After a quick look at the lines for Friday, I'm really liking this opening total of 195.5 to sail well into the 200s. Here why. The Lakers right now r horrendous, especially against above average guards. Klay and Curry should have no issues getting quality shots off against the Lakers perimeter D. Surprisingly, the Lakers have actually scored a descent amount of points in their games so far. 91,106, 95, 106, 86. They're averaging 97 ppg. This average would actually be much higher if we exclude the 86 put up in Utah and call it an outlier, or anomaly. The Warriors have scored: 87, 94, 114, 92, 106. They're averaging 99 ppg. If you add their averages, it totals around 196. U can see how Vegas came up with this total. However, the edge I see in this game in the over is the Lakers aren't right yet on defense and they absolutely cannot stop good perimeter players like Curry and Klay. I usually don't post all this type of numerical analysis in my posts and plays but this warrants a larger play for me on the over. I don't even care how it moves, I like the over no matter what. Unless Curry absolutely takes a dump, I really think this sails past 200. I understand the Warriors aren't run and gun anymore but the Lakers, as shitty as they've looked, have actually scored a fair amount of points.
My play is o195.5
Since I go through my local, I will have to wait until the morning to lock it up but I like this total all the way up to 198.
My play is o195.5
Since I go through my local, I will have to wait until the morning to lock it up but I like this total all the way up to 198.
