CIRCUIT OF THE AMERICAS (All 3 series)---

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51813

    #1
    CIRCUIT OF THE AMERICAS (All 3 series)---
    Alright fellas we are going back road course racing this weekend for the 1st ever NASCAR event at Circuit Of The Americas (COTA) in Austin, Texas.. This should be a really fun racetrack and something totally different than we are use to seeing. They are using the 3.41 mile "long" course" for all 3 series. We will also have a unique schedule for this weekend because we will be having some practice sessions and regular old school qualifying since the drivers have never races here before. All the races and practices will be televised on FS1 this weekend. On Friday, we will have Xfinity and Truck series practice televised at 3 and 4pm. On Saturday we will have Cup series practice in the morning, followed by a lower series DOUBLE HEADER of races! The Truck race will be at 1pm followed up by the Xfinity series race at 4pm. On Sunday the Cup drivers will Qualify at 11am followed up by the Cup race at 2:30pm.


    Besides the usual Cup guys that are really strong on all the road courses it is really hard to tell what to expect heading into a new racetrack...The Win the race market posted this morning and looks about what I expected on most just have to see how it moves before the weekend gets here...Probably gonna focus on the finishing position and props early. Been on a long winning streak now so hopefully we can pull another one out of the hat this weekend to keep it going ...Everybody's picks and opinions welcomed! Lets get it!!!! GOOD LUCK!!!!!


  • unlearn
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-22-14
    • 8980

    #2
    I'll get this party started with a couple of F1 bets:

    Obligatory Bottas FP1+350 .5 unit
    Dan podium+600 .5 unit
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 51813

      #3
      Originally posted by unlearn
      I'll get this party started with a couple of F1 bets:

      Obligatory Bottas FP1+350 .5 unit
      Dan podium+600 .5 unit
      Opti likes Dan to perform well here also. OBV will get these in for some action just not sure how yet
      Comment
      • BigJay
        SBR MVP
        • 01-14-12
        • 3485

        #4
        Will NASCAR run in the Rain at COTA?

        Right now, forecast says about 70-90 percent chance this weekend.
        Comment
        • unlearn
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-22-14
          • 8980

          #5
          Originally posted by BigJay
          Will NASCAR run in the Rain at COTA?

          Right now, forecast says about 70-90 percent chance this weekend.
          Yeah like any road course they'll have rain tires for all 3 series
          Comment
          • kjack25
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-07-19
            • 707

            #6
            Will probably parlay Cindric and Chase this weekend. I guess the guy driving the #51 in trucks ran the Daytona 24 hour race with Kyle Busch so he might be worth a flier. I’ll join the F1 guys and bet Bottas fastest in the first practice.
            Comment
            • unlearn
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-22-14
              • 8980

              #7
              Originally posted by kjack25
              Will probably parlay Cindric and Chase this weekend. I guess the guy driving the #51 in trucks ran the Daytona 24 hour race with Kyle Busch so he might be worth a flier. I’ll join the F1 guys and bet Bottas fastest in the first practice.
              Kyle, Harvick, Reddick, A Dillon and Custer are on the XF entry list although Kyle the only one in top equipment.
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 51813

                #8
                Hopefully we get some prop markets and the lower series odds today sometime. I need to go ahead and tail Bottas P1 again before I forget
                Comment
                • BigJay
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-14-12
                  • 3485

                  #9
                  Bookmaker doesn’t have Cup lines up as of late Wednesday afternoon
                  Comment
                  • infotimbo
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-24-18
                    • 837

                    #10
                    FP1 in Monaco is usually way more contested than elsewhere, not sure the "Bottas always takes it" pattern is enough to find some value here. Good luck, though, nonetheless there's still a decent chance of course
                    Comment
                    • Optional
                      Administrator
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 60706

                      #11
                      Originally posted by infotimbo
                      FP1 in Monaco is usually way more contested than elsewhere, not sure the "Bottas always takes it" pattern is enough to find some value here. Good luck, though, nonetheless there's still a decent chance of course
                      Agree this is true.

                      But he has been so good on green circuits last year and again this year, I think we have to keep taking the +350 every race whilst the books keep offering it.

                      Who are the 3½ drivers likely to beat him even if all things are equal? Lewis, Max... maybe Perez only makes 2½


                      That said I have split my P1 bet this week Bottas +350, Ricciardo +4000 and Top 3 +500

                      Also Dan +12500 for pole and +4100 for Front Row start.


                      Monaco often has a unexpected fastest lap winner as well. McLaren +2500 and Alpha Tauri +4000 both seem great +EV odds to me. I'll also be taking a few larger longshots like Kimi, Vettel, Russell, Alonso, Ocon and maybe Stroll once I see their grid positions and how they practice.
                      .
                      Comment
                      • infotimbo
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-24-18
                        • 837

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Optional
                        Agree this is true. But he has been so good on green circuits last year and again this year, I think we have to keep taking the +350 every race whilst the books keep offering it.
                        Who are the 3½ drivers likely to beat him even if all things are equal? Lewis, Max... maybe Perez only makes 2½
                        yeah, for sure, I just don't really expect the usual FP1 advantage Mercedes has (otherwise mainly due to approaching the practice sessions differently), and added with a somewhat subpar car/driver for this track, I struggle to see him really taking it today.
                        Personally I see Ferrari in the mix all weekend, btw, but odds on Leclerc for FP1 aren't really great either
                        Comment
                        • unlearn
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-22-14
                          • 8980

                          #13
                          Checo breaks the Bottas streak. Was bound to happen
                          Comment
                          • Optional
                            Administrator
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 60706

                            #14
                            Originally posted by infotimbo
                            Personally I see Ferrari in the mix all weekend, btw, but odds on Leclerc for FP1 aren't really great either
                            Good call
                            .
                            Comment
                            • kjack25
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-07-19
                              • 707

                              #15
                              Looks like Bovada is waiting till the end of the week to post nascar odds. I’ve only checked about 100 times in the last 4 days.

                              Do you guys think Ferrari will have enough speed in the race to contend for the win? I’m sure their odds won’t be as good after practice 2.
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 51813

                                #16
                                Originally posted by kjack25
                                Looks like Bovada is waiting till the end of the week to post nascar odds. I’ve only checked about 100 times in the last 4 days.

                                Do you guys think Ferrari will have enough speed in the race to contend for the win? I’m sure their odds won’t be as good after practice 2.
                                I'd be checking constantly also. Lol. Strange how they always change when they post and what they offer.
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 51813

                                  #17
                                  Looked over the Group market for Cup last night. Liked a couple but think my fav is Suarez (+300) > Buescher, Marty D, and Briscoe. Top 5 he's obv long shot also @1200 maybe also a dart for me

                                  Also think I'm grabbing Kyle B. at +1400 For Cup. He really has knack for running great and winning at new racetracks. Already won at Daytona RC earlier this year also. 4 time road winner. Plus read he's turned laps here already in other style cars. Plus he's racing Xfinity. Anyways I like the value so leaning taking him pre race.

                                  Tough tough weekend with so many unknowns
                                  Last edited by 5mike5; 05-20-21, 10:02 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • unlearn
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-22-14
                                    • 8980

                                    #18
                                    This is how Bovada used to operate when there was qualifying. You wouldnt get odds until race day
                                    Comment
                                    • 5mike5
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-21-11
                                      • 51813

                                      #19
                                      just looking for some long shot stuff

                                      McDowell Top Ford (+1800)....pretty big odds for a good road racer to beat other fords
                                      McDowell/Matty D (+800) top Ford maybe better actually


                                      Suarez>Almirola (-115) singing to me


                                      Logano top Ford
                                      Truex top Yota
                                      Byron top Chevy
                                      (100-1)......seems like a fun 20 ball...got some crazy pre selected parlays offered....cant make them urself tho
                                      Last edited by 5mike5; 05-20-21, 11:14 AM.
                                      Comment
                                      • kjack25
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 07-07-19
                                        • 707

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by unlearn
                                        This is how Bovada used to operate when there was qualifying. You wouldnt get odds until race day
                                        It seems like they do this with INDYCAR. I never see odds until after they qualify. I think it’s ridiculous. They post F1 odds at least 1 week in advance. Then they pull the odds during every practice and repost right after it’s done. They should do the same with Nascar.
                                        Comment
                                        • unlearn
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-22-14
                                          • 8980

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by kjack25
                                          It seems like they do this with INDYCAR. I never see odds until after they qualify. I think it’s ridiculous. They post F1 odds at least 1 week in advance. Then they pull the odds during every practice and repost right after it’s done. They should do the same with Nascar.
                                          Odds are up at BOL for xf and cup. Still no trucks
                                          Comment
                                          • kjack25
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-07-19
                                            • 707

                                            #22
                                            Kyle Busch +1200
                                            Larson +1500
                                            Byron +1500
                                            Cindric +2200

                                            Chase +200 and Truex +425 on Bovada. Hope those get better by this weekend.
                                            Comment
                                            • kjack25
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 07-07-19
                                              • 707

                                              #23
                                              Interesting numbers in Xfinity with Cindric, AJ and Kyle all under +500. I might take a chance with Harvick. I think Stewart Haas will provide the car for him to drive. I don’t think he would waste his time driving a clunker.
                                              Comment
                                              • 5mike5
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 51813

                                                #24
                                                I Only took #18 at (+1400) so far but will add a few more plays before sessions. Just not many for the W early
                                                Comment
                                                • unlearn
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-22-14
                                                  • 8980

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by kjack25
                                                  Interesting numbers in Xfinity with Cindric, AJ and Kyle all under +500. I might take a chance with Harvick. I think Stewart Haas will provide the car for him to drive. I don’t think he would waste his time driving a clunker.
                                                  Hes on the entry list for BJ McLeod racing
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 5mike5
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                    • 51813

                                                    #26
                                                    Harvick is just gonna use Xfinity as learning experience imo..

                                                    really debating him on the top 3/5 market for cup early
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kjack25
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 07-07-19
                                                      • 707

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by unlearn
                                                      Hes on the entry list for BJ McLeod racing
                                                      I know he’s driving for McLeod I just expect Stewart Haas to provide/help with the car. The sponsor Rush is one that used to sponsor Bowyer in Cup and the car is a Ford and from checking McLeod’s Twitter usually the 5 is a Chevy.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Optional
                                                        Administrator
                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                        • 60706

                                                        #28
                                                        Xfinity race is going to be tough to bet. But looks like it could be fun to watch.

                                                        JHN seems the true fave in trucks?
                                                        .
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 51813

                                                          #29
                                                          Liking Kaz Grala top 3 (+400) odds haven't decided how I'll use it. Not sure about winner obv parlay jhn if use him
                                                          Comment
                                                          • unlearn
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-22-14
                                                            • 8980

                                                            #30
                                                            JHN/Elliott parlay seems obvious
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 60706

                                                              #31
                                                              NASCAR Odds Up in SBR Book

                                                              Betting will close when qualifying starts for each series and odds will NOT be re-posted after qualifying.



                                                              1. NASCAR Trucks: Odds to Win Trucks Toyota Tundra 225 - 5/22/21- 9AM ET.
                                                              2. NASCAR XFinity : Odds to Win Xfinity Pit Boss 250 - 5/22/21- 11AM ET
                                                              3. Nascar CUP Series: Odds to Win EchoPark Texas Grand Prix -5/22/21 - 10:35AM ET


                                                              Monaco F1 Grand Prix odds will be posted on Saturday afternoon.
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 51813

                                                                #32
                                                                Went ahead and grabbed Suarez (+300) wins Group > Briscoe, matt D, and Buescher.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 5mike5
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                                  • 51813

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Harvick (+1800)..

                                                                  I went ahead and grabbed because do not think these odds will last....Kinda the same reasoning I grabbed #18 early already....Ishould be easy to make a few bucks on even if i cash it out later...

                                                                  also Top 5 (+230) to at least my card on Sunday
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 51813

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Mixed parlay:

                                                                    Rhodes>Menard (Trucks)
                                                                    Haley>Custer (xfinity)
                                                                    Elliott wins the Cup race
                                                                    (+1029)

                                                                    figured id try a H2H from each lower race with Elliott for Cup...Had a parlay boost i needed to use..prob try a couple parlays this week...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dapperandy
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-05-11
                                                                      • 180

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Do you guys think books will offer betting on SRX? I’m not holding my breath on Bovada doing so.
                                                                      Comment
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