Yep, I like the over too, in short - Knicks score over 100 per game and it looks IND has been improving in offense, after Dallas they'll be hungry for some more and I'm sure they'll reach 90 without a problem, which would mean IND@NY O187.5@1.9
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Really no time today for write ups and shit, just some picks
POR +1 vs CHI@1.9
LAL/HOU O 205.5@1.9
Nets ML @1.62
Айде успех на всички
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One more: Magic +4.5 @1.9Comment -
Today: 3-2, got both early games wrong, made up for it later. ****** up 1H in NY, 71 points, LA and Houston scored almost the same in only one quarter
Nevermind, YTD 8-6.
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Very good, bro, hope you didn't bet the over. Cheers anywayOriginally posted by radostin.dimiFor today i like NYK -6.5 and the Over in that game,nets -3,blazers +1
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3-0 today look like. Well done.Comment -
Monday leans:
Ind/Was Under, this could be a real ugly 150-160 pt game, but will have to see what the books think
Of course, Mem -6.5, best team in the league, they should be able to keep it going against a Den team that got blown out by 26 @SAComment -
OK, I'm puttting an early bet on Mem, because I fear the public will jump on it later and further inflate the line. In all of their 8 victories MEM has maintained a winning margin of 8 or more points. That goes to show how much better than their opponents they have played. And MIA, OKC and NY are in turn much better than DEN (2-5 on the road btw, won only @ HOU and GSW). So, no reason for MEM not to cover tonight, especially at home (4-0). MEM -6.5 1u@ 1.9Comment -
Yep, that MEM line is -7.5 now, which is a little bit too much, glad I bet it early. But I noticed something in the MIL-CHA game, Bucks come out strong in the first half and have led after it in all but one game (MEM), scoring at least 60 points 1H in their last 3. Meanwhile Cha have trailed after the first half in all their games, except against Was (enough said) and unjury-plagued MIN... So a 1H bet on the Bucks definitely looks good, but the line has not come out yet at my book, so I"ll wait to see the exact spread, but if it's no more than -2.5, I'll be on it. Will update post accordingly whenever it comes out. Update: I don't know how long it's going to take for the 1H line to come out, might not be soon, in the meantime spread has moved to -5, so I decided to do something different - I'm taking the double bet Bucks 1H/Bucks FT for a unit @ 1.9 (which is quite generous, if you ask me). Feeling good about this one, no need to worry about covers, spreads and all that.Comment -
MIA Heat -9.5 @ 1.90
PHI 76 @ 1.58
Двойни, 1 betComment -
I'm on spurs -1.5 BOL !Comment -
Успех, аз не се престраших, Спърс тая година не ми изглеждат така солидни като миналата, като гост, и то на Бостън, и то като фаворит ми е малко рисково, но все пак има доста шанс да излезе, особено както има слух, че Пол Пиърс може и да не играеComment -
Мерси и аз се надявам да покрият, мисля че не е невъзможно.Айде успех и на двама ни!Comment -
Покриха твоите, даже много добре си покриха
А аз нещо още от уикенда усещам, че влизам в лоша серия и затова спирам за тая седмица. Довечера и без това няма мачове а имам много друга работа и не мога да се концентрирам върху баскета, така че да си свърша другите неща и другата седмица пак. Иначе вие си пишете тука ако искате, въобще не се притеснявайте, темата е за всички
On a losing streak, YTD record 8-9 now.Comment -
Направи една почивка и после пак
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Винаги след лошия късмет идва добрия, дори ако се наложи да е с две продължения, хахаха, само трябва да си изчакаш момента. Още по-сладко ако е в комбинацийка. Дано сте заложили и вие, ей така се печелят пари дори от шибан мач като снощния
Any thoughts for tonight, people?Comment -
Добре че бяха 2-те продължения!
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Да, но все пак по-добре печалба, отколкото да се бяхме набутали на -6 спред, който щеше да загуби. Предпочитам печалба на малък коефициент, отколкото загуба. На мен това ми е целта - максимално висок процент познати, а коефициентите не ме интересуват толкова. Между другото тия дни се заиграх с опциите на бет 365 да си правиш сам линии (това, на което американците му викат тийзър) и резултатите са доста добри. За последните три дена съм 7-0, ако ги бях пускал поотделно. Ето от вчера и оня ден
Общо 4.37, лесни пари и то с яко застраховка1 ХЮ Рокетс -4.5 ТОР Раптърс @ ХЮ Рокетс
(Хендикап)28/11/2012 Никой 1.71 Печеливш 2 ФИЛ 76 ДАЛ Маверикс @ ФИЛ 76
(Коефициенти)28/11/2012 Никой 1.62 Печеливш 3 Под 200.5 МИН Тимбъруулвс @ САК Кингс
(Общо в Мача)28/11/2012 Никой 1.57 Печеливш
Преди това още един
За довечера съм харесал Никс, но преди това пуснах едно бетче на футбол, което да ми вдигне залога за после -1 Под 191.5 МИЛ Бъкс @ ЧИК Булс
(Общо в Мача)27/11/2012 Никой 1.90 Печеливш 2 ОКЛ Тандър -8.5 ША Бобкатс @ ОКЛ Тандър
(Хендикап)27/11/2012 Никой 1.57 Печеливш
Общо се получава коеф 2, а вероятността да излезе според мене си е към 90%. Така че с печалбата довечера може да се залага на Никс и да не ти пука дали ще спечелиш или не1 Под 2.5 Стоук v Нюкасъл
(Общо Голове)28/11/2012 Никой 1.66 Текущ 2 Ман Юн Ман Юн v Уест Хям
(Краен Резултат)28/11/2012 Никой 1.22 Текущ Сега минавам на инглиш, за да обясня за Никс
I like the Knicks for tonight because of psychological reasons - Knicks lost the NY derby to BK and I expect them to be very angry. On the other hand, Bucks will be emotionally drained after that huge comeback against their divisional rival Bulls, which puts them in a perfect letdown spot for tonight. I also think the Bucks are not the most consistent team out there, so this is another advantage for NY. On top of it all, I think Knicks are the better team, even without Kidd. Line is @-2 now and I suggest taking it. NYK -2@ 1.9Comment -
Det 1H -1.5 @1.9
Detroit have been playing well at home lately, especially in the first half plus PHO played last night, even though a pretty easy game for them.Comment -
Много добре и аз съм играл Никс с много.УспехComment -
Е тва ме дразни във футбола, деба, 82 минути едвам-едва едно голче и после 2 за последните 8, при това най-дърварския отбор в Англия... Кур за Стоук сити Както и да е, тука сме за баскетбола
2-0, not a bad night, DET might prove to be a real force at home, 40 pts, wow. Back in the positive on this thread, 10-9 YTD Мау this trend continue
Not a lot to choose from tonight... Spurs played last night, it might be just a little, but it will affect them. Besides, they already won 5 on their 6 game road trip, I don't see this as a must win game for them. I even think Pop might wave the white flag early, if MIA gets an early lead and take his starters off. MIA at home, rested and hopefully hungry - MIA -5.5 I'm getting this early, I think everybody will jump on it later and it might close at 6+
Adding a lean: Den -1.5, they are the better team, coming off an embarrasing loss @ Utah, but will have to think some more on that one, before I risk money on it
This might be a good one, put 500 points on it, might bet it with real money later
NBA
NBA2 team teaser
[502] MIAMI -2½-110 (B+4)
[503] DENVER +2½-110 (B+4)500.00 / 416.67 Comment -
Free money, free money
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Fuk Miami, I saw that move by Pop coming and I have absolutely no problem with it, I would do the same thing, however I didn't see those lazy ass bitches play like shit
Spurs 2nd unit almost beat them at home on a b2b and these are the fukin champions, fuk em
And fuk me too, for celebrating early
10-10 YTD, let's get it back tonightComment -
After seeing so many games land right on the total and/or points spreads in the last few days, I'm thinking the books are starting to get their act together now as the season progresses. So I decided to play a liitle bit with the lines for tonight's game @ NY just for a little insurance (thank you bet 365 for offering that). This is agreat opportunity for NY to pull ahead of the Nets and keep up with Miami at the top in the East and their next game is 3 days away, they can give it the full gun. NY has been scoring over 100 in all but one of their home games, vs. Indiana. PHO is no Indiana however, they just lost to the Pistons by 40 and to the Raptors. While I expect the Suns to play better today, I just can't see them competing with NY and slowing them down on the defensive end. So my bet for this game is a parlay - NY -9.5 @ 1.76 (coulsn't take in time for 1.83, line moved as I was making the bet) plus over 198.5 @ 1.74. I expect NY to score around 110 pts and PHO should be able to post up at least 90 in that scenario, which would take us over the top. This combo should bring a fine 2u profit
Parlay
NY -9.5 @ 1.76
Over 198.5 @ 1.74
1 to win 3.06 (2.06 profit)Comment -
Добре написано колега!Мисля че този залог трябва да излезе съвсем спокойно
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Да, тази седмица почти всичките ми печалби са от разни такива залози, сваляш малко печалбата за сметка на вероятността. Аз по принцип мисля, че и -10.5 и над 200.5 ще си излязат, ама за всеки случай (в единия вариант Финикс да играят по-добре отколкото се очаква, или пък Никс да ги бият с 20+, което по-вероятно да даде ъндър)л А и коеф 3 мене си ме устройва екстра Айде успех
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Well, everything was just perfect yesterday, until the Knicks stopped playing and let Suns back into the game... YTD 10-11 with that loss. Today it looks to me everybody's jumpin on the Bucks and POR/Bobcats games. I'm not gonna talk about these, enough threads and posts already, I see some value tonight in the Cavs and Pistons game. Detroit has been shooting much better at home lately, hitting over 100 pts in 4 of their last 5 games, incl 103 vs BOS. They are just back from two games away which they lost and in which they shot very badly, so it will be a relief to be on their home court again. I expect another triple digit effort tonight against CLE, which doesn't play much defense. So many of their road games have hit the 200 mark and you'll notice they score a lot themselves when away from home. Beat ATL and LAC on the road, a lot better opposition than the Pistons. So this is definitely a team which enjoys playing on the road and expect them to put up 90-100 pts again tonight, hopefully even more. Bottom line - I see this as an easy over, 191 is way too low imo. BOL
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Boy was I wrong about that over, Cavs shot like 30% and 15% from the 3 pt line... Anyway, 10-12 YTD.
Leans for today
IND-4 - I don't see the Blazers winning 3 in a row on the road. They needed OT to beat Bobcats and CLE...
DET 1H - they play well at home and they usually get in the lead early, it will be GSW first road game in a while and it will probably take some time to adjust their game
NY/CHA under - don't see the bobcats scoring enough to take it to 198 pts plus Ny will save their energy for tomorrow @MIA
Bucks +8.5 and the under 197.5 - all because Spurs have injuries and Bucks will want to redeem themselves for the 20 pt loss @ NOH, game could go either way though, especially for the points totalComment -
YTD 10-12, no units, that's your choice how to play, if at all
Plays from the sports book aka leans, not a pro, so I couldn't care less about points, will see if I I bet any later when the other lines come out
Dec 10 NBA [701] DETROIT +6½-110 Dec 10 NBA [703] GOLDEN STATE -4½-110 Dec 10 NBA [706] MIAMI -7-110 Comment -
Alright then, not gonna play any of the above, first pick for the day Tor +3.5 @1.9/-110. TOR are a horrible team, but what about the Blazers without Batum and Matthews? As bad as they are, I'll take my chances with the Raptors tonight. You might even consider the ML @2.45, if you trust them enough, I don't.
Second, Spurs -6 @ 1.9. They already beat Hou by 22 pts last week (and none of the starters played more than 26 min), this one should be closer, but as close as 6 pts? I don't think so, can't see how HOU will stop the SA offense.Comment -
Fuckin Raptors, I must admit I underestimated them - they are way worse than I thought Not betting them any more this season. Nice cover by the Spurs though, should have posted the over too, anyway, 1-1 and 11-13 YTD
Here's what I like from the available lines for Tue
Dec 11 NBA [505] DENVER -4½-110 Dec 11 NBA [509] TOTAL o187-110 (L.A. CLIPPERS vrs CHICAGO) Comment -
Here's a pick for today ATL/CHA Under 194. I don't know why the books think this one can go as high as 194. Teams played already twice this year, no more than 192 were scored. Bobcats on a b2b, they'll probably get blown out tonight, but I wouldn't take a double digit spread, under seems much more probable
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Im on the under as well...Atl shot pretty well last night but still couldnt cover the overs....on a b2b i dont see them going overComment -
Oh man, I forgot ATL played @ORL last night, so both on a b2b, under is looking even better now, let's get it, BOL
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Been away for some time, you know, holidays and all that, plus NBA results were too random at the beginning of the season, which put me in the negative, let's see if things will improve in the new year.
YTD record 11-14. Tonight's pick (just one, the other games too unpredictable for my liking) - ATL ML @ 2.00 aka EV. Why? It's pretty obvious, but... No Love, Rubio coming off an injury, Pekovic uncertain... ATL is a solid team, on the other hand, and has lost their last 2. Will they lose a 3rd straight to an incomplete MIN team? Not sure, not sure at all. ATL FTW tonight
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