Handball picks

[Wordsworth]

My bets in Handball, both mens' and womens' leagues. Will be focused mainly on Scandinavian, German and Spanish leagues. Continental and International cup matches may be included. Input, questions and suggestions are more than welcome.

Will be using decimal system. Convertion can be found here http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-tools/odds-converter/


TAIL AT YOUR OWN RISK

GL


Results so far W/L

1-2

[Wordsworth]

Danish League [Mens]

BSV [-4.5H] - NordSj 28-22 Won
BSV - NordSJ 28-22 (Over 53 goals) Dead

[Wordsworth]

Danish League [Mens]

Viborg HK v. Holstebro 23-23 Dead

Very rare to see a draw in hand ball. Road team was leading with two goals a few minutes to go, but still managed to screw themselves and the rest of us over.

[Wordsworth]

European Championship [Via Bet365]

Norway v. Slovenia 1.H - u 28.5 @ 1.85

Norway v. Slovenia total u 57.5 @ 1.85

Counting on few 2 min suspensions, a slow offensive play by Slovenia, goalkeepers playing decent, a handful of misses and Norway not utilizing their fast breaks at an optimal rate. I don't see both teams being able to produce a goal every minute.
The total can be chosen as a live bet, judging on how the match proceeds.

France v. Spain 1.H - o. 26.0 @ 1.90

Very dependent on goalkeepers' form tonight, but I see both teams as being capable of scoring at least 13 times each within 30 mins.

[Wordsworth]

Made a parlay for fun:

Norway v. Slovenia u 59,5
France v. Spain o. 50,5
Combined @ 1.925

[Wordsworth]

France v. Spain only need 10 goals in 15 mins,

Norway v. Slovenia must score less than 13 goals in 12 mins,

Still not feeling safe about any of these

[Wordsworth]

France v. Spain only need 10 goals in 15 mins,

Norway v. Slovenia must score less than 13 goals in 12 mins,

Still not feeling safe about any of these

Ok Norway abandons defending and lets Slovenia go rampant u 28 is probably dead, the french/spanish is gonna be a tight squeeze too

[Wordsworth]

European Championship [Via Bet365]

Norway v. Slovenia 1.H - u 28.5 @ 1.85 Win

France v. Spain 1.H - o. 26.0 @ 1.90 Win

28 goals in Norway v. Slovenia match close call but capped

Lets hope they don't score more than 29 combined in 2nd half

13-15 France v. Spain, another close one but capped

W/L Ratio: 3-2

[Wordsworth]

8 mins to score more than 12 goals in Norway v Slovenia match, but probably gonna be another tight squeeze

Parlay looks good though and France v. Spain is closing is capped

Edit: Norway goalie is a #%&!ing bulwark, under will most-likely cap

[Wordsworth]

European Championship [Via Bet365]

Norway v. Slovenia total u 57.5 @ 1.85 Win

Parlay:

Norway v. Slovenia u 59,5
France v. Spain o. 50,5
Combined @ 1.925 Win

W/L ratio 5 - 2

Dogs winning tonight
Thanks to Norway and Slovenia teams for great action

[Wordsworth]

Fast pick [via Bet365]

Hungary v. Russia 1H o 27 @1.9

[Wordsworth]

Fast pick [via Bet365]

Hungary v. Russia 1H o 27 @1.9

Game progressing slower than I am comfortable with, But if they keep the ratio of 10 goals pr. 10 mins I'll be content

Wish I had gone for the over in the Iceland v. Croatia match both are pretty much applying gung ho strategy at the moment 12 goals after ten mins FFS

Update:

20 goals after 15 mins, only need 8 goals in 15 mins - think I'm gonna cap this one

Made a live bet on Iceland Croatia match u 29.5 @ 1.90 after 15 mins. Game slowed down and odds dropped dramatically moments after. Will not include it in my W/L ratio though

[Wordsworth]

Fast pick [via Bet365]

Hungary v. Russia 1H o 27 @1.9 Win

Score 16-12 after 22 mins

Capped 5/5 games tonight

W/L 6-2

29 goals 1h my live u 29,5 made it. I knew it all the time [cough], great action

[JuniorAnalyst]

nice work dude! where do you bet? 365 i assume as i dont know anywhere else that has such a wise range of sports to bet? Where are you from?

JA

[benrama]

Most sportsbooks have handball, I mainly use Pinnacle and they have it. I only bet on those sports drunk however

[Wordsworth]

Yeah I use bet 365, they seem to offer the most diverse range of totals for 1h and match-totals. But I think most bookies have handball in their portfolio.


Today's picks
Mens European Championship [17.01.12 via Bet365]

Czech Rep. vs. Sweden 1H o. 25,5@1,85
Serbia vs Denmark 1h o. 26,5 @2.00

Im not sure whether the lines will move much, it's a niche sports compared to for example soccer. Probably wait till live bets because you sometimes can get a better alternative 1h total, for example I got Denmark v. Slovakia 1h u 29,5 @ 1,80 in their opening match

Will be posting one more play and a parlay later when I get home from work

Update:

Serbia v. Denmark Total o. 53 @1.85

Parlays

Czech Rep. vs. Sweden
Macedonia v. Germany
Combined @ 2.47

Czech Rep. vs. Sweden fulltime o. 48,5 @1,31
Serbia vs Denmark fulltime o.50,5 @1,37
Combined @ 1.80

[Wordsworth]

Germany not playing particularly convincing. In case they should win, it's gonna be with a close margin. I had considered the 1h under 26,5 for the match and regret quite alot, seing how things are progressing - 1 goal every 1 min and 20 secs, jeeez

And I hope my picks for later tonight won't follow the same tendency

12-12 after first half, what an abomination. I hope zeh Germans take it home, just out of shear experience

[Wordsworth]

For the adventurous I can recommend:

Live u. 51,5 total @ 2.00

Gonna do it my self too

Edit: oh snap line just dropped to @1.72 stay away lol

Edit 2: it fluctuates, keep an eye on it, if it reaches 2.00 again go for it

Edit 3: it changed to 50,5 @2.00. Made a small bet, anything above 27 goals will kill it in second half. Not gonna include it in my total W/L though, just like my other live bet

[Wordsworth]

Germany isn't gonna pull this off, my risky parlay is probably dead

On the bright side they are producing 8 goals pr ten mins, I hope this tendency continues, to save my live u 50,5. I probably jinxed my self there

Germany conceeding way too many suspencions, crushed my parlay but will probably save my live u. 50,5. timeout now need to score 6 goals in 2 mins and 30 secs, not gonna happen

Update: Germany taking the lead, 1 goal up 45 secs to go, the tension omg - go defense !

Match is over!!! 23-24 Germany did it ! Parlay lives ! my under 50,5 made it ! gogogo Sweden

Thanks to both Germany and Macedonia for awesome action

Looking forward to the Scandinavian teams playing in 10 mins against Czech Rep and host from Serbia

[Wordsworth]

Serbia v. Denmark

22 goals in 30 mins... FFS, over in 1H is dead keeping my fingers crossed for the total 53,5 and 50,5 in my parlay

Can't believe I didn't anticipate the tough defending by both teams, sigh

And goal keeper Landin from Denmark is picking every shot and the same by Stanic in the opposite goal taking 3/4 penalty throws FFS

Shot efficiency at 15 mins:

Denmark 56%
Serbia 30%



Both overs Denmark is involved in - including one of my parlays are Dead unless one of the teams completely collapses. What a disappointment

Live bet

u 47,5 @1.90

Not looking good so far

Czech Rep. v. Sweden

11 - 15 after 22 mins o. 25,5 has capped

Score at half 17 - 19


Gonna take a rest before I start chasing stuff, will be back later once matches have ended

[Wordsworth]

Today's picks
Mens European Championship [17.01.12 via Bet365]

Czech Rep. vs. Sweden 1H o. 25,5@1,85 Win
Serbia vs Denmark 1h o. 26,5 @2.00 Dead


Update:

Serbia v. Denmark Total o. 53 @1.85 Dead

Parlays

Czech Rep. vs. Sweden
Macedonia v. Germany
Combined @ 2.47 Win

Czech Rep. vs. Sweden fulltime o. 48,5 @1,31
Serbia vs Denmark fulltime o.50,5 @1,37
Combined @ 1.80 Dead

Serbia v. Denmark
24-22, 46 goals Another close call, at least my live under 47,5 made at half time made me end up in greens tonight

Offensively both teams were a great disappointment tonight, as were my pre-match picks

Looking forward for tomorrow. Promise I will work harder and spread the risk even more

W/L Ratio 8 - 5 not including live picks

[Wordsworth]

Update

Mens European Championship [Via Bet365]

France v. Russia 1h o 27 @1.90
Spain v. Hungary 1h o27,5 @1.90

Both outcomes are dependent on the same attacking/less focused defending that all four teams seemed to apply in their first matches. Furthermore, we will need few or even amount of power plays, below average goalkeeping and efficient goal attempts reaching aroung 60%. Will be needing an average goal every 1 min and 5 secs, I can see this happen in both matches. GL
On a side note if total is less than 8 goals after ten minutes, I can pretty much write both off as losses. So please tail at your own risk. And chosing an u.[total] live or u.[total1h]will be a viable way to hedge

Iceland v. Norway 1h u 28 @ 1.85

Parlay

Croatia -1,5 v. Slovenia
Iceland v. Norway
Combined @2.04



Currently considering a parlay consisting of matches in womens leagues in Denmark and Germany respectively, will post later

Also, keep an eye out for the live bets in the four championship matches tonight, most value is derived from there- at least in my experience.

Update 2

Danish League Womens [via Bet365]

Randers HK v. Aarhus SK u. 47,5 @1.85

Home team has one of the toughest defences in the league, and Aarhus has show variable capability to produce a lot of goals on the road. Under for the whole match seems viable. GL

Added a Parlay, both Womens leagues[Via bet365]

Bundesliga [Germany]
Leipzig -1 v. Oldenburg
Elitserien [Sweden]
Hoors v. Savehof u 52
Combined @1,82

Juicy but viable

[Wordsworth]

France playing like crap and still obliterating Russia, not good

27 goals in 1h &%#!ing wankers, one missed shot away from capping I can't believe it

Anyways, I knew it was gonna be a tight squeeze, I hope the same result won't apply for the Hungary v. Spain match although I'm starting to get very un easy about it if it follows the same tendency as this match

[Wordsworth]

Croatia seem to be puling it off, barely

But the danish match is progressing much faster than I am comfortable with. Under is probably dead too

Horrible evening

[Wordsworth]

Randers HK v. Aarhus SK dead

Norway & Iceland 28 goals 1h , another margin loss


Spain v. Hungary 3 goals in 8 mins. Absolutely pathetic.


Gonna call it a night, and update W/L ratio later or tomorrow. Criticism is due


Unless I can contemplate some great picks for tomorrow I'll be silent for a while. Tonight has been a disaster

[Wordsworth]

Update

Mens European Championship [Via Bet365]

France v. Russia 1h o 27 @1.90 Result: 27 Dead
Spain v. Hungary 1h o27,5 @1.90 Result: 22 Dead

Iceland v. Norway 1h u 28 @ 1.85 Result: 28 Dead

Parlay

Croatia -1,5 v. Slovenia
Iceland v. Norway
Combined @2.04 Win

Update 2

Danish League Womens [via Bet365]

Randers HK v. Aarhus SK u. 47,5 @1.85 Dead

Added a Parlay, both Womens leagues[Via bet365]

Bundesliga [Germany]
Leipzig -1 v. Oldenburg
Elitserien [Sweden]
Hoors v. Savehof u 52
Combined @1,82 Win

Only 1 goal in 2 matches respectively, turned tonight into a loss overall

Handball 1h are tough sh!t to predict. Promise I will work harder

Will be back tomorrow with some picks and a revised strategy

W/L Ratio 10-9

[Wordsworth]

19.01.12 Euro Championship Mens [Via Bet365]



Sweden v. Germany 1h o. 25 @ 1.85

Czech Rep v. Macedonia 1h o. 26 @1,85

Poland v. Denmark 1h. u 27 @1,85

Serbia v. Slovakia 1h u 27,5

Serbia -4,5 v. Slovakia @ 1,90

Parlay

Serbia -1,5 v. Slovakia
Poland v. Denmark FT u. 58
Combined @ 1.80

[Wordsworth]

Sweden vs. Germany
26 goals after 23 mins, o 25,5 has capped

Poland vs. Denmark
17 goals after 23 mins
Max 9 goals in 7 mins, gonna be a tight one...

25 mins 30 secs: 20 goals total, max 6 in the last 4,5 mins, massive tension

28 mins, 23 goals, timeout, max 3 goals in 2 mins, Im dying lol

1h result: 24 u.27 capped

Now I just need these bastards to score less than 33 goals in 2nd half for my parlay lol

^15 goals in 10 mins, they need to slow the f@ck down
^^Which they did, 46 goals after 22 mins, max 11 goals in 8 mins
^^^27-26 Parlay lives! Kicking myself for not doing a live -0,5 for poland @ 2,5 though

[Wordsworth]

Czech Rep v. Macedonia 1h o. 26 @1,85

5-4 after 12 mins, need them to live it up a little in order to cap

^14 goals after 15 mins, just need this tendency to continue

^^Need 10 goals in 10 mins in order to cap

^^^Both teams are playing slower than old people f@cking, o. is dead - damn wankers
0 goals in 5 mins, WTF
^^^^ 5 goals in 10 mins, absolutely pathetic

12-12 1h o.26 loss

Serbia v. Slovakia 1h u 27,5

4-3 after 12 mins, keep this pace and my u. is golden

Serbia needs to turn up offense if my -4,5 is gonna make it. Fortunately Slovakia has been one of the worst performing teams in 2nd half, with Serbia being the direct opposite

^10 goals after 15 mins, max 17 goals in the last 15 mins

^^13-6, 1h over has capped

Just need Serbia to keep the up the flow to secure my -4,5

^Score for 2nd half 4 -10, seriously what a bunch of complacent wankers those serbians are, that is absolutely pathetic

I have nothing positive to say about the serbian national team atm, they are a f@cking disgrace, being outplayed at home by a sub-par team, throwing away a seven goal advantage, they are an embarrasment to the sport

The reason for my outburst is because I had Serbia winning -1,5 with a massive bet, and then they concede 15 goals in second half while only scoring 8, I am abosultely appalled by this lack of proffesionalism and immense complacency by the Serbian team. I wish nothing good for them in their further efforts in the championship, nor their personal and professional lives

Going to abandon this thread, I am way to aggrevated to continue putting money on the line for these worthless, war criminal eastern wankers

[Wordsworth]

Ok, back from my hiatus. Sorry about my rant against the Serbian national team, they underperformed and I lost and let off some steam.




Have been betting with varying results since, and although it's been hard to find value on tonights matches in Europe, I've made a few plays where the numbers add up, but there isn't much of an edge in any of them:

Danish Mens League[via Bet365]:

BSV v. Viborg HK under 53.5 @ 1.85

German Mens League

Kiel v. RNL u 58 @ 1.85

Parlay 1

Barcelona v. Guardalajara o.55.5 goals[Spanish Mens' League]
Skive v. AG Copenhagen -2.5 [Danish Mens' League]
BSV v. Silkeborg u. 56.5 goals [Danish Mens' League]
Total @ 2.37


Parlay 2

Savehof v. Orebro o 49.5 [Swedish womens' league]
Byasen v. Levanger u. 52.5 [Norwegian womens' league]
HSG Wetzlar v Füchse Berlin [German Bundesliga Mens']
Total @ 2.34





W/L ratio so far13-12

[Wordsworth]

Danish Mens League[via Bet365]:

BSV v. Viborg HK under 53.5 @ 1.85
Total goals: 56 Lost

Parlay 2 Lost

Savehof v. Orebro o 49.5 [Swedish womens' league]
Byasen v. Levanger u. 52.5 [Norwegian womens' league] Total: 54 goals - Lost
HSG Wetzlar v Füchse Berlin [German Bundesliga Mens']
Total @ 2.34

W/L Ratio: 13-14

Handball is difficult, But at least Parlay 1 still lives, barely

[Wordsworth]

German Mens League

Kiel v. RNL u 58 @ 1.85 Total Score: 58 VOID

Horrible evening again lol, Bookies are doing a great job in setting the O/U, often finding my self winning or losing 1-2 goal margins

[Wordsworth]

Parlay 1 WIN

Barcelona v. Guardalajara o.55.5 goals[Spanish Mens' League]
Skive v. AG Copenhagen -2.5 [Danish Mens' League]
BSV v. Silkeborg u. 56.5 goals [Danish Mens' League]
Total @ 2.37

W/L Ratio: 14-14