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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51821

    #1
    Michigan...
    Alright fellas we are off to MICHIGAN international speedway this Father's Day weekend as usual with All 3 series in action. On Saturday we have a double-header with the Xfinity series at Michigan and the trucks will be racing Saturday night from Gateway as a stand alone race. The Cup series will be mis afternoon on Sunday

    MICHIGAN is a 2-mile long D-Shaped asphalt oval. The banking is 18 degrees in all the turns, 12 degrees in the start/finish section, and 5 degrees on the backstretch. And strategy is alive and always in play at this racetrack as well, including fuel mileage, but with the stages maybe not as much but we will just have to see how the teams react to that part. And Tire wear is always a major factor at Michigan.

    THe same cast of drivers will be favored when odds list this tomorrow, Penske card, Kyle Larson, Busch, Harvick, truex ect. And most have won here before, including Larson's only win believe into or not. Should be another great week and let's hope we have another big winner and payoff!

    As always, everybody race opinions and picks are always welcomed and encouraged. More Inormation and opinions than the better.

    GOODLUCK!!!!

  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51821

    #2
    Stat of the day:

    Kyle Busch has only finished on the lead lap at Michigan 1 time in the last 7 races

    and only 1 top 10 finish in the last 10 Races there
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 51821

      #3
      Odds are up now
      Comment
      • kkwins84
        SBR High Roller
        • 05-01-17
        • 239

        #4
        Ryan Blaney +2250 lock me in!
        Comment
        • 5mike5
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-21-11
          • 51821

          #5
          Kevin Harvick trends at Michigan:

          7 last 8 races at MIS Harvick has finished in the top 5, including 5 runner-up finishes of last 8

          and he is a past winner at MIS
          Comment
          • 5mike5
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-21-11
            • 51821

            #6
            Originally posted by kkwins84
            Ryan Blaney +2250 lock me in!
            calling out a Blaney back-to-back!
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 51821

              #7
              Trucks :

              briscoe (+850)
              rhodes (+1150)

              sauter>crafton (-140)
              truex>JHN (+120)
              open

              **will parlay bell or Sauter on raceday

              Xfinity:

              Keslowski (+300)

              Keslowski >Hamlin (-140)
              Hemeric>t.dillon (+100)
              Open

              **will parlay Kyle B on raceday

              any other additions I'll post when I taken them and post final roster on tacedays as usual
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 51821

                #8
                Still haven't made an early Cup plays this week, which is a first for me this seaso but that can change any min. Lol. I just wasn't tempted much by anything early and wanted to see the early market movement. And there hasn't been much yet. I might still take 1-2 early win bets, but In hoping to have 1-2 parlays to close from the lower series again this week and betting accordingly. so with that in mind my plays have to be well thought out in case I do have them.
                Comment
                • Optional
                  Administrator
                  • 06-10-10
                  • 60712

                  #9
                  .
                  Comment
                  • 5mike5
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-21-11
                    • 51821

                    #10
                    No televised practices on fs1 tomorrow because of the US Open

                    they are in fs2 if u have that channel and want to watch some
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 51821

                      #11
                      Not a single drivers odds have got better since openers, just worse

                      Unreal
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 51821

                        #12
                        Most everybody qualified top 12

                        Larson on the pole, Truex 2nd
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 60712

                          #13
                          Missed it all today. Been sleeping ridiculous hours every night (here). 10, 12+ hours daily.
                          .
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 51821

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Optional
                            Missed it all today. Been sleeping ridiculous hours every night (here). 10, 12+ hours daily.
                            thats good for ya!

                            plus I think u may need it with a big Vegas trip coming up in a few days!
                            Comment
                            • Optional
                              Administrator
                              • 06-10-10
                              • 60712

                              #15
                              Yeah hopefully it sees me well re-charged for next week

                              But honestly, it's not right and even now after being up for only 4 hours I feel like a nap. Anyway, might be good for the flight tomorrow I guess.
                              .
                              Comment
                              • BigJay
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-14-12
                                • 3485

                                #16
                                Have a great trip Optional! I took last week off. Me and the Little lady went to the beach. (First vacation in awhile) I'll be in Vegas July 1-6. Staying at Mirage and Encore. Can't wait!
                                Comment
                                • BigJay
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-14-12
                                  • 3485

                                  #17
                                  Michigan has always been the most difficult track to handicap for me. Like Mike said. Tires, fuel mileage, the one thing you can predict here is unpredictably. I have a big play pending on US open golf (sorry, wrong forum I know) on Fowler to win for 3 units so I may sit this weekend out. Might be tough to lay off a night race. Wish it was the Xfinity boys going at night but it's truck in the eve, correct?? Might make a small play on the Kyle B/Kyle L Saturday/Sunday combo for a unit and tail Mike's truck picks for a half unit each or so just for some action. He may win it again but don't think I'll be playing Bell at +165.
                                  Last edited by BigJay; 06-17-17, 05:52 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • Optional
                                    Administrator
                                    • 06-10-10
                                    • 60712

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BigJay
                                    Have a great trip Optional! I took last week off. Me and the Little lady went to the beach. (First vacation in awhile) I'll be in Vegas July 1-6. Staying at Mirage and Encore. Can't wait!
                                    I'm not usually a big traveller myself so it feels kind of wild to just pop off to the other end of the world a couple of times within a few months too

                                    There is about 16 or 17 forum posters all going to be there this next week. Going to be fun!


                                    Unfortunately I didn't think it through well enough or would have broken my return trip in SF next weekend and went to the Sonoma race, instead of just having a quick stopover on Friday night. Rang United today and tried to change but they said no
                                    .
                                    Comment
                                    • BigJay
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-14-12
                                      • 3485

                                      #19
                                      That would have been sweet. We were out there in Vegas during race week. It was pretty cool. About 10 of the top drivers paraded up and down the strip with their cars. I believe it was 2012 and Smoke won. We didn't go to the race and I wish we would have because the weather was perfect. I do remember cashing a ticket on Smoke to win though and watching the race at the Mirage so that was pretty cool. Nothing like being there though. I found that out after they opened the F1 track near my home town in Texas.
                                      Last edited by BigJay; 06-17-17, 06:29 AM.
                                      Comment
                                      • 5mike5
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-21-11
                                        • 51821

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigJay
                                        Michigan has always been the most difficult track to handicap for me. Like Mike said. Tires, fuel mileage, the one thing you can predict here is unpredictably. I have a big play pending on US open golf (sorry, wrong forum I know) on Fowler to win for 3 units so I may sit this weekend out. Might be tough to lay off a night race. Wish it was the Xfinity boys going at night but it's truck in the eve, correct?? Might make a small play on the Kyle B/Kyle L Saturday/Sunday combo for a unit and tail Mike's truck picks for a half unit each or so just for some action. He may win it again but don't think I'll be playing Bell at +165.
                                        Im not that confident in truck race tonight to be honest. Rarely I regret many early plays but not loving those I took this week early. I Like xfinity much more, but who knows maybe opposite happens. Lol.

                                        Agree ahout Bell odds being so low. Leaning praying Sauter at 2x the odds but have to see what they are when parlayables lost later
                                        Comment
                                        • 5mike5
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-21-11
                                          • 51821

                                          #21
                                          Xfinity qualifying results:

                                          Kyle B on the pole

                                          Keslowski 2nd
                                          Comment
                                          • Optional
                                            Administrator
                                            • 06-10-10
                                            • 60712

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BigJay
                                            That would have been sweet. We were out there in Vegas during race week. It was pretty cool. About 10 of the top drivers paraded up and down the strip with their cars. I believe it was 2012 and Smoke won. We didn't go to the race and I wish we would have because the weather was perfect. I do remember cashing a ticket on Smoke to win though and watching the race at the Mirage so that was pretty cool. Nothing like being there though. I found that out after they opened the F1 track near my home town in Texas.
                                            Love the Austin track. One of the best there is.
                                            .
                                            Comment
                                            • 5mike5
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-21-11
                                              • 51821

                                              #23
                                              XFINITY:

                                              keslowski (+300)


                                              parlays:

                                              Kyle Busch wins the race (+175)
                                              open

                                              keslowski>Hamlin (-140)
                                              hemeric>Dillon (+100)
                                              open


                                              short and sweet this afternoon. I will be shocked if Kyle B and Keslowski don't just dominate this thing.

                                              GOODLUCK!!!

                                              Comment
                                              • 5mike5
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 51821

                                                #24
                                                On a side not for tomorrow's CUP race:

                                                It's gonna be TOUGH as nails to pick a winning roater with what odds will be and everybody u can think of looks good this week. Hopefully I can muster up as least 1 parlay from today's races that sure would help the cause
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 51821

                                                  #25
                                                  Lap 1 Kyle B wrecks

                                                  dont try and block Keslowski or u get the horns
                                                  Comment
                                                  • the1yankee
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-29-16
                                                    • 1203

                                                    #26
                                                    Hemric is a can! Oh well. Got late n needed a bet. Cant win em all. Gl rest of week M5!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • the1yankee
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-29-16
                                                      • 1203

                                                      #27
                                                      Bring a monster winner
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 5mike5
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                        • 51821

                                                        #28
                                                        Yeah xfinity race didn't turn out well. Keslowski pit stall killed him all day

                                                        we will get em on Cup, that's really all that matters if we can win that
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 51821

                                                          #29
                                                          My early play on Rhodes (+1150) for the truck race tonight has been HAMMERED down

                                                          now +350!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 51821

                                                            #30
                                                            BRISCOE on the POLE for the truck race

                                                            early pick comes thru

                                                            just have to add bell parlay when they post it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 5mike5
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 09-21-11
                                                              • 51821

                                                              #31
                                                              TRUCKS:
                                                              briscoe (+850)
                                                              rhodes (+1150)
                                                              gilliland (+4000)

                                                              parlays:
                                                              Bell wins the race (+200)
                                                              open

                                                              sauter>crafton(-140)
                                                              truex>JHN (+120)
                                                              open


                                                              GOODLUCK!!!!

                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 51821

                                                                #32
                                                                Finished 2nd and 3rd in the truck race

                                                                damn

                                                                need my luck to change when it really counts for cup race
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 5mike5
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                                  • 51821

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Well all things considered the top guys I like are just way too low of odds for my liking at a reactrack that probably will have tons of strategy calls to try and get track position all race long. And for the first time in months I'm not working with any parlays to close from the lower series so that doesn't help matters. Just gonna try and play the best few guys on value and hope for the best this week. Even if I picked 6-7 guys I still wouldn't be confident at this racetrack. So fingers crossed and I'll post as I make decisions.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 51821

                                                                    #34
                                                                    So far:

                                                                    harvick (+800)
                                                                    elliot (+1300)
                                                                    logano (+1300)
                                                                    jones (+3300)

                                                                    again not going with top favs single, as odds are just too low for my liking. Too much can happen here strategy wise. Will add another play or 2 later this morning.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 5mike5
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                                      • 51821

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Even though I won't take truex or Larson by themselves If I really like any h2h I may parlay one if the odds make sense when parlayables post
                                                                      Comment
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