Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

**usfunca** · 11-08-12, 07:32 PM

Loving it sando. Del Potro just dismantled Tipsarevic today. Great call. Go Thunder!

**grim259** · 11-08-12, 09:03 PM

I use Bovada, the odds moved to .95 like you said, that's what I took.

**mrw914** · 11-08-12, 10:47 PM

Great call on both picks today. Keep up the good work!

**ohumad** · 11-08-12, 10:48 PM

DURANT clutch as a mofo! Had -3 OKC. Great job on the picks man especially tennis.

**therealdealau** · 11-08-12, 10:49 PM

cash it mate, cheers durantula

**nosaij** · 11-08-12, 11:41 PM

5-0 TODAY SANDO!

**sando** · 11-09-12, 12:01 AM

Ok so i'll be thr first to admit my analysis was a bit off the mark today, Westbrook wasn't the key and apart from dishing some nice dimes, he was off with his shot selection and touch especially from long range. It was actually the big Spaniard Ibaka who carried the team until durantula took over in the 4th with a little help from his offsider Westbrook who finally came alive. Noah as predicted was a beast down low but it was actually Pommie Deng who picked up the slack and more than held his own against the OKC forwards. All in all another great day and now I can relax and watch the Clippers tear Portland a new A-hole before even thinking about the tennis tonight.

NBA
1-0 today +2.17 Units

Tennis
4-0 today +5.65 Units
9-0 last 3 days

Tennis YTD 30-19-4 (+24.37 Units)

NBA YTD 18-8-2 (+13.86 Units)

**biggedge** · 11-09-12, 12:12 AM

Great job, man.

**Semper Fidelis** · 11-09-12, 12:13 AM

Great job again Sando! You're certainly on fire right now! As for tennis tomorrow, I was leaning Murray in straights and maybe the under? I'm thinking he should take care of Tsonga pretty easily considering how they've both been playing. Looking forward to your write ups!

**SlickRick1382** · 11-09-12, 01:32 AM

Sando,

Are you going to have a play on the 8:45am (ET) game or just the later game? Just trying to see when I need to get back on to check your thread since I'm calling it a night soon....

Cheers and thanks for all you do

**sando** · 11-09-12, 02:59 AM

Originally posted by SlickRick1382

Sando,

Are you going to have a play on the 8:45am (ET) game or just the later game? Just trying to see when I need to get back on to check your thread since I'm calling it a night soon....

Cheers and thanks for all you do

More interested in the early game mate, at the moment leeaning towards over 22 but nothing definite, sorry to mess up your sleep patterns haha. Hopefully have something in about an hour...

**SlickRick1382** · 11-09-12, 04:22 AM

Originally posted by sando

More interested in the early game mate, at the moment leeaning towards over 22 but nothing definite, sorry to mess up your sleep patterns haha. Hopefully have something in about an hour...

Mate, no need to ever apologize. What you do for us is more than we can ask for. Ou provide some great analysis and winners to share for the board and we all appreciate that immensly

Either I wake up or I miss the play, some sacrifices also have to be made on my part if I want to tail

**sando** · 11-09-12, 04:26 AM

ATP World Tour Finals

Djokovic v Berdych

Berdych +1.5 sets +132 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Berdych +4 games +111 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Over 22 -106 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Analysis -
Why split the plays up like this and "get all fancy"? This way we cover ourselves for a larger % of possible outcomes. If Berdych wins a set, which he certainly can do (in fact he took the 1st set in this exact match up a year ago) then 2 of the bets cash straight away and the third looks great to cash. If Berdych go's down in straight sets in a tight match (7-6 6-4) then we still go 2-1 for a nice little profit. Djokovic only has to win 1 set to qualify for the semi's and while he plays to win every single match he competes in, he clearly has different levels of intensity that he plays at. Berdych is just outside the "big 4" in the second set of 4 elite players consisting of himself, Ferrer, Del Potro (and Soderling)and on his day can play with and beat anyone. I do not expect him to win this match, but I feel Djokovic will go out hard to win the first set (ensuring he qualify's for the semis) and after that may ease of the gas enough to allow Berdych right back into the match. I believe Berdych can win a set or at least hold to 6 once forcing a breaker and greatly increasing the chances of the over and the +4 cashing. Remember Berdych has a great serve and the heaviest ground shots of all the elite players, so although Nole is the world's best return of serve, a switched on Berdych with his first serve firing (it has been decent so far, 15 Aces to 2 DF's and 84% average first serve points won, including 85% against Murray who is also an excellent return of serve) should be able to hold serve to 6 games in at least 1 set. Berdych has taken a set of Djokovic in 3 of the last 4 matches.

**SlickRick1382** · 11-09-12, 04:32 AM

Don't have the +1.5 sets but assuming taking djokovic not 2-0 for +150 is the same or better?

**sando** · 11-09-12, 04:43 AM

Originally posted by SlickRick1382

Don't have the +1.5 sets but assuming taking djokovic not 2-0 for +150 is the same or better?

yes exactly the same, except with much nicer odds. What book you using mate?

**joe1122** · 11-09-12, 04:59 AM

Originally posted by SlickRick1382

Don't have the +1.5 sets but assuming taking djokovic not 2-0 for +150 is the same or better?

Same with my book so I took total sets ,3 sets @2.90, I just hope it is not a 2-0 match

**Goat Milk** · 11-09-12, 06:25 AM

gl buddy i'm on the over too.

man, you are on straight FIRE in tennis.

**freshguy222** · 11-09-12, 07:56 AM

good write-up, however i disagree when you say +4 cashes if berdych wins the first set, i love dog handicaps of +3 to +4 and it happens so often that they get blown out of the water the next two sets when the other player is on another level

**Duff85** · 11-09-12, 08:00 AM

Originally posted by freshguy222

good write-up, however i disagree when you say +4 cashes if berdych wins the first set, i love dog handicaps of +3 to +4 and it happens so often that they get blown out of the water the next two sets when the other player is on another level

You end up often anti-sweating your own player late in the second, so they don't leave it open to getting blown out in the third.

**sando** · 11-09-12, 08:36 AM

Originally posted by freshguy222

good write-up, however i disagree when you say +4 cashes if berdych wins the first set, i love dog handicaps of +3 to +4 and it happens so often that they get blown out of the water the next two sets when the other player is on another level

You mis-read it mate, I said the over and the +1.5 would cash and we would be in a great spot with the +4.

**Frisco** · 11-09-12, 09:51 AM

Joker on his game today.

**KidSeoul** · 11-09-12, 10:02 AM

Sando - any opinion on the Tsonga/Murray match? I'm thinking that Tsonga +385 is some seriously good value.

**sando** · 11-09-12, 10:22 AM

Originally posted by KidSeoul

Sando - any opinion on the Tsonga/Murray match? I'm thinking that Tsonga +385 is some seriously good value.

I've watched both Tsonga's matches and haven't been impressed with his erratic play, he looked brilliant early against Djoker and then faded hard. His shot selection this tournament has been rather poor, attempting off balance winners from the edges. He needs to study some tape of Ferrer playing and work on his footwork and balance to take the next step in my humble opinion. Like Murray 2-0 but don't like the price.

Berdych bets looking shaky boys, our 9-0 run is in big trouble ATM, fingers crossed...

**Semper Fidelis** · 11-09-12, 10:38 AM

Sando do you think Tsonga has any chance of keeping it close or even possibly taking a set? I'm just scared that Murray may come out flat like he does at times. Any way he loses 10 or more games to Tsonga?

**Frisco** · 11-09-12, 10:43 AM

Man Bird winning this set would be huge.

**smandur** · 11-09-12, 10:50 AM

I think we will see tb, small hope

**Inovated** · 11-09-12, 10:58 AM

the over is looking Good fellas

**Frisco** · 11-09-12, 10:59 AM

Beautiful shot by Berdych

**CollegePro** · 11-09-12, 11:08 AM

better luck on next game sando!

**sando** · 11-09-12, 11:10 AM

Wow 3 set points wasted, so sick, sorry boys. Got some solid NBA picks coming, still confident of a + unit day.

**Dmoneytx** · 11-09-12, 11:14 AM

Tough loses on those 3 plays this morning Sando! I have a really good parlay that will bail me out I think bec I had Birdy +4.5 games. Hate losing by 0.5 games, arg! Also thinking that there is no way that BOTH matches today will cover 5 games. Tsonga knows that if he wins today, then 3 players in that group will be 1-2. Hmmmmmmm. I think Tsonga comes out to win today & we could see a close match actually. Hoping the +4.5 on the next match hits and the parlay is my profit today. Good luck tonight in NBA, might tail a few plays

**Inovated** · 11-09-12, 11:21 AM

wow Birdie choked... so close

**sando** · 11-09-12, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by Semper Fidelis

Sando do you think Tsonga has any chance of keeping it close or even possibly taking a set? I'm just scared that Murray may come out flat like he does at times. Any way he loses 10 or more games to Tsonga?

This is a tricky spot here mate was originally leaning Murray 2-0 but now he only needs to win 1 set to qualify for the semi's, also surprisingly if Wonga wins in 2 sets he will amazingly finish second in the group behind djokovic so there is no doubt Tsonga will go hard at least for the 1st set. There very well may be some value in Tsonga, not sure yet.

**sando** · 11-09-12, 11:39 AM

NBA

Utah @ Denver
Nuggets -5.5 -112 (Pinnacle) 2.5x

Dallas @ NY
Knicks -6 -106 (Pinnacle) 2x

Philli @ Boston
76ers +5 -105 (Pinnacle) 1.5x
76ers m/l +180 (Pinnacle) 0.5x

Detroit @ OKC
Thunder -11.5 -107 (Pinnacle) 2x

Indiana @ Minnesota
Pacers m/l +113 (Pinnacle) 1x

Cleveland @ Phoenix
Suns -4 -103 (Pinnacle) 1.5x

Totals

Cleveland @ Phoenix
Over 200 -111 (Pinnacle) 2x

Golden State @ LA Lakers
Under 195 -105 (Pinnacle) 1x

Charlotte @ New Orleans
Over 181 -114 (Pinnacle) 1x

Utah @ Denver
Under 202 -108 (Pinnacle) 1x

**wizcodlifa** · 11-09-12, 12:17 PM

Any write-ups on the nbagames?