HBD Picks by BGboothA

BGboothA · 10-04-12, 08:46 PM

October 05, 2012
- Calder Race Course
- Keeneland
- P enn

Another big weekend of racing this weekend. Good luck boys and girl.

DDT · 10-04-12, 08:48 PM

Thanks BG

BGboothA · 10-05-12, 07:54 AM

No problem DDT. Here is hoping for a good weekend.

PASTA BOYS · 10-05-12, 11:35 AM

Pasta boys

Originally posted by bgbootha

no problem ddt. Here is hoping for a good weekend.

thanks for the info love getting away to track on a friday

dodo97 · 10-05-12, 08:43 PM

Heading to Turf Paradise on Sunday with my boss. Any chance you'll have picks up for that card?

BGboothA · 10-05-12, 09:35 PM

Originally posted by dodo97

Heading to Turf Paradise on Sunday with my boss. Any chance you'll have picks up for that card?

Tell you what, you print some extra out and pass them out to friends I will be more than happy to run Turf Paradise for Sunday. No problem man.

dodo97 · 10-05-12, 10:05 PM

Originally posted by BGboothA

Tell you what, you print some extra out and pass them out to friends I will be more than happy to run Turf Paradise for Sunday. No problem man.

Consider it done.

BGboothA · 10-05-12, 11:39 PM

October 06, 2012
- Calder Race Course
- Keeneland
- Parx

Make sure you check out the contest I got going in another thread...

For those of you who have been there before.....blue or green?????

BGboothA · 10-06-12, 11:27 AM

Full results for the month of September

Tracks	SingleTier	TopHorse	Top4	% Exacta	% Trifecta
AP (Arlington Park)	29%	24%	71%	35%	14%
BEL (Belmont Park)	38%	19%	37%	19%	12%
CRC (Calder Race Course)	47%	27%	43%	28%	16%
EMD (Emerald Downs)	50%	38%	76%	62%	29%
FPX (Fairplex Park)	22%	29%	71%	46%	29%
LAD (Louisiana Downs)	13%	20%	45%	30%	5%
MTH (Monmouth)	44%	33%	63%	59%	37%
MNR (Mountaineer)	44%	22%	49%	24%	10%
PHA (Philadelphia Park)	17%	13%	50%	37%	16%
WO (Woodbine)	#DIV/0!	12%	44%	30%	14%
CT (Charlestown)	41%	24%	50%	31%	8%
SA (Santa Anita)	60%	21%	43%	23%	15%
TP (Turfway Park)	33%	16%	65%	48%	26%
FL (Finger Lakes)	20%	16%	36%	16%	11%
PEN (Penn National)	0%	27%	54%	35%	15%
RP (Remlington Park)	#DIV/0!	11%	19%	19%	11%

harthebar · 10-06-12, 12:32 PM

What are these charts ,the one with the different tracks with % and the looks like a handicapp link ...

BGboothA · 10-06-12, 01:00 PM

Originally posted by harthebar

What are these charts ,the one with the different tracks with % and the looks like a handicapp link ...

Originally posted by harthebar

WHAT ARE THE CHARTS YOU POSTED .KEENLAND PARX CALDER .AND ALSO THE BREAK DOWN OF % OF TRACKS

The percent are my results from the charts for the month of September. It breaks down like this.

Single Tier = The % of the time that our computer system gives us a single tier AND that single tier wins the race. You an see single tiers on our system by looking for the "/". If you see a race that our picks look like 4/1-2-3. Our system has produced a single tier 4 horse. If you look at the results, you can see that at Santa Anita that single tier wins 60% of the time, if you are getting 4-5 or better its a positive ROI race.

Top Horse = Simply the % of the time that the system's top horse won the race. YOu can see we do better at some tracks than others.

Top 4 = The % that the winner is listed in our top 4 horses.

% Exacta = The % that an exacta is contained in our top 4 horses.

% Trifecta = The % that a trifecta is contained in our top 4 horses.

This breaks it down track by track....

we also have all this data by surface type, distance, confidence rating, Pace value, etc.

harthebar · 10-06-12, 01:18 PM

Sounds interesting ..so I'm guessing the calder keeeland and parx is your own system you created....

BGboothA · 10-06-12, 01:25 PM

Yes, those are 3 of the tracks that we have ran for today. I post them on here every Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

BGboothA · 10-06-12, 09:22 PM

October 07, 2012
- Calder Race Course
- Keeneland
- Parx

Alright boys, got Sundays up and running, had a good friday and a crappy Saturday, hopefully I can end the weekend on a good note.

BGboothA · 10-06-12, 09:24 PM

Originally posted by dodo97

Heading to Turf Paradise on Sunday with my boss. Any chance you'll have picks up for that card?

Here is Turfway Park for tomorrow.

TURFWAY PARK

Quite note = My system doesn't run quarterhorse numbers and it looks like the first 4 races tomorrow at Turfway Park are Quarters. What you have up there is races 5-9.

Good luck tomorrow.

dodo97 · 10-08-12, 12:11 AM

Originally posted by BGboothA

Here is Turfway Park for tomorrow.

TURFWAY PARK

Quite note = My system doesn't run quarterhorse numbers and it looks like the first 4 races tomorrow at Turfway Park are Quarters. What you have up there is races 5-9.

Good luck tomorrow.

Thank you for putting this up. I also tailed a few of your plays in the last couple races at Keeneland, and the 9th certainly worked out, so I made sure to put your name/sheets out there.

BGboothA · 10-10-12, 10:56 PM

Wednesday Results Report!

Another fine weekend with some big hits (that unfortunately I didn't play). Had a nice day on Sunday at Santa Anita though.

Alright here are our current results with a total of 771 races in the database.

Tracks	SingleTier	TopHorse	Top4	% Exacta	% Trifecta	SingleTier	Total Races
AP (Arlington Park)	29%	24%	71%	35%	14%	21	51
BEL (Belmont Park)	39%	30%	70%	39%	18%	23	66
CRC (Calder Race Course)	39%	33%	65%	42%	25%	28	84
EMD (Emerald Downs)	50%	38%	76%	62%	29%	10	21
FPX (Fairplex Park)	22%	29%	71%	46%	29%	9	24
LAD (Louisiana Downs)	13%	20%	45%	30%	5%	8	20
MTH (Monmouth)	44%	33%	63%	59%	37%	9	27
MNR (Mountaineer)	41%	28%	69%	40%	18%	22	72
PHA (Philadelphia Park)	13%	15%	63%	40%	17%	16	48
WO (Woodbine)	15%	16%	65%	47%	23%	20	57
CT (Charlestown)	38%	30%	73%	42%	14%	24	71
SA (Santa Anita)	40%	25%	61%	32%	14%	20	56
TP (Turfway Park)	33%	16%	65%	48%	26%	6	31
FL (Finger Lakes)	25%	24%	67%	33%	24%	8	45
PEN (Penn National)	0%	36%	84%	48%	20%	5	25
RP (Remlington Park)	31%	31%	54%	42%	23%	13	26
HAW (Hawthorne)	17%	17%	61%	22%	17%	6	18
KEE (Keeneland)	25%	31%	55%	28%	10%	12	29

Surface	Top Horse	Top 4	% Exacta	% Trifecta	Total Races
Dirt	30%	70%	45%	23%	490
Synthetic	20%	65%	44%	21%	120
Turf	21%	59%	27%	10%	145
InnerT	13%	56%	13%	0%	16

Distance	Top horse	Top 4	% Exacta	% Trifecta	Total Races
4.00f	33%	83%	67%	33%	6
4.50f	15%	70%	48%	11%	27
5.00f	31%	0%	51%	31%	39
5.50f	27%	69%	44%	20%	75
6.00f	32%	73%	49%	28%	214
6.50f	24%	62%	30%	14%	62
7.00f	30%	68%	50%	21%	66
8.00f	26%	62%	34%	14%	105
8.32f	15%	55%	40%	20%	20
8.50f	21%	55%	24%	15%	92
9.00f	29%	71%	41%	6%	17
10.00f	13%	63%	25%	13%	8
11.00f	0%	100%	100%	0%	1
12.00f	0%	0%	0%	0%	1

BGboothA · 10-11-12, 09:06 PM

October 12, 2012
- Calder Race Course
- Keeneland

October 12th, one of my favorite days to be a history teacher! Lets have a good weekend boys...I am going to be out of town, but I will still be posting sheets for Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Lets make some money.

I am going to be trying something different this weekend.

BGboothA · 10-12-12, 07:29 PM

October 13, 2012
- Calder Race Course
- Parx

Not so good today....seems like most Friday's lately haven't been so good. Here is hoping Sunday is better.

You know where to find the rest of the tracks. Up already...headed out to get some drinks tonight.

DDT · 10-12-12, 10:40 PM

Thanks BG, let's hope for a good day on Saturday as well

BGboothA · 10-13-12, 12:14 PM

Originally posted by DDT

Thanks BG, let's hope for a good day on Saturday as well

DDT, did you already give up on the cowboys avatar!?!?!?

BGboothA · 10-13-12, 07:34 PM

October 14, 2012
- Calder Race Course
- Keeneland

A decent Saturday. Here are sunday's files and the rest are up as well.

DDT · 10-13-12, 08:31 PM

Originally posted by BGboothA

DDT, did you already give up on the cowboys avatar!?!?!?

I decided to change it to my favorite guest on the Howard Stern show, also of which I share a name with. I've been a Cowboys fan since birth, so don't confuse me with the typical bandwagon fans that we have here in Big D.

BGboothA · 10-18-12, 11:29 PM

New tracks for

Friday, October 19th, 2012

Killed it last weekend!!! Thanks to another great Sunday. Maybe I shoudl only play Sundays. Here's to another solid weekend.

joeyp1222 · 10-18-12, 11:58 PM

Originally posted by bgbootha

new tracks for

friday, october 19th, 2012
putting up santa anita bg?
killed it last weekend!!! Thanks to another great sunday. Maybe i shoudl only play sundays. Here's to another solid weekend.

bg, you putting up santa anita fridy?

BGboothA · 10-19-12, 08:58 AM

Originally posted by joeyp1222

bg, you putting up santa anita fridy?

FO Sure!!!

Although I have to admit, the results at SA have not been all that great the last two weeks. Belmont and Hawthorne have been $$$$

BGboothA · 10-19-12, 08:59 AM

Friday Santa Anita for JoeyP

BGboothA · 10-20-12, 12:04 AM

Had a great day on Friday!!!!!

Here are some Saturday sheets.....Ran 12 tracks for Saturdays

Belmont
Calder
Mountaineer
Parx
Santa Anita

BGboothA · 10-21-12, 02:32 AM

Here are the files for
1658
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21, 2012

Belmont
Calder
Mountaineer
Parx
Santa Anita

Good luck today boys, probably goign to be playing quite a bit today.

Two weeks Until Breeders Cup

BGboothA · 10-26-12, 10:50 PM

Here are the files for
1658
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 27, 2012

Belmont
Calder
Mountaineer
Parx
Santa Anita

Had a great weekend last weekend, lets get one more leading up to the Breeders' Cup.

I will have the Breeders cup races up in the middle of next week. Along with a possible addition to the HBD sheets!

DDT · 10-27-12, 10:19 AM

Thanks BG...Good Luck this weekend

BGboothA · 10-28-12, 01:08 PM

1658
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28, 2012

Belmont
Calder
Mountaineer
Parx
Santa Anita

Had a huge day yesterday at Santa Anita...will probably focus on SA again today. Good luck boys.

mrginandtonic · 10-28-12, 02:08 PM

There is a pick 6 carryover at SA, see anything you really like??

mrginandtonic · 10-28-12, 02:38 PM

Question about your confidence level in your HBD, is the confidence level refer to your top pick? Meaning that if you assign an A, are you more confident that your top pick will win or if we box the 4 horse, I will most likely make money. Thanks in advance.

BGboothA · 10-28-12, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by mrginandtonic

Question about your confidence level in your HBD, is the confidence level refer to your top pick? Meaning that if you assign an A, are you more confident that your top pick will win or if we box the 4 horse, I will most likely make money. Thanks in advance.

Confidence level is based on the amount of valid / reliable information used by the computer to make the calculations. It is calculated as an average for each horse's data.

So an A confidence rating, simply states that we have 100% information on all the horses for our computer program to do what it needs to do.

First time starters. horses with only a few races, or long layoffs, hurt the confidence ratings.