My League of Legends thread

Safehouse · 03-18-20, 06:12 AM

Adding one more for NA LCS

1U TSM -6.5 kills vs IMT @ 1.88

Safehouse · 03-19-20, 08:57 PM

OPL
1U LGC vs ORD u24.5 kills @ 1.83
1U DW vs PGG u25.5 kills @ 1.83

Safehouse · 03-20-20, 04:52 AM

LPL
2U RW vs V5 o26.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

Safehouse · 03-20-20, 10:42 PM

LCK is back along with a few others. Hopefully be able to find more picks now there are more games going around fromt he main leagues

LCK
1U GEN vs GRF u19.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1.5U HLE vs DRX o20.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1U AF vs SB o20.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1.5U AF vs SB o20.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1U T1 vs APK o20.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

Safehouse · 03-22-20, 09:04 PM

Record: 44 - 28 | +11.98 units | 15.82% ROI

LPL
1U EDG vs VG u25.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U EDG vs VG u25.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

Deenoz · 03-23-20, 01:58 PM

good work.
keep it up.
looks like the only sports to bet on at the moment.

Safehouse · 03-23-20, 10:34 PM

Originally posted by Deenoz

good work.
keep it up.
looks like the only sports to bet on at the moment.

Yeah fortunately they managed to get most of the leagues online, a little worried how not playing on stage will effect some picks but trying to factor it in for the most part. Anyway more picks for the week.

LPL
1U V5 vs OMG u24.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83

OPL
1U PGG vs AV u26.5 kills @ 1.83
2.5U ORD vs DW u26.5 kills @ 1.83
1.5U ORD vs CHF u25.5 kills @ 1.83

NA LCS
1.5U DIG win vs IMT @ 2.31
1U TSM -4.5 kills vs DIG @ 1.8
1U EG -5.5 kills vs IMT @ 2

Safehouse · 03-24-20, 09:07 PM

NA LCS
1U FLY vs TL u23.5 kills @ 1.83
1U DIG vs IMT u21.5 kills @ 1.83
1U IMT vs EG u21.5 kills @ 1.83
1U 100T vs CLG o21.5 kills @ 1.83

LEC
1U RG vs SK u22.5 kills @ 1.83
1U FNC vs VIT o24.5 kills @ 1.83

Safehouse · 03-25-20, 09:01 PM

Couple more games for tomorrow and updates record

Record: 48 - 29 | +13.82 units | 17% ROI

LPL
1U FPX vs OMG u27.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U LNG vs ES u30.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83

Safehouse · 03-26-20, 07:51 AM

LCK
1U SB vs GRF u20.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U SB vs GRF o20.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1.5U DWG vs APK o20.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

Safehouse · 03-26-20, 08:50 PM

After seeing the Travis interview with Nisqy I see value in putting a little money against C9 in both their games this weekend

NA LCS
0.5U EG win vs C9 @ 3.47
0.5U TL win vs C9 @ 3.45

Safehouse · 03-27-20, 09:30 PM

LPL
1U LGD vs V5 u28.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U LGD vs V5 o28.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1U BLG vs WE u26.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U BLG vs WE u26.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
OPL
1U CHF vs MMM o22.5 kills @ 1.83
1U LGC vs DW u25.5 kills @ 1.72

Safehouse · 03-28-20, 02:13 AM

Can't post tomorrow so have all the picks up now. Likely no more picks for the weekend and will update the record when they are all resulted. BOL!

LLA
1U ISG vs R7 u21.5 kills @ 1.83
1U INF vs AK u21.5 kills @ 1.83

LPL
1U RNG vs EDG u25.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U RNG vs EDG u25.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

LCK
2.5U APK vs SB o20.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1U KT vs AF o20.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U KT vs AF o20.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

Deenoz · 03-28-20, 06:21 PM

good luck safehouse

Safehouse · 03-28-20, 09:17 PM

Updated record and 1 more pick for the weekend. Should be the last. BOL!

Record: 62 - 38 | +19.59 units | 18.26% ROI

NA LCS
2U EG win vs IMT @ 1.57

Safehouse · 03-30-20, 09:34 PM

Want to get these picks out early before LPL starts, more to come

Record: 71 - 42 | +25.3 units | 20.7% ROI

LPL
1U LGD vs EDG u26.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1.5U V5 vs RNG u24.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83

Safehouse · 03-31-20, 09:07 PM

Branching out a little on the picks, hitting up some first to markets. Maps 1 to 3 are available on Bet365 but will need other books for maps 4 and 5. Pinnacle, Ladbrokes, Beteasy have the lines too along with a few more. BOL!

OPL
1U PGG vs ORD u28.5 kills @ 1.83

LCK
1.5U SB vs DRX o22.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1U GEN vs T1 u19.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83

LEC
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 1 @ 2
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 2 @ 2
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 3 @ 2
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 4 @ 1.92
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 5 @ 1.92
1U FNC first drake vs OG map 1 @ 1.83
1U FNC first drake vs OG map 2 @ 1.83
1U FNC first drake vs OG map 3 @ 1.83
1U FNC first drake vs OG map 4 @ 1.8
1U FNC first drake vs OG map 5 @ 1.8

Safehouse · 03-31-20, 10:18 PM

LLA
1U ISG vs AK u23.5 kills @ 1.83
1.5U AK vs R7 u23.5 kills @ 1.83
1.5U INF vs VG u21.5 kills @ 1.83

Safehouse · 04-01-20, 09:38 PM

1 pick so far may be more but wanted to get this one out early as game starts soonish. No lines on Bet365 today. Can be found on Pinnacle/BetOnline/Ladbrokes/Beteasy BOL!

Record: 74 - 43 | +27.64 units | 21.72% ROI

LCK
1.5U Afreeca Freecs vs APK Prince o22.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

Safehouse · 04-01-20, 11:13 PM

Starting to post full names to avoid confusion

LPL
2U Edward Gaming vs Dominus Esports u25.5 kill map 1 @ 1.83
1U Invictus Gaming vs Victory Five o28.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
VCS
1U Dashing Buffalo vs EVOS Esports u28.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U Dashing Buffalo vs EVOS Esports u28.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

MrCOB · 04-02-20, 05:51 AM

Originally posted by Safehouse

LEC
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 1 @ 2
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 2 @ 2
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 3 @ 2
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 4 @ 1.92
1U RGE first tower vs MSF map 5 @ 1.92

I'm on board with these, let's see how it goes.

By the way, I am doing my own Elo ratings for LEC, LCS, LCK and LPL. Might post something if interested. Or might make my own thread if you don't want me hijacking yours

Safehouse · 04-02-20, 07:35 AM

Yeah going to see how I like the different market, been doing some testing and it seems alright. Has been profitable but not to the extent of my current picks so will keep an eye on it. I'm interested to see your ratings and fine with you posting wherever aslong as you aren't spamming it haha

MrCOB · 04-02-20, 08:47 AM

Alright then, check them out: https://imgur.com/a/h84pvSg

I am using Oracle's Elixir data and apparently there has been an issue with Riot's API since 24th March, so this was the last time the ratings were updated. So for example with T1's win over Gen.G they might be first in rating as of now. Since I can't update my ratings, I am not betting outrights currently until this is fixed. Also I stopped betting LEC because I get the worst CLV and ROI there for whaterver reson, but the others seem quite ok.

Safehouse · 04-02-20, 09:03 PM

Picks for today. More to come!

LCK
1.5U T1 vs Griffin u19.5 map 1 @ 1.83
1U T1 vs Griffin o19.5 map 2 @ 1.83
1U Areeca Freecs vs DAMWON Gaming o23.5 map 2 @ 1.83

VCS
2U Team Secret vs V Gaming Adonis o26.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

Safehouse · 04-02-20, 10:25 PM

Originally posted by MrCOB

Alright then, check them out: https://imgur.com/a/h84pvSg

I am using Oracle's Elixir data and apparently there has been an issue with Riot's API since 24th March, so this was the last time the ratings were updated. So for example with T1's win over Gen.G they might be first in rating as of now. Since I can't update my ratings, I am not betting outrights currently until this is fixed. Also I stopped betting LEC because I get the worst CLV and ROI there for whaterver reson, but the others seem quite ok.

Yeah the Oraclers Elixir issues are actually really annoying. I have been using them for things as well but hopefully they can get it worked out soon enough... Looks interesting and yeah I don't bet on LEC much myself haha.

Picks!

Record: 77 - 43 | +30.55 units | 23.37% ROI

LCK
1.5U KT Rolster vs APK Prince o22.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

LPL
1.5U Rogue Warriors vs LGD Gaming o27.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
2U Team WE vs OMG u26.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1.5U Team WE vs OMG u26.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

NA LCS
2U Evil Geniuses win vs FlyQuest @ 1.53
1U Evil Geniuses -1.5 match line vs FlyQuest @ 2.2

Safehouse · 04-03-20, 10:12 PM

Record: 82 - 45 | +33.89 units | 24.17% ROI

OPL
1U Dire Wolves vs Order u24.5 kills @ 1.83
1U Pentanet.GG vs MAMMOTH u27.5 kills @ 1.83

LPL
2U Bilibili Gaming vs Edward Gaming u25.5 map 1 @ 1.83
1.5U Bilibili Gaming vs Edward Gaming u25.5 map 2 @ 1.83
1U Royal Never Give Up vs Invictus Gaming u30.5 map 1 @ 1.83
1U Royal Never Give Up vs Invictus Gaming u30.5 map 2 @ 1.83

MrCOB · 04-04-20, 05:24 AM

You might want to have a look at these:

Gen.G First Blood vs Kingzone DragonX Map 1 @1.694
Gen.G First Blood vs Kingzone DragonX Map 2 @1.709
Gen.G First Blood vs Kingzone DragonX Map 3 @1.724

Safehouse · 04-04-20, 09:19 PM

Originally posted by MrCOB

You might want to have a look at these:

Gen.G First Blood vs Kingzone DragonX Map 1 @1.694
Gen.G First Blood vs Kingzone DragonX Map 2 @1.709
Gen.G First Blood vs Kingzone DragonX Map 3 @1.724

Yeah there can be a fair amount of value in the FB market but it always seems really volatile to me and tend to steer clear of it. Might look at it more though.

Also picks!

Record: 88 - 49 | +34.95 units | 23.03% ROI

LCK
1U T1 vs DAMWON Gaming o21.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1U Griffin vs APK Prince u23.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U Afreeca Freecs vs Hanwha Life Esports o20.5 map 1 kills @ 1.8
1.5U Afreeca Freecs vs Hanwha Life Esports o20.5 map 2 kills @ 1.8

Safehouse · 04-04-20, 11:41 PM

NA LCS
1.5U Cloud 9 vs 100 Thieves o22.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

DiggityDaggityDo · 04-04-20, 11:54 PM

Tremendous job in here, Safehouse.

Safehouse · 04-05-20, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Tremendous job in here, Safehouse.

Thanks my dude! Hopefully can keep it up for the rest of the split, mostly finals now with some LPL and LCK thrown in.

Also picks!

Record: 97 - 56 | +36.04 units | 21.17% ROI

LPL
2U Suning vs Victory Five o25.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1U OMG vs Vici Gaming u25.5 kills map 1 @ 1.72
1U OMG vs Vici Gaming u25.5 kills map 2 @ 1.72
1.75U Dominus Esports vs Bilibili Gaming u25.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1.75U Dominus Esports vs Bilibili Gaming u25.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1U eStar vs JD Gaming u29.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U eStar vs JD Gaming u29.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83

NA LCS
1U FlyQuest vs Golden Guardians o4.5 total maps @ 2.75

LEC
1U MAD Lions vs Fnatic o26.5 kills map 1 @ 1.83
1U MAD Lions vs Fnatic o26.5 kills map 2 @ 1.83
1U MAD Lions vs Fnatic o26.5 kills map 3 @ 1.83

MrCOB · 04-06-20, 05:42 AM

Originally posted by MrCOB

You might want to have a look at these:

Gen.G First Blood vs Kingzone DragonX Map 1 @1.694
Gen.G First Blood vs Kingzone DragonX Map 2 @1.709
Gen.G First Blood vs Kingzone DragonX Map 3 @1.724

Both Map 1 & 2 were winners, no Map 3 played (funnilly DRX won 0-2).

Bad news - as of today, if you bet one map derivative in a 3o5 in Pinnacle, the odds drop automatically on all other maps as well. Wasn't the case until this week. Grabbed some Golden Guardians 1st Turret vs FlyQuest (any map) @2.03, if anyone finds other book to place it feel free.

Which brings me to the next question, which books other than Pinnacle do you use for e-sports? Which ones are most reliable (especially in the current situation), have best odds/limits? I'd asume pure eSports bookies would have it better than the rest and are perhaps even benefitting from the crisis. Heard Nitrogen is ok, don't know about the others. Does anyone have any experience?

Safehouse · 04-06-20, 09:50 PM

Originally posted by MrCOB

Both Map 1 & 2 were winners, no Map 3 played (funnilly DRX won 0-2).

Bad news - as of today, if you bet one map derivative in a 3o5 in Pinnacle, the odds drop automatically on all other maps as well. Wasn't the case until this week. Grabbed some Golden Guardians 1st Turret vs FlyQuest (any map) @2.03, if anyone finds other book to place it feel free.

Which brings me to the next question, which books other than Pinnacle do you use for e-sports? Which ones are most reliable (especially in the current situation), have best odds/limits? I'd asume pure eSports bookies would have it better than the rest and are perhaps even benefitting from the crisis. Heard Nitrogen is ok, don't know about the others. Does anyone have any experience?

Yeah I have noticed that with Pinnacle too, it is actually super annoying. You can find most of the prop type of markets on Bet365, BetOnline, Betway, Bovada, Ladbrokes and Beteasy but they don't always have them.

Also picks!

Record: 99 - 57 | +37.54 units | 21.54% ROI

LEC
1U Rogue first dragon vs Origen map 1 @ 2.1
1U Rogue first dragon vs Origen map 2 @ 2.1
1U Rogue first dragon vs Origen map 3 @ 2.1
1U Rogue first dragon vs Origen map 4 @ 2
1U Rogue first dragon vs Origen map 5 @ 2

Safehouse · 04-07-20, 09:20 PM

LPL gave me a bending over yesterday. Back on the horse

Record: 99 - 62 | +31.04 units | 17.17% ROI

NA LCS
2U Team Solo Mid ML vs 100 Thieves @ 1.61
1U Team Solo Mid -1.5 maps vs 100 Thieves @ 2.37

Safehouse · 04-08-20, 12:01 AM

NA LCS

1U Team SoloMid first blood vs 100 Thieves map 1 @ 1.83
1U Team SoloMid first blood vs 100 Thieves map 2 @ 1.83
1U Team SoloMid first blood vs 100 Thieves map 3 @ 1.83
1U Team SoloMid first blood vs 100 Thieves map 4 @ 1.8
1U Team SoloMid first blood vs 100 Thieves map 5 @ 1.8