Got tix for the milions. Don't wanna go broke early and chase when I'm drunk. and I have no horse capping knowledge at all.
Help
Help
-
-
what day? Tomorrow I assume?Comment -
yes tomorrow!Comment -
*Disclaimer-The plastic tracks are often a mystery to me so usually stick to dirt tracks but did Arlington because its a big day there.Also I don't take favorites .
I like 3-Mr Prankster(4-1) in the first.Cutback to 7 furlongs should be right in his wheelhouse and his trainer M Maker has absurd numbers going turf to synth.The favorite 1-Hogy lays over the field on #'s but think the layoff + sporadic works since might mean he won't fire .
In the 2nd I landed on 8-ROI George(8-1), its hard for first time starters to go a mile and the field is full of 1sters.This one never really had a chance in his first start breaking from the rail which is doomsday for a first timer.Donnie Von Hemel is also like 1% with 1sters but gets them going at around 20% in their 2nd start.If there is a firster I would go with 7-Telitikitiscoach, very well bred for turf by Artie Schiller who is one of the best 1st time turf sires especially at a mile.
3rd---9-Johnny Cadillac(10-1)Strictly a value based pick as I think that Saar will be a heavy favorite and would want to play against.The last 5 times Saar has been a heavy fave he has only won twice and he had to drop all the way down to a 3.5k maiden claimer at Thistledown to break his maiden.Johnny Cadillac did close pretty well last time and a repeat of that figure most likely wins this.
4th---This is a tough race, the 2-Courser(5-1) has been off a year and only had 2 starts but only start on synth was very impressive spotting the field 17 lengths when the track was favoring frontrunners that day and still flew home to only lose by 1/2 length.Hard to be confident though as I was flipping between her,6-Baby Face Nelson(Closed strong only start but was fast pace),5-Limehouse Dancer(Set that strong pace and held well), and 9-Compelling Case(A 1ster out of Successful Appeal who does very well as does trainer Chris Block.
5th---9-Foreign Appeal(8-1) or 8-No Apologies(8-1)
6th---3-Snow Top Mountain(6-1)Comment -
You can't go wrong with Mikes picks, but here is what I have for a contest I am in for what it's worth.
R1) #1 Hogy
R2) #3 Brown Almighty & #7 Telitlikiscoach (32% 1st time trainer)
R3) #3 Yukon B Classy Too
R4) # 5 Limehouse DancerComment -
thanks guys! wow mikw i wasn't aware of the plastic!Comment -
Well, we both sucked with our picks
Comment -
Got here late. Got a trifecta on the first race! Thanks guys!Comment -
Good Luck..sry man this track makes no sense to meComment -
fun day, broke even... thought I hit a trifecta on that 3rd race, but I didn't box it and didn't have the sequence right... but the way the ticket is printed it made it look like I won....
still, fun day and thanks for the picks! I used them.... snow mountain almost won me a bundleComment