Restrepo's 2011 AFL Thread

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  • Alt75
    Restricted User
    • 07-02-10
    • 573

    #36
    Bad luck man, terrible performance by Adelaide they're lucky to only lose by 25. Aside teams coming off byes being under conditioned and out of sorts with ball handling kicking skills it also looks like Adelaide or Port won't have much of a home ground advantage. Both SA teams losing to WA teams without a good travelling record.
    Comment
    • Restrepo
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-15-10
      • 159

      #37
      Originally posted by Restrepo

      Saturdays Bets

      Adelaide v Fremantle - Adelaide Under 39.5 @ $2.15
      Richmond v Hawthorn - Hawthorn -23.5 @ $1.92
      West Coast v Sydney - Sydney Under 39.5 @ $2.50

      BOL
      Do the Swans and the weagles ever have a bad game, always seems to be just a good hard game of footy the way it is suppose to be played every time these two clubs meet.

      YTD: 8 - 8 - 1
      -0.687 Units
      Comment
      • Restrepo
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-15-10
        • 159

        #38
        St Kilda v Essendon - Essendon Under 39.5 @ $2.50

        Lets finish the weekend off with a win!

        The saints are going backwards while the bombers on the up. I do expect a better showing by the saints as it's roo's 200th game i just think they are off their game at the moment. Shocking in round 1, should of lost round 2 to Richmond.

        The Bombers blew the doggies away and had a narrow lost to Sydney (a game they deserved to win). I think their running will get them over the line this afternoon.
        Comment
        • binomial
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-02-10
          • 507

          #39
          i like essendon as well. the only thing that worries me is that i get the feeling that they could already be fatigued. playing defence likely to take alot more out of them which looked the case in the last quarter v sydney.

          that said saints saints look like they have lost their spirit and without that they are ordinairy at best for mine.

          good luck.
          Comment
          • Restrepo
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-15-10
            • 159

            #40
            Originally posted by Restrepo

            St Kilda v Essendon - Essendon Under 39.5 @ $2.50
            Essendon just wow

            YTD: 8 - 9 - 1
            -1.687 Units
            Comment
            • Restrepo
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-15-10
              • 159

              #41
              Think i might have to pick a few of my own lines this week to find some value somewhere

              First up for the weekend

              Richmond v Collingwood - Collingwood -51.5 @ $2.10

              Richmonds only forward out of form and up against Collingwood team that doesn't let the ball get into their defense often. This could be a real blood bath tonight, lets just hope Collingwoods hunger is still there.
              Comment
              • Restrepo
                SBR High Roller
                • 08-15-10
                • 159

                #42
                Originally posted by Restrepo
                First up for the weekend

                Richmond v Collingwood - Collingwood -51.5 @ $2.10
                YTD: 9 - 9 - 1
                -0.587 Units
                Comment
                • Restrepo
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-15-10
                  • 159

                  #43
                  Saturdays Games

                  Carlton v Essendon - Essendon Under 39.5 @ $2.55
                  Hawthorn v West Coast - Hawthorn Over 15.5 Points @ $1.27

                  Hoping Essendon do not blow the Blues away, I think this will be a phenomenal game today. Didn't have a great deal of time to look over the Hawks game but they will be too good for the weagles down in Tassie, So i went the safe option of the over 15.5, im think hawks by about 5 goals without looking into the game in too much depth.

                  Saturday Nights Game

                  Port Adelaide v Adelaide - Adelaide Over 15.5 Points @ $1.89

                  Firstly not touching the Sydney game as my heart is too strong for my head and im hoping Sydney get over the line, if the game is anything like the 2005 prelim we are in for a show tonight.

                  Adelaide to bounce back strongly from last week imo, Port are gone for all money and a lot of changes made to the side this week.
                  Comment
                  • Restrepo
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-15-10
                    • 159

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Restrepo

                    Carlton v Essendon - Essendon Under 39.5 @ $2.55
                    Hawthorn v West Coast - Hawthorn Over 15.5 Points @ $1.27
                    Port Adelaide v Adelaide - Adelaide Over 15.5 Points @ $1.89
                    Essendon were unlucky losing 2 players in the first 15 minutes of the game
                    No comment on the Hawks game didn't watch it at all
                    Adelaide giving up a 6 goal lead for a 2nd time this year.....sigh

                    YTD: 9 - 12 - 1
                    -3.587 Units
                    Comment
                    • Restrepo
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-15-10
                      • 159

                      #45
                      Gold Coast v Melbourne - Melbourne -30.5 @ $1.66
                      Fremantle v North Melbourne - Fremantle -23.5 @ $1.62
                      Comment
                      • Brian891
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-28-10
                        • 2049

                        #46
                        good luck to u. i have fremantle as the last of my high juice parlay with heat, bulls, and chelsea. i have been the kiss of death on my other 2 afl wagers. hopin this one hits as it is only fremantle ml.
                        Comment
                        • Brian891
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-28-10
                          • 2049

                          #47
                          wow. only a 9 point lead at halftime. sorry to everyone. if fremantle loses and i again lose my 3rd out of 3 bets in afl on a -500 moneyline fav, it proves beyond a doubt that i am a footy jinx. i seem to have the ability to make anyone play under their ability. whole half to go, but this was a 30 point fav who is playing like crap at home. unreal. now i dont really believe that, but wow. what a terrible start. fremantle was a pretty overwhelming fav, and they got their star back, and STILL playing poorly. hope they turn it up in 2nd half.
                          Comment
                          • Restrepo
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 08-15-10
                            • 159

                            #48
                            I know its a bit late as i was watching the game, but i wasn't sweating at half time as North were coming off the bye and i expected them to run out of legs late.

                            Originally posted by Restrepo

                            Gold Coast v Melbourne - Melbourne -30.5 @ $1.66
                            Fremantle v North Melbourne - Fremantle -23.5 @ $1.62
                            YTD: 11 - 12 - 1
                            -2.307 Units
                            Comment
                            • therealdealau
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-12-10
                              • 3227

                              #49
                              good calls the melbourne play felt a bit too easy i was also on it but at -36

                              great call on freo was at at the freo game and they blew at 45+ point lead in the last few minutes for two quick goals by Swallow - i was on freo 1-39 was very profitable, were you expecting a blow out?
                              Comment
                              • Restrepo
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-15-10
                                • 159

                                #50
                                I wasn't exactly expecting a blow out in the freo game last week, but it also wouldn't have surprised me at all if it did happen. I was definitely expecting north to drop off the pace late in the game coming off the bye.

                                Will have tonight's play up shortly.
                                Comment
                                • Restrepo
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-15-10
                                  • 159

                                  #51
                                  Brisbane v St Kilda - St Kilda -24.5 @ $2.00

                                  Couple of good ins for the saint tonight and it is time they made a statement, winning this game by a goal or two is not sufficient against this lions team. They will be looking to put them away, both teams are coming off the bye and I think this would have helped the saints more than the lions.
                                  Comment
                                  • Restrepo
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-15-10
                                    • 159

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Restrepo

                                    Brisbane v St Kilda - St Kilda -24.5 @ $2.00
                                    Saints should have won that game by35 points instead they missed easy shots at goal and played terrible football at times. Anyway onto todays games

                                    Port Adelaide v Gold Coast - Gold Coast +60.5 @ $2.10
                                    Carlton v Adelaide - Carlton -28.5 @ $2.10
                                    Comment
                                    • Domestic
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-10-09
                                      • 6323

                                      #53
                                      Managed to get the Suns at 63.5, let us hope it is enough, good luck gentlemen.
                                      Comment
                                      • Restrepo
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 08-15-10
                                        • 159

                                        #54
                                        Brogan out for Port
                                        Comment
                                        • Reno Paul
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-11-10
                                          • 1647

                                          #55
                                          Took the Suns and 63.5 points as well.......Hope to keep this game within 10 goals.
                                          Comment
                                          • therealdealau
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-12-10
                                            • 3227

                                            #56
                                            good luck mate i am on both your plays although i took a slightly different line @ 1.91
                                            Comment
                                            • Restrepo
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 08-15-10
                                              • 159

                                              #57
                                              Good start for the Blues up by 27 points at 1/4 time and with Adelaide history of fading this year its looking good so far.
                                              Comment
                                              • therealdealau
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-12-10
                                                • 3227

                                                #58
                                                LIVE Adelaide Crows +44.5 (2x) going to have a shot at middling think its a great opportunity, Blues look good though!
                                                Comment
                                                • Restrepo
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-15-10
                                                  • 159

                                                  #59
                                                  25 scoring shots to 13

                                                  Blues need a rev up at 3/4 time

                                                  Hopefully they learn to kick straight in the last
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Restrepo
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 08-15-10
                                                    • 159

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Restrepo
                                                    Saints should have won that game by35 points instead they missed easy shots at goal and played terrible football at times. Anyway onto todays games

                                                    Port Adelaide v Gold Coast - Gold Coast +60.5 @ $2.10
                                                    Carlton v Adelaide - Carlton -28.5 @ $2.10


                                                    YTD: 12 - 14 - 1
                                                    -3.207 Units


                                                    Going to be out for the day so for today I like the Tigers

                                                    North Melbourne v Richmond - Richmond Under 39.5 @ $2.55

                                                    BOL to all
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Restrepo
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 08-15-10
                                                      • 159

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by Restrepo

                                                      North Melbourne v Richmond - Richmond Under 39.5 @ $2.55
                                                      Richmond kept North in that game for far to long. However I am happy a close game finally went my way. Looking forward to the big game tomorrow but will need to put my thinking cap on to find a play.

                                                      YTD: 13 - 14 - 1
                                                      -1.657 Units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • therealdealau
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-12-10
                                                        • 3227

                                                        #62
                                                        good win mate
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sportscash
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-16-09
                                                          • 2894

                                                          #63
                                                          Collingwood will win but dont know by how much
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Restrepo
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 08-15-10
                                                            • 159

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by therealdealau
                                                            good win mate
                                                            thanks mate

                                                            Listening to SEN online atm to get the lateness news on todays game. I am leaning Collingwood but really want to see if the Bombers take all 3 talls into the game.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Restrepo
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 08-15-10
                                                              • 159

                                                              #65
                                                              Todays games

                                                              Essendon v Collingwood - Collingwood -29.5 @ $1.93
                                                              Fremantle v Western Bulldogs - Fremantle Under 39.5 @ $2.35

                                                              Essendon have me concerned taking 3 tall's into the game, I think their forward presure will suffer from it if I am reading the tea leaves right, any injuries to the bombers and they will get blown away.

                                                              Doggies are coming off the bye this week and that tipped me to Freo, I think the doggies should kept it close however and Barry Hall to kick half a dozen.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • therealdealau
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-12-10
                                                                • 3227

                                                                #66
                                                                good luck with your plays
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bowtakwah
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 07-28-10
                                                                  • 138

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Collingwood -29.5, saved by the last second goal.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Restrepo
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 08-15-10
                                                                    • 159

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by Restrepo

                                                                    Essendon v Collingwood - Collingwood -29.5 @ $1.93
                                                                    Thank you Dustin Fletcher and thank you Pendlebury for not missing.

                                                                    By the sounds of the radio call my thinking for the pick was off, will have to watch a replay on fox during the week. Lets go Freo for tonight clash
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Restrepo
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 08-15-10
                                                                      • 159

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Restrepo
                                                                      Todays games


                                                                      Fremantle v Western Bulldogs - Fremantle Under 39.5 @ $2.35
                                                                      No Play for me on the Hawks V Cats today.

                                                                      YTD: 15 - 14 - 1
                                                                      0.623 Units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Restrepo
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 08-15-10
                                                                        • 159

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Well it's been 48 hours since the last game of Round 5 and we are already into Round 6

                                                                        Tonight's game

                                                                        West Coast v Melbourne - West Coast Under 39.5 @ $2.25

                                                                        Lecras back for the Weagles, and they will be to big and dominate in the in the ruck.
                                                                        Comment
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