Phoenix--

[5mike5]

Alright everybody nascar is off to PHOENIX this weekend on the second stop of Nascar's west coast swing. XFinity series will be in action on Saturday afternoon and Cup on the usual Sunday afternoon.

Phoenix has been a absolute stomping ground for Harvick over the years. He has 8 wins here, yes 8... has only finished outside the top 4 ONE time since 2012 season. His odds have been the worst of any driver to win any race on the entire schedule last few years. Ending around +200 even lately, which is unheard of. He has 4 wins in the last 6 Phoenix races, with a unreal avg finish of 1.7. Leading almost 1,000 laps.

The are totally reconfiguring this track later in the year so it won't be quite the same after that happens, but ubtil then, there will be some value out there besides Harvick on a few guys who run well here, but if it will even matter is the real question this week

PIR is a 1-mile asphalt, very low banking tri-oval. First track we have went to this season that measures this length and totally different. Everybody's picks and opinions are always welcomed


GOODLUCK!!!

[5mike5]

Odds probably won't be posted til sometime tomorrow afternoon or evening

[CarolinaDaze]

This might be the week your boy Larson Wins. He started 2nd, spun out early in the race and still finished 3rd last November.

He also Tested @ Phoenix in January where he had the fastest car that day followed by Joey Logano & Kevin Harvick.

Here are Larson’s last five finishes: Phoenix (3rd), Homestead (2nd), Daytona (12th but was leading with two laps to go), Atlanta (2nd) and Las Vegas (2nd). That is an average finishing position of 4.5. No driver is even close to his numbers in the last five races. No driver benefitted more from the new aerodynamics package than Larson. It would not surprise me to see him win this week.

[5mike5]

This might be the week your boy Larson Wins. He started 2nd, spun out early in the race and still finished 3rd last November.

He also Tested @ Phoenix in January where he had the fastest car that day followed by Joey Logano & Kevin Harvick.

Here are Larson’s last five finishes: Phoenix (3rd), Homestead (2nd), Daytona (12th but was leading with two laps to go), Atlanta (2nd) and Las Vegas (2nd). That is an average finishing position of 4.5. No driver is even close to his numbers in the last five races. No driver benefitted more from the new aerodynamics package than Larson. It would not surprise me to see him win this week.

good stuff CD.

my goodness if this kid isn't due for another win nobody is. Just been fantastic. Be nice if he is around 10-1 or better sometime this week with Harvick being a massive fav I would expect. Followed by Kyle and logano so maybe will be see a good # for Larson. I've had him weekly so far this season and I don't see it changing this week!

[5mike5]

I looked at that tire test times from PIR and Larson did look very fast on both days and logano too as U said. Larson hit the top of the charts both days and in diff sessions too. Dale Jr also seemed to do very well.

[5mike5]

Harvick opened at +250 @ westgate in Vegas. Brutal. Maybe be a little better offshore

[Optional]

[5mike5]

Harvick opened at +250 @ westgate in Vegas. Brutal. Maybe be a little better offshore

+400 at Greek so dimes will even be a little better. Not sure about bov. Whatever it opens at odds will never be better. Still not sure what I'll do with it yet

[5mike5]

Odds posted about 15 ago

[Optional]

NASCAR Cup Series Camping World 500
Fri 3/17 2:00PM

Kevin Harvick +375
Jimmie Johnson +850
Joey Logano +850
Kyle Busch +850
Brad Keselowski +1350
Denny Hamlin +1350
Martin Truex Jr +1350
Chase Elliott +1350
Kyle Larson +1350
Dale Earnhardt Jr +1500
Matt Kenseth +1650
Kurt Busch +2000
Clint Bowyer +2250
Erik Jones +2250
Daniel Suarez +3300
Ryan Blaney +3300
Austin Dillon +4400
Kasey Kahne +4400
Ryan Newman +4400
Jamie McMurray +4400

[5mike5]

Harvick opened at +450

last 2-3 min

only one that's diff than that list

[5mike5]

Harvick (+450)

kyle B (+850)

larson (+1350)

could use any as cover but wanted to get early odds on a few. Just depends on how how many more and how much on each which won't know til later

[5mike5]

XFinity odds are reallly rough

[5mike5]

Odds are getting DRILLED at dimes

harvuck odds cut in HALF already, now +225

[DDT]

That is unbelievable

[Optional]

NASCAR Cup Series Camping World 500
Fri 3/17 2:00PM

Kevin Harvick +375
Jimmie Johnson +850
Joey Logano +850
Kyle Busch +850
Brad Keselowski +1350
Denny Hamlin +1350
Martin Truex Jr +1350
Chase Elliott +1350
Kyle Larson +1350
Dale Earnhardt Jr +1500
Matt Kenseth +1650
Kurt Busch +2000
Clint Bowyer +2250
Erik Jones +2250
Daniel Suarez +3300
Ryan Blaney +3300
Austin Dillon +4400
Kasey Kahne +4400
Ryan Newman +4400
Jamie McMurray +4400

Kevin Harvick +225
Joey Logano +800
Kyle Busch +850
Brad Keselowski +850
Denny Hamlin +1150
Jimmie Johnson +1350
Martin Truex Jr +1350
Chase Elliott +1350
Kyle Larson +1350
Dale Earnhardt Jr +1350
Kurt Busch +1600
Matt Kenseth +2250
Clint Bowyer +2700
Erik Jones +3300
Daniel Suarez +4400
Ryan Blaney +4400
Austin Dillon +4400
Kasey Kahne +4400
Ryan Newman +4400
Jamie McMurray +4400




Took

Jimmie +1350
Blaney +4400

[5mike5]

Like blaney as a longshot too at that price too. Haven't took it yet but I like

[turbobets]

My outright winners this week.

Kyle Busch +1100
Truex Jr. +1350
Elliot +1350
Kenseth +2250
Kurt Busch +3046

Thanks for the great write ups 5mike5 and CD. Larson killing it recently but not so much at 1.0 mile tracks and Harvicks odds too low now I think.

[5mike5]

Harvick odds are too low. NOw I agree. Larson looked great here last year though, spinning out and stil finishing 3rd was impressive especially at a shorter racetrack. He is just like chase Elliot, both are in amazing race form overall, just having trouble closing the deal for the Win. But both are there every single week, and both will be opening that door very soon this season I have a feeling

[5mike5]

My outright winners this week.

Kyle Busch +1100
Truex Jr. +1350
Elliot +1350
Kenseth +2250
Kurt Busch +3046

Thanks for the great write ups 5mike5 and CD. Larson killing it recently but not so much at 1.0 mile tracks and Harvicks odds too low now I think.

like the picks and think they for sure have value odds wise. Would have several of those myself but jumped on Harvick early so have to watch my plays overall so wanted to save 1 for later. Probably use a cover bet again and maybe even a current pick just depends on what else I add and who I add on more to of exsisting plays

[5mike5]

Weather forecast for PIR this weekend:

Sunny and blistering hot for march even in Phoenix with highs for sat/sun in the mid 90s.

[5mike5]

Xfinity bets so far I've just taken Blaney (+550) and started a open h2h parlay.

Will add 1-2 more on raceday but not before.

[5mike5]

Qualifying parlay:
Logano>BK (-130)
hamlin>truex (-125)
open

[5mike5]

Single h2hs for Cup:

kyle>JJ (-130)

Jones>suarez(-140)

[5mike5]

Took
Jimmie +1350
Blaney +4400

[Optional]

Yeah pleased I have him. Guess it's like a 3rd Penske car this year so we should expect the fast one lap speed though.

[5mike5]

just a great play. He's +2250 this morning. No longer the big longshot he was and I know it's overreaction qualifying but he should have never been 44-1 and u at least were smart enough to get amazing value and think he will be strong tomorrow too honestly. Kicking myself. Lol

[5mike5]

DENNY HAMLIN has to start in rear of the field tomorrow

oer new rule u can't start the race on new tires after qualifying. He got a flat tire during qualifying session so he has to start on stickers for the race. Qualified 19th but starts in the back

[5mike5]

Elliot (+1100)

[5mike5]

Xfinity:
blaney (+800/+550)
allgahier (+1350)

jones wins race (+195)
Open

jones>A.D (-150)
hemeric>T.D(-115)
open

[5mike5]

Xfinity:
blaney (+800/+550)
allgahier (+1350)

jones wins race (+195)
Open

jones>A.D (-150)
hemeric>T.D(-115)
open

HUGE day for Xfinity bets! Big longshot comes in!!!

allgahier (+1350)--WINNER

parlay:
jones>a.dillon(-150)--WIN
hemeric>t.dillon (-115)--WIN
OPEN

and a great open parlay on last leg for tomorrow cup race

[tennis005]

Why do I have a feeling that Dale will win Sunday... Ill post my plays in the morning but always like my boy truex

[5mike5]

Why do I have a feeling that Dale will win Sunday... Ill post my plays in the morning but always like my boy truex

he did looked good in practices, but my thing with truex here is he has only 1 top 5 in his whole career here (22 races) that was in 2009 best finish of 5th. . But he's a diff driver than he use to be and in a team in great form. Now Dale can def win but he has no value at his current odds imo, but may get better

[Optional]

HUGE day for Xfinity bets! Big longshot comes in!!!

allgahier (+1350)--WINNER

parlay:
jones>a.dillon(-150)--WIN
hemeric>t.dillon (-115)--WIN
OPEN

and a great open parlay on last leg for tomorrow cup race

Nice work on grabbing Allgaier Mike

Hopefully Blaney can go 1 better tomorrow when it really counts!

[5mike5]

Nice work on grabbing Allgaier Mike

Hopefully Blaney can go 1 better tomorrow when it really counts!

thanks opti

yeah u got the early longshot play of the week for sure buddy. Still kicking myself! Thinking of closing my parlay with a ford but not sure yet. Logano tempting too!