Keeneland Race 9 Raven Run

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  • mrginandtonic
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-11-09
    • 7734

    #1
    Keeneland Race 9 Raven Run
    Hi all,

    was looking at the free PP from DRF, Race 9 at Keeneland, there is no strong ML favorite which tells me this race is gonna be pretty wide open. This is what I like so far.

    No. 4- Great Hot, Last race was 3 wks ago in the Gr 1, Lady Secret where she was third, behind Zazu and Ultra Blend. She has tactical speed which in this race will be crucial to get in position against the few front runner. If she can get a clean trip, she should have a strong say in the outcome. ML 6-1

    No. 5- Funny Sunny, I really like this one at ML 10-1, this filly is grand daughter of Distorted Humor and Relauch (both were very good on turf and great sires). She will rolling late in this race judging by the last two races which I think has prepared her for coming from behind. Although she lost to a couple of these horse today, but she had a trouble trip. I think Kent knows this horse pretty well by now and should be able to give her a better trip. Great value at ML 10-1.

    No. 10- Honey Chile, She has been competing fairly in all her past grade events. She likes Keeneland and jockey switch to Albarado will definitely help. She is probably not good enough to win, but 2nd or 3rd is definitely possible. Her best beyer was 92 and it was at Keeneland. ML 15-1, I will definitely will use in the my supers.

    No. 12- Mizdirection, she has won first twice and 2nd three times in her 5 starts. The only knock today is that she is stuck way outside, and there are quite a few speed horse to her inside, so she may have to spend more energy in the beginning to get in position. Riden by Gomez, trained by Puype definitely strong attributes. She may be the post time favorite. I will try to beat her in the win column, place her in the 2nd, 3rd, 4th in my supers.

    I think it is gonna be a good paid out if we can get the right combo in the super....

    So what do you guys think?? Comments and suggestions are always welcome.
  • mikemca
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-10-10
    • 10047

    #2
    Win Bet-Roman Treasure(6-1)

    Key EX w/9,4
    Comment
    • mrginandtonic
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-11-09
      • 7734

      #3
      Originally posted by mikemca
      Win Bet-Roman Treasure(6-1) Key EX w/9,4
      Roman Treasure definitely has the class and beyer speed figure to support it. She ran 3rd to Turbulent Descent which says alot about this filly. My question is that with the other front speed in this field, do you think she can stay the whole 7 furlong. 7 furlong is tough race to go wire to wire.

      The 9 is scratched, so you are only playing the 7/4 exacta??
      Comment
      • mikemca
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-10-10
        • 10047

        #4
        I think all the other speed will collapse trying to chase her.I'll use Honey Chile then also.

        Win 7
        EX BX 7/10,4
        Comment
        • mrginandtonic
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-11-09
          • 7734

          #5
          Ok, I can see that happen too. thanks mike for the input.

          My possible superfecta ticket:

          5,7/ 4,5,7,12/ 4,5,7,10,11, 12/2,3,4,5,7,10,11,12,13 $.10 super would cost $14.40, a very playable ticket.
          Comment
          • mikemca
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-10-10
            • 10047

            #6
            Looks good GL

            Supers are too crazy for me, I can't eliminate anyone when trying to figure 3rd and 4th .For exotics I just stick to exactas where the payouts are good enough and I can be consistent.Then horizontals and win bets.
            Comment
            • mrginandtonic
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-11-09
              • 7734

              #7
              Originally posted by mikemca
              Looks good GL Supers are too crazy for me, I can't eliminate anyone when trying to figure 3rd and 4th .For exotics I just stick to exactas where the payouts are good enough and I can be consistent.Then horizontals and win bets.
              I know what you mean. GL to you too.
              Comment
              • mrginandtonic
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-11-09
                • 7734

                #8
                Looking at race 5 and 6, seems like the front speed has held well, ummm, I may need to revise my ticket here.
                Comment
                • mrginandtonic
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-11-09
                  • 7734

                  #9
                  ok, the line opened as followed:

                  No. 5, ML 10-1, opened at 5-1
                  No. 7, ML 6-1, opened at 5-1
                  No. 12, ML 4-1, opened at 3-1
                  No. 10, ML 15-1, opened at 11-1
                  Comment
                  • mrginandtonic
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-11-09
                    • 7734

                    #10
                    Ok, for $14.40, it is a pretty good bet, I think and hope. GL TO ME.

                    ACCEPTED: KEE #9 $0.10 Superfecta 5,7,​WT,4,5,7,12,​WT,4,5,7,10,11,12,​WT, 2,3,4,5,7,10,11,12,13 none $ 14.40
                    Comment
                    • mrginandtonic
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-11-09
                      • 7734

                      #11
                      alot of action on the 4......
                      Comment
                      • mrginandtonic
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-11-09
                        • 7734

                        #12
                        adding another ticket:

                        ACCEPTED: KEE #9 $0.10 Superfecta 4,5,7,​WT,4,5,7,​WT,11,12,​WT,2,3,4,5,6, 7,10,11,12,13 none $ 8.40
                        Comment
                        • mikemca
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-10-10
                          • 10047

                          #13
                          I guess that is part of the game not knowing what the jock is going to do.If he is going to try to take back the fastest early horse in the race .Sure did work well for him
                          Comment
                          • mrginandtonic
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-11-09
                            • 7734

                            #14
                            well, the 4 won, was hoping for the hoping the 5 to do better. No matter what, I would never pick the 8 unless I hit the all button. It was a good race, but not too impressed by the winner.
                            Comment
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