Tallagega --

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 52002

    #1
    Tallagega --
    Alright fellas, this weekend the Xfinity series and the Cup guys will be heading to TALLADEGA super speedway in Alabama. We have had a few weeks of short track racing and now we head to the exact opposite, the 2.5 mile monster restrictor plate track.

    Needless to say that being in the right place at the right time means just about everything here, but there are trends and a lot of data that do help play certain drivers if they have decent prices and longsgot do have a better chance even though still longshots as big teams have brought home the wins in recent years. But odds are everything at plate Tracks imo

    TALLADEGA is a 2.66 mile paved super-speedway. It's 4 turns have banking of 33 degrees, the fronstrech is 16.5 and the back is 2 degrees.



    GOODLUCK this weekend!

  • Optional
    Administrator
    • 06-10-10
    • 61506

    #2
    Will Junior run Xfin?
    .
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 52002

      #3
      Originally posted by Optional
      Will Junior run Xfin?
      He isnt on the entry list

      Kasey Kahne is in the #88.
      Comment
      • Optional
        Administrator
        • 06-10-10
        • 61506

        #4
        KK might be worth a shot in that if odds good.
        .
        Comment
        • 5mike5
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-21-11
          • 52002

          #5
          Odds already up at the Greek.... crazy early
          Comment
          • Optional
            Administrator
            • 06-10-10
            • 61506

            #6
            Up at Crownbet too, who are never early, but still not at 5D
            .
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 52002

              #7
              Originally posted by Optional
              Up at Crownbet too, who are never early, but still not at 5D
              The strange year at dimes for nascar continues.


              they should be up in the next few hrs I would guess.


              no Q matchups since auto club either
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 52002

                #8
                Odds are Posting up now
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 52002

                  #9
                  Keslowski (+1150)

                  Harvick (+1350)
                  Comment
                  • Optional
                    Administrator
                    • 06-10-10
                    • 61506

                    #10
                    Looks like you are moving odds Mike. Those two gone.


                    NASCAR Cup Series GEICO 500

                    Brad Keselowski +900
                    Kevin Harvick +900
                    Dale Earnhardt Jr +950
                    Jimmie Johnson +1150
                    Joey Logano +1150
                    Denny Hamlin +1150
                    Kyle Larson +1350
                    Kyle Busch +1350
                    Chase Elliott +1650
                    Matt Kenseth +1650
                    Clint Bowyer +2000
                    Ryan Blaney +2250
                    Kurt Busch +2250
                    Erik Jones +2750
                    Kasey Kahne +2750
                    Jamie McMurray +2750
                    Austin Dillon +3300
                    Daniel Suarez +3750
                    Ryan Newman +3750
                    Trevor Bayne +4400
                    Ricky Stenhouse Jr +4400
                    AJ Allmendinger +4400
                    Aric Almirola +5500
                    Paul Menard +5500



                    Xfinity Sparks Energy 300

                    Joey Logano +425
                    Erik Jones +650
                    Kasey Kahne +650
                    Daniel Suarez +750
                    Field (any other driver) +750
                    Elliott Sadler +975
                    Justin Allgaier +975
                    Ty Dillon +1350
                    William Byron +1350
                    Aric Almirola +2250
                    Darrell Wallace Jr +2250
                    Daniel Hemric +2250
                    Matt Tifft +2450
                    Ryan Reed +2450
                    Brennan Poole +2450
                    Tyler Reddick +3300
                    Brendan Gaughan +3300
                    .
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 52002

                      #11
                      Harvick lasted a little longer than keslowski. He didn't last at +1150 for even 60 seconds

                      Honestly I thought they should have been opening favs so was really surprised. BK went down to 10-1 then 9-1, Harvick just dropped 4.5 points all at once

                      only Xfinity play so far was Ty Dillon (+1350)
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 52002

                        #12
                        Of course Dale was opening fav, but I've lost all faith in him being motivated

                        If he wins, I'll just be happy to push my 3x prop on him winning over 1 race this season. Seemed like a great prop when I took it, now I'd take a 50% loss just to get out of it. Lol.
                        Comment
                        • DDT
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-22-09
                          • 3757

                          #13
                          BK now +700, that's a joke
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 52002

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DDT
                            BK now +700, that's a joke
                            Agree

                            nobody is worth 7-1 at talladega imo
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 52002

                              #15
                              Hawk check in,

                              Any longer shots early?

                              debating stenhouse, Dillon, McMurray as 2750 and worse early plays. Haven't pulled trigger but I might shortly in at least 1-2 of the longer odds plays
                              Comment
                              • Optional
                                Administrator
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 61506

                                #16
                                Kurt and Clint maybe.

                                Just took Kahne +600 for Xfin
                                .
                                Comment
                                • Buffalo Nickle
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-12-14
                                  • 3228

                                  #17
                                  Last week I gave you Almirola and you did not take it Mikey5s and it showed in your performance. This week it is Dale Earnhardt. He is due for a good run don't you think?

                                  I would like you to put me on ignore though Mikey5s because you keep having to pop up saying you have me on ignore and just keep getting more irritated. Give it a try and let me know how it works.
                                  Comment
                                  • 5mike5
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 09-21-11
                                    • 52002

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Optional
                                    Kurt and Clint maybe.

                                    Just took Kahne +600 for Xfin
                                    i def will be betting Clint, just want his odds to be a little better and I think they will be at some point
                                    Comment
                                    • Buffalo Nickle
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-12-14
                                      • 3228

                                      #19
                                      I have noticed Mikey5s that you cannot afford to participate in the contests and it has cost you because you did get lucky one week which is mostly what these contests are about.

                                      If you would like I will be happy to provide you with a second loan as a home equity line of credit for our cracker rate of 18.999% recently increased because of your pal ScumDaddy. This would allow you to compete in the contest and when you come in second to me, you can keep my points. I have noticed you two are as thick as thieves, literally.

                                      I have LOTS of points Mikey5s even after getting stolen from. We can do business.
                                      Comment
                                      • 5mike5
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-21-11
                                        • 52002

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by 5mike5
                                        Keslowski (+1150)

                                        Harvick (+1350)
                                        stenhouse Jr (+4200)
                                        Comment
                                        • 5mike5
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-21-11
                                          • 52002

                                          #21
                                          McMurray (+2750)
                                          Comment
                                          • 5mike5
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-21-11
                                            • 52002

                                            #22
                                            Weather for bith racedays looks good
                                            Comment
                                            • 5mike5
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 09-21-11
                                              • 52002

                                              #23
                                              Guess they aren't posting Xfinity odds til post qualifying again this week? Strange shit going on with posting of odds this season

                                              cup qualifying is after the Xfinity race today

                                              So far for todays xfinity race just ty (+1350) and usual Xfinity h2h parlay. Will post final Xfinity roster when completed
                                              Comment
                                              • 5mike5
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 52002

                                                #24
                                                Well they did just post Xfinity odds

                                                a few decent longshots
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 52002

                                                  #25
                                                  Remember what happened 4 years ago at talladega?

                                                  David ragan play at 150-1 cashed

                                                  that thread is an nascar sub forum classic
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 5mike5
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                    • 52002

                                                    #26
                                                    Added amirola (+2250) for Xfinity race

                                                    will post final card after qualifying
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5mike5
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                      • 52002

                                                      #27
                                                      XFINITY

                                                      Allghaier (+1200)
                                                      T.Dillon (+1350)
                                                      Amirola (+2450)
                                                      Reed (+3500)

                                                      Parlays:
                                                      Kahne Wins (+645)
                                                      Open

                                                      Dillon>Byron (-115)
                                                      Amirola>wallace(-125)
                                                      open


                                                      Goodluck, these are just darts at good odds. Can't take Logano here at +260 even in a open parlay
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Optional
                                                        Administrator
                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                        • 61506

                                                        #28
                                                        I just added more to Kahne at +650

                                                        GL Mike.
                                                        .
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 52002

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Optional
                                                          I just added more to Kahne at +650

                                                          GL Mike.
                                                          gl 2 u 2 buddy

                                                          I'd be ok will a kahne win
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 52002

                                                            #30
                                                            AMIROLA (+2450) cashes HUGE boys!!!!!!!

                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 61506

                                                              #31
                                                              Winner winner chicken dinner
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 52002

                                                                #32
                                                                Also didn't notice at first cause the big dog hit, but-also have that parlay for tomorrow on last leg too,

                                                                amirola>bubba(-125)--WIN
                                                                ty>Byron (-115)--WIN
                                                                open
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Optional
                                                                  Administrator
                                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                                  • 61506

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I'd like to know your hit rate with Xfinity head to heads this year.
                                                                  .
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 52002

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Optional
                                                                    I'd like to know your hit rate with Xfinity head to heads this year.
                                                                    15-3 my last 18 h2h picks

                                                                    none more than -160

                                                                    thats not all of them, is have to look. but for the last last few months at least this I'm pretty sure
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Optional
                                                                      Administrator
                                                                      • 06-10-10
                                                                      • 61506

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Jimmie +1150
                                                                      Harvick +1200
                                                                      Bowyer +1800
                                                                      Kurt +2000

                                                                      Harvick +100 > Junior
                                                                      Jimmie Johnson #48* +115 vs Brad Keselowski #2
                                                                      Clint Bowyer #14* +120 vs Matt Kenseth #20
                                                                      Ricky Stenhouse Jr #17* +110 vs Trevor Bayne #6
                                                                      .
                                                                      Comment
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