F1 Russian GP - 8.00am ET Sunday

[Optional]

Friday practice at 4.00am and 8.00am ET
Saturday P3 5.00am & Quali 8.00am
Sunday Race 8.00am



Bit of a boring track that is tough to pass on and also does not wear tires so everyone ends up on same strategy.

Mercedes have won every race here. It's considered a power track. which I think Merc still hold an advantage in, and the corners are kind of simple and square. Which is a bit like China where Merc won last. And unlike Australia and Bahrain with high speed sweepers that saw Ferrari handle tire wear much better. It's also cooler here, again like in China, which is thought to help Mercedes against Ferrari.

Pundits are saying this in Bottas best track over last few years in the Williams and he knows he needs to win to stop the slide into official #2 team driver so he might be a decent chance to beat Hamilton. Especially at 9/1 odds.

Not sure I agree with that but those odds do make it tempting to take the shot.

Williams as a team has killed it here... but is it the car or has it been Bottas? If they had someone a bit younger than Massa as their lead driver I'd be thinking they might beat the Red Bulls this weekend. Anyway, keep them safe as they could be good. Young Lance Stroll has been kind of awful so far but I can see Williams trying to help his confidence with a shot at fast lap if the opportunity arises and the car has it in it.

Speaking of fast lap... with the lack of tyre strategy from the smooth track here it kind of takes away the value from fast lap longshots. I'm going to take Massa and Stroll small for fast lap now just in case they really shine in practice and odds drop but honestly dont really see anyone but the top 4 taking it here without some sort of late incident that sees someone switch to Ultra Softs in the final laps.

Kyvatt has been better than Sainz in last 2 GPs in the Torro Rosso but books still have his odds at about double those of his team mate. RS1X pointed out that there could be some value to be found from him at his home GP and I agree. I'm a bit worried the Merc engined Force India might be a bit fast for them to jump on him top 10 +120 yet but am thinking about it depending how practice pans out.


So far I've taken;

Fastest in P1 - Hamilton +110

Fastest Lap - Stroll 100/1, Massa 40/1


Current 5Dimes Odds;

Formula 1 Russian Grand Prix

Lewis Hamilton -120
Sebastian Vettel +150
Valtteri Bottas +750
Kimi Raikkonen +1600
Max Verstappen +4000
Daniel Ricciardo +4000
Felipe Massa +25000
Sergio Perez +50000
Carlos Sainz +50000
Daniil Kvyat +100000
Esteban Ocon +100000
Lance Stroll +100000
Nico Hulkenberg +100000
Romain Grosjean +100000
Kevin Magnussen +150000
Jolyon Palmer +200000
Fernando Alonso +200000
Stoffel Vandoorne +250000
Marcus Ericsson +300000
Pascal Wehrlein +300000


Formula 1 Russian Grand Prix - Pole Position Winner

Lewis Hamilton -185
Valtteri Bottas +300
Sebastian Vettel +350
Kimi Raikkonen +1600
Max Verstappen +5000
Daniel Ricciardo +5000
Felipe Massa +25000
Sergio Perez +50000
Carlos Sainz +50000
Daniil Kvyat +100000
Esteban Ocon +100000
Lance Stroll +100000
Nico Hulkenberg +100000
Romain Grosjean +100000
Kevin Magnussen +200000
Fernando Alonso +200000
Jolyon Palmer +250000
Stoffel Vandoorne +300000
Marcus Ericsson +300000
Pascal Wehrlein +300000


Formula 1 Russian Grand Prix - Top 3 Finish

Lewis Hamilton -700
Sebastian Vettel -600
Valtteri Bottas -200
Kimi Raikkonen +150
Max Verstappen +350
Daniel Ricciardo +350
Felipe Massa +2000
Carlos Sainz +5000
Sergio Perez +6600
Nico Hulkenberg +10000
Lance Stroll +15000
Romain Grosjean +15000
Daniil Kvyat +20000
Esteban Ocon +20000
Kevin Magnussen +25000
Jolyon Palmer +50000
Fernando Alonso +50000
Stoffel Vandoorne +100000
Marcus Ericsson +100000
Pascal Wehrlein +100000


Formula 1 Russian Grand Prix - Top 6 Finish

Lewis Hamilton -800
Sebastian Vettel -700
Valtteri Bottas -600
Kimi Raikkonen -500
Max Verstappen -350
Daniel Ricciardo -300
Felipe Massa -225
Sergio Perez +400
Carlos Sainz +500
Romain Grosjean +500
Nico Hulkenberg +600
Daniil Kvyat +800
Esteban Ocon +800
Lance Stroll +800
Kevin Magnussen +1000
Jolyon Palmer +1600
Fernando Alonso +1600
Stoffel Vandoorne +3300
Marcus Ericsson +5000
Pascal Wehrlein +5000


Formula 1 Russian Grand Prix - Top 10 Finish

Lewis Hamilton -1000
Sebastian Vettel -900
Valtteri Bottas -800
Kimi Raikkonen -700
Max Verstappen -500
Daniel Ricciardo -500
Felipe Massa -350
Sergio Perez -200
Carlos Sainz -185
Nico Hulkenberg +100
Romain Grosjean +100
Esteban Ocon +110
Lance Stroll +110
Daniil Kvyat +120
Kevin Magnussen +135
Fernando Alonso +250
Jolyon Palmer +300
Stoffel Vandoorne +800
Marcus Ericsson +2000
Pascal Wehrlein +2000


Formula 1 Russian Grand Prix - Fastest Lap

Lewis Hamilton +125
Sebastian Vettel +275
Valtteri Bottas +400
Kimi Raikkonen +700
Daniel Ricciardo +1600
Max Verstappen +1600
Felipe Massa +4000
Carlos Sainz +5000
Sergio Perez +5000
Daniil Kvyat +10000
Esteban Ocon +10000
Lance Stroll +10000
Nico Hulkenberg +10000
Fernando Alonso +15000
Romain Grosjean +15000
Kevin Magnussen +20000
Jolyon Palmer +30000
Stoffel Vandoorne +50000
Marcus Ericsson +50000
Pascal Wehrlein +50000

[5mike5]

Any thoughts on 1st retirement?

[Optional]

Any thoughts on 1st retirement?

I don't think so Mike. Although come to think of it 3 Renault engined cars have had fuel pressure issues during practice, so maybe one of them. But not for me.

Ferrari looking very very strong all through practice. Be interesting to see if Mercedes can dial it up for qualifying about to start.

Not really seeing anything that is grabbing me value wise so far. Hopefully something crazy happens in quali and opens up opportunities.

[5mike5]

I don't think so Mike. Although come to think of it 3 Renault engined cars have had fuel pressure issues during practice, so maybe one of them. But not for me.

Ferrari looking very very strong all through practice. Be interesting to see if Mercedes can dial it up for qualifying about to start.

Not really seeing anything that is grabbing me value wise so far. Hopefully something crazy happens in quali and opens up opportunities.

ok thanks

I'll wait and see what u think.

Might throw out a few plays cause I'll def get to watch it.

Do they let open parlay top fav winners in F1?

[Optional]

I don't think so but can't recall for sure. I'm not allowed to do open parlays anymore.

[5mike5]

Thanks.

Didnt think they offered them as parlayable, but couldn't remember

[5mike5]

So any value in this? FL looks like less odds than usual even. Dan R any chance at it?

[Optional]

So any value in this? FL looks like less odds than usual even. Dan R any chance at it?

I dunno Mike. Looks like Vettel should win but worse odds than Lewis has been seem a bit much.

Maybe Bottas worth a shot at the odds but dont really think he'll win.

The top 4 fast lap odds are about right. Only crazy luck (good or bad) will see someone else take it I think. As usual maybe a small advantage in Kimi but as we talked about last race, Bottas seemed keen to steal it last lap too. Odds shitty.

After Ferrari, Merc, Red Bull and Massa take the top 7 finish spots it's a lottery between at least 7 others for the final top 10 spots and I dont see any value in anyone in particular.

There is usually a safety car here.

Not sure who will retire first.

90 mins still to decide but might just add a few bucks on some more of the fast lap longshots and just enjoy the race I think.

[5mike5]

Thanks as always for the much needed input.

ill probably ghow out 1-2 fast laps and just enjoy. Maybe Kimi and dan R

[Optional]

Not really much of interest in H2Hs either


Race Matchups - Russian Grand Prix - Sochi Autodrom - Sochi, Russia - NBCSN

Sun 4/30 7701 Sebastian Vettel -385
8:00AM 7702 Kimi Raikkonen +295

Sun 4/30 7703 Kimi Raikkonen -140
8:00AM 7704 Lewis Hamilton +110

Sun 4/30 7705 Lewis Hamilton -165
8:00AM 7706 Valtteri Bottas +135

Sun 4/30 7707 Felipe Massa -300
8:00AM 7708 Sergio Perez +240

Sun 4/30 7709 Daniel Ricciardo -140
8:00AM 7710 Max Verstappen +110

Sun 4/30 7711 Nico Hulkenberg -120
8:00AM 7712 Esteban Ocon -110

Sun 4/30 7713 Carlos Sainz -125
8:00AM 7714 Daniil Kvyat -105

Sun 4/30 7715 Fernando Alonso +105
8:00AM 7716 Jolyon Palmer -135

Sun 4/30 7717 Lance Stroll -165
8:00AM 7718 Kevin Magnussen +135

Sun 4/30 7719 Pascal Wehrlein -240
8:00AM 7720 Marcus Ericsson +180

Sun 4/30 7721 Daniil Kvyat -150
8:00AM 7722 Kevin Magnussen +120

Sun 4/30 7723 Pascal Wehrlein -135
8:00AM 7724 Stoffel Vandoorne +105

[5mike5]

Bottas (+400)
Dan R (+3300)

for FL, just to make it interesting

[Optional]

GL Mike

Have Dan too

[5mike5]

U 2 buddy, thanks for all the insight