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  • harthebar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-09-11
    • 15710

    #1891
    thats why i dont do it.....the double edge sword........plus i dont like using up the bank roll the funny thing about it.......early in the day ....i posted dens legacy on this site as a pick......but when i got on site.......i changed to the 7-9 in that race ...and you know who got third dens legacy.......and the super paid ........17000 ....odds scare people.....long odds........to me there are two types of favorites...one the morning line favorite that just stays the favorite......or...the better of the two a horse listed as a 8-1 and is the favorite........it just was a big downer not hitting it........its like what is next...how can you top that feeling lol......forget about it...right....
    Originally posted by daoilman
    What would the calculated cost have been for an all button on the end?

    I ask the above because I have a friend who plays pick 4's and he uses all buttons in uncertain races, his logic is simple, he says that when he is uncertain he plays all because he wants the unplayable longshot to win, thus delivering a larger prize.

    I am not saying that you had uncertainty with any particular race in the sequence, I have no way of knowing your mindset as you structured your bet, but dependent on the field size of the races involved it may be upon conditions prudent to sometimes wheel entire races.

    Of note, the friend I speak of also applies the same logic to his superfecta wagers with regards towards 2nd, 3rd and 4th finish positions, he does this most often when he likes something long on top and he has some sort of key under, again, he says that any horse in the field can be 2nd, 3rd or 4th.

    His typical pick 4 might look something like (1,2 with 1,2,3 with 2 with ALL), and his super might look like (1 with 2 with ALL with ALL) he also hedges his supers sometimes with the second ticket (1 with ALL with 2 with ALL).

    I have personally seen this guy hit some very large payouts, conversely I have also seen him blow his roll, as with all speculation, it is a double edged sword, it cuts in both directions.
    Comment
    • matrix1022
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-04-12
      • 565

      #1892
      yes forget about it ! spent more on tickets ,with less chance different tickets .....limit the play on 2 for day with more money spent ,thats the way you hit them .. You do this all the time ,i see ,, spent more !and you will hit !
      Comment
      • harthebar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-09-11
        • 15710

        #1893
        meaning ,im trying to save ...and it cost me ...
        Originally posted by matrix1022
        yes forget about it ! spent more on tickets ,with less chance different tickets .....limit the play on 2 for day with more money spent ,thats the way you hit them .. You do this all the time ,i see ,, spent more !and you will hit !
        Comment
        • mikemca
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-10-10
          • 10047

          #1894
          Been cold lately so keep in mind...Also these are alternatives to the favorites so even faves that look really tough like Footbridge at SA in the 7th or Golden Mystery GP 10th ...I don't pick.



          Gulfstream
          Race 1
          6-Harling's Darling 4-1
          Race 2
          10-Flashy Eyed Pearl 5-1
          Race 3
          9-Bairn 4-1
          Race 4
          4-Centring 5-1
          Race 5
          7-Cry War Eagle 8-1
          Race 6
          7-Ravin About Richie 6-1
          Race 7
          8-Nellie Cashman 12-1
          Race 8
          9-Sweet Daddy D 12-1
          Race 9
          4-Duke Of The City 8-1
          Race 10
          6-Emma's Encore 12-1
          Race 11
          6-Posse Attack 6-1

          Santa Anita
          Race 1
          2-Melanistic
          Race 2
          2-Heat Flash 8-1
          Race 3
          4-Shame On Alex 7-2
          Race 4
          1-Ready For Love 10-1
          Race 5
          4-Coach Bob 6-1
          Race 6
          4-Pulpit's Express 12-1
          Race 7
          11-Chief Havoc 6-1
          Race 8
          6-Bench Glory 8-1
          Race 9
          3-Sir Huntsman 4-1
          Comment
          • daoilman
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-02-07
            • 930

            #1895
            Stars Collide in the 1st at Gulfstream, from the clouds with a sustained run.
            Comment
            • harthebar
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-09-11
              • 15710

              #1896
              footbridge ..note .....i followed up on that horse ...last time he ran.........when i get the call that he running ,i have know idea he was going to be the favorite..........im glad you have duke of the city, he was one of my follows...i forgot about him...
              Originally posted by mikemca
              Been cold lately so keep in mind...Also these are alternatives to the favorites so even faves that look really tough like Footbridge at SA in the 7th or Golden Mystery GP 10th ...I don't pick.



              Gulfstream
              Race 1
              6-Harling's Darling 4-1
              Race 2
              10-Flashy Eyed Pearl 5-1
              Race 3
              9-Bairn 4-1
              Race 4
              4-Centring 5-1
              Race 5
              7-Cry War Eagle 8-1
              Race 6
              7-Ravin About Richie 6-1
              Race 7
              8-Nellie Cashman 12-1
              Race 8
              9-Sweet Daddy D 12-1
              Race 9
              4-Duke Of The City 8-1
              Race 10
              6-Emma's Encore 12-1
              Race 11
              6-Posse Attack 6-1

              Santa Anita
              Race 1
              2-Melanistic
              Race 2
              2-Heat Flash 8-1
              Race 3
              4-Shame On Alex 7-2
              Race 4
              1-Ready For Love 10-1
              Race 5
              4-Coach Bob 6-1
              Race 6
              4-Pulpit's Express 12-1
              Race 7
              11-Chief Havoc 6-1
              Race 8
              6-Bench Glory 8-1
              Race 9
              3-Sir Huntsman 4-1
              Comment
              • mikemca
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-10-10
                • 10047

                #1897
                Originally posted by daoilman
                Stars Collide in the 1st at Gulfstream, from the clouds with a sustained run.

                It seems like every turf race is won by one of the top 3 turning for home at GP.It kind of sucks

                Originally posted by harthebar
                footbridge ..note .....i followed up on that horse ...last time he ran.........when i get the call that he running ,i have know idea he was going to be the favorite..........im glad you have duke of the city, he was one of my follows...i forgot about him...
                When I landed on Duke Of The City I knew you would also like him.Footbridge looks like the closest thing to a lock I have seen today to get in the top 3.Probably win but there are a couple question mark horses that could get there instead.
                Comment
                • harthebar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-09-11
                  • 15710

                  #1898
                  Duke of the City is entered to run on March 17, 2013, at GULFSTREAM PARK RACE 7 TOMORROW GUYS
                  .
                  Medium of Exchange,....Magic Union
                  Grit and Grace
                  is entered to run on March 17, 2013, at OAKLAWN PARK. RACE 7
                  FOOTBRIDGE AND DEAD EASY SANTA ANITA RACE 7 POST 9
                  Comment
                  • harthebar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-09-11
                    • 15710

                    #1899
                    Santa anita
                    race 1 jolly green bean post 5
                    race 2 syndicated post 4
                    race 4 little unusual post 3
                    race 5 thirtyfirststreet post 3
                    aqueduct
                    race 5 4/56 box
                    Comment
                    • harthebar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-09-11
                      • 15710

                      #1900
                      How did you know that ...... That's funny ....
                      Comment
                      • harthebar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-09-11
                        • 15710

                        #1901
                        Mikemca. Don't take this the wrong way at all.......its a great thing......if they had a show 9. Like they do at Santa anita .a place 9. You would make a killing.......I feel if anyone gives me a horse to play and finishes in top 3 I think that is pretty darn good..........that's a compliment. You do win a lot . And like me .your not afraid of odds . You are always right there......and you should feel happy about that......I just played 20 to show on the 7 picked up 16 ,besides that .I found a to key in my p..ocket .....from yesterday.....bet it early .....a 10 double ..in the last 2 races at Meadowlandz ..the horse I posted ..in mint condition. Won paid 21.60. Got back 383. For double ....
                        Comment
                        • harthebar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-09-11
                          • 15710

                          #1902
                          GULFSTREAMr. Race 11 3 gridiron great.
                          Comment
                          • harthebar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-09-11
                            • 15710

                            #1903
                            nice mikemca the 6 in the 8th at santa anita..........
                            Comment
                            • harthebar
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-09-11
                              • 15710

                              #1904
                              Click image for larger version

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ID:	29118922and thanks mikemca, ...i keyed him in pick 4 also but again had 3 going into last race.........and ..same old story.....this is still very nice ......
                              Comment
                              • mikemca
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-10-10
                                • 10047

                                #1905
                                Originally posted by harthebar
                                Mikemca. Don't take this the wrong way at all.......its a great thing......if they had a show 9. Like they do at Santa anita .a place 9. You would make a killing.......I feel if anyone gives me a horse to play and finishes in top 3 I think that is pretty darn good..........that's a compliment. You do win a lot . And like me .your not afraid of odds . You are always right there......and you should feel happy about that......I just played 20 to show on the 7 picked up 16 ,besides that .I found a to key in my p..ocket .....from yesterday.....bet it early .....a 10 double ..in the last 2 races at Meadowlandz ..the horse I posted ..in mint condition. Won paid 21.60. Got back 383. For double ....
                                I am still considering show bets but like to keep how much $$ I put out to a minimum.For instance it looked like a terrible day going 2 for 20 but a $2 win bet on each $40 returned $40.40 whereas a $2 w/p $80 returned $64.40 and $2 w/p/s $120 returned $96.40.Also a $2 Show bet on each lost $8 or 9 dollars.Of course it seemed like every horse I picked opened up at half their odds and went off much lower than the ML so I didn't play them all.

                                Straight exactas and boxed exactas are different because of the payouts.With the odds I play I will always make a profit on each hit so I box or key box where on a w/p/s you can hit the show and lose or win very little.
                                Comment
                                • matrix1022
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-04-12
                                  • 565

                                  #1906
                                  HART WHY THEFUK YOU POST 4 RACES,ATSanta anita N GUYS BELIEVE IN YOU AND PLAY YOUR POSTS AND THEN YOU GIVE THEM A TICKET AFTER THE RACE !!!!race 1 jolly green bean post 5race 2 syndicated post 4race 4 little unusual post 3race 5 thirtyfirststreet post 3 and YOU DONT GIVE US THE TICKET YOU POST !!!!! THATS GREAT FOR YOUR FOLLOWERS! TOTALLY SELFISH WHE
                                  Comment
                                  • harthebar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-09-11
                                    • 15710

                                    #1907
                                    What are talking about matrix ......what are talking about.........the ticket i posted ......was the play i picked up from mikemca picks....i was thanking him...........i dont get you one bit.........ive posted winners .......the other day sayurady i posted 2- maybe 3 and one was a 21.60 winner......i dont get you ...........the ticket was mikesmca pick look at his picks....and rwead my comment...i was thanking him...read...............footbridge won.......in mint condition won....forest vic 2nd.....i posted my losing pick 4 ticket where i got 3/4 with 4 horses going ...and the chepest payout was 25,000 ................what is your complaint..............
                                    Originally posted by matrix1022
                                    hart why thefuk you post 4 races,atsanta anita n guys believe in you and play your posts and then you give them a ticket after the race !!!!race 1 jolly green bean post 5race 2 syndicated post 4race 4 little unusual post 3race 5 thirtyfirststreet post 3 and you dont give us the ticket you post !!!!! Thats great for your followers! Totally selfish whe
                                    Comment
                                    • daoilman
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-02-07
                                      • 930

                                      #1908
                                      Originally posted by harthebar
                                      What are talking about matrix ......what is your complaint..............

                                      Comment
                                      • matrix1022
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 03-04-12
                                        • 565

                                        #1909
                                        Yea I saw that fukup,,,when u got a pick 4 going like that ,out of all people that play horses or look at horse every fukin day ,,,ur supposed to be smarter like your mothers quote ,,,dont lose to much ,,well pal ,u did that for sure ,By NOT PLAYING THE 2 low price choices for a 1000 each... WHEN U have a return like that . ITS called hedging huge money ! and the winner was going to be first or second !
                                        Comment
                                        • harthebar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-09-11
                                          • 15710

                                          #1910
                                          Well i dony have that kind of cash .....1000 i do believe in hedging,,,,,,but the choices were limited with ...money..............we learn right........you might have a 1000 ...not me..........
                                          Originally posted by matrix1022
                                          yea i saw that fukup,,,when u got a pick 4 going like that ,out of all people that play horses or look at horse every fukin day ,,,ur supposed to be smarter like your mothers quote ,,,dont lose to much ,,well pal ,u did that for sure ,by not playing the 2 low price choices for a 1000 each... When u have a return like that . Its called hedging huge money ! And the winner was going to be first or second !
                                          Comment
                                          • DDT
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-22-09
                                            • 3757

                                            #1911
                                            Does anyone like any plays for Wednesday?
                                            Comment
                                            • daoilman
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-02-07
                                              • 930

                                              #1912
                                              Originally posted by DDT
                                              Does anyone like any plays for Wednesday?
                                              In the 7th at Gulfstream, #10-Party Hardy, has favorable pace numbers, jockey Sanchez abandons the ML favorite for this one, stalks pace and scores.
                                              Comment
                                              • harthebar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-09-11
                                                • 15710

                                                #1913
                                                Big Foot Ben is entered today at AQUEDUCT. race 2 post 6
                                                Comment
                                                • harthebar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-09-11
                                                  • 15710

                                                  #1914
                                                  SPIVEYAND SCOFIELD is entered today at GULFSTREAM. RACE 6 POST7
                                                  GIACOMO SPARKLE FAIRGROUNDS RACE 2 POST 5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • harthebar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-09-11
                                                    • 15710

                                                    #1915
                                                    River Boss is entered to run on March 21, 2013, at GULFSTREAM PARK. race 9
                                                    Broker Brett is entered to run on March 21, 2013, at SANTA ANITA PARK. race 6
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mikemca
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-10-10
                                                      • 10047

                                                      #1916
                                                      Trying to hit a couple long shots

                                                      Gulfstream
                                                      Race 1
                                                      9-Age Of Aquarius 12-1
                                                      Race 4
                                                      4-Channel Eleven 10-1
                                                      Race 5
                                                      7-Buy On The Rumor 15-1
                                                      Race 7
                                                      6-Wicked Romance 20-1
                                                      Race 8
                                                      6-Guts To Glory 10-1
                                                      Race 9
                                                      1-Heiko 10-1
                                                      Race 10
                                                      5-Marine 20-1(9-Top Excitement 6-1 if stays at ML)

                                                      Oaklawn
                                                      Race 4
                                                      4-Corner The Storm 10-1
                                                      Comment
                                                      • daoilman
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-02-07
                                                        • 930

                                                        #1917
                                                        An interesting horse in the 3rd at Gulfstream, the #7 Exclusive Sage, stretches to a mile from a comebacker 3/4's, bug rider up and blinks on, got 15 starts and 1 win, not much, but 20-1+.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Slimpickens
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-28-12
                                                          • 2030

                                                          #1918
                                                          In Gulfstreams 4th gonna try to get #3 Sweet Tooth Sweety to wire the field under the usually aggressive Jeffery Sanchez.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Slimpickens
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-28-12
                                                            • 2030

                                                            #1919
                                                            Originally posted by Slimpickens
                                                            In Gulfstreams 4th gonna try to get #3 Sweet Tooth Sweety to wire the field under the usually aggressive Jeffery Sanchez.
                                                            Scratched at the gate.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mikemca
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-10-10
                                                              • 10047

                                                              #1920
                                                              I'm officially in a rut.Hopefully it ends soon as it's getting frustrating.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • daoilman
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-02-07
                                                                • 930

                                                                #1921
                                                                Originally posted by mikemca
                                                                I'm officially in a rut.Hopefully it ends soon as it's getting frustrating.
                                                                I feel your pain, I started month on fire, was hitting on all cylinders, 30 cashes and 740$ at Derbywars in the first 13 days of March, since then nothing, I can't buy a winning day.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mikemca
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-10-10
                                                                  • 10047

                                                                  #1922
                                                                  Gonna try and play my way through it.Top Pick is always the horse that I think adds the most value to exotics and would be the best Win,Place, or Show bet.


                                                                  Gulfstream

                                                                  Race 1
                                                                  9-Cooking Up A Storm 12-1
                                                                  3-Bailoutbobby 4-1
                                                                  1-It's Time To Reign 6-1
                                                                  Race 2
                                                                  7-Uno Again 20-1(This one is a stretch on the win end but can add value in 3rd or 4th)
                                                                  Race 3
                                                                  10-Morador Liers 20-1(Same as the 7 in race 2)
                                                                  Race 4
                                                                  4-Blazing Bling 15-1
                                                                  9-Top Tier Lass 5-2
                                                                  3-Fearless Jacq 8-1
                                                                  Race 5
                                                                  5-Liz Lemon 12-1
                                                                  6-Ginny's Grey 5-2
                                                                  1-Re Elected 12-1
                                                                  Race 6
                                                                  5-Drenched 5-1
                                                                  8-Pacific Theater 7-2
                                                                  6-Utmost Intensity 20-1
                                                                  Race 7
                                                                  1-Pot Of Gold 6-1
                                                                  Race 8
                                                                  1-Atlantic Bull 6-1
                                                                  Race 9
                                                                  5-Baffle Me 4-1
                                                                  Race 10
                                                                  2-Erin's World 12-1
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • harthebar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-09-11
                                                                    • 15710

                                                                    #1923
                                                                    i understand your pain mikemca, your a great capper ........dont get discouraged.............
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • harthebar
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-09-11
                                                                      • 15710

                                                                      #1924
                                                                      Gadget Girl is entered today at GULFSTREAM PARK. race4

                                                                      MR HASANI N AND GOLDEN RECIEVER is entered on 03/22/13 at Harrah's Philadelphia race 11
                                                                      Burning Truth is entered to run on March 22, 2013, at GULFSTREAM PARK.race 5
                                                                      Utmost Intensity is entered on March 22, 2013 at GULFSTREAM PARKrace 6
                                                                      Life Is a Rock is entered on March 22, 2013 at GOLDEN GATE FIELDS.race 3

                                                                      I SCOOT SAM is entered on 03/22/13 at Maywood Park race 13 no room last out full of pace
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Madison
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-16-11
                                                                        • 6445

                                                                        #1925
                                                                        Originally posted by mikemca
                                                                        Gonna try and play my way through it.Top Pick is always the horse that I think adds the most value to exotics and would be the best Win,Place, or Show bet.


                                                                        Gulfstream

                                                                        Race 1
                                                                        9-Cooking Up A Storm 12-1
                                                                        3-Bailoutbobby 4-1
                                                                        1-It's Time To Reign 6-1
                                                                        Race 2
                                                                        7-Uno Again 20-1(This one is a stretch on the win end but can add value in 3rd or 4th)
                                                                        Race 3
                                                                        10-Morador Liers 20-1(Same as the 7 in race 2)
                                                                        Race 4
                                                                        4-Blazing Bling 15-1
                                                                        9-Top Tier Lass 5-2
                                                                        3-Fearless Jacq 8-1
                                                                        Race 5
                                                                        5-Liz Lemon 12-1
                                                                        6-Ginny's Grey 5-2
                                                                        1-Re Elected 12-1
                                                                        Race 6
                                                                        5-Drenched 5-1
                                                                        8-Pacific Theater 7-2
                                                                        6-Utmost Intensity 20-1
                                                                        Race 7
                                                                        1-Pot Of Gold 6-1
                                                                        Race 8
                                                                        1-Atlantic Bull 6-1
                                                                        Race 9
                                                                        5-Baffle Me 4-1
                                                                        Race 10
                                                                        2-Erin's World 12-1
                                                                        Yeah, I've been enjoying the ride with ya.
                                                                        Comment
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