Rugby World Cup 2011 Challenge

ExodusNZ · 09-21-11, 06:36 AM

Stats for Optional:

Originally posted by Optional

Tonga -5 -115 to win 2U 5Dimes :: WIN

Optional: YTD 8-7 : -0.881 Units

RLF · 09-21-11, 09:57 AM

Originally posted by Optional

Gotta love the Monday morning experts huh

Wish I was expert enough to know that loss was so obvious!

You're speaking to someone who chucked 3u on Ireland straight and 10u on them at the line mate. And yes I'm a Wallabies fan as well.

Optional · 09-21-11, 10:03 AM

So you got lucky. Your previous post was still dicky.

hawley · 09-21-11, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by RLF

You're speaking to someone who chucked 3u on Ireland straight and 10u on them at the line mate. And yes I'm a Wallabies fan as well.

Cheers for hooking the boys up with the big play.

Optional · 09-21-11, 06:57 PM

South Africa v Namibia - Namibia +59.5pts +104 risk 1U Betfair

kingsr · 09-21-11, 09:27 PM

Originally posted by RLF

You're speaking to someone who chucked 3u on Ireland straight and 10u on them at the line mate. And yes I'm a Wallabies fan as well.

Talk is cheap...I didnt see you post this play anywhere, not that you need to prove anything, but you been posting your leans on most games, so it seems odd you didnt post this play.

ExodusNZ · 09-22-11, 12:49 AM

Leaning -29 Half time to SA
Maybe even the over after reading the article from the other thread

RLF · 09-22-11, 02:30 AM

Originally posted by kingsr

Talk is cheap...I didnt see you post this play anywhere, not that you need to prove anything, but you been posting your leans on most games, so it seems odd you didnt post this play.

I did post Australia by 1 which was before Pocock and Moore were ruled out. So I was already quite large on the line, as soon as I heard Pocock and then subsequently Moore were out I went big on the mL and line, sorry I didn't post it as I was out at the time.

kingsr · 09-22-11, 02:55 AM

No prob, we take your word for it...

On another note SA line is out to 62.5 now.

ExodusNZ · 09-22-11, 04:49 AM

Stats for Optional:

Originally posted by Optional

South Africa v Namibia - Namibia +59.5pts +104 risk 1U Betfair :: LOSE

Optional: YTD 8-8 : -1.881 Units

ExodusNZ · 09-22-11, 05:10 AM

Originally posted by ExodusNZ

22nd Sept
South Africa -54.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.952 (Pinnacle) :: WIN

Daily +3.808 Units

YTD 16-14 : -3.534 Units

Active Bets:
23rd Sept
Australia -44.5 : Risking 4.36 Units @ 1.92 (TAB NZ)

24th Sept
All Blacks -16.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.833 (5 Dimes)

25th Sept
Argentina -3 : Risking 5.662 Units @ 1.952 (Pinnacle)

NZ Total Drop Goals Over 1.5 : Risking 8.8 Units @ 2.30 (TAB NZ)

24th Sept
Rolling AB Bet
Bet 3. All Blacks Win (vs France) : $119 @ 1.08

kingsr · 09-22-11, 05:17 AM

Aus -44.5??? It's at 58.5...are you sure thats correct?

Which book you using?

ExodusNZ · 09-22-11, 05:32 AM

Got in early

Attached Files

kingsr · 09-22-11, 05:37 AM

Early? on the 19th? That's not normal that the line is now 58.5! Well Im on USA +58.5, so let's hope we get a middle in between my number and yours...

What book is this? And what do they have the line at now?

ExodusNZ · 09-22-11, 05:54 AM

Originally posted by kingsr

Early? on the 19th? That's not normal that the line is now 58.5! Well Im on USA +58.5, so let's hope we get a middle in between my number and yours...

What book is this? And what do they have the line at now?

55 Nill ?

haha

TAB NZ - Line is at 60.5

hawley · 09-22-11, 06:03 AM

Originally posted by RLF

I did post Australia by 1 which was before Pocock and Moore were ruled out. So I was already quite large on the line, as soon as I heard Pocock and then subsequently Moore were out I went big on the mL and line, sorry I didn't post it as I was out at the time.

I remember you posting that Ireland would cover, if i had seen you that big on the spread I would of been all over it.

O well onto tomorrow now

Beniphone · 09-22-11, 06:40 AM

1 unit = 100 buck?

ExodusNZ · 09-22-11, 06:44 AM

Originally posted by Beniphone

1 unit = 100 buck?

Thread is for demonstration purposes! You should know that :P

ExodusNZ · 09-22-11, 07:24 AM

With -44 locked in, I should take the +60 as well ?

Will lose small if Aus for some reason win by more than 60 ? Or dont make the -44

kingsr · 09-22-11, 08:29 AM

I would, thats a 16 point middle, and very likely to hit both. You lose juice is you don't hit both. Another option is to bet it live, after/IF Aus score 1st very early, you might get somewhere around +67.5

ExodusNZ · 09-22-11, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by kingsr

I would, thats a 16 point middle, and very likely to hit both. You lose juice is you don't hit both. Another option is to bet it live, after/IF Aus score 1st very early, you might get somewhere around +67.5

Good point - I took +60.5 at another book - Most I can lose is 0.549 Units - Which given what I can win is great!

Adding
23rd Sept
USA +60.5 : Risking 4.56 Units @ 2.040 (Pinnacle)

So as per last post, I have Australia -44.5 and USA +60.5

Pretty much 3 scenarios with this;
1) Lose 0.549 Units
2) Win 0.382 Units
3) Win 8.754 Units

kingsr · 09-22-11, 08:41 AM

Aus by 48

Let's get this!

hawley · 09-22-11, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by RLF

I did post Australia by 1 which was before Pocock and Moore were ruled out. So I was already quite large on the line, as soon as I heard Pocock and then subsequently Moore were out I went big on the mL and line, sorry I didn't post it as I was out at the time.

What are your thoughts on Argentina Scotland?

RLF · 09-23-11, 01:06 AM

Originally posted by hawley

What are your thoughts on Argentina Scotland?

Scotland, massively underrated by many.

Optional · 09-23-11, 01:15 AM

Half Time Handicap USA +30.5 $1.84 1U Betfair
Australia Over 9.5 tries $1.89 2U Betfair

Don't really not know what to bet though. Should have gone early. Thinking USA defense will hold up for 1 half basically.

beefcake · 09-23-11, 08:22 AM

Scotland/Argies could very well be the under bet of the tourney. Going to be body parts left on the pitch after this one.

RLF · 09-23-11, 08:26 AM

Originally posted by beefcake

Scotland/Argies could very well be the under bet of the tourney. Going to be body parts left on the pitch after this one.

For sure. 1 try max.

Optional · 09-23-11, 10:18 PM

France +20½ points (-110)
Romania +54 points (-110)

Both to win 1U at Greek

ExodusNZ · 09-23-11, 10:50 PM

24th Sept
All Blacks Total Points Over 33.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.80 (TAB NZ)
All Blacks -16.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.833 (5 Dimes)
All Blacks / France Total Points Over 47.5 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.926 (Pinnacle)

24th Sept
Rolling AB Bet
Bet 3. All Blacks Win (vs France) : $119 @ 1.08

Active Bets:

25th Sept
Argentina -3 : Risking 5.662 Units @ 1.952 (Pinnacle)

NZ Total (Tournament) Drop Goals Over 1.5 : Risking 8.8 Units @ 2.30 (TAB NZ)

ExodusNZ · 09-24-11, 08:23 PM

Stats for Optional:

Originally posted by Optional

France +20½ points (-110) to win 1U :: WIN
Romania +54 points (-110) to win 1U :: LOSE

Half Time Handicap USA +30.5 $1.84 1U Betfair :: WIN
Australia Over 9.5 tries $1.89 2U Betfair :: WIN

Optional: YTD 11-9 : +0.639 Units

Optional · 09-24-11, 09:05 PM

Yay. Back in the black after that stupid 4 x usual max bet on Aussies v Ireland.

Samoa* -10 -110 vs Fiji 1U 5Dimes

Argentina* -2½ -115 vs Scotland 1.725U to win 1.5 Greek

And parlay them at 5Dimes for .5U +257 (Argentina line is -3 for that)

ExodusNZ · 09-24-11, 09:24 PM

Samoa -10 : Risking 4 Units @ 1.926 (Pinnacle)

Optional · 09-24-11, 10:46 PM

Ireland v Russia Under 9.5 Tries $1.93 1.5U Betfair.

ExodusNZ · 09-24-11, 11:59 PM

Russia/Ireland Under 10 Tries : Risking 2 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ)
Russia +50.5 : Risking 2 Units @ 1.95 (TAB NZ)
Time of first try - 8:00mins or after (Rus/Ire): Risking 2 Units @ 1.87 (TAB NZ)

Sorry for the late post (game about to start in 5 mins), wasnt going to play anything but Ireland have made alot of changes from AUS game

Optional · 09-25-11, 01:30 AM

Bloody hell. Didnt expect them to let Russia in twice!