Sprint Cup Heluva Good! Sour Cream Dips at the Glen

hawk 5 · 08-10-11, 06:59 AM

He puts it on the pole it will get much shorter.

MysteryMung · 08-10-11, 02:09 PM

Not the biggest fan of road weekends, but at least the glen has a higher avg speed than Infineon. I took Ambrose during both road races earlier in the season - I think I'll wait to see how he qualifies.

For now however, I will take a winless Smoke for 1 unit @ +650. What I do know is that he has finished either 1st or 2nd in SIX of the last SEVEN races at the Glenn, with the exception of last year's 7th place finish. Hopefully he'll be in contention till the end again this year.

MysteryMung · 08-10-11, 02:22 PM

Also fellas, unrelated but to anyone who knows, does SBR usually always post weekly race odds in the sportsbook - or is it only sometimes? Otherwise, might have to go with member book to bet the races with points. Thanks

onlooker · 08-10-11, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by MysteryMung

Also fellas, unrelated but to anyone who knows, does SBR usually always post weekly race odds in the sportsbook - or is it only sometimes? Otherwise, might have to go with member book to bet the races with points. Thanks

They usually post them before qualifying and take them down when it starts. Never putting them back up afterwards.

Maybe today or tomorrow they might go up.

MysteryMung · 08-10-11, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by onlooker

They usually post them before qualifying and take them down when it starts. Never putting them back up afterwards.

Maybe today or tomorrow they might go up.

Cool brother, thanks

Inkwell77 · 08-11-11, 03:09 AM

I'm thinking Kahne and Jimmie are worth a shot

Godsmack · 08-11-11, 05:07 AM

marcos may be a good fade in matchups

hawk 5 · 08-11-11, 06:34 AM

Ambrose is tough to bet on and tough to stay away from.

MysteryMung · 08-11-11, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by hawk 5

Ambrose is tough to bet on and tough to stay away from.

lol exactly. egg-zactly

hawk 5 · 08-12-11, 06:42 AM

Ambrose +450, Stewart +700.

Optional · 08-12-11, 06:46 AM

Kurt Busch has moved in a fair bit.

Marcos Ambrose +450
Kurt Busch +600
Tony Stewart +650
Juan Pablo Montoya +850
Kyle Busch +850
Jeff Gordon +850
Jimmie Johnson +950
Kevin Harvick +1100
Carl Edwards +1500
Denn Hamlin +2200
Jamie McMurray +2700
Robby Gordon +2700
Ryan Newman +3300
Kasey Kahne +3300
Boris Said +3300
Clint Bowyer +4500
A.J. Allmendinger +4500
Greg Biffle +5500
Paul Menard +5500
Joey Logano +5500

rickie65 · 08-12-11, 08:52 AM

if you're ever gonna put $ on Juan Pablo en Fuego (my name for him after seeing him catch fire right in front of me at his 1st Homestead race) this is probably the week.

I like AJ as this years next 1st time winner here at +4500 too.

Optional · 08-12-11, 09:24 AM

AJ was very strong last year.

MysteryMung · 08-12-11, 03:14 PM

Originally posted by Optional

AJ was very strong last year.

Nice - I sprinkled a little half unit on AJ and also on Truex Jr for my longshot guys.

Took Smoke at +650 for 1 Unit
Ambrose +450 for 1 unit

That's all I could do before the lines got taken down at the books. Odds this week are tough, so many I want to choose but it would be a lot at risk to break even in many scenarios. Hopefully we get some changes after qualifying.

Optional · 08-12-11, 04:13 PM

Think I'll mostly play head to heads this week.

hawk 5 · 08-13-11, 06:24 AM

Originally posted by rickie65

if you're ever gonna put $ on Juan Pablo en Fuego (my name for him after seeing him catch fire right in front of me at his 1st Homestead race) this is probably the week.

I like AJ as this years next 1st time winner here at +4500 too.

AJ was damn good. Something happened at the end to screw it up. See what he comes out at after qualifying.

hawk 5 · 08-13-11, 06:31 AM

Originally posted by Optional

Which way do you guys think Ambrose's odds might move? He couldn't get much shorter could he? May as well wait for now if betting on him?

5Dimes says;

Marcos Ambrose +475
Tony Stewart +650
Juan Pablo Montoya +850
Kyle Busch +850
Kurt Busch +850
Jeff Gordon +900
Jimmie Johnson +975
Kevin Harvick +1100
Carl Edwards +1400
Denn Hamlin +2200
Jamie McMurray +2700
Robby Gordon +2700
Ryan Newman +3300
Kasey Kahne +3300
Boris Said +3300
Clint Bowyer +4000
A.J. Allmendinger +4500
Greg Biffle +5500
Paul Menard +5500
Joey Logano +5500

Although have to admit it's starting to feel like it's throwing good money after bad the way he manages to lose every Cup road race up until now...

Ambroes down to +275. On the other hand you can get Stewart for + 825

hawk 5 · 08-13-11, 06:38 AM

Originally posted by hawk 5

Ambrose +450, Stewart +700.

Adding AJ for 10$ at +4300 and Kyle at +1000 from DSI this morning. That's it for me, gl all.

Optional · 08-13-11, 07:07 AM

Originally posted by hawk 5

Ambroes down to +275. On the other hand you can get Stewart for + 825

Stewart should be even higher. His car looks horrible. He has been saying it is out of balance, but it looks much worse than a setup tuning issue to me. Watch his front splitter mid corner and on exit (when he is off brakes) and you can clearly see it gets higher off the track than the fast cars, and at a significant angle to the track. (like the very slowest ones)

Will not only kill his speed and ability to pass. It will ruin his tires which will give him zero hope at the end of the race.

Think I'm going to jump on the AJ bandwagon for a little. Still like Gordo and Denny to do well too.

WolverineFan · 08-13-11, 09:02 AM

Hey Opti u been watchin n e Nationwide stuff...Mayb if u get time u can take a look at matchups I have

Optional · 08-13-11, 09:39 AM

Sure. Planning on having a bet. Watching quali now.

WolverineFan · 08-13-11, 11:57 AM

Here r matchups sorry so late

22-18 60-5 33-7 20-2 6-31 16-66 38-32 88-30 11-09

Optional · 08-13-11, 12:38 PM

22-18 Kyle was way better better than the rest of the field (apart from Kurt), but Kurt's car just looked awesome in both practice and quali. Toss up.
60-5 Carl over Fellows
33-7 Menard over JJ
20-2 Logano's car looked great on the track despite average quali effort. Plus I'd bet against Elliot's luck. Toss up.
6-31 Think I would take Allgaiers experience over Stenhouse here.
16-66 Bayne. Bank on Steve Wallace doing something stupid.

(although 66 car looked good)
38-32 Leffler a lock. His car look GREAT plus Sorrenson will play it safe for points for sure.
88-30 Didn't notice much about either.
11-09 toss up.

WolverineFan · 08-13-11, 12:47 PM

thanks my friend...gl 2day!!!

Optional · 08-13-11, 12:54 PM

Same to you!

I went with Kurt to win and Sadler to beat Jimmie.

WolverineFan · 08-13-11, 03:28 PM

good hit on kurt..what happened to the 38..he was ahead of 32 by 4 spots on restart and lost that h2h..went from 450 to 150 winning that was my biggest bet but still a pretty good day on the plus so i can be ahead going into sunday...i appreciate ur thoughts on these nationwide race

WolverineFan · 08-13-11, 03:30 PM

oh i just seen on the post race show what happened...he got spun out by his teammate...dang that was so close to bringing home a big payday

Optional · 08-13-11, 03:40 PM

Yeah, sorry about the 'lock' missing. They both had issues/bad luck that threw it up in the air as well. Jimmie ran much better than expected at the end too. Was pretty close otherwise though.

I did ok but missed a biggish pay with Sadler not doing the job for me. (was partly luck as expected, so can't cry going against myself)

WolverineFan · 08-13-11, 04:28 PM

no problem..i appreciate all input i can get..we was on same page on just about all of em and i had a pretty good payday and i appreciate it...i love having a cushion going n 2 sunday and i love betting road tracks cause how they run n practice is usually a tell tell sign on how there going to run cause they dony have many chances to work on car during race

Optional · 08-13-11, 04:42 PM

Agree. Think if the car is trash at the start of the weekend it's difficult to improve too.

And yeah, Nationwide/Truck races have been more consistent for profit than Cup for me this year. Especially recently.

Good to have someone else that is interested in it posting.

DDT · 08-13-11, 08:12 PM

I think Ambrose will have a good shot at it tomorrow, however the JPM +850 is really tempting....

Optional · 08-13-11, 08:26 PM

These are the only +odds matchups I like on 5D so far.

8508 Jimmie Johnson #48* +120 vs Juan Pablo Montoya #42
8526 Carl Edwards #99* +130 vs Juan Pablo Montoya #42
8531 Joey Logano #20* +120 vs Martin Truex Jr #56
8534 Matt Kenseth #17* +100 vs Mark Martin #5

Group bet leans

Sprint Cup Motor Racing HGSCD at the Glen - Best Finish of Group E : Jeff Gordon +290
Kurt Busch, Gordon, Harvick, McMurray, Said

Sprint Cup Motor Racing HGSCD at the Glen - Best Finish of Group F : A.J. Allmendinger +225
Allmendinger, Bowyer, Kahne, Logano, Newman

Looking forward to seeing their over/under options this week.

MysteryMung · 08-13-11, 11:30 PM

took kurt over harvick for -160 at 5d for 5 units

avssakic · 08-14-11, 06:01 AM

should be interesting tomorrow