Sprint Cup 2010 - Emory Healthcare 500 - Atlanta

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  • Optional
    Administrator
    • 06-10-10
    • 61502

    #1
    Sprint Cup 2010 - Emory Healthcare 500 - Atlanta
    Time for a Hendrick resurgence, to peak for the chase?
    .
  • hawk 5
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-06
    • 3982

    #2
    Maybe. Like Kahne at +1200 and Kurt at +810. Will add 2 more.
    Comment
    • Ch3fDan
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-02-10
      • 305

      #3
      Got to love Kurt this week.
      Comment
      • your pixel army
        Restricted User
        • 12-15-09
        • 454

        #4
        Martin needs a Hendrick resurgence.
        Comment
        • avssakic
          SBR MVP
          • 12-12-07
          • 1795

          #5
          Like the busch brothers...
          Comment
          • Optional
            Administrator
            • 06-10-10
            • 61502

            #6
            Love the market this week. JJ fave at +700, and everyone apart from Kurt better than +1000, is juicy.
            .
            Comment
            • Optional
              Administrator
              • 06-10-10
              • 61502

              #7
              Haven't done my stats yet, but I usually like to check out who the bwin linesmaker has tight on opening lines. This week it's Gordon and Hamlin, and they're easy on Johnson and Bowyer. A little under the market on Martin and Junior too.
              .
              Comment
              • Optional
                Administrator
                • 06-10-10
                • 61502

                #8
                Here is a list of the drivers who have better qualifying and race results at Atlanta than their career average. First number is how much better they qualify and second is how much better their results are.

                Dale Earnhardt Jr. -10% -29%
                Kasey Kahne -30% -12%
                Jimmie Johnson -23% -9%
                Greg Biffle -18% -9%
                Juan PabloMontoya -12% -9%
                David Gilliland -10% -7%
                Bobby Labonte -3% -4%
                Reed Sorenson -12% -3%
                Elliott Sadler -19% -2%


                But I'm leaning toward Harvick or Gordon at this stage.
                .
                Comment
                • Jay Price
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 07-10-10
                  • 284

                  #9
                  I like the following prices: Biffle +1300, Harvick +1200, and Stewart +1300

                  Gonna place 0.5 unit on each.

                  I have a bad feeling I'm going to hit this race hard...two-week break has left me in withdrawal.
                  Comment
                  • SaviorTebow
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 07-20-10
                    • 219

                    #10
                    Biffle 13-1 is solid. Will check back in with my official picks later.
                    Comment
                    • Ch3fDan
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-02-10
                      • 305

                      #11
                      SaviorTebow? I don't even know what to say to that.
                      Comment
                      • Optional
                        Administrator
                        • 06-10-10
                        • 61502

                        #12
                        Kurt Busch +1000 (.5x) Just because the offer price was so good on Betfair.


                        I was looking for Harvick and Junior to do well here, but they both looked horrible in 1st practice.

                        Might have a half unit on Reutimann too, if I can get near the +4000 I see some places.
                        .
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 61502

                          #13
                          Hamlin +1000
                          Kahne +1200
                          Reutimann +3000 (.5x)

                          Good luck everyone. Shaping up to be a good race.
                          .
                          Comment
                          • Optional
                            Administrator
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 61502

                            #14
                            Here's my final ratings for the race. WR = rating out of 100. IO = Implied Odds from rating. AO = current Pinny odds. OR = points difference. Edg = % difference.
                            .
                            Comment
                            • hawk 5
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-12-06
                              • 3982

                              #15
                              Adding Hamlin +740 and Jimmie at +630. gl all
                              Comment
                              • Optional
                                Administrator
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 61502

                                #16
                                Added Kyle Busch top 3 -111

                                not sure why now. Its a shitty price.
                                .
                                Comment
                                • Optional
                                  Administrator
                                  • 06-10-10
                                  • 61502

                                  #17
                                  Harvick and Montoya are looking good as they cut through the field. Hamlin still looking like the man to beat though imho.
                                  .
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