Knights V Broncos - April 11

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  • StevoS
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-07-11
    • 481

    #1
    Knights V Broncos - April 11
    I'ts a whole week away but I'm already licking my chops over the Knights ML which doesn't even exist yet. Newcastle should get some good value here. Already decided I'm taking them next Monday night.
  • RLF
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-23-10
    • 760

    #2
    I will hammer it.
    Comment
    • Bull_Shark
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-28-09
      • 237

      #3
      Good eye Stevo .. soon as I heard the Broncos were having four days off (following friday's win) I thought they'd be ripe for an ambush next monday ..
      Comment
      • rjc
        SBR MVP
        • 06-06-10
        • 1016

        #4
        Let's go knights
        Comment
        • rjc
          SBR MVP
          • 06-06-10
          • 1016

          #5
          Anyone from brisbane? Is it going to piss down rain tonight?
          Comment
          • geronimoau
            Restricted User
            • 04-10-11
            • 31

            #6
            its been sprinkling all day, so the ground is definitely gonna be wet. i doubt it will "piss" down at all tonight, most likely light drizzle during the match.
            Comment
            • rjc
              SBR MVP
              • 06-06-10
              • 1016

              #7
              Thanks
              Comment
              • therealdealau
                SBR MVP
                • 11-12-10
                • 3227

                #8
                Originally posted by geronimoau
                its been sprinkling all day, so the ground is definitely gonna be wet. i doubt it will "piss" down at all tonight, most likely light drizzle during the match.
                really good insight thanks geron!
                Comment
                • Gee
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-08-10
                  • 4547

                  #9
                  I like u/40.5 (pinny) This should be a defensive struggle and aus books have already moved it to 38.5.

                  I also like the Broncos, but line movement is scaring me off. -4.5 to -2.0....? I see some bloke had 30K on Newc +4....

                  I'll probably have a small stab at the Broncos ML closer to kick off... Newc are getting pounded by the public. I like Brisbane. I get a better line....
                  Comment
                  • Angela
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 07-23-10
                    • 368

                    #10
                    I'm taking Brisbane and the under
                    Comment
                    • Gee
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-08-10
                      • 4547

                      #11
                      PS. I just read on another site that its been pissing down the last hour.

                      The guy who posted it also thought the weather was going to be good.
                      Comment
                      • benrama
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-19-11
                        • 1499

                        #12
                        Home teams have won every Monday night football match so far, and I'm betting on that trend to continue. I'm rolling with Brisbane today on the ML as well, but like Gee will also wait close to game time for the best line.

                        Under bet almost looks too easy??
                        Comment
                        • Angela
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 07-23-10
                          • 368

                          #13
                          Broncos at -2 now, over / under down to 36.5
                          Comment
                          • Gee
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-08-10
                            • 4547

                            #14
                            40.5 was a steal on the under :P

                            i'm only having 0.25x on broncos. i think if it goes over, then the knights probably win. I see Knights/Over as correlated, so no point having separate bets on Broncos/Under IMO. Plus its friggin' NRL, so gotta keep it small.
                            Comment
                            • benrama
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-19-11
                              • 1499

                              #15
                              Can still get under 37.5 at Pinnacle. Really want to bet this one hard but will settle for 1.5 UNITS, it is crazy Monday night football after all.
                              Comment
                              • Alt75
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-02-10
                                • 573

                                #16
                                Line Trends

                                Brisbane are 2 - 2 at the Line
                                Brisbane are 1 - 0 at the Plus
                                Brisbane are 1 - 2 at the Minus
                                Brisbane are 2 - 0 Away
                                Brisbane are 0 - 2 at Home
                                Brisbane are 2 - 2 against the Top 8
                                Brisbane are 0 - 0 against the Bottom 8

                                Newcastle are 3 - 1 at the Line
                                Newcastle are 3 - 1 at the Plus
                                Newcastle are 0 - 0 at the Minus
                                Newcastle are 2 - 1 Away
                                Newcastle are 1 - 0 at Home
                                Newcastle are 3 - 1 against the Top 8
                                Newcastle are 0 - 0 against the Bottom 8


                                I think Brisbane really need to get a win at home

                                Sportingbet have Line and Match Winner/Total Doubles with total set at 40.5
                                Comment
                                • rjc
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-06-10
                                  • 1016

                                  #17
                                  At least Parker is on the under with you boys haha
                                  Comment
                                  • Gee
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-08-10
                                    • 4547

                                    #18
                                    I'll take it, after that missed tackle by locker to concede. Underrrr!
                                    Comment
                                    • rjc
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-06-10
                                      • 1016

                                      #19
                                      Thankyou mr Parker for missing that last goal! Thankyou very much.
                                      Comment
                                      • hawley
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-10-10
                                        • 14270

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by rjc
                                        Thankyou mr Parker for missing that last goal! Thankyou very much.
                                        Broncos 1 - 12?


                                        I had total points 11 - 20 @ $25.00
                                        Comment
                                        • rjc
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-06-10
                                          • 1016

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by hawley
                                          Broncos 1 - 12?


                                          I had total points 11 - 20 @ $25.00
                                          No I had knights +12.5 last leg of a weekend long multi
                                          I hope gonzo hedged his big multi!
                                          Comment
                                          • StevoS
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 03-07-11
                                            • 481

                                            #22
                                            Note to self - don't cap games 1 week prior to the event.
                                            Comment
                                            • benrama
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-19-11
                                              • 1499

                                              #23
                                              Now I really do wish I had pounded that under. Sometimes when it looks too easy - it actually is. OK, so there certainly could have been some more scoring tonight but I was always quietly confident.

                                              Home team wins again in Monday night football, I'll be interested to see the Souths - Dragons line, if Souths get a 4+ point head start I might be making a big play on them.
                                              Comment
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