If 80% of the bets are on OKC, and the line is not moving,

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  • pip2
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-21-12
    • 543
    #1
    If 80% of the bets are on OKC, and the line is not moving,
    Doesn't that mean that the oddsmakers are calculating that there is only about a 1 in 5 chance that OKC will actually cover the 3-point spread? If that isn't their calculation, how else could they make money???

    http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html
    Tags: None
    • panik
      SBR MVP
      • 12-08-09
      • 1108
      #2
      Last night it was -3.5 now its -4.5
        Comment
        • panik
          SBR MVP
          • 12-08-09
          • 1108
          #3
          Hmmits -2.5 now
            Comment
            • pip2
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-21-12
              • 543
              #4
              I think I am going to lay a couple of $10 bets down on Boston and Indiana, two teams that have 80% of the bets going against them, just for giggles...
                Comment
                • pip2
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-21-12
                  • 543
                  #5
                  Originally posted by panik
                  Hmmits -2.5 now
                  I'm seeing 2.5 at SBR and the greek and another place, and everything else seems to be at 3. At least you were seeing some movement.

                  I don't know how reliable that bet information is. What bets are being counted? What if the smaller number of bets are for more money?
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