Modelling Question

[That Guy]

What's more reliable for models - last 6 games from previous season or all of the pre-season games or both?

Most cappers I know completely junk the pre-season as being irrelevant, however I read yesterday that the books use a combo of last 6 regular season games & pre-season stats.

[accuscoresucks]

i normally will not even bet a full unit in nba till they around 9-11 games.
pre season pass no way

[That Guy]

i normally will not even bet a full unit in nba till they around 9-11 games.
pre season pass no way

Thanks for the heads up.. waiting till you get enough data probably the smart idea

[bleek88]

GO FEVER!@@!@!@!

[Wojo]

If you are going to consider preseason games, you have to know what the coaches' motivation is.

To blindly use them for capping is not very wise.

Also, to use last year's final six games blindly is ignorant. If it was Golden State, they were trying to lose. If it was Dallas, it is a different team.

Look at the difference between last year's team and this years.

Just my opinion.