DAYTONA ROAD COURSE (All 3 series)--

5mike5 · 08-10-20, 02:12 PM

Odds will post up soon but I'm not very optimistic. Guessing every decent road racer for cup be single digits prob. Which would be terrible. Hoping I'm wrong.

5mike5 · 08-10-20, 02:12 PM

We also start using the new starting lineup formula this weekend

kjack25 · 08-11-20, 10:01 AM

Chase and Truex at +385. Holding off and hoping those get better. Took Kyle at +770 last night.

5mike5 · 08-11-20, 10:11 AM

Odds adjusted a little bit. Truex 550 now

rickie65 · 08-11-20, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by 5mike5

We also start using the new starting lineup formula this weekend

Didn’t know about that...what’s the change?

infotimbo · 08-11-20, 12:38 PM

Originally posted by rickie65

Didn’t know about that...what’s the change?

no draw anymore, but the starting lineups will be determined based on a formula involving three factors: most recent race finish (50%), position in the owner standings (35%) and fastest lap rank in the previous race (15%), with the owner points as the tiebreaker

So Harvick will start on pole, ahead of Hamlin, Truex and Kyle Busch

racing_is_fun · 08-11-20, 03:22 PM

wasn't planning to be this involved but prices pretty strong at legal shops.

Kyle +1200/+1100 (FD still has 1200 and taking to win 5k on normal accounts). I also saw +1000 at Bet365 if you have that book.
Truex +600/+550. Pretty available at 550.

Optional · 08-12-20, 10:53 AM

That is good odds for Kyle on the road.

Been sworn off him until he breaks his bad streak but might have to tail at +1100

mink · 08-12-20, 11:18 AM

I'm just popping in to say, "F*ck Alex Tagliani!"

Thirteen starts in Truck and Xfinity with six Top 5s. He's been one of the favorites in each of those races. Don't fall for the banana in the tailpipe. This might be his weekend, but I'm not betting on it.

5mike5 · 08-13-20, 01:01 PM

Haven't grabbed much yet, just a couple non Fav winners..still looking over matchups. Hoping more will be added for Trucks

Hamlin 850

Gragson 1200
Haley 2000

Klingerman 1800

5mike5 · 08-13-20, 01:03 PM

Looks like rain almost the entire weekend...

That will make a crazy event that much crazier

5mike5 · 08-15-20, 05:28 AM

Looked at the forecast this morning and looks like about a 50/50 chance of rain during the race time today. Could see wet and dry racing tires today. Gonna be interesting race.

Still just have my Gragson and Haley early plays to win. Waiting for them to add some more H2Hs and will play usual open parlay and not sure about singles yet. Gonna be a light card for this one

unlearn · 08-15-20, 09:46 AM

Austin Dillon positive for covid19. If his wife needs some dikk while he is in quarantine holler at your boy

5mike5 · 08-15-20, 09:48 AM

Originally posted by unlearn

Austin Dillon positive for covid19. If his wife needs some dikk while he is in quarantine holler at your boy

unlearn · 08-15-20, 09:59 AM

Xfinity:

Bilicki+55000
Labbe+11000
Bamber+5000
Haley+2000
Dinger+375

Got Kligerman+2000 tomorrow. Think this will be a good weekend for live betting. Hoping for rain today to make it interesting.

Looking at h2hs but liking Haley>Gluegaier+115

Optional · 08-15-20, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by unlearn

Austin Dillon positive for covid19. If his wife needs some dikk while he is in quarantine holler at your boy

Seconds

Optional · 08-15-20, 11:04 AM

Originally posted by unlearn

Xfinity:

Bilicki+55000
Labbe+11000
Bamber+5000
Haley+2000
Dinger+375

Got Kligerman+2000 tomorrow. Think this will be a good weekend for live betting. Hoping for rain today to make it interesting.

Looking at h2hs but liking Haley>Gluegaier+115

Have you been drinking ya crazy phuk?

Bilicki, Labbe and Bamber ya square!

Optional · 08-15-20, 11:08 AM

Joking.

I have almost the same roster.

Fingers crossed for constant rain during the race and one of those longshots shock.

Earl Bamber, multiple world champion https://www.driverdb.com/drivers/earl-bamber/

Racing career summary

Races entered	351
Wins	81
Podiums	162
Pole positions	50
Fastest laps	67
Race win percentage	23.1%
Podium percentage	46.2%

5mike5 · 08-15-20, 12:52 PM

Still waiting to add final plays but just longershots. Keep card light overall on W bets. Went with an underdog h2h parlay. Hoping to close it with favs for cup race tomorrow for a score. Still looking for a single to play

Dinger>Cindric (+155)
Haley>Gluegaier (+110)
Open

5mike5 · 08-15-20, 01:31 PM

Gragson>Allgaier (+100)...1x mx ,

but may add another 1x before race.

unlearn · 08-15-20, 01:41 PM

Added:
Haley>Allgaier+115
Gragson>Allgaier+100

Both at blowvada

5mike5 · 08-15-20, 01:55 PM

Gragson +1200
Haley +2000
Lally +4000
Labbe 100-1

Dinger>Cindric (+155)
Haley>Allgaier (+110)
Open

Gragson>Allgaier (+100)...2x mx

That's it for today. With a new track and weather all around this is a total wildcard. Just went with 9 and light on the longshots for race in case it gets crazy today. Would be happy with that parlay thru and long as my single H2H wins I'll make a few bucks overall.

5mike5 · 08-15-20, 02:03 PM

Threw in a homer bet for Optis boy Bamber for a 20 spot at 45-1

5mike5 · 08-15-20, 05:00 PM

Almost my whole roster had already wrecked lol

Tanko · 08-15-20, 05:01 PM

I realize xfinity is a whole different caliber of driver than CUP so today's action may not be 100% representative but, based on today's race so far, this is going to be interesting on Sunday.

Of coures the weather had an impact today but damn, this road course track seems to be a bitc# for the drivers.

Optional · 08-15-20, 05:32 PM

I wish there as more rain

5mike5 · 08-15-20, 05:32 PM

Yeah I think tomorrow gonna be just as wild

What a battle for stage 2 win. That was awesome

racing_is_fun · 08-15-20, 06:13 PM

this is a crazy race.

Cup should be fun.

Zero chance I'm betting trucks now lol

unlearn · 08-15-20, 06:14 PM

Glad I only wasted 200 on this shit show

5mike5 · 08-15-20, 06:29 PM

What a great luckbox winner on Gragson>Allgaier (+100) 2x mx

Thanks Dinger!

Small profit overall. I'll take it

Tanko · 08-15-20, 08:26 PM

5Mike5/Opti,
I've been betting a lot of head-2-head lately. What is your opinion on the limit as far as number of bets you should place on one driver in a given race?

There are times that I see 2, 3, or 4 bets that appear favorable on a given race for a single driver over others. E.G. Kyle Busch > Hamlin, Kyle Busch > Truex, Kyle Busch > Elliot.

Do you limit the number of bets on one driver since a bad setup or wreck will screw up your day?

Thanks.

5mike5 · 08-16-20, 02:49 AM

It is not very often I bet the same driver to win multiple single h2h wagers, but I am also not against doing it at all. Just personal preference. I just like loading up on my favorite one or 2 but rarely use same driver.

As far as limits I only play 1 or 2 single H2H plays for all the series, it just varies if I hit them once or twice..But sometimes don't play any if I don't like any enough to bet them single. The most single H2H plays I've made for one race in the last few years was 3

Optional · 08-16-20, 03:54 AM

for some of that promised rain today!

@Tanko, Mike is the H2H guru. I listen to him on those. Plus he always finds a way to win them somehow, like Dinger dive bombing like a rookie and taking out Allgaier for him. Inexplicable.

leovegas · 08-16-20, 07:30 AM

Max Verstapen's odds took a hit this morning prior to the Barcelona Gran Prix.

+325 to +240