Johno's 2013 AFL Season Long Thread

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  • Cornelius
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-03-13
    • 288

    #666
    im quite amazed the under hit. Good call anyway. a win is a win . I had honestly given up on the under after the first half.
    Comment
    • johno35
      SBR MVP
      • 10-19-11
      • 1123

      #667
      Yeah I was concerned after half time too! Freo played great footy
      Comment
      • johno35
        SBR MVP
        • 10-19-11
        • 1123

        #668
        Port +29.5 - 3 units
        Comment
        • johno35
          SBR MVP
          • 10-19-11
          • 1123

          #669
          Well I expected Port to keep it close but not to win, I'm sure cats fans would prefer port over the pies also, huge result! Picked up another 3 units so 3/3 so far, most likely going to be on Richmond tomorrow
          Comment
          • Cornelius
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-03-13
            • 288

            #670
            congrats mate. i got burnt by the pies had 5 units on them. big mistake. Port really played well
            Comment
            • s2230011
              SBR Sharp
              • 06-14-10
              • 368

              #671
              Well done mate keep it up
              Comment
              • johno35
                SBR MVP
                • 10-19-11
                • 1123

                #672
                Thanks guys, I had underrated Port a few times this year but they got to the finals for a reason, I thought 29.5 was a bit much, I probably would have stayed away if it was something like 15-20
                Comment
                • johno35
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-19-11
                  • 1123

                  #673
                  Looking back on Friday I mentioned the intensity in finals and how there can be long periods without a goal. All three games have gone under with all three coming in at 156, 159 and 150. Richmond/Carlton total is 187.5 at the moment, these two teams consistantly go over or just under the 200 mark. But like I said with finals footy pressure are we likely to see another low scoring scrap?
                  Comment
                  • johno35
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-19-11
                    • 1123

                    #674
                    Richmond -13.5 - 3 units
                    Comment
                    • johno35
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-19-11
                      • 1123

                      #675
                      Another nice choke from Richmond, Sydney Carlton should be interesting
                      Comment
                      • Cornelius
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-03-13
                        • 288

                        #676
                        Glad i only went richmond -3.5 first quarter. I just felt it for some reason that richmond would screw up. I hope sydney wins never liked carlton pies or geelong (I know they're good but thats just my bias)
                        Comment
                        • johno35
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-19-11
                          • 1123

                          #677
                          Port Adelaide +28.5 - 1 unit
                          Over 172.5 - 3 units
                          Comment
                          • hedgejob
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-21-09
                            • 2561

                            #678
                            Port ML
                            Comment
                            • johno35
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-19-11
                              • 1123

                              #679
                              Thank you Motlop!!!
                              Comment
                              • johno35
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-19-11
                                • 1123

                                #680
                                A lucky break last night with a goal kicked with :16 left on the clock, but I'll take, I've had my share of bad beats. Port showed great fight and covered the line also, so a great start with 4 units profit
                                Comment
                                • johno35
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-19-11
                                  • 1123

                                  #681
                                  Sydney/Carlton under 176.5 - 3 units
                                  Carlton +19.5 - 1 unit

                                  Recent history suggests that this should be a low scoring affair, there is also some rain forecasted so that's a bonus. Swans looked very tired last week and I think the Blues have a real shot at winning tonight, but because you never know what the Swans will bring I'm only risking 1 unit. GL!
                                  Comment
                                  • johno35
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-19-11
                                    • 1123

                                    #682
                                    Good fight back by Carlton, just wasn't good enough to cover the line. Got the under though so was up 2 units
                                    Comment
                                    • johno35
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-19-11
                                      • 1123

                                      #683
                                      Finals Record:

                                      6 wins - 2 losses

                                      1 unit plays -.08
                                      3 units plays +11.76
                                      5 unit plays +0

                                      Overall + 11.68 units

                                      HOME AND AWAY:
                                      +47.47 units

                                      FINALS
                                      +11.68 units

                                      Overall +59.15 units
                                      Comment
                                      • johno35
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-19-11
                                        • 1123

                                        #684
                                        Hawks 1-39 - $2.20 - 1 unit
                                        Under 180.5 - 1 unit

                                        Cait wait for this one! Hawks break the curse tonight
                                        Comment
                                        • johno35
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-19-11
                                          • 1123

                                          #685
                                          I'll count this towards my record

                                          Joel Selwood to win Brownlow $4.00 - 3 units

                                          I heard on the radio this morning that the guru that always picks the winner is on Sam Mitchell, I reckon he win only poll for 7 games and I'm not seeing 3 votes for all those, I reckon he'll poll 15-20 votes. Selwood on the other hand had a ripping season, particularly late in the season, I'm tipping he comes with a mad rush at the end to snatch victory from Ablett
                                          Comment
                                          • Bic
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-02-10
                                            • 1000

                                            #686
                                            Originally posted by johno35
                                            I'll count this towards my record

                                            Joel Selwood to win Brownlow $4.00 - 3 units

                                            I heard on the radio this morning that the guru that always picks the winner is on Sam Mitchell, I reckon he win only poll for 7 games and I'm not seeing 3 votes for all those, I reckon he'll poll 15-20 votes. Selwood on the other hand had a ripping season, particularly late in the season, I'm tipping he comes with a mad rush at the end to snatch victory from Ablett
                                            I am scared Stevie J will steal some votes off of Selwood. I think Ablett's last game of the season sealed him the Brownlow.

                                            A lot of value for top 5 though...
                                            Comment
                                            • johno35
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-19-11
                                              • 1123

                                              #687
                                              Originally posted by Bic
                                              I am scared Stevie J will steal some votes off of Selwood. I think Ablett's last game of the season sealed him the Brownlow.

                                              A lot of value for top 5 though...
                                              Yeah definitely a worry but I'm liking the value here, the difference is that generally the team that wins gets the votes, Ablett will certainly do well but with Geelong winning 18 games and Selwood having the year he did I'm hoping that gets him over the line. Are you having a punt?
                                              Comment
                                              • johno35
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-19-11
                                                • 1123

                                                #688
                                                Sydney +22.5 - 1 unit
                                                Under 160.5 - 3 units
                                                Comment
                                                • aussieH
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-04-11
                                                  • 1188

                                                  #689
                                                  Weather conditions are good in Perth. I am liking the swans and game score over. It will be a tough game but I think both teams will puton some goals.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Bic
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-02-10
                                                    • 1000

                                                    #690
                                                    Originally posted by johno35
                                                    Yeah definitely a worry but I'm liking the value here, the difference is that generally the team that wins gets the votes, Ablett will certainly do well but with Geelong winning 18 games and Selwood having the year he did I'm hoping that gets him over the line. Are you having a punt?
                                                    Oh yeah, love a punt on the Brownlow
                                                    Comment
                                                    • johno35
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-19-11
                                                      • 1123

                                                      #691
                                                      Originally posted by aussieH
                                                      Weather conditions are good in Perth. I am liking the swans and game score over. It will be a tough game but I think both teams will puton some goals.
                                                      I think this will be a hard tight match, that's why I like the under. Sydney are without Tippett and rely on the midfield to kick goals, Freo will not allow this to happen. Freo to win 70-60....I hope
                                                      Comment
                                                      • johno35
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-19-11
                                                        • 1123

                                                        #692
                                                        All those late goals killed the under, was looking good there for a while. And them Sydney almost snatch the cover, bugger!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • johno35
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-19-11
                                                          • 1123

                                                          #693
                                                          Originally posted by johno35
                                                          I'll count this towards my record

                                                          Joel Selwood to win Brownlow $4.00 - 3 units

                                                          I heard on the radio this morning that the guru that always picks the winner is on Sam Mitchell, I reckon he win only poll for 7 games and I'm not seeing 3 votes for all those, I reckon he'll poll 15-20 votes. Selwood on the other hand had a ripping season, particularly late in the season, I'm tipping he comes with a mad rush at the end to snatch victory from Ablett
                                                          Thinking about another possible play
                                                          Comment
                                                          • johno35
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-19-11
                                                            • 1123

                                                            #694
                                                            Good value play here

                                                            Chad Wingard most votes for Port $11 - 1 unit
                                                            Comment
                                                            • johno35
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-19-11
                                                              • 1123

                                                              #695
                                                              Roughhead most votes for Hawks $4.50 - 1 unit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bic
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-02-10
                                                                • 1000

                                                                #696
                                                                Originally posted by Bic
                                                                I am scared Stevie J will steal some votes off of Selwood. I think Ablett's last game of the season sealed him the Brownlow.

                                                                A lot of value for top 5 though...
                                                                Haha! Oh the drama of it all!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • johno35
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-19-11
                                                                  • 1123

                                                                  #697
                                                                  Originally posted by Bic
                                                                  Haha! Oh the drama of it all!
                                                                  Nice call
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • johno35
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-19-11
                                                                    • 1123

                                                                    #698
                                                                    Grand Final

                                                                    Hawks 1-39 $2.20 - 5 units
                                                                    Under 169.5 - 5 unit
                                                                    Breust to kick first goal $15 - 1 unit
                                                                    Birchall for Norm Smith $26 - 1 unit

                                                                    Last time betting AFL for the year, I've had a great year so I'm going big!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • binomial
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 08-02-10
                                                                      • 507

                                                                      #699
                                                                      impressive season, GL today.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Bic
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-02-10
                                                                        • 1000

                                                                        #700
                                                                        Under is a lock.
                                                                        Comment
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