BRISTOL Motor Speedway (Cup/Xfin)--

[5mike5]

Alright guys off another winning race week at Charlotte we are headed to the best track on the circuit Bristol. Hopefully we can keep up the winning but tough track. We should get a good mix of odds and several new players that usually contend here or have very misleading stats here. Looking at those won't tell u the story alone. Finished updating my book and watched some of last few to refresh so just waiting on openers

No practices or qualifying in the near future at any racetrack. The starting lineup will be drawn from results of last night's race. Same as they have been doing it.

The Cup race is at 3:30pm on Sunday Afternoon on FS1 and the Xfinity race will run on Monday night at 7pm on FS1. As always anybody opinions and picks are always welcome. GOOD LUCK again this weekend!!!!!

[unlearn]

Odds posted at Bovada for both series and boy are they terrible

[5mike5]

Xfinity openers are brutal. Won't be jumping to take any of those right now. Will wait and see if any move

[kjack25]

Took a couple longshots in Xfinity. I’m hoping Brandon Jones’ odds get better cuz he’s usually good at Bristol.

Haley +5500
Sieg +6600
Brown +21000

[kjack25]

Odds don’t look horrible on Dimes with Bowyer, Jones, Reddick, Dibenedetto and Stenhouse below 30-1. Betting on Stenhouse is not advised but this is his best track along with the super speedways in my opinion.

[5mike5]

I'll post when finished with both.

Agree Wreckhouse an auto play over 40-1 here imo. Think that is best we will get

Bad Brad draws the pole

[dapperandy]

Stenhouse 45-1
Matt D 40-1

[unlearn]

Kyle>Harvick-130

[5mike5]

With no practices or anything to get these cars ready it will be a very high attrition race, even for Bristol I'm thinking. Just avoid trouble first half of race and see what happens. This is a long race and so much can happen here and now throw in these other factors?. I'll have a couple extra longshots this race I think may still be around late

[5mike5]

Couple early Cup plays. Not taking any favs yet just like the odds on these 2 :

Bowyer +3000
Stenhouse +4500

I couldn't wait to grab this H2H as I think it can end up a lot worse than this. And yes there is always a risk taking Wreckhouse obv but I really like this one.

Stenhouse > Almirola (-115)....2x mx


Will be adding more plays later today.

[5mike5]

I didn't like Xfinity openers, but went ahead and grabbed a couple guys and started a parlay of matchups. If either odds get better may add a few bucks if moves enough. Probably all I'm taking for Xfinity until after Cup race.

Hemric 1000
B Jones 1100

B.Jones > Burton (-130)
Hemric > Dinger (+100)
Open

[Optional]

Took some Xfin points bets in SBR Book

GameDate	Date Placed	Sport	Description	Risk/Win
Ticket#:4448699 Jun 01 07:00 PM	May 30 05:37 AM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [7506] BRANDON JONES EV (HARRISON BURTON vrs BRANDON JONES)	100.00 / 100.00
Ticket#:4448700 Jun 01 07:00 PM	May 30 05:37 AM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [7508] AUSTIN CINDRIC -115 (HARRISON BURTON vrs AUSTIN CINDRIC)	100.00 / 86.96
Ticket#:4448701 Jun 01 07:00 PM	May 30 05:37 AM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [7512] AJ ALLMENDINGER EV (DANIEL HEMRIC vrs AJ ALLMENDINGER)	100.00 / 100.00
Ticket#:4448702 Jun 01 07:00 PM	May 30 05:37 AM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [7518] JUSTIN HALEY +110 (RILEY HERBST vrs JUSTIN HALEY)	100.00 / 110.00
Ticket#:4448703 Jun 01 07:00 PM	May 30 05:37 AM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [7521] JUSTIN HALEY -115 (JUSTIN HALEY vrs MYATT SNIDER)	100.00 / 86.96
Ticket#:4448704 Jun 01 07:00 PM	May 30 05:37 AM	TNT	XFINITY SERIES - CHEDDARS 300 ODDS TO WIN [3] ROSS CHASTAIN +600	100.00 / 600.00

[racing_is_fun]

Nice Mike. I grabbed Matt D as Longshot at 50 but 40 still value imo. Clint at 30 a great get. He's on my radar for live betting.

[5mike5]

I'll take Blaney (+1400)

He's 1 of my fav plays this week

[kjack25]

Mike, do you think Chase’s odds will keep dropping? I want to bet him but was hoping for around +800.

[5mike5]

Mike, do you think Chase’s odds will keep dropping? I want to bet him but was hoping for around +800.

Not sure honestly he's going up again 600 now

[5mike5]

Couple early Cup plays. Not taking any favs yet just like the odds on these 2 :

Bowyer +3000
Stenhouse +4500

I couldn't wait to grab this H2H as I think it can end up a lot worse than this. And yes there is always a risk taking Wreckhouse obv but I really like this one.

Stenhouse > Almirola (-115)....2x mx


Will be adding more plays later today.

Nice odds and he's been a wizard here in lower equipment in lower series. And that cup team has been pretty good so like this for the risk reward

JHN finishes TOP 5 (+4000)

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Cup

Stenhouse +4400
Dibenedetto +3300
Bowyer +2800
Blaney +1200


JHN Top 5 +3500

[unlearn]

Kyle>Harvick-130

Grabbed Blaney at 1500

[DiggityDaggityDo]

2.2u Stenhouse > Almirola -130

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Xfinity

Hemric +1000
Jones +1000

Hemric over Dinger -130
Jones over Burton -115
open

[5mike5]

Can't wait for this race!!!!

Weather looks GREAT!!!!!!

chance of rain is 0% all day!!!!!!



Will post when finished up later this morning

[5mike5]

Gonna try and parlay #18. But I am Won't be many options they will let go through. Prob have to be a 3-slot if they make me use a combo again instead of just 18 solo. Not even sure who I'll use with him if I have to yet. Several single winners I'm still looking over since only have 12 and couple longshots so far

Odds are gonna be all over the place this morning

[5mike5]

JHN finishes TOP 5 (+4000)

Played Reddick top 5 (+1400) also

He's been very good here in the Xfinity series and been running great in cup this rookie season. He is the exact same odds for a top 3 finish right now. just 50 on these props

[5mike5]

Kyle B wins the race (+485)
Newman > Almirola (-120)
(+1015)

**Only would accept 2 matchups of about 25 I tried, so I settled on this one just fading the 10 basically.


Blaney> Brad (+105)...2x mx

[RudyRuetigger]

Why does everyone like Jones over Jimmie Johnson in the heads up contest thread

There is a $3200 difference in price on Draftkings

[Optional]

Why does everyone like Jones over Jimmie Johnson in the heads up contest thread

There is a $3200 difference in price on Draftkings

Good question looking at stats. Jimmie one of the best in field at Bristol, and Jones Cup record pretty awful.

I think most have just lost faith in Jimmie and think Jones is on he improve.

[RudyRuetigger]

Good question looking at stats. Jimmie one of the best in field at Bristol, and Jones Cup record pretty awful.

I think most have just lost faith in Jimmie and think Jones is on he improve.

i read somewhere that Jones races this track well but had some dumb mistakes

but you would have to think johnson is favored so the breakdown of these picks was surprising to me

















I have in my fantasy lineup:
Johnson
Bowyer
Wallace
Stenhouse Jr
Bell
Jones


Anyone have advice?

I was going to take Keselowski because he might add a lot of points as leader but with Mikey taking Blaney over him, I couldn't. But now I'm worried that I should have atleast one in there

[RudyRuetigger]

Just changed to

Bowyer
Keselowski
Blaney
Wallace
Bell
Jones



From what I see, seems you definitely want lap leaders this week???

[5mike5]

I wouldn't judge Jones off looking at finishing stats here.Much like Blaney. Hes good here just had some bad luck

[kjack25]

I’m guessing the price difference is because Jimmie is starting 24th and Jones is starting 13th. Place differential is big in Draftkings and Fanduel so they adjust prices for guys starting further back. I am assuming they do it so people don’t all load up on the same guys starting further back.

Why does everyone like Jones over Jimmie Johnson in the heads up contest thread

There is a $3200 difference in price on Draftkings

[Optional]

For what it is worth, I took this lot for SBR fantasy


Busch, Kyle ($12,600) - #18 Toyota (Starts 7th)
Elliott, Chase ($12,100) - #9 Chevy (Starts 6th)
Blaney, Ryan ($10,300) - #12 Ford (Starts 4th)
Reddick, Tyler ($8,200) - #8 Chevy (Starts 21st)
Nemechek, John Hunter ($6,700) - #38 Ford (Starts 18th)

[JAKEPEAVY21]

stenhouse > almirola not offered at gtbets, I requested they put up the matchup and live chat and was shot down

lucky fr you mike, it will be a winner now since I won't be betting it!

[RudyRuetigger]

For what it is worth, I took this lot for SBR fantasy


Busch, Kyle ($12,600) - #18 Toyota (Starts 7th)
Elliott, Chase ($12,100) - #9 Chevy (Starts 6th)
Blaney, Ryan ($10,300) - #12 Ford (Starts 4th)
Reddick, Tyler ($8,200) - #8 Chevy (Starts 21st)
Nemechek, John Hunter ($6,700) - #38 Ford (Starts 18th)

thanks, i put you in the $12 - $200k first place with another pick


can you view picks before the race starts for everyone?

I assume not

[5mike5]

Added Hamlin 9. Waiting on one more to move to better odds hopefully and I'll be finished.

Feels like a huge win or a total diaster coming up for Bristol today... LOVE IT