2012-13 NBA Picks

Speedy88 · 02-20-13, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Lean Hawks, Rockets and Raptors tonight.

I'm liking the exact same plays. Rudy Gay should be out for revenge, I think the Raps got too much perimeter play for the Grizz to handle tonight. I think at worst if you take both Houston and Atlanta you'll split and go 1-1. I don't see two big public faves both covering tonight.

No coincidences · 02-20-13, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

I'm liking the exact same plays. Rudy Gay should be out for revenge, I think the Raps got too much perimeter play for the Grizz to handle tonight. I think at worst if you take both Houston and Atlanta you'll split and go 1-1. I don't see two big public faves both covering tonight.

I agree re: Houston and Atlanta, but I'm not sure you'll go better than 1-1 either. Trying to figure out which is the better play.

No coincidences · 02-20-13, 06:50 PM

Going to ease my way back:

TOR +1 (2.14U to win 2)
NO +3 (1.03U to win 1)
HOU +3.5 (1.05U to win 1)
ATL +6 (1.1U to win 1)

No coincidences · 02-20-13, 10:23 PM

Atlanta. Wow.

No coincidences · 02-20-13, 10:31 PM

LAL 1H -3.5 (2.2U to win 2)

No coincidences · 02-20-13, 10:58 PM

LAL/BOS under 203.5 live (2.2U to win 2)

No coincidences · 02-21-13, 11:02 AM

CHI +3.5 (7.7U to win 7)

Vinnie Paz · 02-21-13, 11:17 AM

Oh wow.
Tailing, if you go down, you're bringing me with you!

Spgillydakid · 02-21-13, 11:59 AM

From one detroit native to another... That is a risky play coin. I respect your capping ability a lot, but the bulls are terrible ats at home. I think the play of the night is the over in the clips game. Just my opinon though. I wish u luck though. 7 units is a lot is all I'm saying. I wouldn't be surprised if they cover, but that is a lot to bet against the best team in the league. I did take miami tonight, but I got them at -2. I like the under in this game as well.

No coincidences · 02-21-13, 09:34 PM

LAC -170 (5.1U to win 3)

Reeling right now.

No coincidences · 02-21-13, 09:35 PM

Originally posted by Spgillydakid

From one detroit native to another... That is a risky play coin. I respect your capping ability a lot, but the bulls are terrible ats at home. I think the play of the night is the over in the clips game. Just my opinon though. I wish u luck though. 7 units is a lot is all I'm saying. I wouldn't be surprised if they cover, but that is a lot to bet against the best team in the league. I did take miami tonight, but I got them at -2. I like the under in this game as well.

Good call. Totally outclassed. How the Bulls won in Miami I have no idea.

t-wizzle · 02-21-13, 09:43 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Good call. Totally outclassed. How the Bulls won in Miami I have no idea.

Game isn't even close to over yet though.

Speedy88 · 02-21-13, 10:09 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Game isn't even close to over yet though.

TNT Thursday, it ain't over til it's over.

Spgillydakid · 02-21-13, 10:52 PM

Thanks they were looking like shit in the beginning. Chi easily could have covered, 7 units was just a bit much for me. Your a beast though you'll get it back for sure. 2-0 so far on the night. Really need the over in this clips game. Got it at 200. Lines seems to be going up so hopefully that was sharp action. Miami was a square play but they have been unstoppable recently good luck man.

Originally posted by No coincidences

Good call. Totally outclassed. How the Bulls won in Miami I have no idea.

No coincidences · 02-21-13, 11:35 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Game isn't even close to over yet though.

You're right: it went from bad to worse.

BigDofBA · 02-21-13, 11:42 PM

Originally posted by Spgillydakid

Chi easily could have covered

How do you figure? They lost by 19 points and the Heat had a double digit lead the entire second half.

Originally posted by Spgillydakid

Miami was a square play but they have been unstoppable recently good luck man.

Square or not, favorites cover about half the time. I think the books set a line that got action on both sides which is what they want. It seems like short favorites like the Heat, Spurs, etc. are covering at higher than normal rate this year.

Also, the lines don't seem as sharp for whatever reasons. If anything they seemed softer than normal.

t-wizzle · 02-21-13, 11:42 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

You're right: it went from bad to worse.

Point remains. You were saying nba is unbettable last night with some ridiculous comebacks and then tonight you declared your ticket a loser in the third quarter when they were down 10.

No coincidences · 02-21-13, 11:44 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Point remains. You were saying nba is unbettable last night with some ridiculous comebacks and then tonight you declared your ticket a loser in the third quarter when they were down 10.

Were you watching the same game I was?

Heat could've named their score and margin of victory. From the first quarter on, that much was glaringly obvious. It was a bad bet on my part. I admit it.

BigDofBA · 02-21-13, 11:45 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

tonight you declared your ticket a loser in the third quarter when they were down 10.

And he was 100% right. Did the Bulls ever even cut it to single digits after he posted that? I don't think they did.

The Bulls are won of the worst teams offensively in the league. When they're down 10, it's really like they're down 15-20, especially against a hot Miami team.

Are you criticizing No Coin for being 100% correct in the 2nd quarter?

BigDofBA · 02-21-13, 11:48 PM

In other news, the first half total in the Spurs/Clippers game was 101.5. The teams had like 84 points with 6 minutes left in the half and the total landed on 101 exactly missing the over by .5.

The teams had 97 combined points with three minutes left in the half and only scored 4 points the rest of the way.

Vinnie Paz · 02-21-13, 11:50 PM

Big d I had that over, such a fukkin joke

hawley · 02-21-13, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

In other news, the first half total in the Spurs/Clippers game was 101.5. The teams had like 84 points with 6 minutes left in the half and the total landed on 101 exactly missing the over by .5.

The teams had 97 combined points with three minutes left in the half and only scored 4 points the rest of the way.

I would laugh.

Except I had the over

I love the NBA.

BigDofBA · 02-21-13, 11:53 PM

Sorry guys. I didn't know you had the over. That is brutal.

I've been there so many times. I've even had the Hawks and some other crap team score 10 in the final 45 seconds of the first half to beat my under by .5.

I don't understand how these teams can score 57 in the 1Q, have over 80 with 6 minutes left, and then only score 4 points in the final three minutes.

Unreal. It's amazing how these incredible things always cause you to lose by .5.

hawley · 02-21-13, 11:54 PM

It goes both ways.

If you bet the course of a whole season you will get your fair share of bad beats and lucky ones.

Just have to take the bad ones and move on.

BigDofBA · 02-21-13, 11:57 PM

I really want to pound the 2nd half under. It seems like the 2nd half always goes under in this prime time Clippers games.

Even if the teams score like 60 in the third quarter, they'll score like 35 in the 4th.

Probably just put a unit on it. I hope people that lost on the first half over aren't steaming and chase the second half over. I don't think that will end well.

Vinnie Paz · 02-22-13, 12:07 AM

Any early leans for Friday night guys?

Spgillydakid · 02-22-13, 12:15 AM

That game was a wrap early I'm just saying looking at it before game time chi could cover. I took miami. I just felt like I was the only one on this forum that did. Chi has already beat them this year.

Originally posted by BigDofBA

How do you figure? They lost by 19 points and the Heat had a double digit lead the entire second half.

Square or not, favorites cover about half the time. I think the books set a line that got action on both sides which is what they want. It seems like short favorites like the Heat, Spurs, etc. are covering at higher than normal rate this year.

Also, the lines don't seem as sharp for whatever reasons. If anything they seemed softer than normal.

PAULYPOKER · 02-22-13, 12:49 AM

I knew I shouldn't have opened this thread...

Makes a 7x wager against the best team in the NBA at their hottest moment of the season..

Then to top it off, ya pull a Brock Landers against the best in the west..............

No coincidences · 02-22-13, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

I knew I shouldn't have opened this thread...

Makes a 7x wager against the best team in the NBA at their hottest moment of the season..

Then to top it off, ya pull a Brock Landers against the best in the west..............

Thanks for clarifying after the fact.

Please let me know at midnight tomorrow which bets were bad and which ones were good.

No coincidences · 02-22-13, 01:59 AM

Like Toronto, New Orleans and Houston on Friday.

ajcobb22 · 02-22-13, 04:52 AM

If you like money, you'd also like Memphis tomorrow..... Magic only dressing 7 tomorrow

Gee · 02-22-13, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

And he was 100% right. Did the Bulls ever even cut it to single digits after he posted that? I don't think they did.

The Bulls are won of the worst teams offensively in the league. When they're down 10, it's really like they're down 15-20, especially against a hot Miami team.

Are you criticizing No Coin for being 100% correct in the 2nd quarter?

Spgillydakid · 02-22-13, 01:13 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Like Toronto, New Orleans and Houston on Friday.

I'm on Houston with ya guy. GL tonight. I'm also on San Antonio. Their starters barely broke a sweat last night. Let you know if I see anything else I like. I love how people that don't post their plays hate on you when you have a bad night. You little girls can make your own decisions who you want to bet on. Same people want a mouth full of your *** when your crackin heads. Should be a good night.

No coincidences · 02-22-13, 06:20 PM

TOR +2 (4.6U to win 4)
NO +2 (3.3U to win 3)

Don't like the funky movement in the Rockets/Nets game. Not really interested in taking Houston at -2 now.

Still considering Wizards and Warriors.

BigDofBA · 02-22-13, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by Gee

Yeah, that was pretty brutal. LOL.

Sometimes I get to typing these posts in on my iPhone and it auto-corrects things and totally miss other things.

I hate Fridays in the NBA.