the same winning approach I take to poker. +EV plays and long-term profit mindset.

1unit = $500

GL

[blanco]

More plays than usual today. Not exactly happy with some of the lines I got as I either waited too long/ Took them too early but am usually pretty good at getting the best lines.

1) Miami Q1 -3 (-110) (2 units)
2) Houston +1 vs LAL (-110) (1 unit)
3) Grizzles -10.5 Vs. PHX (2 units) (-110)
T-Wolves +3 @ PHL (1.5 unit) (-110)
5) CHI/IND under 180 (2 units) (-107)
PHX/MEM under 194.5 (2 units) (-107)

Looking to play the nets @ 4.5

[blanco]

3) Brooklyn +4.5 vs OKC (1.5 units) (-110)

That's all until game time

[blanco]

6) Pacers 2H +130 (1.5 units)

[blanco]

1) Miami Q1 -3 (-110) (2 units)
2) Houston +1 vs LAL (-110) (1 unit)
3) Grizzles -10.5 Vs. PHX (2 units) (-110)
T-Wolves +3 @ PHL (1.5 unit) (-110)
Brooklyn +4.5 vs OKC (1.5 units) (-110)
5) CHI/IND under 180 (2 units) (-107)
PHX/MEM under 194.5 (2 units) (-107)
6) Pacers 2H +130 (1.5 units)

Heartbreaking end to the memphis game losing by .5 points. knew that getting them at -10.5 could be costly. Also lost the under because of OT. Nice finish to lakers game at least, the unit sizes we're just unfortunate

4-4 YTD -1.41 units

1) Q1 Road favorites
0-1 -2units
2) Fading Lakers
1-0 + .91 units
3) Sides
1-2 -2.14 units
5) Totals
1-1 -.13 units
6) 2H plays
1-0 +1.95 units

[blanco]

5) Spurs/Bucks over 197.5 (2 units) (-110)

[blanco]

1) Bulls Q1 -.5 (-110) (2.2 units)
Knicks Q1 -2.5 (+100) (1.5 units)
2) Hornets +4.5 vs Lakers (-105) (1.05 unit)
3) Jazz -8.5 (-105) (1.05 units)
Nuggets +2 (-105) (2.1 units)
Pistons -1 (-105) (1.05 unit)
Raptors +2.5 (-105) (1.05 units)
4) Pistons ML (-115) (1.15 units)
5) Portland @ Indy under 186.5 (-105) (2.1 units)
Bulls @ Cavs over 182.5 (-105) (2.1 units)
8) NCAA
FSU +6 (-105) (1.575 units)
Drake +2 (-105) (1.575 units)
USC +8 (-105) (1.575 units)

[blanco]

6) Bobcats 2H +6.5 (-105) (1.575 units)

[blanco]

7) Spurs Q1 -3 +100 (1.5 units)

[blanco]

Absolutely awful night. Will be taking tomorrow off. Also, I guess I never actually put in my raptors play (luckiest I got all night!) so I won't be counting that. Too tilted to add up units right now but 3-11-1 was the finish.

1) Bulls Q1 -.5 (-110) (2.2 units)
Knicks Q1 -2.5 (+100) (1.5 units)
2) Hornets +4.5 vs Lakers (-105) (1.05 unit)
3) Jazz -8.5 (-105) (1.05 units)
Nuggets +2 (-105) (2.1 units)
Pistons -1 (-105) (1.05 unit)
4) Pistons ML (-115) (1.15 units)
5) Portland @ Indy under 186.5 (-105) (2.1 units)
Bulls @ Cavs over 182.5 (-105) (2.1 units)
Spurs/Bucks over 197.5 (2 units) (-110)
6) Bobcats 2H +6.5 (-105) (1.575 units)
7) Spurs Q1 -3 +100 (1.5 units)
8) FSU +6 (-105) (1.575 units)
Drake +2 (-105) (1.575 units)
USC +8 (-105) (1.575 units)

[vancityswag]

wow that sucks bro. take it easy

[blanco]

Going 2-3 plays a day max until i recover a little bit from the other night. That means a pause on lakers auto-fade and Q1 road favorites.

Tonight:

3)
Denver +2 (-105) (1.575 units)
T-Wolves -8.5 (-105) (1.575 units)

I may add a 2H play as I seem to be on my game lately picking 2H winners.

[blanco]

I actually decided I'm to keep up with the auto-lakers fade for 1u during this stretch.

2) OKC -7.5 (-105) vs LAL (1.05u)

[blanco]

Added:

3) Kings -2 (-115) (1.725 units)

[blanco]

Added:

6) thunder 2H +.5 (+100) (1 unit)

[blanco]

Middling my Kings bet:

6) Magic 2H -2 (-105) (1.575 units)

[blanco]

What a stupid backdoor cover for the lakers backers. would've been an unbelievable night without that. Whatever the 2 losses were smaller bets.

4-2

3) Denver +2 (-105) (1.575 units)
T-Wolves -8.5 (-105) (1.575 units)
Kings -2 (-115) (1.725 units)
2) OKC -7.5 (-105) vs LAL (1.05u)
6) thunder 2H +.5 (+100) (1 unit)
Magic 2H -2 (-105) (1.575 units)

[blanco]

Early action:

5) Suns/Clippers under 202.5 (-110) (1.5 units)
7) UFC Parlay Ben Henderson and Dennis Siver (+119) (1 unit)
8) Eastern Michigan +9.5 (-105) (1.05 units)
E Mich ML +460 (.2 units)

[blanco]

3) Knicks -2 (-110) (1.5 units)
8) OK state -18 (-105) (1.05 units)
UIC +1.5 (-105) (1.575 units)

[blanco]

5) Spurs/Bobcats under 201 (-105) (1.575 units)
Hawks/grizz under 188 (-115) (1.725 units)
3) Grizzlies -7 (-105) (1.05 units)
6) Suns 2H +4.5 (-110) (1.65 units)
6) Suns 2H ML (+225) (.5 units)
7) Sixers H1 +3.5 (+100) (1 unit)
Sixers H1 +170 (.5 unit)

[DudleyDawson]

best of luck, pal

on grizz too

[blanco]

[blanco]

8) Notre Dame -22.5 (1.575 units) (-105)
Eastern Illinois +6 (1.05 units) (-105)
James Madison +5 (1.05 units) (-105)
GA tech -14 (1.05 units) (-105)
3) Pistons -1 (1.65 units) (-110)
5) kings/blazers under 196 (1.05 units) (-105)

[blanco]

8) Northwestern -1.5 (1.05u) (-105)

[blanco]

5) kings/blazers under 197 (1.05u) (-1.05)

[blanco]

Insane amount of plays yesterday. Upset about my Knicks pick and philly H1 picks. Think both were mistakes. Everything else I can live with.

11-11, -1.315 units
YTD 20-28-1 -10.2 units

3) Knicks -2 (-110) (1.5 units)
3) Pistons -1 (1.65 units) (-110)
3) Grizzlies -7 (-105) (1.05 units)
5) Suns/Clippers under 202.5 (-110) (1.5 units)
5) Spurs/Bobcats under 201 (-105) (1.575 units)
5) Hawks/grizz under 188 (-115) (1.725 units)
5) kings/blazers under 196 (1.05 units) (-105)
5) kings/blazers under 197 (1.05u) (-1.05)
6) Suns 2H +4.5 (-110) (1.65 units)
6) Suns 2H ML (+225) (.5 units)
7) Sixers H1 +3.5 (+100) (1 unit)
7) Sixers H1 +170 (.5 unit)
7) UFC Parlay Ben Henderson and Dennis Siver (+119) (1 unit)
8) UIC +1.5 (-105) (1.575 units)
8) Eastern Illinois +6 (1.05 units) (-105)
8) James Madison +5 (1.05 units) (-105)
8) GA tech -14 (1.05 units) (-105)
8) Notre Dame -22.5 (1.575 units) (-105)
8) Northwestern -1.5 (1.05u) (-105)

8) OK state -18 (-105) (1.05 units)
8) Eastern Michigan +9.5 (-105) (1.05 units)
8) E Mich ML +460 (.2 units)

[blanco]

9) NFL

Chargers +7.5 -105 (1.05 units)
Bucs -7.5 -105 (1.05 units)
Jets -3 +100 (1 unit)
Falcons -3.5 +100 (1 unit)

[blanco]

4) Magic +150 (1 unit)
8) ND State -15.5 (-108) (1.62 units)

Add: 2) Utah +7 (-105) (1.05 units)
3) Denver +5 (-105) (1.05 units)

[blanco]

So far today..

2) Utah +7 (-105) (1.05 units)
3) Denver +5 (-105) (1.05 units)
4) Magic +150 (1 unit)
8) ND State -15.5 (-108) (1.62 units)
9)
Chargers +7.5 -105 (1.05 units)
Bucs -7.5 -105 (1.05 units)
Jets -3 +100 (1 unit)
Falcons -3.5 +100 (1 unit)

Adding:
3) Thunder -10 (-107) (1.07 units)

[blanco]

Sando talked me out of nuggets, so this is 2.5 units to cancel out nuggets and make it a 1.5 unit bet. if it lands on 4 or 5 i'm happy as well

3) Knicks -4 (-105) (2.675. units)
Magic +4.5 (-105) (1 unit)

[blanco]

6) knicks -1 2H (2.1 units) (-105)

[blanco]

Going to bed before this Jazz game finishes but really good day, (8-2 + 8.45 units) so far with the jazz looking really good and the only 2 losses being 1 unit NFL bets. Back on track.

YTD 28-30-1 (-1.75 units)

2) Utah +7 (-105) (1.05 units)
4) Magic +150 (1 unit)
8) ND State -15.5 (-108) (1.62 units)
9) Chargers +7.5 -105 (1.05 units)
Bucs -7.5 -105 (1.05 units)
Jets -3 +100 (1 unit)
Falcons -3.5 +100 (1 unit)
3) Thunder -10 (-107) (1.07 units)
Knicks -4 (-105) (1.575. units)
Magic +4.5 (-105) (1 unit)
6)knicks -1 2H (2.1 units) (-105)

[blanco]

Taking Lakers 2H as I think there's a decent chance they come back and I have a nice middle range. +8.45 locked in with a chance at a +10.45 day.

6) Lakers 2h -7 -105 (1.05 units)

5) Lakers/Jazz 2H over 104 -105 (1.05 units)

[blanco]

Biggest Play of the year so far tomorrow. Got it right as its ticking to 4 everywhere.

3) Bobcats +4.5 (-110) (3.3 units)

[blanco]

Today 10-3 +9.4 units

YTD 30-31-1 (-0.8 units)

2) Utah +7 (-105) (1.05 units)
4) Magic +150 (1 unit)
8) ND State -15.5 (-108) (1.62 units)
9) Chargers +7.5 -105 (1.05 units)
Bucs -7.5 -105 (1.05 units)
Jets -3 +100 (1 unit)
Falcons -3.5 +100 (1 unit)
3) Thunder -10 (-107) (1.07 units)
Knicks -4 (-105) (1.575. units)
Magic +4.5 (-105) (1 unit)
6)knicks -1 2H (2.1 units) (-105)
6) Lakers 2h -7 -105 (1.05 units)
5)Lakers/Jazz 2H over 104 -105 (1.05 units)