AylukeAy's AFL thread.

[aylukeay]

Hawks-Ess exotics--Line play coming friday afternoon.

Most goals:
Daniher 0.2 units @ 10.00 (centrebet)
Roughhead 0.8 units @ 4.00 (sportsbet)
Gunstan 0.5 units @ 6.00 (sportsbet)

Group A: (sportsbet)
Watson 1 unit @ 3.50
Mitchell 0.7 units @ 4.50

Group B: (centrebet)
Zaharakis 1.1 unit @ 3.00
Myers 0.4 units @ 7.50

outlay4.7

[aylukeay]

Multi: Swans/Geelong 3 units @ 1.85 (sportsbet)

North Melbourne (-19.5) 3 units @ 1.92 (sportsbet)

West Coast (-43.5) 4 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

GWS (+5.5) 2.5 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

Hawks (-15.5) 2.5 units @ 2.00 (palmer)


Pending bets of freo 1-39 and port h2h pending, as are hawks-ess exotics.

[aylukeay]

So mitchell late out and will be refunded for 0.7 units. Going to bank 0.2 of those n bet the rest
Group a
Goddard 0.5 units @6.50 (centrebet)

[aylukeay]

GWS-Saints Exotics.

most goals:
Riewoldt 0.8 units @ 4.00 (sportsbet)
Patton 0.2 units @ 12.00 (centrebet)

Most Disposals group 1(betstar):
Treloar 0.64 units @ 5.25
Montagna 0.86 units @ 3.85



gws -5.5 bet posted above.
outlay 2.5 exotics and 2.5 result.

[aylukeay]

exotics for GC-Freo

Most disposals group a (sportsbet)
Ablett 1 unit @ 3.00
Prestia 0.5 units @ 6.00


Most disposals group b (centrebet)
Rischitelli 0.8 units @ 5.50
Mzungu 0.7 units @ 6.00


Freo 1-39 3 units bet posted earlier. total outlay 6 units

[aylukeay]

Syd-Coll exotics:

most goals:
Franklin 0.9 units @ 3.60 (betstar)
Cloke 0.6 units @ 5.00 (sportsbet)


most disposals group A (sportsbet)
Beams 0.75 units @ 5.50
Pendlebury 0.75 units @ 5.50


multi 3 unit posted earlier. total outlay 6 units

[aylukeay]

Exotics Port- Ade
Most goals:
Gray 0.2 units @ 15.00 (betezy)
Westhoff 0.4 units @ 7.00 (centrebet)
Wingard 0.2 units @ 13.00 (centrebet)
Monfries 0.2 units @ 15.00 (sportsbet)

Most disposal A (sportsbet):
Boak 0.66 units @ 5.50
Cornes 0.84 units @ 4.50


4 unit play on port posted earlier, total outlay 2.5 units.

[aylukeay]

Bris-Cats exotics:

Most Disposals (group 2)
Zorko 0.7 units @ 6.00 (sportsbet)
Duncan 0.6 units @4.00 (betstar)

no other bets this match.

[aylukeay]

Melb-WestC props:

Most disposals group 1 (sportsbet)
N. Jones 0.66 units @ 6.00


Most goals: (sportsbet)
Lecras 0.67 unit @ 6.00
Darling 0.67 units @ 6.00


Most dispsoals group 2 (sportsbet)
Rosa 0.8 units @ 4.00
Watts 0.7 units @ 12.00


4 unit line play posted yesterday, outlay total 7 units

[aylukeay]

North- Dogs exotics:
adding to previous 3 unit play:
North (-19.5) 0.5 units @ 1.92 (sportsbet)

Most Goals (sportsbet):
Petrie 0.68 units @ 6.00
Thomas 0.82 units @ 5.00


Most disposals group 2 (betstar)
Cooney 1.5 units @ 2.75

3 unit line play posted previously, total outlay. 6.5

[aylukeay]

Rich/Carl...Exotics outlay 4.2 units, return 5.4 units = +1.2 units .....match outlay 2.5 units return 4.075 = +1.576

Hawks/Ess exotics outlay 4.5 return 3.5 units = (-1.00 unit).........match outlay 2.5 units = (-2.5 units)

Gws/Stk exotics outlay 2.5 units return 1.6 units = (-0.9 units) match outlay 2.5 units = (-2.5 units)

Freo/goldc exotics outlay 3 units = (-3.00 units) result outlay 3 units = (-3 units)

Syd/Collingwood exotics outlay 3 units return 4.13 units = +1.13 units multi outlay 3 units = (-3.00 units)

Port/Ade exotics outlay 2.5 units return 5.28 units = +2.78 units result outlay 4 units return 6.77 = +2.77 units

North/Dogs exotics outlay 3 units = (-3.00 units) match result outlay 3.5 units return 6.72 units = +3.22 units

Cats/Bris exotics 1.3 units reurn of 4.2 units = +2.9 units

Eagles/Dees exotics 3.5 units return of 5.56 units = +2.06 units result 4 units outlay return 8 units +4.00 units


Totals
Match results: (-0.53 units)
Exotics + 2.17 units

Overall round +1.64 units

[aylukeay]

Sportingbet have a promotion this week where you get a refund if your team loses by less than 18, I can only get this offer to be used for 1 unit but if you can get more units locked in then it sounds like a good option!


Essendon 2.5 units @ 1.55 (betstar)
Essendon 1 unit @ 1.48 (sportingbet)


Hawthorn 1 unit @ 1.70 (sportinbet)
Hawthorn 2.5 units @ 1.76 (luxbet)


Port Adelaide 1 unit @ 1.71 (sportingbet)
Port Adelaide 3 units @ 1.74 (palmerbet)

[aylukeay]

Exotics for Hawks-Freo

Most disposals 1 (sportsbet)
Birchall 0.80 units @ 6.00

Most goals:
Gunstan 0.48 units @ 7.50 (betstar)
Bruest 0.32 units @ 11.00 (centrebet)
Hale 0.16 units @ 21.00 (centrebet)
Rioli 0.24 units @ 15.00 (centrebet)

[aylukeay]

Richmond (-14.5) 3.5 units @ 2.00 (palmerbet)

Sydney 1 unit @ 1.82 (sportingbet)

GoldCoast 1 unit @ 1.70 (sportingbet)
Goldcoast 2.5 units @ 1.78 (betstar)

Melbourne 1 unit @ 3.30 (sportngbet)


Geelong 1 unit @ 1.63 (sportingbet)
Geelong 2.5 units @ 1.63 (tomw)

[aylukeay]

Richmond Bulldogs exotics:

Most goals:
Vickery 0.5 units @ 8.00 (ezy)
JRoo 1 unit @ 3.50 (sportsbet)

Most disposals group 2 sportsbet:
Ellis 0.5 units @ 6.00
Macrae 1 unit @ 3.50


outlay 3 units plus Rich line bet posted earlier for 3.5 units

[aylukeay]

West Coast- Saints exotics:

Most Goals (sportsbet)
Kennedy 0.9 units @ 3.75
Darling 0.6 units @ 5.50


Most disposals group B (sportsbet)
Shuey 1 unit @ 4.50
Gaff 1 unit @ 3.50


outlay 3.5 units. no bet on match result

[aylukeay]

Ade-Syd exotics:

most disposals group 1:
Hannebery 0.75 units @ 5.50 (sportsbet)
Mcveigh 0.75 units @ 5.50 (betstar)


most disposals group 2:
Mitchell 1 unit @ 4.00 (sportsbet)
Wright 0.5 units @6.00 (sportsbet)


Outlay 3 units, 1 unit play on swans h2h also posted earlier.

[aylukeay]

Goldc-Bris exotics

Most disposals group 1 (Tomw):
Ablett 2 units @ 1.90


Most disposals group 2 (betstar)
Rischitelli 0.6 units @ 5.75
Zorko 0.9 units @ 3.85

outlay 3.5 units, goldc 3.5 unit play also pending

[aylukeay]

Cats-Pies exotics:
Most disposals group 1 (betstar)
Beams 0.7 units @ 4.85
Johnson 0.8 units @ 4.60

Most disposals group 2 (betstar)
Sidebottom 0.6 units @5.25
Lumumba 0.9 units @ 4.85


Most Goals:
Cloke 0.8 units @ 3.75 (sportsbet)
Hawkins 0.7 units @ 6.00 (betstar)

outlay 4.5 units on exotics and Geelong 3.5 unit play already pending.
That is all exotics placed for all sat games, and sundays match results all ready pending. best of luck!

[aylukeay]

Melb-Gws props

Most disposals group 2 (sportsbet)
Terlich 0.4 units @ 5.00
Cross 0.6 units @ 5.50
Watts 0.5 units @ 7.00


Most disposals group 1 (betstar)
Jones 0.9 units @ 4.60
Ward 0.6 units @ 5.00

outlay 3 units plus 1unit play on result posted earlier.

[aylukeay]

Port - North exotics
Most disposals group 1 (sportsbet)
Boak 0.5 units @ 6.00
Cornes 1.1 units @ 3.00

Most disposals group 2 (sportsbet)
Polec 0.6 units @ 5.50
Ebert 0.8 units @ 4.00

Most Goals
Schults 0.5 units @ 6.00 (tomw)
Gray 0.2 units @ 16 (sb)
Monfries 0.2 units @ 16 (sb)
Wingard 0.26 units @ 12 (sb)
Westhoff 0.34 units @ 9.00 (sb)

outlay 4.5 plus3.5 unit play on port posted earlier.

[aylukeay]

Ess-Carl exotics

most disposals group 1 (sportsbet)
Watson 1.1 unit @ 2.75
Murphy 0.4 units @ 7.00

most disposals group 2 (sportsbet)
Zaharakis 1 unit @ 3.25
Myers 0.5 units @ 6.00

Most goals
Watson 0.2 units @ 34 (tomw)
Hardingham 0.2 units @ 21 (tomw)
Chapman 0.4 units @ 11 (sb)
Winderlich 0.4 units @ 11 (sb)


outlay 4 units plus ess 3.5 unit bet posted earlier

[aylukeay]

Round 3 record, cbf going through game by game but the weekly result from all posted bets was:

(-2.32 units)

[aylukeay]

Round 4- rest of bets and write ups will be posted Thur night but for now one early play, edit adding 0.5 units to make play 4 instead of 3.5 units:


Collingwood 4 units @ 1.65 (365) to beat Rich

[Bic]

Collingwood to beat Collingwood hey!? Well.. They do seem to beat themselves when on the park

[aylukeay]

thanks for spotting that! lets hope that s not a omen lol.

[aylukeay]

Essendon (+3.5) 4 units @ 1.92 V Fremantle (sportsbet)

[Coopertrooper]

Essendon (+3.5) 4 units @ 1.92 V Fremantle (sportsbet)

Can't believe they had Essendon at +3.5 at the same time other books had them at -2.5!

[aylukeay]

I was very lucky to spot this just in time, had I not been shopping around on other sites at the same time would not have noticed how much of an outlier this price was, think I got in with about half an hour left.
Sportsbet def dropped the ball with this one

[aylukeay]

So posted 4 unit play on collingwood and Essendon already, (will post line bets in carlton and port matches 2moro) other plays:


Western Bulldogs 4 units @ 1.67 (sportsbet)

Geelong (1-39) 3 units @ 2.15 (sportsbet)

Hawthorn (1-39) 3 units @ 2.20 (Sportsbet)

Sydney (1-39) 3 units @ 2.10 (sportsbet)

Adelaide 4 units @ 1.76 (luxbet)

[aylukeay]

Carlton (-33.5) 3 Units @ 2.00 (Palmer)

Port Adelaide (-34.5) 3 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

[aylukeay]

Richmond (-26.5) 3 Units @ 2.00 (palmer)


Most Disposals group 1 (betstar)
Rockliff 0.9 units @ 3.50
Cotchin 0.6 units @ 4.50


Most Disposals group 2 (betstar)
Ellis 0.6 units @ 8.00
Conca 0.6 units @ 5.25


Most Goals
Griffin 0.2 units @ 18.00 (sportsbet)
Riewoldt 1.3 units @ 3.00 (betstar)

[aylukeay]

Collingwood (-1.5) 3 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

Adelaide (-36.5) 3 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

Essendon (-45.5) 3 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

Geelong {+10.5} 3 units @ 2.00 (palmer)

[therealdealau]

Good luck this week mate

[aylukeay]

Port Adelaide {+1.5} 4 units @ 2.00 (Palmerbet)


considering the h2h odds are 1.94 this makes a lot of sense to me