Rugby and league 2011

Beniphone · 09-11-11, 05:45 AM

Gonna be a very interesting week 2 of the RWC the way the lines go.

Bookies woulda ran a loss, but there is always ppl on the other side paying em

Duff85 · 09-11-11, 05:51 AM

Originally posted by Beniphone

there is always ppl on the other side paying em

Yeah this is my thoughts on it too.

Beniphone · 09-11-11, 05:52 AM

If only sbr had it in the sports book, week1 alone would of had us an ipad2 ha

IDunno89 · 09-11-11, 06:10 AM

Originally posted by Beniphone

Gonna be a very interesting week 2 of the RWC the way the lines go.

Bookies woulda ran a loss, but there is always ppl on the other side paying em

Me

I played SA Line

benrama · 09-11-11, 06:55 AM

I didn't even watch the Wales game or check the scores till late, it was obvious this was going to cash on a weekend like this one

And don't worry about those bookies, they get plenty of money on both sides of a line. I know plenty of mates that would have been on the Aussies in particular (and truth be told that was perhaps the one favourite that should have covered).

RLF · 09-11-11, 08:56 AM

Originally posted by Beniphone

If only sbr had it in the sports book, week1 alone would of had us an ipad2 ha

iPad? Mate I would've had the 55 inch!

Can't wait for next week. I love watching the minnows develop.

hawley · 09-11-11, 01:30 PM

Plenty of people would of seen SA spread as a gift I think.

I was thinking about the SBR sportsbook last night, even if they had put up lines for us they quickly would of stopped when we cleaned them up.

SaffaCappa · 09-11-11, 02:14 PM

Great work all round boys

Samoa -29 v Namibia in SA books, looks ok but I'm scared to back the favourites!!! Dogs RWC

PickApprentice · 09-11-11, 02:21 PM

Originally posted by SaffaCappa

Great work all round boys

Samoa -29 v Namibia in SA books, looks ok but I'm scared to back the favourites!!! Dogs RWC

SaffaCappa, I think Namibia will cover this time. +24 with Fiji, and the question is how good is Samoa compare to fiji. What do you think?

Other leans are:

Tonga -6.5
Georgia +19.5

Opinions are welcome!

Beniphone · 09-11-11, 03:08 PM

What book has the lines?

IDunno89 · 09-11-11, 03:45 PM

Bet365 has lines up

astrobloke · 09-11-11, 04:25 PM

I am loving these WCR games right now!

Right now I have not bet, but here are my thoughts.

Tonga by 10 points or so

Samoa - 27.0

Georgia + 21.0

Probably going to take a look at the lines later in the day though.

I am still on a massive HIGH from the weekend and the great performance in here!

Happy punting to you all.

Beniphone · 09-11-11, 04:52 PM

Arg v rom 25
Sam v nam 30
Sco v geo 20
Ton v can 6
Aus v ire 11
Saf v fij 21
Rus v usa 6
NZ v jap 58

Will see how they move, NZ tab has brung jap v NZ at 53

Interesting, Afew if these teams have never faced each other. So far I like usa, aus, tonga and possibly Fiji

Tonga have played Canada twice at WC's loosing both 24-7 and 37-4

Fiji came close against SA in 2007 quarters loosing 37-20

hawley · 09-11-11, 05:18 PM

Ireland were pretty woeful yesterday, although conditions were testing.

Australia only needed 15 minutes to secure that game.

astrobloke · 09-11-11, 05:26 PM

yes I just missed my aussie bet. But was the only game I lost all day. K-rist!!!... I was even winning volleyball games at midnight!...ha ha..it was crazy.

regarding WC Samoa v Namibia clash. I will probably wait for the samoa team announcement.
If they make some significant wholesale changes, they might not be the best bet, and I will be backing Namibia on the + but should Samoa round up the of the pack, we may see the a first minus cap bring it home.

benrama · 09-11-11, 06:36 PM

Those look like much sharper lines. Feels like Japan should be an automatic play at +53 given what happened this weekend - the fact France had all those late tries gives a softer line, I think; Japan deserved to lose by less than 10 points. Definitely like Australia at -11 too, I think that line goes up during the week, and will be good to jump on early.

Got no real view at all on the other games. You guys doing the research and capping - what data, websites, other resources are you looking at?

hawley · 09-11-11, 06:40 PM

Might get on Romania again hopefully their forwards can get it done.

ExodusNZ · 09-11-11, 07:32 PM

So thinking

Tonga -6
Namibia +30

No read on the Scotland game..

But think that the ABs forward pack will do some work this weekend, so should cover the spread!

Thoughts?

Beniphone · 09-11-11, 08:04 PM

Originally posted by benrama

Got no real view at all on the other games. You guys doing the research and capping - what data, websites, other resources are you looking at?

Anything the newspaper/radio are saying, +anything google gives

astrobloke · 09-11-11, 08:05 PM

Scotland vs. Georgia game....

my lean is towards - Georgia + 21.0

I think that the Bookies have little to no idea either, These sides have never faced one another before.

I can say Scotland got big scare from the Romania it wouldn't surprise me if Georgia do the same.

Should be interesting one though!

benrama · 09-11-11, 08:24 PM

Originally posted by Beniphone

Anything the newspaper/radio are saying, +anything google gives

Cool, guess I've been looking for a good site to see the historical results for teams, H2H all that, similar to what I have for AFL and NRL - but I guess for a lot of these games that's largely irrelevant anyway.

How the fk do you cap teams like Romania and Georgia though?

ACoochy · 09-11-11, 09:09 PM

Benrama where u finding that wallabies -11 line? Liking it also and wanna get on it b4 it climbs

ExodusNZ · 09-11-11, 09:16 PM

Originally posted by ACoochy

Benrama where u finding that wallabies -11 line? Liking it also and wanna get on it b4 it climbs

Its on bet365

astrobloke · 09-11-11, 10:38 PM

I just took Georgia +21 (2 unit)

news just came in that 10 or so changes have been made to the Scotland team. That for me is HUGE, and I think the odd will drop once again. Scotland have to face Argentina and England in their group, and are rotating the squad. Making that cap all the more appealling to me. So I went in with 2 units.

IMHO Georgia is probably the storngest out of all the 2nd tier nations, with nifty plays up front, In a way they are sort of similar to Romania's style. Very similar infact!

This one for me is a no brainer, and got in in case the lines start to move.

IDunno89 · 09-11-11, 10:57 PM

CB has Georgia +22.5

astrobloke · 09-11-11, 11:02 PM

THX.

and Good luck!

hawley · 09-11-11, 11:09 PM

TAB opened with Australia -12.5

May have to book that early, I think it will move.

None of the wednesday games interest me at first glance.

RLF · 09-11-11, 11:21 PM

I'll probably be on the Ireland line, so I'm hoping it moves out.

I wouldn't play anything before team lists however.

hawley · 09-12-11, 12:08 AM

Originally posted by RLF

I'll probably be on the Ireland line, so I'm hoping it moves out.

I wouldn't play anything before team lists however.

What did you think of them yesterday?

kingsr · 09-12-11, 12:21 AM

Love the Georgia play! I'm on it too, its my fav play of the week so far.

astrobloke · 09-12-11, 12:29 AM

Yes Kingsr,

Good luck.

I have no plan for the other games yet and sitting out for now.

Samoa v Namibia ???

Tonga v Canada ???

Intuition is telling me it is too early to get in yet.

But just watching the lines, and look at some more stats. Plenty of time to get in if needed be.

Good luck to all your bookie robbers out there....

hawley · 09-12-11, 12:32 AM

What do you guys think about Tonga and Canada?

RLF · 09-12-11, 01:01 AM

Need to see team lists first

What did you think of them yesterday?

Ireland? Not that great, however I can see the Aus game being very close.

Beniphone · 09-12-11, 01:04 AM

Tonga will start their finest, they should get their first win over Canada, especially with all the support they have

hawley · 09-12-11, 01:43 AM

Digby Ioane broken thumb. Looks like he is gone for the tournament.