Melbourne Cup

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  • therealdealau
    SBR MVP
    • 11-12-10
    • 3227

    #1
    Melbourne Cup
    Quick discussion or what your on for the big race tomorrow.

    I'm looking at making a decent play on Green Moon to place.
  • Gee
    SBR MVP
    • 04-08-10
    • 4547

    #2
    I'm not sure what I'll be on, but it won't be green moon.

    Burnt me in the cox plate and pulled up sore. Wasn't impressed at all.... big question marks over the distance, but from a good stable, so probably wouldn't be in this race if couldn't stay.

    I quite like Dunaden... its rare I like the favourite in this race.
    Comment
    • therealdealau
      SBR MVP
      • 11-12-10
      • 3227

      #3
      Yeah I know he has been running poorly but I think he'll make a solid impact.

      Dunaden is looking nice but at 59kg i dont know if he can pull it out...

      Red Cadeaux/Mount Athos both not been running in Aus, I reckon one of them will have a solid run.
      Comment
      • Coopertrooper
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-20-12
        • 925

        #4
        Originally liked Green Moon for the Cup and had it in some doubles early on, but after that Cox Plate run (wasn't expecting it to win or even place, but expected more than that) you couldn't think that it could back up for the Cup and roll them.

        Not sure about the big weight for Americain/Dunaden, and I don't really like anything in particular, but I think the winner will come out of Mount Athos/Maluckyday/Mourayan/lights of Heaven/Kelinni

        Really tough race this year.
        Comment
        • Gee
          SBR MVP
          • 04-08-10
          • 4547

          #5
          Watch out for Americain/Maluckyday if its a dry track. Both need some softness underfoot.

          Red Cadeaux can't win IMO.

          Mt Athos and Dunaden are my two top picks for tomorrow.

          Weight is less of a factor tomorrow and is being played up a LOT. Bottom weight has been steadily increasing the last few years (and is now 50kg, compared to 47kg). That fact is something everyone is overlooking...
          Comment
          • Crowing Capers
            SBR Sharp
            • 03-30-12
            • 295

            #6
            Olly will get Americain home...

            Lights Of Heaven the value with Maluckyday to be right amongst the finish
            Comment
            • alias69
              SBR MVP
              • 06-21-09
              • 1017

              #7
              i like My quest for peace, Dunadean n mt Athos.
              Comment
              • hawley
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-10-10
                • 14270

                #8
                Taking a shot on my quest for peace
                Comment
                • That Guy
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-13-12
                  • 973

                  #9
                  Originally posted by therealdealau
                  Quick discussion or what your on for the big race tomorrow.

                  I'm looking at making a decent play on Green Moon to place.
                  Damn.. forgot to make a wager on this.
                  Hope you went big make!
                  Comment
                  • therealdealau
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-12-10
                    • 3227

                    #10
                    Originally posted by That Guy
                    Damn.. forgot to make a wager on this.
                    Hope you went big make!
                    penetrating CASH IT

                    had the ML too

                    SICK DAY
                    Comment
                    • garygroundwork
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-12-12
                      • 729

                      #11
                      good call mate...what did u get him for

                      i had green moon in the cox plate and got done

                      like ur work congrats
                      Comment
                      • therealdealau
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-12-10
                        • 3227

                        #12
                        Originally posted by garygroundwork
                        good call mate...what did u get him for

                        i had green moon in the cox plate and got done

                        like ur work congrats
                        cheers pal

                        got the win at 22.40 and the place at 7.60
                        Comment
                        • Crowing Capers
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 03-30-12
                          • 295

                          #13
                          yep, great tip RealDeal. great work winning on the donkeys today.

                          books pulverised us punters. First 4 pays 1.4 million.......
                          Comment
                          • therealdealau
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-12-10
                            • 3227

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Crowing Capers
                            yep, great tip RealDeal. great work winning on the donkeys today.

                            books pulverised us punters. First 4 pays 1.4 million.......
                            Thanks pal. Makes me wonder if the public can be faded some way in the Melbourne cup.

                            Did you hear about the lady first time bettor put 8c on the first 4 on sportsbet.com.au and won 77k? Unreal.

                            I gave all my Melb Cup winnings (approx $790) to World Vision, sponsored a child for a year and donated the rest. Feels really good.
                            Comment
                            • Gee
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-08-10
                              • 4547

                              #15
                              Great bet buddy. well done.

                              Got buried yesterday... but didn't bet big - never bet big on the cup. We had a boxed trifecta that missed because of Jackalberry... ffs. One horse I never thought was a chance at even placing...
                              Comment
                              • therealdealau
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-12-10
                                • 3227

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Gee
                                Great bet buddy. well done.

                                Got buried yesterday... but didn't bet big - never bet big on the cup. We had a boxed trifecta that missed because of Jackalberry... ffs. One horse I never thought was a chance at even placing...
                                Yeah the cup in my eyes is definitely a social gamble, the beautiful thing was just the odds on Green Moon made the pay outs huge. Thats unlucky about the boxed tri. I didn't expect any of the other horses to place, was really an insane race. Bookies all booked first class tickets to Hawaii after that race.
                                Comment
                                • Coopertrooper
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-20-12
                                  • 925

                                  #17
                                  Very nice realdeal!

                                  I can't believe Green Moon could put in such a howler and then produce a week later. Wish I had've stuck with it, but was happy to just let the race go this year.
                                  Comment
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