POCONO 1 (Xfinity/Cup)--

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51999

    #1
    POCONO 1 (Xfinity/Cup)--
    Alright guys we are headed off to POCONO Raceway this weekend where the Xfinity and Cup series will both be in action...The truck series will return to action next weekend...The Xfinity race will be at 1PM on Saturday afternoon and the Cup series will be at 2PM on Sunday, both airing on FS1...

    POCONO is a 2.5 mile very flat asphalt racetrack with 14 degrees of banking in turn #1, 8 degrees in turn #2, and just 6 degrees in turn #3...The straights have 0 degrees of banking..

    This racetrack has been known to produce some strange results in the past where strategy almost always comes into play in the pits, fuel, and many rain shortened race so underdogs are usually worth a look here...And throw on top of that this new package that has been run a few places where drafting on the long straights will almost surely come into play...

    Kyle B. and Truex won the races here last season and Kyle has won 2 of last 4 here in the Cup series..



    GOOD LUCK!!!


  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51999

    #2
    Just a couple longshpts so far. Will look over any early h2hs latwr thos morning

    Dillon 20 for xfinity just off odds and blaney 2050 same for Cup. May add on before sessions
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 51999

      #3
      Bowman>JJ (- 130)...2X
      Comment
      • Optional
        Administrator
        • 06-10-10
        • 61502

        #4
        Kyle Busch +245
        Kevin Harvick +475
        Brad Keselowski +650
        Martin Truex Jr +700
        Joey Logano +900
        Chase Elliott +1100
        Denny Hamlin +1175
        Ryan Blaney +1600
        Kyle Larson +2150
        Kurt Busch +2150
        Clint Bowyer +2200
        Erik Jones +3000
        Jimmie Johnson +3000
        Alex Bowman +3000
        Aric Almirola +4250
        Daniel Suarez +4500
        William Byron +5000
        Austin Dillon +7000
        Ricky Stenhouse Jr +12500
        Ryan Newman +12500
        Chris Buescher +12500
        Paul Menard +12500

        Christopher Bell +175
        Cole Custer +250
        Tyler Reddick +350
        Justin Allgaier +800
        Austin Cindric +1770
        Ryan Preece +2000
        Austin Dillon +2000
        Chase Briscoe +2000
        Brandon Jones +2975
        Field (any other driver) +3500
        Jeffrey Earnhardt +4000
        John Hunter Nemechek +4000
        Noah Gragson +4000
        Michael Annett +6000
        Justin Haley +6000
        Ryan Sieg +10000



        Josef Newgarden +450
        Will Power +450
        Scott Dixon +500
        Alexander Rossi +500
        Simon Pagenaud +800
        Ryan Hunter-Reay +1000
        Graham Rahal +1200
        Sebastien Bourdais +1400
        Felix Rosenqvist +2000
        James Hinchcliffe +2000
        Colton Herta +2000
        Takuma Sato +3000
        Zach Veach +4000
        Marcus Ericsson +6000
        Spencer Pigot +6000
        Ed Jones +6000
        Marco Andretti +8000
        Santino Ferrucci +8000
        Patricio O'Ward +10000
        Tony Kanaan +10000
        Matheus Leist +10000
        Max Chilton +30000
        .
        Comment
        • Optional
          Administrator
          • 06-10-10
          • 61502

          #5
          Originally posted by 5mike5
          Just a couple longshpts so far. Will look over any early h2hs latwr thos morning

          Dillon 20 for xfinity just off odds and blaney 2050 same for Cup. May add on before sessions
          Is Dillon in a crappy car or something? Odds seem a little weird if its an RCR aligned ride.
          .
          Comment
          • Optional
            Administrator
            • 06-10-10
            • 61502

            #6
            Early value picks..

            Cup: Erik Jones +3000, Alex Bowman +3000, Daniel Suarez +4500
            Xfin: Austin Cindric +1770
            Indy: Graham Rahal +1200
            .
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 51999

              #7
              Originally posted by Optional
              Is Dillon in a crappy car or something? Odds seem a little weird if its an RCR aligned ride.
              hes been driving that #10 car
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 51999

                #8
                Originally posted by Optional
                Early value picks..

                Cup: Erik Jones +3000, Alex Bowman +3000, Daniel Suarez +4500
                Xfin: Austin Cindric +1770
                Indy: Graham Rahal +1200
                thought about Almirola and Bowman as longer shots too

                Not as many H2Hs early this week either
                Comment
                • tucks
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 07-11-18
                  • 356

                  #9
                  XFINITY
                  Austin Dillon > Preece -115

                  CUP
                  Jones > Kurt B +100
                  Comment
                  • unlearn
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-22-14
                    • 9033

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Optional
                    Early value picks..

                    Cup: Erik Jones +3000, Alex Bowman +3000, Daniel Suarez +4500
                    Xfin: Austin Cindric +1770
                    Indy: Graham Rahal +1200
                    On Cindric and Rahal (and Bourdais)
                    Comment
                    • Optional
                      Administrator
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 61502

                      #11
                      Rahal looked great in first indy practice.
                      .
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 51999

                        #12
                        Took Briscoe 20-1 for Xfinity too. That and AD 20-1 only plays so far. Just wanted a couple longshots early. Didnt live any H2Hs early so waiting for amy singles or parlays for those
                        Comment
                        • 5mike5
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 51999

                          #13
                          Truex 700
                          Comment
                          • reigle9
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-25-07
                            • 17879

                            #14
                            bit late here, got these yesterday on the sugarhouse app which like everything now is just westgate

                            1.25u Brad K +750
                            1u Elliott +1000


                            i have to catch up on everything now, not even sure what all happened today
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 51999

                              #15
                              Originally posted by reigle9
                              bit late here, got these yesterday on the sugarhouse app which like everything now is just westgate

                              1.25u Brad K +750
                              1u Elliott +1000


                              i have to catch up on everything now, not even sure what all happened today
                              Glad to see ur alive!
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 51999

                                #16
                                Like every other Pocono weekend rain is in thr forecast on and off. Later Sat evening and all day Sunday on amd off about 50% chance
                                Comment
                                • reigle9
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-25-07
                                  • 17879

                                  #17
                                  kinda weird cup had 1st and final practice with no qualifying

                                  saw reddick to the rear, so thought i'd check dimes to see if odds are up yet and they are, he's somehow +185 lol, these odds are absurd, not even betting it

                                  cup odds up too, like my brad and chase, but they're all absurd too...prob go harvick +510 if i had to bet now, actually brad is still +700, i like that a little more
                                  Comment
                                  • tucks
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 07-11-18
                                    • 356

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by reigle9
                                    kinda weird cup had 1st and final practice with no qualifying

                                    saw reddick to the rear, so thought i'd check dimes to see if odds are up yet and they are, he's somehow +185 lol, these odds are absurd, not even betting it

                                    cup odds up too, like my brad and chase, but they're all absurd too...prob go harvick +510 if i had to bet now, actually brad is still +700, i like that a little more
                                    Gonna put those cars in the impound after quali’s. good idea to wait until they pass inspection.

                                    Hope you got your bitcoins
                                    Comment
                                    • tucks
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 07-11-18
                                      • 356

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by 5mike5
                                      Took Briscoe 20-1 for Xfinity too. That and AD 20-1 only plays so far. Just wanted a couple longshots early. Didnt live any H2Hs early so waiting for amy singles or parlays for those
                                      Dillon at 20-1 good play... I’d be shocked if Briscoe pulls out
                                      Comment
                                      • 5mike5
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-21-11
                                        • 51999

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by tucks
                                        Dillon at 20-1 good play... I’d be shocked if Briscoe pulls out
                                        both actually got better odds noe than when I grabbed them Agree on Briscoe but he was solid here in trucks is why i took him for 1st time ever.
                                        Comment
                                        • 5mike5
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-21-11
                                          • 51999

                                          #21
                                          Crazy odds on the 3 favs. Not sure ill back any at thpse odds unless they get better post qualifying or something. Havent decided amy h2hs yet for xfinity
                                          Comment
                                          • reigle9
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-25-07
                                            • 17879

                                            #22
                                            Added:
                                            .5u Brad K 700
                                            .5u Elliott 1000

                                            .5u Elliott top 3 +275

                                            .5u Stenhouse top 10 +350
                                            .25u Ragan top 10 +1400
                                            Comment
                                            • 5mike5
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-21-11
                                              • 51999

                                              #23
                                              Prob take Elliott too if his odds get better again or maybe in a h2h

                                              U playing Xfinity Reigle?


                                              Odds stink imo unless something changes post qualifying..Reddick under 2-1 and starting in the rear is nuts..hopefully Win market gets better or may just play the couple long shots...no H2Hs tempting me yet either
                                              Comment
                                              • 5mike5
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 51999

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                Took Briscoe 20-1 for Xfinity too. That and AD 20-1 only plays so far. Just wanted a couple longshots early. Didnt live any H2Hs early so waiting for amy singles or parlays for those
                                                Added a little on jhn 77-1 just cause the odds are so big.
                                                Comment
                                                • dapperandy
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-05-11
                                                  • 180

                                                  #25
                                                  5d has Ricky S 2195-1, will they cancel my bet due to bad line?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigJay
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-14-12
                                                    • 3485

                                                    #26
                                                    Brad K 700 risking $70
                                                    Truex 680 risking $60
                                                    Bowman 3300 risking $25

                                                    That may be it for the weekend.

                                                    Good luck everyone!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • reigle9
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-25-07
                                                      • 17879

                                                      #27
                                                      I had Custer the fav going in but my book never posted odds. I'll deg him +235 if that posts I guess
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tucks
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 07-11-18
                                                        • 356

                                                        #28
                                                        That handsome bastard Cole Custer on the pole again. Ran well here last year too... gonna take him against Reddick of the price is right. Hate betting against bell, if he doesn’t wreck he usually ends up in victory lane
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 51999

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by dapperandy
                                                          5d has Ricky S 2195-1, will they cancel my bet due to bad line?
                                                          big lines on others too but thats crazy # i would think it suppise to be 200-1 something
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 51999

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by tucks
                                                            That handsome bastard Cole Custer on the pole again. Ran well here last year too... gonna take him against Reddick of the price is right. Hate betting against bell, if he doesn’t wreck he usually ends up in victory lane
                                                            yep...im keeping this one lower risk big reward plays...unless odds changed a lot
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tucks
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 07-11-18
                                                              • 356

                                                              #31
                                                              Custer +100 over Reddick.

                                                              They are the same odds to win, at least now won’t have to worry about Bell.

                                                              Austin Dillon -115 over Preece.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 51999

                                                                #32
                                                                Im not even tempted to play a fav parlayed at +180 for this race...just too low...parlayed a couple underdog h2hs just didn't like those either...allgaier maybe a play at 14? not sure I even want to add anything else
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 5mike5
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                                  • 51999

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by tucks
                                                                  Custer +100 over Reddick.

                                                                  They are the same odds to win, at least now won’t have to worry about Bell.

                                                                  Austin Dillon -115 over Preece.
                                                                  If i didnt hate Custer so much Id prob take that too with the start advantage...I got Bell over reddick as underdog and briscoe as dog vs preece parlayed both +120 but not confident in either really
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Optional
                                                                    Administrator
                                                                    • 06-10-10
                                                                    • 61502

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Liking Cindric after quali
                                                                    .
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • tucks
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 07-11-18
                                                                      • 356

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                                      If i didnt hate Custer so much Id prob take that too with the start advantage...I got Bell over reddick as underdog and briscoe as dog vs preece parlayed both +120 but not confident in either really
                                                                      Like the Bell play.

                                                                      Added parlay
                                                                      Bell over Reddick +110
                                                                      Earnhardt over JHN -140
                                                                      Comment
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