Saratoga Saturday

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • benett42
    SBR Rookie
    • 03-11-11
    • 7

    #1
    Saratoga Saturday
    Race 1- Green Monster gets the nod in races filled with question marks.
    Margolis waited a long time to get this one in against state breds and certainly has the ability to be a huge factor.
    Race 2- Swag Daddy showed good speed on dirt in debut which more than not, transfers well to the turf. Would like one more before the stretch but meets no one with that criterior today.
    Mississippi Duel is obvious and will be over bet accordingly. The one to beat.
    Race 3- One Way To Rock will never ever find an easier spot and appears to tower over these in every department. Short price though so that makes this one less exciting but still a single for me in pick 4's.
    Race 4- Racinjasin finds a good spot and has the versatility to race in front or from behind. Solid choice in field of mostly little talent or question marks.
    Race 5- Equivocation is a great bomb here in a race severely lacking any early foot. Last start found him wide all the way and wasn't beaten that badly. Figures to make an easy lead and with the removal of the temporary rail, will be on the best and fastest part of the turf course.
    Race 6- Grandpa Len showed good speed in debut while surviving minimal trouble. Should improve second time out in race of mostly firsters and one thing I've learned about first time starters is when they debut at a distance greater than 6 furlongs, it's usually because they lack speed. Food for thought with Kelly Breed and Mike Hushion as the other two entrants with experience.
    Race 7-Tell Grant was gambled with and lost when claimed by Linda Rice for $25,000. Showed talent in debut and may turn quick dividends for barn that doesn't hesitate to put their runners in the right spots.
    Race 8- Ancil stretches out today and may find herself loose as a goose with plenty of talent.
    Love her today.
    Seve had brutal trip in first start on turf in race she was truly in need of. Big shot if in. If not, not for next time.
    Race 9- Ainamaa gained useful bottom after making the pace on off turf course in talented grade 3 event.
    Tactic change today with the rail and should get first run at good tempo.
    Exclusive Love is a really nice filly with excuses in her last four starts. Don't leave out.
    Race 10- This race is too tough for me with too many variables and possibilities. Nice field though and should be fun to watch. Wheeling for the pick 4.
    Race 11- Talk Therapy has never run poorly on turf. Has versatility to win from anywhere and Dominguez fits this one like a glove.
    Beautiful bail out if we're down going into this one.
    Good luck all.
  • benett42
    SBR Rookie
    • 03-11-11
    • 7

    #2
    Scratches in race 4 and 7 so will re do and post later.
    Comment
    • benett42
      SBR Rookie
      • 03-11-11
      • 7

      #3
      Race 4 and 7

      By process of elimination, Running Tap is just better than these and there is really no one else to contend. Expecting about 1/2 but betting a cold exacta with Cella Muffler who has the perfect clunk up style while turning back and once Running Tap opens up, the Muffler should be up for second.
      In the 7th, taking a shot with Dynamite Dude who should at least get a ground saving trip.
      Has finished well against better for barn who habitually races their horses into condition. Class relief is appreciated and price will be generous.
      Good luck.
      Comment
      • benett42
        SBR Rookie
        • 03-11-11
        • 7

        #4
        Just for the record

        In the 8th race where two firsters ran one two and I ran third, that's the way it goes sometimes.
        First time starters are the lowest win percentage in the sport and the majority of the times they win is when the field is nothing but firsters.
        People put a lot of weight on breeding and Tomlinson numbers. I don't. I go by what I see and the small percentage of time I get beat by first time starters, I swallow it and turn the page.
        Still have Talk Therapy to look forward to and am making a 9,10,11 pick 3......1,2/all/5 and I'm making a 1/2 exacta box in the 9th and a WPS bet on the 1 in the 9th.
        Until tomorrow,
        Benoit Cote
        P.S. Will be betting Talk Therapy to win and place if not alive after the 9th.
        Any opinions on the 10th from anyone would be much appreciated. I can't make a case against anyone in that field.
        Comment
        • gembo12
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-06-09
          • 102

          #5
          Loved your analysis and picks. Hit the super in the fifth because of your pick of the 3. Thanks and look forward to Sunday's picks
          Comment
          • Poppa Catfish
            SBR MVP
            • 09-22-10
            • 3352

            #6
            Like your write ups


            ... and your last name (but I might be extremely biased)
            Comment
            SBR Contests
            Collapse
            Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
            Collapse
            Working...