Is it February yet? I'm in NASCAR withdrawal

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  • packerd_00
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-22-13
    • 17809

    #106
    Originally posted by 5mike5
    Oh yeah I been to several tracks. Buddy dad has an RV and use to work on NHRA cars so he knows guys at all the tracks so we got pit road passes and stuff. Last ur I didn't go to any was first year I stayed home in years
    Whats the best track youve been to would you say, do you learn quite abit going behind the scenes.
    Comment
    • Vegas39
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-22-11
      • 30686

      #107
      Few other things with new qualifying :

      only one set of tires can be used

      only can make changes to car on breaks between rounds
      Comment
      • DDT
        SBR MVP
        • 03-22-09
        • 3757

        #108
        Those changes are really interesting. I was reading in Sports Illustrated that TV viewing has fallen off 50% since 2005, that's a staggering number. I don't know what they can do to get more viewers short of having girls in bikinis as pit crews.
        Comment
        • rob
          SBR MVP
          • 08-23-06
          • 3007

          #109
          I'm ok with the new qualifying format. The primary purpose is to create more interest and if it does that, it'll be good. Most of the drivers seem to like it.
          I just hope they don't mess with the Chase much.
          Comment
          • DDT
            SBR MVP
            • 03-22-09
            • 3757

            #110
            Originally posted by rob
            I'm ok with the new qualifying format. The primary purpose is to create more interest and if it does that, it'll be good. Most of the drivers seem to like it.
            I just hope they don't mess with the Chase much.
            The chase will get a complete overhaul
            Comment
            • Vegas39
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-22-11
              • 30686

              #111
              Originally posted by DDT
              The chase will get a complete overhaul

              Agree looks like it will be a knockout format too
              Comment
              • ChiefButcher
                SBR Rookie
                • 01-23-14
                • 13

                #112
                Originally posted by 5mike5
                My system is picking around. 4-5 drivers depending in odds. And also take several longshot added on to those other picks. Its a system I came up with myself after not making $ for first few years if betting on it and have made great $ every since. 5-6 years in a row. It's more to it than just picking a few I spend about 25-35 hours every week on each upcoming race. Have notebooks on every single driver and racetrack and watch past races b4 the week from last 4-5 races at each weeks track. It's really pretty complicated system and of course a lot depends on the odds. If u stick around it will be easier to understand when the season starts. Also not for bettors that just play smaller cause it really works best if ur willing to risk a lot most every weeks. Is not for everybody but its worked for me for years so I stick with it. It has ups and downs like everything , but at the seasons end I've always made great $ using the system. But again, I spend easily 25+ hours prepping every single week for every race.

                I also use use a cover bet about 1/2 the time but too hard to explain right now and a lot of others started using that too. Kinda like if that pick wins u push and break even for the race

                Like u said lots of variables in NASCAR,( like all sports really) and anything can happen. But there's also ways to have a leg up looking at past history at tracks, tires, watching previous races, ect. Like you know. The only crapshoot are plate races, and even those u can get an edge on but still those I even consider crapshoots. But boy they pay well! We hit raga at 150-1 last season even. But there was a reason I picked him also, wasn't a guess. Well over 1/2 the wins are 12-1 and worse odds winners. Betting favs will kill u in this sport

                Most people just look at driver stats like where drives finish races and practice times and qualifying which are the BIGGEST mistakes gamblers make capping this sport BY FAR

                This group of 6-8 regulars are the best there is. Period. We don't all bet the same or use the same system to do so. But they ALL are the most knowledgable NASCAR guys I've ever seen and I learn a lot and have gotten a lot better with them here.

                im not a guru i need their help almost weekly. We are a team, but never all have the same picks or anything. But I put in a lot of work to be good at this sport. Be it, I'm not good at any other sport though. Average at football and dont even at any others really. Lol. I've only made maybe 4 total bets all NASCAR offseason cause I have to be $ smart til NASCAR starts up again
                You say you bet 4 or 5 guys to win and a cover. 1 long shot parley. Betting all this and you still come out ahead? I'm not sure I follow. How do you know which driver to put big money on? Do you post which drivers and how much you put on each?
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 52006

                  #113
                  I just post my plays. Several here do similar to what I do. I see not point in posting the money I play. And don't post what I win either.Never have. Its all about odds, u can make a killing in NASCAR if u know why ur doing and know how to bet the odds. But I would never tell people to do what I do. Everybody has to figure out what system works for them and the $ they can risk per race.
                  Comment
                  • ChiefButcher
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 01-23-14
                    • 13

                    #114
                    OK thanks. I love NASCAR and my father in law an I always throw some money on two or three drivers to win but never have much luck. I'll keep an eye out for this thread as it seems you really have your shit together.
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 52006

                      #115
                      Good luck this season. That's how I started. I picked 2 or 3 and never made money for the season years when I started. (Like 10 years ago). But was only for fun back then and didn't bet much. Betting on it was the reason I really fell in love with the sport. I wasn't even a fan before that. Knew almost nothing about it . Took me forever to start winning good money yearly.
                      Comment
                      • Vegas39
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-22-11
                        • 30686

                        #116
                        Originally posted by ChiefButcher
                        OK thanks. I love NASCAR and my father in law an I always throw some money on two or three drivers to win but never have much luck. I'll keep an eye out for this thread as it seems you really have your shit together.
                        Mike top notch Nascar capper. His weekly thread gets lots of good advice from guys that post here. Just be wary first few weeks as get guys starting at daytona that think its easy and talk shit. Then disappear after a few weeks
                        Comment
                        • ChiefButcher
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 01-23-14
                          • 13

                          #117
                          Thanks guys I'm looking forward to this thread. Glad I found this site.
                          Comment
                          • Vegas39
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 09-22-11
                            • 30686

                            #118
                            Since I know it wasn't Mike, who here has bet Dillion down from +3000 to +2000
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 52006

                              #119
                              As Vegas said, this is the best group of guys on the site. I start the weekly thread but its really just a single thread for all the regulars to post in. We may disagree on lots of things for races sometimes, but we just give our picks and opinions, it's not arguing. There isn't any fighting, dicks, trolls, or shit talkin u usually find on these gaming boards. and we root for each other even if we personally might lose a race. We weed out the garbage pretty quickly. We learn from each other. Not a sport u can ever stop working on handicapping and learning from others imo.
                              Comment
                              • Vegas39
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 09-22-11
                                • 30686

                                #120
                                Originally posted by 5mike5
                                As Vegas said, this is the best group of guys on the site. I start the weekly thread but its really just a single thread for all the regulars to post in. We may disagree on lots of things for races sometimes, but we just give our picks and opinions, it's not arguing. There isn't any fighting, dicks, trolls, or shit talkin u usually find on these gaming boards. and we root for each other even if we personally might lose a race. We weed out the garbage pretty quickly. We learn from each other. Not a sport u can ever stop working on handicapping and learning from others imo.
                                Exactly many times I add a driver or matchup based on opinions in here. always good input
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 52006

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by Vegas39
                                  Since I know it wasn't Mike, who here has bet Dillion down from +3000 to +2000
                                  Yeah sure as hell was NOT me that did it. LOL. What the hell. Actually I wouldn't admit that but some1 fess up I want I know damn it! He will be back to 40-1 or better on raceday unless they ovrreact and he gets front row starting spot. I know its a crapshoot here but that's insane odds early for no reason.
                                  Comment
                                  • Vegas39
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-22-11
                                    • 30686

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by 5mike5
                                    Yeah sure as hell was me that did it. LOL. What the hell. Actually I wouldn't admit that but some1 fess up I want I know damn it! He will be back to 40-1 or better on raceday unless they ovrreact and he gets front row starting spot. I know its a crapshoot here but that's insane odds early for no reason.

                                    yes remember the overreaction when Danica got pole
                                    Comment
                                    • JayHorne3
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-07-11
                                      • 1130

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by Vegas39
                                      yes remember the overreaction when Danica got pole
                                      For the life of me, I can't understand why she is getting 45-1 type odds right now at 5D. I should be getting Mike's David Ragan (100-1) type odds for her to win the Daytona 500.
                                      Comment
                                      • Vegas39
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 09-22-11
                                        • 30686

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by JayHorne3
                                        For the life of me, I can't understand why she is getting 45-1 type odds right now at 5D. I should be getting Mike's David Ragan (100-1) type odds for her to win the Daytona 500.

                                        Ragan should be a small play for everyone since he can draft well.

                                        Think Jay due to fact 500 was her only top 10 last year
                                        Comment
                                        • 5mike5
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-21-11
                                          • 52006

                                          #125
                                          Just was reading rules for motor sports this year on 5dimes and saw they might be adding some cool stuff. 2 years ago they use to have matchups with like Kyle (-2.5) positions over kennseth (+125) or whatever and looks like they might be back. They didn't offer those at all last year and stopped early the season b4.

                                          Also something new looks like 2 driers vs 1 in a matchups. Like #2 AND #16 vs #11 (-180/+160). Where either one on those 2 cars beats Hamlin u win or the underdog would be Hamlin having to beat both kes and biffle. Sounds pretty cool To take longshots on a parlay of a few of those for fun probably. I hope they follow through and offer those would be fun to play around with imo.

                                          But who knows if they will offer either of those 2 options on h2h. Just never noticed them in the Motorsport rules last season.

                                          I just uts can't wait for my longshot open parlays with underdog plays with last- leg for the cup races. My goodness those were just a fukkin waterfall of money last season.
                                          Comment
                                          • JayHorne3
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-07-11
                                            • 1130

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by 5mike5
                                            Just was reading rules for motor sports this year on 5dimes and saw they might be adding some cool stuff. 2 years ago they use to have matchups with like Kyle (-2.5) positions over kennseth (+125) or whatever and looks like they might be back. They didn't offer those at all last year and stopped early the season b4.

                                            Also something new looks like 2 driers vs 1 in a matchups. Like #2 AND #16 vs #11 (-180/+160). Where either one on those 2 cars beats Hamlin u win or the underdog would be Hamlin having to beat both kes and biffle. Sounds pretty cool To take longshots on a parlay of a few of those for fun probably. I hope they follow through and offer those would be fun to play around with imo.

                                            But who knows if they will offer either of those 2 options on h2h. Just never noticed them in the Motorsport rules last season.

                                            I just uts can't wait for my longshot open parlays with underdog plays with last- leg for the cup races. My goodness those were just a fukkin waterfall of money last season.
                                            Good stuff Mike, I always already excited, this made me even more excited!
                                            Comment
                                            • Optional
                                              Administrator
                                              • 06-10-10
                                              • 61530

                                              #127
                                              I think people who watch qualifying will enjoy it a lot more this way. Only trouble with the one set of tires rule is that they will have to go for a fast lap early then save save save tires until the end so they have enough grip left for a second fast run if needed.
                                              .
                                              Comment
                                              • Optional
                                                Administrator
                                                • 06-10-10
                                                • 61530

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                Just was reading rules for motor sports this year on 5dimes and saw they might be adding some cool stuff. 2 years ago they use to have matchups with like Kyle (-2.5) positions over kennseth (+125) or whatever and looks like they might be back. They didn't offer those at all last year and stopped early the season b4.

                                                Also something new looks like 2 driers vs 1 in a matchups. Like #2 AND #16 vs #11 (-180/+160). Where either one on those 2 cars beats Hamlin u win or the underdog would be Hamlin having to beat both kes and biffle. Sounds pretty cool To take longshots on a parlay of a few of those for fun probably. I hope they follow through and offer those would be fun to play around with imo.

                                                But who knows if they will offer either of those 2 options on h2h. Just never noticed them in the Motorsport rules last season.

                                                I just uts can't wait for my longshot open parlays with underdog plays with last- leg for the cup races. My goodness those were just a fukkin waterfall of money last season.
                                                Sounds promising! Like it when they increase motorsport offerings. Shows they are interested in it still.
                                                .
                                                Comment
                                                • Vegas39
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-22-11
                                                  • 30686

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by Optional
                                                  I think people who watch qualifying will enjoy it a lot more this way. Only trouble with the one set of tires rule is that they will have to go for a fast lap early then save save save tires until the end so they have enough grip left for a second fast run if needed.

                                                  Blow a tire and screwed
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Optional
                                                    Administrator
                                                    • 06-10-10
                                                    • 61530

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Vegas39


                                                    Blow a tire and screwed
                                                    Think they will have an allowance for that.

                                                    Although it probably depends on how drunk they were this NYE as they put that full hour into brainstorming the annual rule changes.
                                                    .
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vegas39
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 09-22-11
                                                      • 30686

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by Optional
                                                      Think they will have an allowance for that.

                                                      Although it probably depends on how drunk they were this NYE as they put that full hour into brainstorming the annual rule changes.

                                                      Could be that's just how I interpreted it. What could be concern is no changes during session someone super loose off truck and we see big practice wrecks
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CarolinaDaze
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-07-09
                                                        • 6845

                                                        #132
                                                        I agree with what Jimmie Johnson said about the new Qualifying System: " He said he was Ok With It", " but predicted "Theres gonna be some p*ssed off people at the end of qualifying".
                                                        Comment
                                                        • packerd_00
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 05-22-13
                                                          • 17809

                                                          #133
                                                          I dont get why they had to change the Qualifying System to be honest,if it isnt broke dont fix it.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Optional
                                                            Administrator
                                                            • 06-10-10
                                                            • 61530

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by Vegas39


                                                            Could be that's just how I interpreted it. What could be concern is no changes during session someone super loose off truck and we see big practice wrecks
                                                            I get that part. Teams will just use it as additional practice time if they can change setup during the session.
                                                            .
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 61530

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by packerd_00
                                                              I dont get why they had to change the Qualifying System to be honest,if it isnt broke dont fix it.
                                                              Ratings.

                                                              How many here watched more than 5 qualifying sessions last year?

                                                              Quali is a big ratings winner for F1. France wants some of that. And I bet he is thinking that he can't increase race day ratings as easily.
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vegas39
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 09-22-11
                                                                • 30686

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by Optional
                                                                I get that part. Teams will just use it as additional practice time if they can change setup during the session.

                                                                Cant even really experiment as no changes to car til breaks between session.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vegas39
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 09-22-11
                                                                  • 30686

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by Optional
                                                                  Ratings.

                                                                  How many here watched more than 5 qualifying sessions last year?

                                                                  Quali is a big ratings winner for F1. France wants some of that. And I bet he is thinking that he can't increase race day ratings as easily.
                                                                  guilty
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • packerd_00
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-22-13
                                                                    • 17809

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by Optional
                                                                    Ratings.

                                                                    How many here watched more than 5 qualifying sessions last year?

                                                                    Quali is a big ratings winner for F1. France wants some of that. And I bet he is thinking that he can't increase race day ratings as easily.
                                                                    Isnt it always lol, id still be surprised if this worked though as much as they expect.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Vegas39
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 09-22-11
                                                                      • 30686

                                                                      #139
                                                                      I see what they wanted to make it more exciting for fans but a couple of rules I don't care for. Have to see how it all plays out
                                                                      Comment
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