2011 NBL thread

**MatI** · 12-17-11, 05:25 AM

I managed to get Blaze +15.5 not long after i posted above. I would be devastated otherwise.

**hawley** · 12-17-11, 05:27 AM

I made a few live bets earlier that will make back most of what I lose but this is hard to believe.

**hawley** · 12-17-11, 05:36 AM

Sorry Mat.

Thought this was a good play. Hard to believe what happened.

**MatI** · 12-17-11, 05:38 AM

Nah all good mate, still got a push. Crazy.

**hawley** · 12-17-11, 05:43 AM

dam this is one of those losses that hurt.

Not losing money as much as watching a team self destruct like that

**MatI** · 12-17-11, 05:44 AM

Great thing about the NBL, is i cant actually watch it!! Definitely would have made it much worse.

**hawley** · 12-22-11, 01:42 PM

ready to get back into this after the frustrating loss on perth last week.

4 games tonight so will pick a few. obvious lean is Breakers +5.5 but Perth is a tough trip, especially coming from NZ.

**brettels** · 12-23-11, 02:30 AM

Tigers/taipans has to go over 155 easy right?

**brettels** · 12-23-11, 04:57 AM

Fukking lame NBL low scoring piss ant NBA wannabes fairy flopping bullturd

**hawley** · 12-23-11, 09:31 AM

what a horrible night.. had a party so missed betting all the early games..

Had 3 plays on the Breakers game - 1q over, +5.5 and 2h -1.5

This league is impossible though. fukn amateur hour.

**brettels** · 12-23-11, 11:39 AM

Hawly what's the highest score this year been?

**hawley** · 12-23-11, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by brettels

Hawly what's the highest score this year been?

Breakers and Blaze have put up about 180ish a few times.

the last quarter of the Tigers game had 21 points? what the fuk...

**MatI** · 12-23-11, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by hawley

what a horrible night.. had a party so missed betting all the early games..

Had 3 plays on the Breakers game - 1q over, +5.5 and 2h -1.5

This league is impossible though. fukn amateur hour.

I stayed away completely. Im very glad I did. Such a frustrating league to get a proper read on.

**hawley** · 12-31-11, 12:31 AM

Wildcats and Breakers for me tonight.

Probably terrible square plays but ah well

**hedgejob** · 01-06-12, 01:29 AM

Who else likes the over in Perth tonight?

**hawley** · 01-06-12, 03:52 AM

Originally posted by hedgejob

Who else likes the over in Perth tonight?

if I had to make any play it would be the over but not sure if I will play it

Few sides I like tomorrow though

**hawley** · 01-07-12, 04:57 AM

two plays with bet slips to come:

Crocs / Hawks under 164 and Blaze -2

Hawks are the biggest joke in the league. 3 points in 9 minutes

**hawley** · 01-08-12, 01:09 AM

Breakers ML 5x tonight

Not really playing the NBL with the NBA here but taking a shot on this one

**MatI** · 01-08-12, 01:11 AM

gday hawley.

im thinking of using my centrebet free play on this ML. Is this just a coin flip or are you pretty confident here with the 5x?

**benrama** · 01-08-12, 01:32 AM

I'm on Melbourne as I think the breakers are a shadow of themselves on the road. I'm also about 2-13 today so I think your breakers bet is good as gold

**hawley** · 01-08-12, 01:49 AM

Originally posted by MatI

gday hawley.

im thinking of using my centrebet free play on this ML. Is this just a coin flip or are you pretty confident here with the 5x?

Bit of a coin flip because Breakers are not great on the road but I do think they are the better side here. Rolling most of my NBL profit into this one. If it loses I will probably finish up with NBL. Should be a tight game though

Originally posted by benrama

I'm on Melbourne as I think the breakers are a shadow of themselves on the road. I'm also about 2-13 today so I think your breakers bet is good as gold

Good luck pal. This is a bit of a homer bet as well for me but it is a real must win for both sides.

**hawley** · 01-08-12, 03:04 AM

Line is going the wrong way and I haven't booked this yet so will still play it but only for 2 - 3 units.

Learnt my lesson last time I made a big play on a NBL game.

**MatI** · 01-08-12, 03:10 AM

Has Green been given the all clear for Tigers perhaps?

**hawley** · 01-08-12, 03:17 AM

not sure quite why the line is jumping around.

I will be on the Breakers regardless. Looking for Wilkinson to have a big game and hopefully Corletto can punish his former side.

**hawley** · 01-08-12, 05:16 AM

Cedric Jackson

huge second half from the Breakers.

**benrama** · 01-14-12, 02:38 AM

hawley - I'm liking the under 167 tonight in Kings/Crocs, usually home team dictates pace and only 1 Crocs game this season has gone over the number. Crawford said during the weak the Crocs want to "control the tempo", so I this game should be more like their first meeting this season where the total points were 149 rather than the recent one at 193.

Thoughts?

**Durrrr** · 01-14-12, 02:42 AM

I'm liking crocs -5.5

**hawley** · 01-14-12, 02:55 AM

Originally posted by benrama

hawley - I'm liking the under 167 tonight in Kings/Crocs, usually home team dictates pace and only 1 Crocs game this season has gone over the number. Crawford said during the weak the Crocs want to "control the tempo", so I this game should be more like their first meeting this season where the total points were 149 rather than the recent one at 193.

Thoughts?

Interesting that Crawford said that after their last game which was an absolute shoot out.

Like the under too, the Kings have been scoring lately but the loss of Bruce will really hamper their fluidity on attack tonight.

167 is a high total for the NBL and I think it is pretty inflated due to their last match up and the Kings recent scoring outbursts.

I haven't been making too many plays recently now the NBA is back but might hit the under tonight for a few bucks.

**benrama** · 01-14-12, 07:22 AM

We were close - it only went over by 65!

I ended up staying away from the game and hope you did too - crazy league NBL should really stay away from it.

**MatI** · 01-18-12, 08:22 PM

One game tonight Tigers @ Breakers.

You taking anything hawley?

**hawley** · 01-18-12, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by MatI

One game tonight Tigers @ Breakers.

You taking anything hawley?

Not at this stage, put the NBL on the back burner with the NBA here.

I couldn't lay that number on the Breakers but I could see them covering. The Tigers are an absolute mess at the moment. Tragardh is the only player giving them anything, not to mention their coach walked into the changing room after this loss to the Blaze and fired Ubaka on the spot

Sort of lean under because the Tigers may struggle to score more than 70

**MatI** · 01-18-12, 10:54 PM

Yep, definately much better with NBA back! I havent had too much of an urge to touch this league.

Thanks for your thoughts.

**benrama** · 01-18-12, 11:05 PM

Agreed - NBL is an abomination of a league to bet on, and you can't watch half the games anyway. How you guys been doing with the NBA? Anyone you've found on these boards who knows their stuff? I follow a few guys on Covers who go OK.

Still find that by far and away the most profitable strategy has been live betting - basically if you get any team at >7 points the opening spread you are free-rolling a 7 pt teaser at close to even money - works better later in the season when the lines are tighter and is absolute $$ in the finals.

**hawley** · 01-18-12, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by MatI

Yep, definately much better with NBA back! I havent had too much of an urge to touch this league.

Thanks for your thoughts.

I only watch the Breakers games now and that is more as a fan than to gamble on it. Would imagine I am still up money betting on the NBL but it has been tough and painful for the most part

Originally posted by benrama

Agreed - NBL is an abomination of a league to bet on, and you can't watch half the games anyway. How you guys been doing with the NBA? Anyone you've found on these boards who knows their stuff? I follow a few guys on Covers who go OK.

Still find that by far and away the most profitable strategy has been live betting - basically if you get any team at >7 points the opening spread you are free-rolling a 7 pt teaser at close to even money - works better later in the season when the lines are tighter and is absolute $$ in the finals.

Been up and down so far and definitely a grind. I think the shortened pre season left a lot of teams / players in bad shape and underdone and the results are reflecting this so far.

Been doing a lot of live betting and having acces to bet365 is a real asset simply because of their in play betting. I often get carried away live betting and give back money after I make good plays. Probably playing too many games at the moment too. I think as the season progress some profitable trends will become apparent.

**MatI** · 01-18-12, 11:49 PM

Originally posted by benrama

Agreed - NBL is an abomination of a league to bet on, and you can't watch half the games anyway. How you guys been doing with the NBA? Anyone you've found on these boards who knows their stuff? I follow a few guys on Covers who go OK.

Still find that by far and away the most profitable strategy has been live betting - basically if you get any team at >7 points the opening spread you are free-rolling a 7 pt teaser at close to even money - works better later in the season when the lines are tighter and is absolute $$ in the finals.

Originally posted by hawley

I only watch the Breakers games now and that is more as a fan than to gamble on it. Would imagine I am still up money betting on the NBL but it has been tough and painful for the most part

Been up and down so far and definitely a grind. I think the shortened pre season left a lot of teams / players in bad shape and underdone and the results are reflecting this so far.

Been doing a lot of live betting and having acces to bet365 is a real asset simply because of their in play betting. I often get carried away live betting and give back money after I make good plays. Probably playing too many games at the moment too. I think as the season progress some profitable trends will become apparent.

Yep, B365 live betting is awesome for NBA. It's also been real good for the Test matches.

NBA has been kind so far. I have been trying to be VERY selective with it. 1 play only or Parlay two ML's. I check a lot of the cappers on here but only use it as a guide. I always keep an eye on Buck & fam, paco, suicideking, 70kg. Dad is on fire at the moment, been riding with him the last week too.