Gonzo Sports

Dr.Gonzo · 09-21-13, 11:48 PM

Looking at the early odds for week three, Manly don't seem to be getting enough respect. I would be pricing them alot shorter than current quotes suggest. Zorba seems to think Brett Stewart will be playing as well.

MrXYZ · 09-22-13, 08:49 PM

Agree, Manly is the value play here. I'll take them in a Prelim Final at +6.5 points even without Stewart.

Dr.Gonzo · 09-26-13, 10:42 PM

NRL Finals Week 3

5* Manly +6.5 (1.94)
1* Manly HT/FT (4.50)

Brett Stewart confirmed according to NRL. Even if I'm harsh on Manly I can't access this as anything more than Manly +2.5. Hasler blew up about the officiating in their last match up so we might get a fairer crack tonight.

Dr.Gonzo · 09-26-13, 10:45 PM

NRL Finals Week 3 (continued)

5* Easts -8 (1.90)

Don't expect this to be here that long, it'll move to 8.5 soon.

s2230011 · 09-26-13, 11:19 PM

One thing for sure , Hasler will not be blowing up this weekend !!! :0)

Domestic · 09-26-13, 11:57 PM

Also on Manly +6.5, nice to get the hook and am hoping for a low scoring game.

Domestic · 09-27-13, 06:23 AM

Thanks Wolf man.

Dr.Gonzo · 09-27-13, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by Domestic

Thanks Wolf man.

Amazing try

Dr.Gonzo · 09-27-13, 08:41 PM

Line has moved against Easts with LOD ruled out with an injury. The SBW rumors are bullshit, he's been rumored to be out a few times this year, yet he always turned up and produced a huge performance, hopefully tonight is no exception.

MrXYZ · 09-28-13, 04:26 AM

SBW is playing. Good luck mate, let's cash this.

snufflyjoe · 09-28-13, 04:44 AM

Ok roosters -7.5 it is then! Good luck to us!

snufflyjoe · 09-28-13, 06:21 AM

I think we're good. Nice call Gonzo.

Dr.Gonzo · 09-28-13, 06:45 AM

Originally posted by snufflyjoe

I think we're good. Nice call Gonzo.

Thanks mate.

Dr.Gonzo · 09-28-13, 06:50 AM

NRL Finals Series Week 3 Results: 2-1 (+8.2 units)

NRL Finals Series Results: 7-6 (+12.48 units)

Great week landing two big plays

Got an Easts futures bet at 3.50 alive as well.

Dr.Gonzo · 10-05-13, 05:36 AM

NRL Grand Final

5* Easts -3.5 (2.00)

Best team in the comp and have beaten their opponents 3 times already this season.

Dr.Gonzo · 10-06-13, 11:39 AM

Dr.Gonzo · 10-06-13, 10:04 PM

Great results this year in the NRL. Killed the books in the playoffs as well, cashed lots of big plays. Analysis proved to be pretty good as well judging by the results.

Regular Season: 34-24-1 (Line betting)

Playoffs: 8-6 (+17.48 units)
5*4-0
3*2-1
2*1-1
1*1-4

Futures: 1-0 (+2.5 units)

sando · 10-07-13, 01:38 AM

Great work this season Gonzo. I guess I should admit defeat on our long standing South's debate. Turns out you were right, they were eventually exposed and Sammy boy (while still great) is definitely not the world's best forward. Most would probably say Sonny-Bill but personally I would lean towards JWH or Corey Parker. Anyway hope we can work together next season. Good stuff...

MrXYZ · 10-07-13, 06:36 AM

Outstanding finals results Gonzo. Congrats mate.

.

rohan22no · 10-07-13, 08:02 AM

Great Season Gonzo, looking forward to more tips. Do you do any other sports?

Dr.Gonzo · 10-07-13, 07:13 PM

Thanks boys.

Yeah, I'll give my two cents next season as long as I'm around Sando, always good to have a second opinion from someone credible.

I bet on everything Rohan but I don't have the same feel for other sports so the work is more based on basic models and advantage play. Horse racing is the other area I specialize in and the Melbourne carnival is coming up so I'll post some tips for that. A lot of good bookmaker specials on the horses to help those building the bankroll as well. I'll post some special plays on random sports as well, going to be looking closely at the NFL and the ATP circuit.

Dr.Gonzo · 10-11-13, 05:28 AM

The "soft money" for 12/10/13

This will be aimed at the best promotion of the day during the racing carnival, I'll post one for every Saturday, easy bankroll boosters. If you weren't already going to play these make sure you do.

$100 on Atlantic Jewel @ 2.00 (Sports.bet)

I'll be taking 1.50 on Bet.fair

Dr.Gonzo · 10-12-13, 02:16 AM

Originally posted by Dr.Gonzo

The "soft money" for 12/10/13

This will be aimed at the best promotion of the day during the racing carnival, I'll post one for every Saturday, easy bankroll boosters. If you weren't already going to play these make sure you do.

$100 on Atlantic Jewel @ 2.00 (Sports.bet)

I'll be taking 1.50 on Bet.fair

Easiest winner of all time.

micase · 10-13-13, 05:50 AM

Originally posted by Dr.Gonzo

Easiest winner of all time.

Good spot that one, I loaded up as well. Quick question though, I have been hammering these kind of promotions on sportsbet lately, (also the NRL/AFL near miss promos as well) do you know of anyone or experienced it yourself of getting limited at sportsbet? I noticed I got limited to a 47 dollar bet on a presidents cup megabet over there a few weeks ago

Dr.Gonzo · 10-13-13, 07:17 PM

Originally posted by micase

Good spot that one, I loaded up as well. Quick question though, I have been hammering these kind of promotions on sportsbet lately, (also the NRL/AFL near miss promos as well) do you know of anyone or experienced it yourself of getting limited at sportsbet? I noticed I got limited to a 47 dollar bet on a presidents cup megabet over there a few weeks ago

My original account is not eligible for some specials and I'm limited at sportsbet.

Dr.Gonzo · 10-13-13, 07:18 PM

NFL Week 6

Dallas Cowboys -5.5

Dr.Gonzo · 10-13-13, 07:27 PM

ATP Stockholm Round 1

1* Dodig (1.89)

Dr.Gonzo · 10-14-13, 07:38 AM

NFL Week 6 (continued)

Indianapolis Colts -1

Dr.Gonzo · 10-15-13, 08:42 PM

NFL Week 6: 1-1

Dr.Gonzo · 10-15-13, 08:47 PM

The "soft money" for 16/10/13

$100 on Melbourne R6 1 Guelph @1.40 (lux.bet)

If this bet wins you receive a $100 freebet.

Dr.Gonzo · 10-16-13, 02:10 AM

Originally posted by Dr.Gonzo

The "soft money" for 16/10/13

$100 on Melbourne R6 1 Guelph @1.40 (lux.bet)

If this bet wins you receive a $100 freebet.

Another easy winner.

I'll find something for Saturday as well and I'll be tipping the Caulfield Cup winner, at least I'll be trying to.

Cubanpete · 10-17-13, 10:16 PM

Looking forward to it. Keep up the great work!

Dr.Gonzo · 10-18-13, 06:40 AM

The "soft money" for 19/10/13

There's nothing as good as the previous 2 days as far as free money.

$50 on Melbourne R10 16 Royal Descent @14 (lad.brokes au) double the odds promotion

In the Caulfield Cup I like 16 Royal Descent, from the good barrier she maps well and looks to get a nice run. Big win in the AJC Oaks last prep, positive signs when she found the line well to get beat 0.2 of a length at WFA behind Streama (who franked the form running a close second in the Epsom) and was forgivable last start when she found trouble the whole race. Jockey from last start is replaced with her usual rider, which was a positive move in my mind. Even if I'm really hard on her I can't get her lower than $6, so you should expect this to win at a better than 20% rate here.

snufflyjoe · 10-18-13, 10:24 PM

Originally posted by Dr.Gonzo

The "soft money" for 19/10/13

There's nothing as good as the previous 2 days as far as free money.

$50 on Melbourne R10 16 Royal Descent @14 (lad.brokes au) double the odds promotion

In the Caulfield Cup I like 16 Royal Descent, from the good barrier she maps well and looks to get a nice run. Big win in the AJC Oaks last prep, positive signs when she found the line well to get beat 0.2 of a length at WFA behind Streama (who franked the form running a close second in the Epsom) and was forgivable last start when she found trouble the whole race. Jockey from last start is replaced with her usual rider, which was a positive move in my mind. Even if I'm really hard on her I can't get her lower than $6, so you should expect this to win at a better than 20% rate here.

Good Luck Mate, I backed Julienas EW and took Royal descent for a place

Sportsbet is paying 4 places which is a nice promo. Good luck to us

Dr.Gonzo · 10-19-13, 05:13 AM

Originally posted by snufflyjoe

Good Luck Mate, I backed Julienas EW and took Royal descent for a place

Sportsbet is paying 4 places which is a nice promo. Good luck to us

5th.

Good ride, she loomed to win in the straight just gave out a little, felt the track according to the jockey.