NBA Season Thread With Matchup Analysis

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  • MexicanStallion
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-08
    • 20429

    #1296
    Originally posted by Goat Milk
    PLAY 136: DALLAS -3 -120 RISK $120

    PLAY 137: DALLAS ML/LAKERS ML PARLAY Risk $120 to win $115
    January 1st
    1-1 (-
    $20.00)


    NBA Season
    75-57-5 (
    $2415.25)

    Moneylines: 12-3 ($1017.50)
    Parlays: 9-4
    ($990.00)

    Spreads: 26-19 ($673.00)
    Props: 11-6-1 ($221.00)
    Totals: 1-1
    ($45.00)
    Halves: 13-13-2 (-$25.00)
    Alt. Spreads: 2-4-1 (
    -$81.25)

    Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
    TT: 2-5-1
    (-$265.00)

    Comment
    • Goat Milk
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-24-10
      • 25850

      #1297
      play 138: D-will OVER 16.5 points -120 (Heritage) Risk $60 for 50

      Williams playing OKC where he has played great throughout his entire career. Earlier this year, I bet on this very same prop with the Nets at home and D Will dropped 30+. Westbrook is really playing aggressively on the defensive end this year and it's pretty obvious he is a much better defender than he was last year (as everyone seems to be after playing with Bryant in the olympics).

      However, he is definitely gambling a lot more and that'll give D will some easy lanes imo. D will is not the kind of guy you want to gamble around. Too quick with the ball. Look for him to be a lot more assertive tonight after a poor game against the Spurs last time out. I think Will drops 25.
      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
      Comment
      • Goat Milk
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-24-10
        • 25850

        #1298
        PLAY 139: CLIPPERS -120 RISK $120 TO WIN $100

        Clips off a loss in Denver and most assume they'll have tired legs coming into tonight but it's still early in the season and B2B doesn't mean as much. Still a tad concerned which is why it's only a small play but I like the Clips to make some adjustments tonight on the offensive end. Paul will most definitely pick him his tenacity on both ends. I think the Clips lost to GS a few weeks back but GS played very well if I remember right. GS has been playign great ball under Jackson this year and I expect that to continue throughout this season but a guy like Paul can really disrupt this entire team by himself if he plays aggressively. He's been hounding PGs lately on this win streak and teams have struggled to really get into their offensive sets quickly because of his ball pressure. If that's an issue tonight, GS will definitely struggle to move the ball and will end up in a lot of iso sets at the end of the shock clock. Griffin should be too much for Lee tonight. He's played against him a few times by now. I expect Griffin to study the tape and look for areas where he can be dominant, specifically off the dribble imo. Griffin doesn't really get too many isos in the faceup but come on you got to give him the ball against Lee who's pretty slow footed defensively. Curry is gonna be forced to shoot a lot of deep jumpers tonight. Guy is butter but he's gonna have to work for it tonight for sure, I can guarantee that. With Jack and Landry off the bench, you'll probably have a guy like Bledsoe trying to guard Jack at times. Should be an interesting matchup but Bledsoe is a lot more athletic and can definitely force Jack to play in uncomfortable spots (like the post, which he's not accustomed to). The Warriors don't really have anyone that can guard Crawford besides maybe Harrison Barnes and I'm not even sure that he can. That's what the Warriors are missing. One really good perimeter defender. Landry could be a problem for the Clipps but let's hope he just has an off game.
        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
        Comment
        • JM92
          SBR MVP
          • 01-27-12
          • 1140

          #1299
          Just a warning on the fatigue factor... the clippers last night were missing a lot of easy jumpers. sometimes its just that way, but most of them it means tired legs. specially for such a good shooting team.
          Comment
          • Goat Milk
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-24-10
            • 25850

            #1300
            Originally posted by JM92
            Just a warning on the fatigue factor... the clippers last night were missing a lot of easy jumpers. sometimes its just that way, but most of them it means tired legs. specially for such a good shooting team.
            good observation. there's been ice baths and a good amount of rest though in between. clippers will be ready. fatigue won't be an issue tonight. i've always thougth denver is the best home court in the nba so i don't look at it closely when teams lose there.
            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
            Comment
            • davopnz
              SBR MVP
              • 02-12-12
              • 1736

              #1301
              do you like the celts tonight?
              Comment
              • JM92
                SBR MVP
                • 01-27-12
                • 1140

                #1302
                Originally posted by Goat Milk
                good observation. there's been ice baths and a good amount of rest though in between. clippers will be ready. fatigue won't be an issue tonight. i've always thougth denver is the best home court in the nba so i don't look at it closely when teams lose there.
                its just that the only quarter where you could say the clippers played badly was the last one. other than that I would say the nuggets actually got somewhat lucky with the shots missed and the 50/50s going their way sometimes. I also believe the clippers win tonight though. Bledsoe will smother jack and Landry wont have a game like he did the first time around.
                Comment
                • Goat Milk
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-24-10
                  • 25850

                  #1303
                  Originally posted by davopnz
                  do you like the celts tonight?
                  tough call. i really don't know. i'm not gonna bet on boston anymore til after the all-star break when I know they're actually trying.
                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                  Comment
                  • Goat Milk
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-24-10
                    • 25850

                    #1304
                    PLAY 140: CLIPPERS -4 -115 2ND HALF. RISK $115 FOR 1

                    Man Curry is straight butter tonight even from 30 feet out. One of the best shooters in the game. With him shooting like this Paul is gonna half to pick him up at halfcourt at least. I expect him to make the adjustment. Basketball IQ. This is what I would do if I were playing and I think Paul will somewhat disrupt him in the 2nd half. GS is getting all their looks off Curry thus far. Ball movement has been good but they have been sloppy with the ball. Expect some more fast break points from the Clippers in the 2nd half and for Paul to put his imprint on this 2nd half. Maybe close to double digit dimes in the 2nd half.
                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                    Comment
                    • MexicanStallion
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-08-08
                      • 20429

                      #1305
                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                      play 138: D-will OVER 16.5 points -120 (Heritage) Risk $60 for 50
                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                      PLAY 139: CLIPPERS -120 RISK $120 TO WIN $100
                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                      PLAY 140: CLIPPERS -4 -115 2ND HALF. RISK $115 FOR 1

                      January 2nd
                      1-2 (
                      -$185.00)


                      NBA Season
                      76-59-5 (
                      $2230.25)

                      Parlays: 9-4
                      ($990.00)

                      Moneylines: 12-4 (
                      $897.50)

                      Spreads: 26-19 ($673.00)
                      Props: 12-6-1 ($271.00)
                      Totals: 1-1
                      ($45.00)
                      Alt. Spreads: 2-4-1 (
                      -$81.25)

                      Halves: 13-14-2 (
                      -$140.00)
                      Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
                      TT: 2-5-1
                      (-$265.00)

                      Comment
                      • PAULYPOKER
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-06-08
                        • 36581

                        #1306
                        Goat got rusty from taking a rest
                        Comment
                        • Goat Milk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 25850

                          #1307
                          PLAY 141: LAKERS +5 -115 RISK $115 TO WIN $100

                          Lakers have struggled guarding the pick and roll this year and their fast break d has been bad as well but this is a home game so the line doesn't make sense to me. Clipps were awful last night. CP3 will have a solid game tonight imo but you're definitely going to see Artest guard CP3 at times in this game and Bryant perhaps in critical situtations in the 4th quarter. Paul will be doing a lot of running on the defensive end, chasing Nash around and you don't want to gamble like he does when you guard a player like Nash because you're not gonna steal the ball from him more than once probably.

                          Bryant will drop 35 tonight. Clipps are still not as good as they will be when they get Hill and Billups back, two guys that can guard Bryant better than anyone on the team right now. Gasol has always struggled guarding face-up PFs like Griffin so that could be a problem as well.
                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                          Comment
                          • bjb7223
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-03-12
                            • 10349

                            #1308
                            what happened to goat?
                            Comment
                            • strybie
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-08-08
                              • 588

                              #1309
                              Originally posted by bjb7223
                              what happened to goat?
                              good question ...
                              Comment
                              • Goat Milk
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-24-10
                                • 25850

                                #1310
                                PLAY 142: LAKERS -5 -110 RISK $110 TO WIN $100

                                PLAY 143: LAKERS ML -200 Risk $400 to win $200
                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                Comment
                                • davopnz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-12-12
                                  • 1736

                                  #1311
                                  why lakers? denver smoked them last time, lakers still look mud
                                  Comment
                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-06-08
                                    • 36581

                                    #1312
                                    Focus Goat FOCUS!

                                    Comment
                                    • Goat Milk
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-24-10
                                      • 25850

                                      #1313
                                      Originally posted by davopnz
                                      why lakers? denver smoked them last time, lakers still look mud
                                      Last game was in Denver. Lakers were playing on a B2B. Denver is the hardest place to play in the NBA imo. Lakers are starting to realize the severity of their situation. They are getting near desperation mode. Nash is meshing well now with Bryant you can see. I don't want to get into the matchups but I think Denver will struggle to guard Nash and Gasol in this game.
                                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                      Comment
                                      • ShogunRua
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-23-09
                                        • 4668

                                        #1314
                                        revenge game, denver on a 3 in 4 playing on the road. I like the play
                                        Comment
                                        • davopnz
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-12-12
                                          • 1736

                                          #1315
                                          i just wasn't impressed with what i saw against the clips...until late in the game + its as square as can be. do you like the over?(square as well)

                                          like the suns to beat the overrated mud grizzlies.
                                          Comment
                                          • vinny808
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-27-09
                                            • 588

                                            #1316
                                            Ty Lawson burned them last time which is the reason why the Lakers lost also. He is injured and is averaging 20 minutes per game recently.
                                            Comment
                                            • 757sFinest
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-23-10
                                              • 885

                                              #1317
                                              Square this, square that. You guys crack me up. I forget sometimes that posters on SBR are sharp as a fuggin razor. Always makes for good laughs though. GL to all.
                                              Comment
                                              • Goat Milk
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-24-10
                                                • 25850

                                                #1318
                                                Originally posted by davopnz
                                                i just wasn't impressed with what i saw against the clips...until late in the game + its as square as can be. do you like the over?(square as well)

                                                like the suns to beat the overrated mud grizzlies.
                                                not sure about the over. there's no such thing as a square play. there's only sharp players and square players. gl.
                                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                Comment
                                                • davopnz
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-12-12
                                                  • 1736

                                                  #1319
                                                  any thoughts on phoenix?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Goat Milk
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                    • 25850

                                                    #1320
                                                    Not sure. Grizz off a bad loss and the type of game where Rudy Gay can pretty much impose his will on Dudley or anyone else in the lineup after letting his team down yet again the previous game. If you're Gentry you got to start Scola here as Ranoldph has exposed Morris down low previously. With that being said, I'm not sure what Gentry would do and I think if he were to start scola that the Suns can cover and I think it'll be a close game. However, I'm not really sure man and I don't want to give you advice on something I'm not sure about which results in you losing. I don't like when people follow my advice and then lose. Not a good feeling.
                                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                    Comment
                                                    • davopnz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-12-12
                                                      • 1736

                                                      #1321
                                                      lakers still mud, might be time to blacklist them
                                                      Comment
                                                      • goldengreek
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-25-07
                                                        • 8340

                                                        #1322
                                                        Here come the BURIAL

                                                        FADE this loser the rest of the season
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MexicanStallion
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-08-08
                                                          • 20429

                                                          #1323
                                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                          PLAY 141: LAKERS +5 -115 RISK $115 TO WIN $100
                                                          January 4th
                                                          0-0-1 (
                                                          -$00.00)


                                                          NBA Season
                                                          76-59-6 (
                                                          $2230.25)

                                                          Parlays: 9-4
                                                          ($990.00)

                                                          Moneylines: 12-4 (
                                                          $897.50)

                                                          Spreads: 25-19-1 ($673.00)
                                                          Props: 12-6-1 ($271.00)
                                                          Totals: 1-1
                                                          ($45.00)
                                                          Alt. Spreads: 2-4-1 (
                                                          -$81.25)

                                                          Halves: 13-14-2 (
                                                          -$140.00)
                                                          Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
                                                          TT: 2-5-1
                                                          (-$265.00)

                                                          Last edited by MexicanStallion; 01-07-13, 01:57 AM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MexicanStallion
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-08-08
                                                            • 20429

                                                            #1324
                                                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                            PLAY 142: LAKERS -5 -110 RISK $110 TO WIN $100

                                                            PLAY 143: LAKERS ML -200 Risk $400 to win $200

                                                            January 6th

                                                            0-2 (
                                                            -$510.00)


                                                            NBA Season
                                                            76-61-6 (
                                                            $1720.25)

                                                            Parlays: 9-4
                                                            ($990.00)

                                                            Spreads: 25-20-1 ($563.00)
                                                            Moneylines: 12-5 ($497.50)
                                                            Props: 12-6-1 ($271.00)
                                                            Totals: 1-1
                                                            ($45.00)
                                                            Alt. Spreads: 2-4-1 (
                                                            -$81.25)

                                                            Halves: 13-14-2 (
                                                            -$140.00)
                                                            Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
                                                            TT: 2-5-1
                                                            (-$265.00)


                                                            *2013 2-5-1 (-$715.00)*
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Goat Milk
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-24-10
                                                              • 25850

                                                              #1325
                                                              first big play of the season.

                                                              Play 144: Lakers +7 -110 risk $770 to win $700

                                                              play 145: Lakers ml +265 risk $100 to win $265

                                                              got to go work I'll write something later for this play. I know Gasol and Howard are out.
                                                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                              Comment
                                                              • daimoshokage
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-07-11
                                                                • 8935

                                                                #1326
                                                                Originally posted by goldengreek
                                                                Here come the BURIAL

                                                                FADE this loser the rest of the season
                                                                Originally posted by MexicanStallion

                                                                January 6th

                                                                0-2 (
                                                                -$510.00)

                                                                Comment
                                                                • cboogie
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-23-12
                                                                  • 568

                                                                  #1327
                                                                  is goat a laker fan? i always see him take them.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JR007
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-21-10
                                                                    • 5279

                                                                    #1328
                                                                    hey, Mexi, sure you are giving your plays to goat ???
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • goldengreek
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-25-07
                                                                      • 8340

                                                                      #1329
                                                                      Originally posted by cboogie
                                                                      is goat a laker fan? i always see him take them.

                                                                      He takes the same teams all the time:

                                                                      Miami
                                                                      Lakers
                                                                      Boston
                                                                      Denver
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • The Architect
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 12-15-09
                                                                        • 587

                                                                        #1330
                                                                        Originally posted by goldengreek
                                                                        He takes the same teams all the time:

                                                                        Miami
                                                                        Lakers
                                                                        Boston
                                                                        Denver
                                                                        There's literally nothing wrong with doing this..

                                                                        Goat, as for your lakers bet...You got a bad number dude, its 8.5 now. But i think the Lakers SHOULD cover here...but honestly, this team is so disjointed its really hard to back them at this point until some promise is shown..They completely crapped out against denver the other night, they completely lost all rhythm when Nash was out of the game, and their "shooters" (i.e. meeks, artest, jamison) are not even close to being reliable and consistent from outside. Really tough to back them here, I might make a small wager on the total. BOL to you.
                                                                        Comment
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