Sepang Formula 1 race

davus4 · 04-09-11, 06:11 AM

if those are to win the race this weekend i would put equal amounts into Webber +580, Button +1000, and Hamilton +580 .. which is an average of +230 for the trio. my book doesn't offer anything F1 except for driver and constructors championship though.

how did you get these odds and when are they usually posted?
I see that my book has Malaysian GP listed (how exciting!) but it has been blank the last few times i've checked in the last 3 days.

Optional · 04-09-11, 06:42 AM

Agree about the Webber/Button/Hamilton mix. But I didn't think the price on those 3 would change much even if they qualified well, and would drift big time if they didn't, so only wanted Schu and Alonso early.

I don't know of any book with F1 prices up right now, so maybe they will appear at your book soon.

Those prices were from Betfair

http://sports.betfair.com/?rfr=7132&sid=10&ex=1&mi=102581548&suid=3013

Vettel looks to have had them all in hand all along anyway after quali.

Here's the post quali market

Sebastian Vettel +116
Lewis Hamilton +370
Mark Webber +680
Jenson Button +800
Fernando Alonso +2500
Michael Schumacher +8500
Nico Rosberg +10000
Felipe Massa +17000
Vitaly Petrov +11000
Nick Heidfeld +10000
Rubens Barrichello +30000
Kamui Kobayashi +35000
Sergio Perez Mendoza +21000
Adrian Sutil +41000
Paul di Resta +41000
Jaime Alguersuari +50000
Sebastien Buemi +36000
Pastor Maldonado +60000

sideloaded · 04-09-11, 08:42 AM

Locked in Vettel when the lines came up at 11/10. Hedged with hamilton at 4/1.

Optional · 04-09-11, 09:03 AM

Vettel/Hamilton and Vettel/Webber for first/second for +264

davus4 · 04-09-11, 05:48 PM

finally, got some driver matchups and some Malaysian win odds available but that's it. i wish my book had 20 different options like pinnacle. hey, you are pretty confident that Vettel will win tomorrow! he's pretty good but winning a race is pretty hard. Even though RBR have won back to back multiple times last year. i just saw this bet option on pinnacle:
Sun 4/10
Will S. Vettel win 2011 Malaysian Grand Prix? 01:00 AM
Yes 2.090 No 1.833
..and i thought the logical bet is actually No. the odds of anybody else winning tomorrow are actually much better than (1.833= -120, i think?) So many factors can lead to someone else winning. If i were in the situation where my fate were dependent on a bet and i had to shove all-in on something.. it would be this No bet. hehe

i am only halfway with watching the qualifying though. (and, judging from the post-qualifying odds, i think i know how it turns out

)

still, good luck w/ Vettel!

Optional · 04-09-11, 08:44 PM

Yeah agree with that logic. Particularly with rain forecast looking more and more like it's going to hit right on green flag time.

sportscash · 04-10-11, 02:06 AM

I am thinking about going small on Mclaren to win at +200 i am probably wrong though.Any thoughts ?

Optional · 04-10-11, 02:29 AM

I'd probably just take Hamilton instead of McLaren personally. Button will only win with lots of luck.

sportscash · 04-10-11, 02:31 AM

Originally posted by Optional

I'd probably just take Hamilton instead of McLaren personally. Button will only win with lots of luck.

Ok thanks and good luck with the race.

Optional · 04-10-11, 02:54 AM

GL to you too.

My biggest bet is on a >10 second winning margin.

Optional · 04-10-11, 05:06 AM

Well that was a total washout for me.

Not a bad race at least.

sideloaded · 04-10-11, 10:27 AM

GREAT RACE unlike nascar that race sucked giant donkey balls.