ANZ netball 2011

[binomial]

Not sure how bad the tbirds will be after losing several players. they do regain sutton but which helps but still a different line up to last season.

lost to swifts by 19 and vixens by 16 in preseason but then got their act together to beat wa by 11.

swifts are stronger than last season and should be motivated for revenge. i think their defence will dominate and keep tbirds to a low score.

Swifts -7.5 2u
Swifts v Thunderbirds under 100.5 2u

[binomial]

Bit lucky with the last shot missing for the under to hit.

Today:
Mystics -6.5 2u
Mystics v Steel over 94.5 2u

[messiah029]

great result on your first pick binomial

hope you keep posting your picks throughout the season

[AzNDooM]

Yep, im with you on this Binomial, Mystics -6.5, the line has moved to -8 now. Massive injuries to the southern steels and I think Catherine Latu will have a good game agasint the rookie guarding her.

[AzNDooM]

Dont like the O/U as i cant see Southern Steel even scoring 40. Best of luck on it Binomial, also btw are you AUS?

[Beniphone]

Netball capping ha, wonder how the line makers are. Bol!

[ACoochy]

Netball capping ha, wonder how the line makers are. Bol!

First 3-4 weeks are when lines are weakest so get in whilst its easy pickings

[binomial]

wrong call on th e under, thought mystics would be around 60. 95 was their lowest total all last season.

[binomial]

Pulse +12.5 1u
Pulse v Mystics over 102.5 2u

on paper pulse look worse than ever but their results at the preseason tournament were solid albeit against weak opposition, winning 3 of 4 and only losing in the final 50-46 to firebirds missing arguably their best player katrina grant. 12.5 seems to many at home here.

Last seasons totals between these two were 111 and 121 and cant see many reasons why it would be lower scoring here. Pulse's other scores in preseason were 59, 55 and 59 and mystics had the highest average total of any team last season and should be more potent with their additions.

[ACoochy]

Cant believe they are getting +12.5 at home after nearly winning the pre-season cup....Gotta love the softer lines in these less watched sports Definitely on the +12.5 binomial....Here's to a winner

[binomial]

opposition was poor in presesaon games, supposedely steel had three ring ins not on the team. wouldn't suprise me if they get smashed. if mystics get their act together they are a decent chance to win it i reckon.

[ACoochy]

Late comeback from Pulse to cover make this a nice play

[sportscash]

Nice work and i will admit i was on the opposite of this and thought i had the win in the bag but owel at least someone cashed on the game.It is a big earner for me though this netball.

[ACoochy]

Nice work and i will admit i was on the opposite of this and thought i had the win in the bag but owel at least someone cashed on the game.It is a big earner for me though this netball.

Yeah il admit i was sweating the final few minutes there (Had +11 $2.10@sportsbet.com.au). If it werent for the late substitutes by the Mystics you would have been safe imo...Better luck next time and lets make some $$$ this season guys

[binomial]

4-2 +1.6u

Unimpressive effort by both teams yesterday. Which doesn't reflect well on steel who got butchered by mystics. didn't see any of that game but only scoring 34 says a fair bit.

however, from what i have read steel should get two quality players back and put in a better performance. the team is not that different to the one that made the finals last year so if Wipiiti is playing 15 start seems a bit excessive. magic have supposedly had a short preparation and have spent a fair bit of that canoeing so i am not sure they will be all that sharp.

Steel +15 1.5u


vivens look likely to return to being a force but i'm not sure they will be in the top couple of teams. mentor is one of the best players but they already had quality defenders and so may not improve them dramatically. brown is a decent pickup but doesn't come close to replacing chokolat. thwaites is preferable to beveredge for mine.

adelaide still sport two of the best in the comp in borrego and NVB. they were terrible last week but should be better for the run.

Adelaide +14.5 $1.80 2u

[binomial]

Magic v Steel under 94.5 1.5u

[binomial]

car crash push of the steel game conceding three goals in the last minute or so. tbirds werent that far off vixens except for a few minutes where they concedeed something like an 11-0 run.

Tactix $1.90 1u
Firebirds +6.5 1u
Firebirds v Swifts over 99.5 2u

Pretty tough to win away, especially when your an ordinary team like the fever missing players.

[ACoochy]

GL but im on the opposite tonight playing both unders as from watching every game thus far the intensity to play the full 60 mins has been lacking. this sport is a goldmine for unders in general but particularly in beginning of season imo. Thus far only a single over has hit ...GL

[Gee]

have an insider who knows all the players.

waiting on some info from her. her bf is a mad gambler so he always gets her advice. says he does really well.

no idea how solid the plays will be, but am going to give them a go.

[rjc]

have an insider who knows all the players.

waiting on some info from her. her bf is a mad gambler so he always gets her advice. says he does really well.

no idea how solid the plays will be, but am going to give them a go.

let's hear them Gee.

[Gee]

let's hear them Gee.

I didn't even realize the season had even started Netball is usually my Monday afternoon degen sport, along with Rugby league.

I've sent a text. Got a feeling he is on a plane today as hasn't replied and only msged her two mins ago (considering Fever game starts in 40 mins, i may not get a response in time).

She should know a lot more than whats available to the public though and used to play at a pretty high level, so she should have a clue. Its also one of those sports where she would have info on some of the teams and players that the general public and bookies wouldn't have. I too have an optomistic feeling about this.

Netball must be one of those markets that if you know what you are doing you can pick off the bookie i would think...

[Gee]

let's hear them Gee.

She likes the Tactix.

They recruited v well and are at home, which is a friggin' long way from Perth.

I'm going to take them for 0.75x.

edit: also playing the under for 1x. Fever haven't won there in 3 years. expecting both teams to suck w/ poor skills and be a low scoring game.

[rjc]

She likes the Tactix.

They recruited v well and are at home, which is a friggin' long way from Perth.

I'm going to take them for 0.75x.

edit: also playing the under for 1x. Fever haven't won there in 3 years. expecting both teams to suck w/ poor
skills and be a low scoring
game.

nice iv parlayed it . Good luck to us.
It's funny that you know someone as well. I work with the daughter of one of the head coaches but it hasn't seemed to of helped me so far, I need to probe for more answers.

[Gee]

It doesn't look like its helping this game :/ bah.

oh well, at least i put my degenerate bet in based on an informed opinion, rather than my attempt at capping netball.

[Shifty107]

Tactix coming back bro, the under looks dead in the water though.

[Gee]

Under is actually still alive, but not by much. I've seen v. low scoring 4th Q's in this type of game before.

a close game = a tighter game with more mistakes.

can't believe the fever came out so hot.

She said Tactix. He said Under. I know who I am going with next time

edit: now the under is officially shot.

[Gee]

Epic fail on Under and the Tactix

who woulda thought the Fever would mush the under by coming out on absolute fire and also the Tactix bet by coming out like that in last Q away from home!

[Shifty107]

tactix sucked dick in the 4th. You playing the swifts?

[Gee]

just sent a text and the reply was that the swifts have the talent to smash anyone, but the firebirds at home laying 6 points is tough.

makes it a no play for me, EXCEPT the public must be all over the swifts (with their line up, its hard not to and the public is always on them!), and the line has dropped from 6.5 to 5.5 in the last few hours (i got it at 6). that means RLM and bookies are begging for action on Swifts, which they will get.

Both teams are also quick with good shooters, so playing the over. both for 1x.

[Shifty107]

I still got it at 6.5. Might just play the over for a small amount. Good luck mate.

[Bull_Shark]

just sent a text and the reply was that the swifts have the talent to smash anyone, but the firebirds at home laying 6 points is tough.

makes it a no play for me, EXCEPT the public must be all over the swifts (with their line up, its hard not to and the public is always on them!), and the line has dropped from 6.5 to 5.5 in the last few hours (i got it at 6). that means RLM and bookies are begging for action on Swifts, which they will get.

Both teams are also quick with good shooters, so playing the over. both for 1x.

lol, this is netball .. There is no such thing as reverse line movement and bookie traps ect. If the line moved a point it was purely due to weight of money

[Gee]

lol, this is netball .. There is no such thing as reverse line movement and bookie traps ect. If the line moved a point it was purely due to weight of money

I disagree.

I don't think it would move like that in this type of game unless it was big smart money. I think the % of the public would have been on the swifts, hence RLM.

I'm going to go with the person who puts a huge stack on a dog in a game of Netball (from someone who obviously knows something) rather than capping it with such limited info out there.

I could be wrong, as aussie sports are a guessing game where the money is, but the majority of the money and public had to be on the swifts IMO.

There is RLM and bookie traps wherever you look in any given sport.

[binomial]

Mystics +4.5 1.5u
Mystics v Magic over 96.5 1.5u
Fever +3.5 1.5u
Fever v tbirds under 107.5 1.5u

[Hory]

bet365 have the fever total at 97.5 right now

[GAMBLOR777]

Don't waste time trying to pick a side

OVER 106.5 is the play in the fever/thunderbirds game.