SlickRick's Tracking Thread - NBA 2012-2013 Season

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  • killersweet
    SBR MVP
    • 12-02-08
    • 1483

    #351
    I didn't like the games tonight. still took few of them. Cavs won today. raptors may be a play tomorrow. but 6 seems high as raps don't fair well as big favs.
    Comment
    • SlickRick1382
      SBR MVP
      • 10-15-11
      • 3838

      #352
      Originally posted by SlickRick1382
      Friday, January 25th


      Plays:

      Hawks 2Q -1 - 2.00 units (-110 Local)
      Mavs -1' - 1 unit (-110 Local)
      Hornets / Rockets U200' - 1 unit (-110 Local)
      Warriors / Bulls U189 - 1 unit (-110 Local)
      Rockets +2' - .75 units (-110 Local)


      Leans:


      Hawks -5
      Nets +4

      Pretty awful day with some bad beats. 2-3 for a 2.65 unit loss and 1-1 on leans. Atlanta only puts up 10 points 1Q and still manages not to cover -1 for 2Q (28-28). Bulls / Warriors had a 69 points 2Q to ruin the under by one point which was still in play until the Warriors rebounded the ball with 14 seconds left, down 18 and still tried to score (got fouled and hit both FT's).


      Onto tomorrow

      Updated Record:
      121-98-2
      +21.1525 units


      NBA Breakdown
      Spreads: 52-32
      Game Totals: 36-35-1
      Team Totals: 6-12
      Money Line: 4-5
      Other: 23-14-1

      Bets over 1 unit: 19-10
      Leans: 80-62-1
      Comment
      • SlickRick1382
        SBR MVP
        • 10-15-11
        • 3838

        #353
        Plays:


        In a complete noob move....

        Lakers ML -200 - 1 unit to win .5 units
        Comment
        • SlickRick1382
          SBR MVP
          • 10-15-11
          • 3838

          #354
          Note:

          Breaking out my other section into 2Q and Other

          Current:

          Other: 23-14-1

          Changes:

          Other: 15 - 7
          2Q: 8-7-1
          Comment
          • SlickRick1382
            SBR MVP
            • 10-15-11
            • 3838

            #355
            Originally posted by SlickRick1382
            Friday, January 25th


            Plays:

            Hawks 2Q -1 - 2.00 units (-110 Local)
            Mavs -1' - 1 unit (-110 Local)
            Hornets / Rockets U200' - 1 unit (-110 Local)
            Warriors / Bulls U189 - 1 unit (-110 Local)
            Rockets +2' - .75 units (-110 Local)
            Lakers ML - 1 unit (-200 Local) (to win .5 units)


            Leans:


            Hawks -5
            Nets +4


            Pretty awful day with some bad beats. 3-3 for a 2.15 unit loss and 1-1 on leans. Atlanta only puts up 10 points 1Q and still manages not to cover -1 for 2Q (28-28). Bulls / Warriors had a 69 points 2Q to ruin the under by one point which was still in play until the Warriors rebounded the ball with 14 seconds left, down 18 and still tried to score (got fouled and hit both FT's).


            Onto tomorrow

            Updated Record:
            122-98-2
            +21.6525 units


            NBA Breakdown
            Spreads: 52-32
            Game Totals: 36-35-1
            Team Totals: 6-12
            Money Line: 5-5
            2nd Quarter: 8-7-1
            Other: 15-7


            Bets over 1 unit: 19-10
            Leans: 80-62-1
            Comment
            • killersweet
              SBR MVP
              • 12-02-08
              • 1483

              #356
              Yea, couple of plays could have gone in your favor. That kinda night. Good luck today.
              Comment
              • SlickRick1382
                SBR MVP
                • 10-15-11
                • 3838

                #357
                Out at a 50th bday party so won't be able ro make any plays today unfortunately
                Comment
                • SlickRick1382
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-15-11
                  • 3838

                  #358
                  Sunday, January 27th
                  Comment
                  • SlickRick1382
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-15-11
                    • 3838

                    #359
                    Plays:

                    Mavs 2Q -2 - 1.5 units (-110 Local)
                    Hawks 2Q +1' - 1.5 units (-115 Local)


                    Leans:

                    Hawks +5'
                    Mavs -7'
                    Clippers -8'
                    Lakers +3
                    Comment
                    • Vinnie Paz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 12177

                      #360
                      What's your angle for betting a pregame 2nd quarter?
                      Comment
                      • killersweet
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-02-08
                        • 1483

                        #361
                        Good luck rick. like ur mavs, clipps, leans. Lakers can't be trusted until they string together few wins. Although okc on their last game of a long road trip may struggle. I am avoiding Atlanta these days. They are so unpredictable.
                        Comment
                        • SlickRick1382
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-15-11
                          • 3838

                          #362
                          Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                          What's your angle for betting a pregame 2nd quarter?

                          The only way to bet 2Q's is pregame unless it's a featured game at a site that allows live betting.

                          The angle is simple but I've been back testing more results recently to try and develop a stronger approach for next season with a more specific outline. As of right now I'm only taking certain games where fatigue can be an issue. Normally a team comes out stronger in the 1Q before fatigue really sets in, which I believe is the 2Q.

                          2-0 tonight, Atlanta didn't need the +1' as they outscored them 27-25 and Dallas outscored the Suns 28-21
                          Comment
                          • SlickRick1382
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-15-11
                            • 3838

                            #363
                            Originally posted by killersweet
                            Good luck rick. like ur mavs, clipps, leans. Lakers can't be trusted until they string together few wins. Although okc on their last game of a long road trip may struggle. I am avoiding Atlanta these days. They are so unpredictable.

                            Thanks bud, I appreciate the well wishes.

                            I thought about the Lakers and I obviously know they can't be trusted but I just felt that the line at -3 was too suspiciously low. Add to that the fact that over 65% of the public was on the Thunder but the line didn't budge, made it a strong lean for me. It would of been a play if I wasn't out all day. Had to go to the venue where we're holding our wedding to go over certain things and make another payment. Took up all the afternoon unfortunately ....
                            Comment
                            • killersweet
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-02-08
                              • 1483

                              #364
                              wow, u were perfect on the day with your picks and leans. I played ur mavs 2Q play and it cashed. Thanks. I did pretty well today. Nice come back after that crappy Friday. I wanted to take the lakers badly, but burnt too many times. I hesitated. But mavs and clips came thru. I presume u r getting married soon. Congrats man. When is the big day?
                              Comment
                              • SlickRick1382
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-15-11
                                • 3838

                                #365
                                Originally posted by killersweet
                                wow, u were perfect on the day with your picks and leans. I played ur mavs 2Q play and it cashed. Thanks. I did pretty well today. Nice come back after that crappy Friday. I wanted to take the lakers badly, but burnt too many times. I hesitated. But mavs and clips came thru. I presume u r getting married soon. Congrats man. When is the big day?
                                I'm glad you were able to cash the play you tailed =)

                                Wish I would of been around to make a play or two on my other leans, but such is life.

                                Date is September 27th, 2013. Still a good 8 months away but shit approaches quickly. We went to the reception hall to check out another wedding that was going on today and took a look at their setup to get ideas in terms of colors for the table, chairs, etc. Shit my fiancee should be doing and but likes me to be there to make her feel as if I'm involved in the whole process ....
                                Comment
                                • SlickRick1382
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-15-11
                                  • 3838

                                  #366
                                  Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                                  Sunday, January 27th

                                  Plays:


                                  Mavs 2Q -2 - 1.5 units (-110 Local)
                                  Hawks 2Q +1' - 1.5 units (-115 Local)


                                  Leans:

                                  Hawks +5'
                                  Mavs -7'
                                  Clippers -8'
                                  Lakers +3

                                  2-0 on plays for +3.00 units and a 4-0 day on leans....

                                  Updated Record:
                                  124-98-2
                                  +24.6525 units


                                  NBA Breakdown
                                  Spreads: 52-32
                                  Game Totals: 36-35-1
                                  Team Totals: 6-12
                                  Money Line: 5-5
                                  2nd Quarter: 10-7-1
                                  Other: 15-7


                                  Bets over 1 unit: 21-10
                                  Leans: 84-62-1
                                  Comment
                                  • killersweet
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-02-08
                                    • 1483

                                    #367
                                    Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                                    I'm glad you were able to cash the play you tailed =)

                                    Wish I would of been around to make a play or two on my other leans, but such is life.

                                    Date is September 27th, 2013. Still a good 8 months away but shit approaches quickly. We went to the reception hall to check out another wedding that was going on today and took a look at their setup to get ideas in terms of colors for the table, chairs, etc. Shit my fiancee should be doing and but likes me to be there to make her feel as if I'm involved in the whole process ....
                                    Nice. U still got few months to prepare, but time flies man. My wedding day is still a blur to me as it went so quickly. All the months spent on prep work and then the day just flies by. anyways, good luck with all the planning. Hopefully you will be done with your honeymoon when the 2014 nba season starts:-**
                                    Comment
                                    • Coreos
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-18-13
                                      • 464

                                      #368
                                      Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                                      Shit my fiancee should be doing and but likes me to be there to make her feel as if I'm involved in the whole process ....
                                      Ain't that the truth Congrats on the impending union.
                                      Comment
                                      • SlickRick1382
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-15-11
                                        • 3838

                                        #369
                                        Originally posted by killersweet
                                        Nice. U still got few months to prepare, but time flies man. My wedding day is still a blur to me as it went so quickly. All the months spent on prep work and then the day just flies by. anyways, good luck with all the planning. Hopefully you will be done with your honeymoon when the 2014 nba season starts:-**
                                        Thanks bro ... A lot of people have told me the same thing in terms of how fast the day flies once you get there as opposed to the process. I definitely want to be able to take time out to enjoy myself when it comes though. Got myself a cigar roller at the wedding and everything. Granted the guests will enjoy it but it's more for me, lol


                                        Originally posted by Coreos
                                        Ain't that the truth Congrats on the impending union.
                                        Thanks bro ...
                                        Comment
                                        • SlickRick1382
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-15-11
                                          • 3838

                                          #370
                                          Monday, January 28th
                                          Comment
                                          • SlickRick1382
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-15-11
                                            • 3838

                                            #371
                                            Leans:

                                            GSW -1'
                                            76ers 2Q +1
                                            Kings +7'
                                            Nets -9
                                            Comment
                                            • killersweet
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-02-08
                                              • 1483

                                              #372
                                              tough card today. I have been riding the wiz for few weeks now and can't believe they are favored by almost 8 points. Strange sight. Orlando is better on the road than home and Broolyn is capable of blowing ppl out. I am going to the GST-Raptors game tonight. Got some great seats. But not sure who I am gonna bet. seems like a close game. and if Curry is playing, he might light it up. He use to play in that gym as a kid right. so he is familiar with the court.
                                              Time for some more research.
                                              Comment
                                              • SlickRick1382
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-15-11
                                                • 3838

                                                #373
                                                Originally posted by killersweet
                                                tough card today. I have been riding the wiz for few weeks now and can't believe they are favored by almost 8 points. Strange sight. Orlando is better on the road than home and Broolyn is capable of blowing ppl out. I am going to the GST-Raptors game tonight. Got some great seats. But not sure who I am gonna bet. seems like a close game. and if Curry is playing, he might light it up. He use to play in that gym as a kid right. so he is familiar with the court.
                                                Time for some more research.
                                                Agreed, Other than the 2Q play which I'm not too fond of (I don't trust Philly) I'm not too excited about anything. Was just some thoughts heading into the day but I need more research to be done ...

                                                The line is higher than expected in Washington. I think people may be buying high on Washington after their recent wins with Wall back and selling low on the Kings. That said they are atrocious on the road and have trouble covering the spread. I'm still debating ...
                                                Comment
                                                • killersweet
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-02-08
                                                  • 1483

                                                  #374
                                                  Yea, it was nice seeing the Wiz as the underdogs and they did well on the road trip. Now they are favored and not sure how they are going to handle. Plus Kings are just playing some terrible basketball. I'll most likely pass on this game. so far only slight leans on utah and Indina.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SlickRick1382
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-15-11
                                                    • 3838

                                                    #375
                                                    Plays:

                                                    76ers 2Q +1 - 1.75 units (-115 Local)
                                                    76ers +2' - 1.25 units (-110 Local)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • killersweet
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-02-08
                                                      • 1483

                                                      #376
                                                      I am taking Indiana tonight. Also going to take the Sixers. thinking about taking Utah game over.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SlickRick1382
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-15-11
                                                        • 3838

                                                        #377
                                                        I just noticed Tony Brothers is the ref for 76ers / Memphis game tonight. That's usually an auto play on the road team. Hopefully he doesn't screw us tonight ...

                                                        Going to look into your other two leans ...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • killersweet
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-02-08
                                                          • 1483

                                                          #378
                                                          oh crap, that guy is a road fav. Sometimes it doesn't work. but let's hope sixers pull through. Treaded lightly on Indiana. I think utah-Hou over will be my main play.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SlickRick1382
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-15-11
                                                            • 3838

                                                            #379
                                                            Plays:

                                                            Kings +7' - 1 unit (-110 Local)


                                                            Leans:

                                                            Kings / Wizards O204
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SlickRick1382
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-15-11
                                                              • 3838

                                                              #380
                                                              Plays:


                                                              Memphis / 76ers U178 - .75 units (-115 Bovada)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SlickRick1382
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-15-11
                                                                • 3838

                                                                #381
                                                                Plays:

                                                                I added another half unit to my Kings plays.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SlickRick1382
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-15-11
                                                                  • 3838

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Unrelated College Lean:

                                                                  James Madison ML -140
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SlickRick1382
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-15-11
                                                                    • 3838

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Leans:

                                                                    Wizards TT O105
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SlickRick1382
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-15-11
                                                                      • 3838

                                                                      #384
                                                                      Plays:

                                                                      Rockets +3' - 1 unit (-110 Local)


                                                                      Leans:

                                                                      Charlotte / Chicago U185
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SlickRick1382
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-15-11
                                                                        • 3838

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Added .25 units to Rockets +3'
                                                                        Comment
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