Burning Money NBA 2012 Thread

[ParlayBricker]

New to running a thread, gonna keep track of a few plays a day here, fade or tail your choice.

11/27

Mavs 76ers U 193.5

Mavs not the same team on the road, highly overrated in my opinion, 76ers never score points, seems like an easy under.

Sacramento pk

Much improved team, always play for the home fans, minnesota seems to be a hard team to get a good feel for how they play night in and night out but ill take the hometeam in a situation like this. BOL

[ParlayBricker]

Could not have been more wrong about that 76ers Mavs Under

[ParlayBricker]

YTD 0-2-0

Under almost hit , would have been a miracle if it did after both teams shot better then 70% for the first half of the first quarter.

as for Sacramento they seem to be far to immature as a team and whether they show up any given night to play is a question mark, will be staying away from them in the future.


Tonights Plays

T-wolves Clippers O 192.0

like what i say from the wolves last night seem to be getting healthier and starting to gel as a team, clippers seem uninterested in playing defence and after the letdown to the the lowly hornets the other night i like them to put up points in bunches tonight.

Twolves +9.5

Dont usually like betting a side and a total in the same game but just don't see how the clippers can win by such a large margain against a well coached and disaplined team, and even if they do its such a large number that the backdoor will be wide open.

[ParlayBricker]

YTD 2-2-0

2-0 Last night, much needed after the 0-2 start, game last night went as expected, point total should have been alot higher if it wasn't for the stagnant shooting in the 4th quarter by both teams.

NOV 29

Denver Nuggets / Gstate Warriors over 198.5

I locked in my pick last night, woke up this morning to see the total climb to 200. Would probably still take it at that number as i see both sides scoring in triple figures, both teams seem to be rather underrated early and have deep benches, so i don't see a lull in scoring at any point in the game.

[ParlayBricker]

Not sure if this is a stupid trend but i know alot of bettors say alot of weird things seem to happen on friday nights in the nba, last friday i noticed that alot of games went over the total, only 2 went under with 1 push, the friday before that only 2 games went under the number... something i'm going to continue to follow just incase there for some reason is some substance behind it

YTD 3-2-0

Not even a sweat in the the game last night , raining 3 balls all night.

[ParlayBricker]

Nov 30

Indiana Pacers -1.5 @ Sacramento

Pacers a well disaplined team, Sacramento is not, also Indianas lineup poses alot of problems for sacramento and they will not be able to get easy shots , small lean on the under as well as i can see this being an ugly game.

[ParlayBricker]

Nov 30 Adding :


Phoenix Suns @ Toronto Raptors O 198.5

More of a spot bet then anything , after getting demolished by the pistons a few days ago, phx will look to get back to there scoring ways, phx as a team puts up the 3rd most shots in the league on the road, and toronto puts up the most shots in the league at home, alot of shots mean alot of baskets.

[ParlayBricker]

YTD 4-3-0

Lost by the hook on the suns/raps over, just brutal, teams decided to play half court offence with 6 min left after running up and down the floor the entire game.

Pacers was an easy W, Sacramento is just ridiculous, thomas needs to play more , there offence in general looks lost most of the time, easy fade until they get something that resembles a Nba team there.

Early Pick

Dec 1

Brooklyn Nets @ Miami Heat O 193.5

Not quite sure why the total is so low here, i know brooklyn is on a back to back but it was an easy W and if anything they will be more tired getting back playing D against the heats run and gun, Brooklyn will be forced to put up points in bunches to hang around in this game. Miami does not care about defense and tries to beat teams simply by outscoring them.

Will have a few picks later on.

[ParlayBricker]

Dec 1

Indiana Pacers @ Golden State Warriors -4

2 things that have made me money so far this year, taking gstate at home and betting against slow paced teams on back to backs on the road, perfect storm here.

Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets -5.5

Another team on a B2B on the road, vs a rested fast paced team, Jazz suck on the road, home is the only place houston seems to play well.

[ParlayBricker]

YTD 6-4-0

Missed the O/U by the hook on my posted play, but actually cashed it as when i locked in my bets the line was sitting at 192.5 so the YTD is a tad misleading.

Jazz put up more of a fight then I thought they would, seems like taking the over everytime houston is at home would be profitable over the course of a season, Warriors never seem to get the respect they deserve but they are a pretty tough ticket to beat at home.

Taking tommorow off from the NBA, only 2 games and Football trumps everything in my book.

I see Sando is in for a big play on the knicks tommorow and the guy is a gun handicapping the nba so ill probably throw a bet on it and hope for another knicks blowout W.

Cheers

[ParlayBricker]

Dec 3

Clippers @ Jazz O 197

Clippers have had it easy there last 3 games, all at home all against inferior teams, they will be in for a test tonight against a solid jazz team at home, will need to score alot to keep pace with the jazz, originally thought this total would be in the 200's when posted, got a good number here .

Jazz +2

As i said before , clippers coming off a 3 game gimme homestand, jazz coming off a 3 game roadtrip , think the home fans will get them riled up for this big matchup and its not to often you get the jazz at +points at home, seems to me they are begging for the uneducated gamblers money setting the line at a point or 2 for the clippers.

[crackerjack]

GOod luck...for some reason I like the under in the Clippers game but I'm staying away.

[ParlayBricker]

YTD 8-4-0

Hit the double down on the Jazz Clippers last night , impressive comeback by the clippers looked like the jazz had control of the game throughout, thankfully I wasnt greedy and took the +2 over the ML

[ParlayBricker]

Dec 4

Phoenix Suns @ Memphis Grizzlies U 195

When the grizz play inferior teams at home they seem to control the tempo of the game pretty well, 4 of the last 5 home games have been under the number, all lower than this total,suns offence seems to have slowed down a bit perhaps they were playing over there heads to begin the year as teams did not know what to expect post nash era.

Indiana Pacers @ Chicago Bulls -3.5

More of a schedule bet then anything, I usually stay away from the Bulls but i think this is a good spot for them , Pacers coming off a 3 game West coast road trip with a layover in Chicago before heading back home, Bulls on the last game of a homestand and have a daunting schedule the next week to 10 days, need to get some momentum built.

[ParlayBricker]

Random 2 Game parlay, not going to count this in the YTD , thats strickly for -110 plays, but i really like this 2 gamer tonight

OKC ML / Twolves +6 (bought 3 points)

With lopez out I dont think the nets can shoot with OKC , there defence has been solid at home so i don't feel great about taking OKC and the points , Really like the wolves to keep that game close in philly and can't see anyway that philly wins by more then a touchdown with the way they have been letting teams hang around so far this year

[ParlayBricker]

OKC 1st Q ML (-130) , seems like the numbers are too good to be true, OKC the top ranked 1st quarter road scoring team in the league, where as brooklyn ranks 28th in giving up first quarter points at home.

[ParlayBricker]

YTD :
Spreads and Totals 8-6-0
Parlays 1-0

Tough night with the Suns/Grizz OT cooking the under. As for the Bulls I really thought they would have the edge in a defensive battle with them being at home... all was not lost though, salvaged the night with a W on the 2 Game parlay , missed out on some value by not betting the posted lines but oh well a Win is a Win, also hit on the OKC 1st Q ML

[ParlayBricker]

Dec 5
YTD
Spreads and Totals 8-6-0
Parlays 1-0
1st Q/1st H 1-0


Minnesota Twolves @ Boston Celtics -5.5

Twolve on a B2B , the last time they played a b2b they died off drastically in the 2nd half and blew a halftime lead, don't think they will have the luxury to do that against a rested celtics team at home with there stud back in the lineup.

Portland Trailblazers @ Indiana Pacers -4.5

Pacers are on a B2B but at home and will look to control the tempo of this one with solid defensive play, Portland on the tail end of a murderous road swing . Portlands bench play has been horrendous and Indiana will take full advantage.

[ParlayBricker]

Adding

Dallas Mavericks @ Clippers U 200.5

Went 2-0 , little degen action for a night cap, dallas struggles on the road, expect the clippers defence to show up tonight.

[ParlayBricker]

YTD
Spreads and Totals 10-7-0
Parlays 1-0
1st Q/1st H 1-0

Should have used my better judgement and stayed away from the totals play on the clippers game, up 20 with under 2 minutes and still running up the floor for alley oops...oh well can't win them all and still a positive night

[ParlayBricker]

Dec 6

Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns -3

Dallas on a B2b , they struggle badly on road. Phx coming off a tough road trip full of losses, locking this in at -3 while its still available

[ParlayBricker]

Dec 6

I know this is an NBA thread, but im diehard NFL fan and absolutley love some of the props that SportsInteraction are offering tonight

Peyton Manning U 307.5 yards

Moreno O 75.5 yards

Decker over 4.5 Receptions

Rather then play the huge number on the spread I see alot of value in these props, short rest teams like to run the ball, moreno has fresh legs and i think denver tries to grind out an easy w on the road with a solid rush game tonight, decker cut them up for 7 grabs in there first meeting and has been quiet the last few weeks so i expect manning to be looking his way early and often, denver should have a decent lead going into the 4th quarter and will try and pound the rock and salt away the game and look towards next week

[ParlayBricker]

Went 2-1 on the NFL props, just missed the manning prop by 3 yards .

Hopefully the suns can keep the home fans happy and not bankrupt there franchise tonight

[ParlayBricker]

YTD
Spreads and Totals 10-8-0
Parlays 1-0
1st Q/1st H ML 1-0
NFL Props 2-1

The suns didn't show up tonight, originally thought the promotion they put on tonight would inspire there team to win, but in hindsight thats alot of pressure to be putting on such a young team. Big card tommorow will definatley have a few plays

[ParlayBricker]

Dec 7

Been checking out the card for tommorow the last couple hours one bet that jumps out at me is Celtics 1st Q ML (-115) , Bostons Highest scoring quarter is the 1st, it also happens to be the 76'ers worst quarter on the defensive side. The first quarter is also Bostons strongest quarter defensivley

[mifeia123]

on it already!! Cheers for the tip

[mifeia123]

btw I have got 6 plays in mind for today what do you rekcon?

Pacers -1.5

Wizards/Hawks Over 191.5

Bulls 1-10

Bulls/Pistons Over 182.5

Memphis/Hornets Over 182.5

Houston/Spur Under 211.5


Any feedback welcome!


Go the Beginner's luck!

[mifeia123]

btw I have got 6 plays in mind for today what do you rekcon?

Pacers -1.5

Wizards/Hawks Over 191.5

Bulls 1-10

Bulls/Pistons Over 182.5

Memphis/Hornets Over 182.5

Houston/Spur Under 211.5


Any feedback welcome!


Go the Beginner's luck!

wow did I get 5 out 6 there? The Pacers had it's chance it was more like 50, 50 there

[ParlayBricker]

Sorry never seen your message till now, looks like you had a good night, was on the bulls and over as well, as for the rest of the night not so great, 1st quarter draw busted my only posted play

[mifeia123]

yeah thanks check out my plays at my thread got few good plays for tomorrow lined up

[ParlayBricker]

Dec 10

Had to take the weekend off from the association, might have been pressing too much and not seeing things as clearly as i like and usually when that happens its good to take a day or 2 off and just enjoy watching the game rather then sweating every second.

Definatley have a few plays for tonight, hopefully winners

[ParlayBricker]

San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets O 210.5

I'm not sure the last time I seen the Spurs under 100 on the road, or Houston under 100 at home, 210 almost seems too low, both teams love the 3pt shot could see this total hitting in the 220 range

[ParlayBricker]

Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat O 195.5


Ill probably be taking every Heat home total thats under 200 for the sheer fact they simply do not want to play defence and would rather beat teams by outscoring them, atlanta has been shooting the 3ball fairly well latley and i think it will be enough to push this total over 200

[ParlayBricker]

Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76'ers -6

Like fading the pistons on the road and like betting the 76'ers only as the homeside , detroit might keep it close but i think the 76'ers will pull away in the 4th quarter , also detroit seems to have 5-6 minute lapses on the road where they will score only a bucket or 2 and then find themselves digging out of the hole the rest of the game

[ParlayBricker]

YTD
Spreads and Totals 10-8-0
Parlays 1-0
1st Q/1st H ML 1-1
NFL Props 2-1