How do YOU handicap basketball?

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    How do YOU handicap basketball?
    Share your routine, in as few, or many words as possible when approaching a slate of NBA games.
  • I.R.B
    SBR MVP
    • 08-12-08
    • 3209

    #2
    Crazy you seem like a good capper..
    Comment
    • pico
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-05-07
      • 27321

      #3
      bet the team with the most healthy, tall black people
      Comment
      • SBR Lou
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 08-02-07
        • 37863

        #4
        Originally posted by I.R.B
        Crazy you seem like a good capper..


        I have my moments but plenty sharper cats around here worth giving a look.
        Comment
        • mundane
          SBR MVP
          • 02-25-08
          • 3592

          #5
          (stat) numbers, injuries, history and trends!
          Comment
          • Wilforth
            Restricted User
            • 05-10-08
            • 16309

            #6
            trends, current form, motivation, head-to-head stats
            Comment
            • tab
              SBR MVP
              • 10-15-07
              • 1106

              #7
              team totals

              I like playing team totals in the 1st quarter. So far this season I am 4-0 on team total over/unders in the 1st quarter.
              Comment
              • SBR Lou
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-02-07
                • 37863

                #8
                Originally posted by tab
                I like playing team totals in the 1st quarter. So far this season I am 4-0 on team total over/unders in the 1st quarter.
                So much can happen over the course of 4 quarters, NBA is so streaky, so much so that I also prefer quarters and halves, and generally find them to be more profitable.
                Comment
                • tab
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-15-07
                  • 1106

                  #9
                  1st quarter team totals

                  You can count your winnings in about 35 minutes after tipoff. You do not have to spend 2 hours hoping and praying that you win.
                  Comment
                  • strictlywinners
                    Restricted User
                    • 07-17-07
                    • 3377

                    #10
                    Don't listen to Tab he is absolutely insane. He definitely has made a deal with the devil, has a crystal ball or has some kind of time machine. This guy is never wrong on 1st quarter totals. I don't know how he does it, capping the 1st quarter espcially a total is nearly impossible but somehow he does it and he is never wrong. You are a freak Tab.
                    Comment
                    • Shark79
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-19-07
                      • 11211

                      #11
                      gut feeling.
                      Comment
                      • I.R.B
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-12-08
                        • 3209

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Shark79
                        gut feeling.
                        This is my answer also.. Knowing the game is you're best tool to capping Bball & Injurys.. But no offence to the others but Stats, Trends, ect.. ect.. really dont play to much in me capping games. Watching the games knowing the players the teams & coachs will do you best when Capping/Picking plays.
                        Comment
                        • etothep
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-14-07
                          • 1299

                          #13
                          I typically only bet NCAA bball. I usually play a 2 team parlay (both unc & dook MLs) & then even if the bet loses, I still win
                          Comment
                          • SportsLockPicks
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-03-07
                            • 3386

                            #14
                            defense, man to man matchups, days rest, home court, (no trends)
                            Comment
                            • SportsLockPicks
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-03-07
                              • 3386

                              #15
                              bench play
                              Comment
                              • nick2060
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-28-08
                                • 1051

                                #16
                                yea i dont like using trends cuz i feel their typically caused by the teams makeup from past years which might change, see spurs for example lol. Man to man matchups and how the teams playing are always good tools. Homecourt advantage and how well teams play on the road or at home
                                Comment
                                • gm2022
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-28-08
                                  • 4128

                                  #17
                                  Flip a coin
                                  Comment
                                  • krk1030
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-13-08
                                    • 17610

                                    #18
                                    In college more so than NBA.

                                    MATCHUPS
                                    Comment
                                    • SportsLockPicks
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-03-07
                                      • 3386

                                      #19
                                      oh, and how many white guys start for them...i fade white boys in the NBA..not a rule in college tho..cause sometimes those princeton boys can ball
                                      Comment
                                      • ManOfValue
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-29-08
                                        • 1437

                                        #20
                                        I have my own power ratings that I use to make NBA lines , been doing it for almost 7 years...I come up with a number , then I adjust it based on Off vs Off and def vs def for both teams..I also tweak the numbers based on injuries and days without/with rest.I look at matchups where strong division teams face weak ones and so on...
                                        I compare my refined line to whats on the market and make my decisions..

                                        I almost never lay double digit favs..
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Look at last few outs only and go from there
                                          Comment
                                          • accuscoresucks
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-03-07
                                            • 7160

                                            #22
                                            evey stat,and model in every way shape and form to make my own line/then compare to the books line to come up with a preceived edge
                                            Comment
                                            • brandizzy33
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-06-08
                                              • 137

                                              #23
                                              back in action baby!

                                              Brandizzy33 is back for all those at covers lets hit these games even harder since they think they got rid of me.

                                              Posted NBA record 26-10 72%!


                                              will post the plays in a bit
                                              Comment
                                              • hoopster42
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-12-08
                                                • 6099

                                                #24
                                                try to predict which team will have more energy

                                                look at which team has had more days off recently, and which team has travelled less

                                                home court advantage is also huge in basketball because of shooting sight lines, etc
                                                Comment
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