He is great no questions asked, I think it was against the Lakers the first time they played he had an insane stat line at half time including a huge buzzer beater to end the half. When his jumper is on he can't be guarded and is unstoppable. In a tight game when you are shooting around 25% for the game and have Durant on your side wouldn't you try get him involved on every offensive possession?
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Let's talk games. Here are the interesting ones and lines I am leaning.
Heat -2.5
Before you say it, yes the Heat have probably burned me for over 10 units, yes I know they play without conviction or purpose and throw up stinkers. That been said I truly believe they can beat any team by 4-10 points in any arena at any given day when they are switched on, I can't say I have a read on the Heat but I definitely feel like they are similar to San Antonio where they usually blow teams out when they are hitting the 3 ball at a decent rate. They have so many 3 point shooters that can just come off the bench and hit them when they are feeling it, look at the NBA finals series last season for proof. What they are failing on right now is rebounding and they fail to play "big" and appear to lose drastically to teams that abuse this factor - Grizz/Indy are prime examples. Utah is another team that has prominent bigs that are huge on the glass. What gets me going about this game is don't you think that Miami know they suck against teams that play big and hammer the glass? Don't you think they know their rebounding sucks and give up too many second chance points (Indy)? I really like the Heat here because I think they will be on a mission to contest every board and prove/develop a style that can beat "big" teams. That is what interests me most about this game, Miami can't constantly lose because of these areas - namely rebounding. I also like the fact that Chalmers was hot against Sac Town, he is a confidence guy. The key for Miami if I was coaching would be to get Bron/Wade to pound it inside and put Jeff/Milsap into foul trouble.
Clips +2.5 / ML (centrebet special)
Tough call but I think the Clippers could be the play here. I feel like Memphis have a really average bench, especially offensively meanwhile the Clippers sport one of the most menacing benches with high scoring potential. Apparently Rudy Gay is also out for this game but I won't speculate I feel the Clippers are the play regardless. I think LA have the bigs to deal with Zbo/Gasol and certainly have more fire power on the wings and back court. Coming off an embarrassing loss to the Magic I have to believe the Clippers will be coming into Memphis fired up and keen to get back on the winning train with a win over a conference rival...
Wizards -2.5
Yes they are the Wizards which is always a painful experience for any backer, however John Wall returning brings some energy and buzz to the team, they looked great against ATL in their rare win the other day. I also think this is a really good let down spot for Orlando who have been playing really good ball lately.
Hawks +4
Hawks are a tough team to cap as they are so up and down but I think they have the goods over Chicago who are just terrible at home for whatever reason. It's tough to back the Hawks because you don't know what team you are goin to get. The Josh Smith going inside and pounding the glass or the Josh Smith turn around jumper brick. Regardless I think Teague and Harris will carve up the defense and prove to be a big task, Williams and Korver on the wings will also do damage.Comment -
I can't find a solid pick tommorow it's just 50/50 too much. I don't trust Atlanta at all but what I have noticed is with them they come to play against the well respected teams and lose to the shit team eg cavs wiz etc. heat are just so hard to get a judge on atm but you would think they would like carry momentum Into Utah. Utah at home are very hard to beat and the issue for the heat is definantly there rebounding. I like what Bosch is doing atm scoring wise, tough game to call.
And the wiz v magic just 2 junk teams lol but I do like the wiz tommorow if they had John wall from the start of the seasonthey would have won more then 5 games remember they have played 5 games of ot with 2 double ot's and if they had wall they would have pinched a couple. Wiz took nets to double ot then beat okc and now beat Atlanta all at home. And I think they match up well against em.
Look at New Orleans young team won a few games in a row by carrying momentum at home I think the wiz can do the sameComment -
Great write-ups mate.
You make some very valid points, and while I'm staying away from the game I wouldn't back the Clippers based on them coming off an embarrassing loss because you could argue that the Grizzlies loss was just as embarrassing. Mavs are better than the Magic admittedly, but they got smoked and will be fired up at home.Comment -
Heat -2.5 (2.5x)Comment -
Memphis lost to Dallas, because of clear look ahead to Clippers. Yes, the same Clippers that won them in the playoffs, beating them in Game 7 in Memphis.
Would never bet against playoff revenge, doesn't matter who plays and who isn't and what is the outcome of the game...Comment -
I cant believe it - I am against you on all 4 plays ,,,,
good luck wither wayComment -
you do know CP3 is out for the griz game?Comment -
Adding (0.5x) to Heat -2.5 is now (3x)
Hawks +4.5 (1x)
Wolves +7 (1x)
Clippers +4.5 (1x)
Clippers ML centrebet special (1x)Comment -
Suns +5.5 (1.5x)Comment -
Cavs +6 (1x)Comment -
Heat 2nd half -6 (1x)
Not sure what I see in the Heat they are awful but following my gut.Comment -
3-1-4 for -3units
Same old story with the Heat, absolutely burned. Lucky I got a unit back on the second half play.
NBA RECORD 148-9-131 +21 UnitsComment -
I think the heat owe at least 15xComment -
I really like the Rockets tomorrow, with or without Paul I feel the Clippers will be stretched here. Centrebet special on the Rockets ML should be a good bet as they are more than capable of 100 points. I also lean the 76ers here, I think they can comfortably beat the Hornets.
Looking at a ML parlay too with the Lakers and Nets. Just putting more work into looking at the nets game...they are very inconsistent but Dwill appears to be playing well this past week or two. Maybe throw Denver into that parlay too.Comment -
I think rockets can definantly get to 100pts so it's nearly a free bet I like 76ers and I like the nets I have been watching Toronto a little bit lately and they get alot of the pts inside and I think nets bigs will too much for em. I also like Portland game over they have shot 35% the last 2 games they won't do that 3 games in a row against a Denver team that love to push the ball.Comment -
Realdeal, PM me your centrebet acct number. I'm gonna sign up to get on the rockets so I will put you down as refer a friend if you want.Comment -
Actually, looks like their refer a friend is different to sportsbet. You need to sign in to centerbet and click refer a friend and enter my email address and they will send me a sign up link, then you'll get the freebet.
I want to try and lock the Rockets in before I go to bed about midnight so if you can flick it through before then I'll refer you.
Sweet.Comment -
Rockets ML (2x) centrebet special (2u to win 1.3u)Comment -
Lakers 1Q -2 (1x)
Lakers 1H -3 (1x)
Lakers -6 (1x)Comment -
Love the centrebet promo, no units lost. Lets go lakers.Comment -
Good job on Lakers TRD, great day for the followers
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2 Push is better than 2 losses
you're still doing a great job!!Last edited by humble; 01-16-13, 02:42 AM.Comment -
2 wins and 2 pushes for the day to be up +2 units, i'll take it.
NBA RECORD 150-11-131 +23 UnitsComment -
I thought the maximum for that centrebet special was 100$ that correct?Comment -
TRD has been banned for 1 week. Not sure why? Don't worry lads he'll be back with a shitload of winners in about a week from now...Comment -
Damn they are getting very strict around here....What did he do?Comment
