WATKINS GLEN--5mike5

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  • Vegas39
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-22-11
    • 30686

    #36
    Originally posted by 5mike5
    no way...

    he will be 3rd or 4th favorite imo

    no way hes above smoke and ambrose

    I say 3rd
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 52006

      #37
      Originally posted by Vegas39
      I say 3rd
      and that would be VERY overrated...VERY

      hs not that good here at all

      many more than 2 have 10x the chance gordon does
      Comment
      • Vegas39
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-22-11
        • 30686

        #38
        Originally posted by 5mike5
        sonoma by far the worst imo...

        WAY too slow and absolutley NO action
        I think both would be better than current cup road courses but just my opinion
        Comment
        • 5mike5
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-21-11
          • 52006

          #39
          everybody still thinks GORDON is some master road course driver

          hes not, especially at the Glen

          he was elite when drivers/teams sisnt even prepared for road courses

          he shouldnt even be top 5 rated price wise, but he will be
          Comment
          • Vegas39
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 09-22-11
            • 30686

            #40
            Originally posted by 5mike5
            and that would be VERY overrated...VERY

            hs not that good here at all

            many more than 2 have 10x the chance gordon does
            Yes but he still has 4 wins but nine since 2001. Plus the momentum factor
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 52006

              #41
              Originally posted by Vegas39
              Yes but he still has 4 wins but nine since 2001. Plus the momentum factor



              best finish of 9th in last 10 or 11 years....

              hes average at best at the glen

              a win bet is a complete waste of $$$$ at price he will be at....(imo anyway)
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 52006

                #42
                ill be fading gordon in H2H this week so i hope they overreact in prices!

                Comment
                • Vegas39
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 09-22-11
                  • 30686

                  #43
                  Originally posted by 5mike5
                  ill be fading gordon in H2H this week so i hope they overreact in prices!


                  May not be a bad plan as prices will be over inflated. I only meant be shocked if most books don't have him as 3rd fave
                  Comment
                  • 5mike5
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-21-11
                    • 52006

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Vegas39
                    May not be a bad plan as prices will be over inflated. I only meant be shocked if most books don't have him as 3rd fave
                    oh i agree, gordon, JPM, and kyle will be 3, 4, 5
                    Comment
                    • Vegas39
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 09-22-11
                      • 30686

                      #45
                      Originally posted by 5mike5
                      oh i agree, gordon, JPM, and kyle will be 3, 4, 5
                      You don't think JJ same price or better than Kyle ?
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 52006

                        #46
                        not sure, but it shouldnt be imo

                        kyle very good here, only finished outside the top 10 1 single time, his rookie season

                        plus hes won here

                        but they always over price jimmy, so could be around same price
                        Comment
                        • Vegas39
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-22-11
                          • 30686

                          #47
                          Originally posted by 5mike5
                          not sure, but it shouldnt be imo

                          kyle very good here, only finished outside the top 10 1 single time, his rookie season

                          plus hes won here

                          but they always over price jimmy, so could be around same price
                          Was thinking same about JJ over pricing
                          Comment
                          • shaunovery
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-15-07
                            • 18143

                            #48
                            Gordon's avg finish the last 7 yrs here at the glen is 17.9 so he's not a factor for me this week
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 52006

                              #49
                              Originally posted by 5mike5
                              best finish of 9th in last 10 or 11 years....

                              hes average at best at the glen

                              a win bet is a complete waste of $$$$ at price he will be at....(imo anyway)
                              exactly

                              but, avg.finish can be a VERY decieving stat, 1 i never use...and even though he has wrecked, its not really that far off of how ordinary gordon has been here

                              9th being is best finish in last 10 races just says it all...not even 1 single good finish
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 52006

                                #50
                                here are the greek openers:

                                Click image for larger version

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                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 52006

                                  #51
                                  actually be interesting to see how much better 5D opens at on a few of these

                                  may make the differnce on 1-2 of them for me, especially since im only taking 3 drivers probably to win this week, and focusing on H2H matchups to go big on

                                  **but i wont say much on that til they come out
                                  Comment
                                  • yisman
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 09-01-08
                                    • 75682

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by 5mike5
                                    stewart and ambrose are definatley biggest threats to win the race

                                    too bad theres no way in hell u can bet both and make any money
                                    I don't see why not.
                                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                    [/quote]

                                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                    Comment
                                    • 5mike5
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-21-11
                                      • 52006

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by yisman
                                      I don't see why not.
                                      well of course u can now that theres odds to see...no odds werent out yet when i posted that

                                      was basing on previous opening prices, which were much lower than these

                                      Comment
                                      • shaunovery
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-15-07
                                        • 18143

                                        #54
                                        Why are people falling over themselves to back ambrose ( someone who has only ever won 1 time )
                                        Comment
                                        • yisman
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-01-08
                                          • 75682

                                          #55
                                          even in previous road races, I don't think there was ever a time when two guys were favored by so much that you couldn't turn a profit by backing both

                                          Not saying it's advisable, just that it's possible.
                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                          [/quote]

                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                          Comment
                                          • 5mike5
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-21-11
                                            • 52006

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by shaunovery
                                            Why are people falling over themselves to back ambrose ( someone who has only ever won 1 time )
                                            hes raced 4 times here and finished top 3 everytime with 1 win, and hes there everytime

                                            btw: whos falling all over themselves?
                                            Comment
                                            • 5mike5
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-21-11
                                              • 52006

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by yisman
                                              even in previous road races, I don't think there was ever a time when two guys were favored by so much that you couldn't turn a profit by backing both

                                              Not saying it's advisable, just that it's possible.
                                              maybe if its ur only 2 plays, and ur wanting to squeak out a profit...but i have the numbers, and u wouldnt win much at all if u took more than those 2 to win in a few road courses in the past...those odds are better than past years

                                              guess it all just depends how much money u risk and want to win
                                              Comment
                                              • yisman
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-01-08
                                                • 75682

                                                #58
                                                you wouldn't win big, but the shortest you see is maybe one guy at +200 and another at +250

                                                put $100 on both and you'd either profit $100 or $150

                                                unless you're betting at DSI/Bookmaker. Then you might not make much of anything :P
                                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                [/quote]

                                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 52006

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by yisman
                                                  you wouldn't win big, but the shortest you see is maybe one guy at +200 and another at +250

                                                  put $100 on both and you'd either profit $100 or $150

                                                  unless you're betting at DSI/Bookmaker. Then you might not make much of anything :P
                                                  yes ur right, if those were only 2 u were betting to win....

                                                  is DSI that bad on nascar odds yis??

                                                  think ive heard u mention b4
                                                  Comment
                                                  • onlooker
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 08-10-05
                                                    • 36572

                                                    #60
                                                    Yisman. Read this:
                                                    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


                                                    I got suspended from the sportsbook for 2 day for running, and deducted 10 points.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5mike5
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                      • 52006

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by onlooker
                                                      Yisman. Read this:
                                                      Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


                                                      I got suspended from the sportsbook for 2 day for running, and deducted 10 points.
                                                      that say just for same households, ghost accounts, ect right onlooker??

                                                      what yis asks isnt illegal right or am i missing something?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • yisman
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-01-08
                                                        • 75682

                                                        #62
                                                        they edited the rules to forbid runners just recently. shari was saying she asked for it.



                                                        mike, it now is against the rules to ask someone to bet for you.
                                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                        [/quote]

                                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 52006

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by yisman
                                                          they edited the rules to forbid runners just recently. shari was saying she asked for it.



                                                          mike, it now is against the rules to ask someone to bet for you.
                                                          well that blows..

                                                          especially for guys that dont mind to help out friends on here, and the OPs like u it helps win...

                                                          whats next?? illegal to loan pts too?

                                                          geeez
                                                          Comment
                                                          • yisman
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-01-08
                                                            • 75682

                                                            #64


                                                            Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


                                                            Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                            yes ur right, if those were only 2 u were betting to win....

                                                            is DSI that bad on nascar odds yis??

                                                            think ive heard u mention b4
                                                            the worst. DSI/Bookmaker on field with 3+ choices offer horrible prices. I've posted some examples in the past.
                                                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                            [/quote]

                                                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                            Comment
                                                            • onlooker
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 08-10-05
                                                              • 36572

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by yisman
                                                              they edited the rules to forbid runners just recently. shari was saying she asked for it.



                                                              mike, it now is against the rules to ask someone to bet for you.
                                                              Thanks for the heads up bud.

                                                              I wish they would of let us know when they slipped that edit in. If I knew, I wouldn't of did it.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 52006

                                                                #66
                                                                im going to open and fund a 2nd book when football starts, but need nascar to be at least good for H2H plays (high limits) there too

                                                                suggestions? heritage or bookmaker?

                                                                i do NOT take bonuses so that doesnt matter
                                                                Comment
                                                                • yisman
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-01-08
                                                                  • 75682

                                                                  #67
                                                                  onlooker, there was nothing I could do

                                                                  Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                                  im going to open and fund a 2nd book when football starts, but need nascar to be at least good for H2H plays there too

                                                                  suggestions? heritage or bookmaker?
                                                                  Heritage. Similar prices on hth to 5 dimes.

                                                                  not as good on the to win but still a lot better than Bookmaker.
                                                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                  [/quote]

                                                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 52006

                                                                    #68
                                                                    ok thanks for the advice
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Reno Paul
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-11-10
                                                                      • 1647

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                                      im going to open and fund a 2nd book when football starts, but need nascar to be at least good for H2H plays (high limits) there too

                                                                      suggestions? heritage or bookmaker?

                                                                      i do NOT take bonuses so that doesnt matter
                                                                      BetOnline, sportbetting.ag, 1vice
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 5mike5
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                                        • 52006

                                                                        #70
                                                                        ODDS ARE POSTED guys
                                                                        Comment
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