Chess picks for July 4, 2008

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  • mathdotcom
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-24-08
    • 11689

    #1
    Chess picks for July 4, 2008
    Leko draw -105 (2 units)
    Ivanchuk draw -117
    Mamedyarov draw -162
    Gustafsson win +178


    Leko - Nepomniatchi Draw

    Simple. I see no reason why this game should be decisive. At -105, it's very cheap so I hit it twice. Nepomniatchi has drawn all his games but one, where he won decisively. This young talent has been impressive so far. Given Leko's tendency to draw, he might be cautious playing the new up and comer.

    Ivanchuk - Naiditsch Draw
    Ivanchuk will play for a win, but -118 is a good enough price to bet that Naiditsch will hold him off.

    Mamedyarov - Kramnik Draw
    The past couple of games these two played were drawish Petroffs. If any similar type position arises, I love my draw bet at -162. I hope Kramnik doesn't deviate, since he lost using the Petroff against Naiditsch. He will probably use the Petroff again but play a different line.


    van Wely - Gustafsson [Gustafsson to win w/ black]

    I will be betting against the douchebag van Wely the rest of the tournament. Gustafsson is in a tie for 1st, van Wely in last. At +178, I think my chances are okay. This would be the 1st black victory in the tournament!
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