Aquedect winter meet selections DAY 2

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  • NY handicapper
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-01-11
    • 60

    #1
    Aquedect winter meet selections DAY 2
    Bankroll= -35 my top picks 4-7= 57%

    RACE 1
    well guys only one horse really figures to me and that is the 3 Launch and reload who has dominating beyers and a very good apprentice jockey in ryan curatolo.if i had to give u a contender it would be 6 hammersmith with pletcher and bravo this horse way back in january ran 2nd at 7 furlongs but has been running routes of late
    my picks 3/6
    RACE 2
    i had a tough time with this race picking a winner between 2 horses the 3 longwood lane coming off a layoff and the 12 knock rock i finally decided with knock rock as my first choice who is in great form and has raced in g3 and g2 stakes.
    his contenders are many though as i like some horses here with a price first is 5 silver max the lone speed in the race has never raced at this distance hopefully has enough in the tank to go farther next is longwood lane who has just missed both times out at this distance and a horse i love is a first time starter dupes with great trainer numbers can get u a healthy price in the tri and exotic pools
    my picks 12/3/5/6
    RACE 3
    a very weak race with not much to go by but i found a few horses and am taking the 3 gypsy warrior as my number one pick went 6 wide in upper stretch and came in third behind the 1 zeppe i feel if this horse can stay out of traffic trouble he will get the right pace and be able to close on these horses
    the first contender will be the horse he will have to get by and that is 5 Oasis of chance with ortiz the bug rider and the only horse with 3 50+ beyers in the field finished evenly in second last time at this class and distance
    and last but not least the one zeppe who almost won at 96-1 odds last time will be at the front with oasis as the pace of this race
    my picks 3/5/1
    RACE 4
    pretty easy race here as the 2 frazil had the best beyer by far with a 99 and won his last race by 5 lengths if he repeats that effort easy win dont expect a good price
    the 2 contenders i plan to play under are the 4 game token due to his good form of late and the lone speed of the race the 8 fastus cactus who will try to run away with the tace but i expect frazil to be hot on his heels right out of the gate.
    MY PICKS 2/4/8
    RACE 5
    depending on how fierce the speed horses want that top spot i will give the 4 moshe diane a chance to beat the top horse lady of the forest as so much speed will compromise that spot the 4 horse has good form of late but will need to run very well and have the pace go her way to win this race
    the 3 lady of the forest has the best beyers and 2 wins over the track 100% the horse to beat will have to see how she will deal with the pace
    my picks 4/3
    RACE 6
    another reall y good stake race i decided to go with the 7 grassy who is 2-2 at the distance the contender i like to play in exactas is the 1 bold hawk who along with grassy should close well on this paceless race
    7/1
    RACE 7
    this race was so vague it is incredible if u are playing doubles press the all button here the only two horses i barley like are the 9 down broadway had a good race in the mud last time out and the only first time starter that caught my eye was the 4 hepalogist with good first start trainer numbers and a price at 5-1 morning line
    my picks 4-9
    race 8
    another weird race with no clear cut horse i went with the 5 judge well is moving up in class but made a terrific stretch run last time out this time i feel he finishes the deal
    contender is the 8 fortissi more just in really good form
    and last but not least the 12 majestic raffy is also just in good form
    my picks 5/8/12

    good luck at day two of aqueduct and the breeders cup
  • singgooner
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-27-10
    • 795

    #2
    Mate, 57% strike rate - just backing favourites will be 28-33% - so you're already ahead of the game.

    The depth of your analysis is superb - I am already hooked - I still think your pension fund will be the winter inner track meet, as that is unique to american racing and so many 6f and 1m races - the stats hold up.

    May the force be with you !
    Comment
    • Dexter
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-24-08
      • 25829

      #3
      what time of plays are you making on each race?
      Comment
      • singgooner
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-27-10
        • 795

        #4
        NY Handicapper - hi, just been analysing your 1st day.

        Not bad - 1st race was a scratch - so forget that.

        Win 4/7 - total stake $16 won $17.1 - level stake profit
        ITM 6/7 = 86%

        Keep it coming - you will get a true following, as you know what you are doing
        Comment
        • NY handicapper
          SBR Hustler
          • 11-01-11
          • 60

          #5
          wow what a bad double stretch stayed away from exactas and went for some prices today and got beat at the wire betting horses to win or they come in 4th for wps lost 32 today need a winning day soon before by bankroll is busto

          and thank u singgoner i try my best and would love to handicap as a career for drf
          Comment
          • NY handicapper
            SBR Hustler
            • 11-01-11
            • 60

            #6
            strictly wps take out is 16% and exactas which is 18%
            Comment
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