Nationwide: Kroger 200

Optional · 07-29-11, 05:36 PM

Brad and Carl look badly under-priced to me.

Brad K has a fairly poor record here. Never qualified well and only managed a top 5 once in 4 starts (4th). Carl has a decent record, but in terms of average results there are several in the field who have done better.

Bayne took pole in the Waltrip Toyota last 2 years, finishing 4th and 7th for the best average finisher in the field at 5.5. You'd think he has a chance to better that in Roush equipment this time.

Reed Sorrenson is right behind him with a 5.8... with a 2nd, 3rd, 5th and a pole in his last 3 outings here.

Austin Dillon looks like the next best thing since sliced bread on the way up... so can't overlook him totally. Particularly if he qualis well.

And although he hasn't raced here in over a decade, Sadler comes in with 2 consecutive 2nds on his record at IRP/ORP/LOR.

That market as posted has 100% over round built into it btw! I feel like we are being treated a bit like suckers on some of these race markets recently.

Godsmack · 07-30-11, 05:55 AM

A little chalky. But I like carl over brad matchup

MysteryMung · 07-30-11, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by Optional

Brad and Carl look badly under-priced to me.

Brad K has a fairly poor record here. Never qualified well and only managed a top 5 once in 4 starts (4th). Carl has a decent record, but in terms of average results there are several in the field who have done better.

Bayne took pole in the Waltrip Toyota last 2 years, finishing 4th and 7th for the best average finisher in the field at 5.5. You'd think he has a chance to better that in Roush equipment this time.

Reed Sorrenson is right behind him with a 5.8... with a 2nd, 3rd, 5th and a pole in his last 3 outings here.

Austin Dillon looks like the next best thing since sliced bread on the way up... so can't overlook him totally. Particularly if he qualis well.

And although he hasn't raced here in over a decade, Sadler comes in with 2 consecutive 2nds on his record at IRP/ORP/LOR.

That market as posted has 100% over round built into it btw! I feel like we are being treated a bit like suckers on some of these race markets recently.

Thanks for your informative posts. Overround has been horrendous you're right, it's a crapshoot - oh the degenerate in me.

watching qualifying now, going to post some plays shortly

WolverineFan · 07-30-11, 04:27 PM

Hey Opti what u think of these matchups

6-60 38-22 33-31 16-18 11-09 62-66 32-88 20-30

Thanks

avssakic · 07-30-11, 05:49 PM

Dillion and bayne for the win and both them over stenhouse for matchups

Optional · 07-30-11, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by avssakic

Dillion and bayne for the win and both them over stenhouse for matchups

With ya Avs.

7/30/11 7:30pm Nationwide Motor Racing 2636 Trevor Bayne +140* vs Ricky Stenhouse Jr
7/30/11 7:30pm Nationwide Motor Racing 2639 Reed Sorenson +120* vs Aric Almirola

parlayed for +428

And half unit on Bayne to win it +1050

Optional · 07-30-11, 06:24 PM

Originally posted by WolverineFan

Hey Opti what u think of these matchups

6-60 38-22 33-31 16-18 11-09 62-66 32-88 20-30

Thanks

I've had the flu and missed everything that has happened today WF... just waking up for race (Sunday morning here)

I'd really just be guessing wildly. Will have a go again next race.

Optional · 07-30-11, 06:46 PM

Just realized McDowell is in the #18 car here... should be a big chance too.

Like McD a lot.

theMARTY · 07-30-11, 11:07 PM

Wild finish to the Nationwide, wow.