AbeFroman's Summer Season Picks

AbeFroman · 06-27-11, 03:57 PM

Hope I had some followers today, not a bad day at all. Bombs away today which was good for the prices, but really hurt in a few races.

May do a track this evening, not sure yet, but otherwise I'll be back tomorrow. Not sure where too yet, possibly Parx again.

AbeFroman · 06-28-11, 10:13 AM

Going back to Delaware Park today. Here we go:

Race 1: ** 15,000 Results: 5-7-1

As I said yesterday, I do not like playing maiden races, so I won't give much here. The 1 in this race Rubble Rouser runs for the first time today, and she'll go with lasix for a good blood line that has 3 winners from 5 starters on the dams side. I'd give the 4 Money Money a look in here as well, as her bloodlines have good first time starters as well.

1 Rubble Rouser---- 2.60
4 Money Money
2 Lady Maria
5 My Name is Ralphie---- 8.20 3.80 2.40

Race 2: Clam 7,500 N2L Results: 7-6-5

The second race of the day will go a mile in what appears to be a sunny day in the first state. The 5 Captain Crench is one of two closers in the field, and with the rest of the horses in this one looking to be able to set a pretty good pace, CC should be in great position to close. Hoping that his last start where be bobbled and did not finish the race will leave some value in his odds. The 6 Pecky's Boy may finally be ready to go in his third race back from a lay-off and moving to a route for the first time today, and I wouldn't look past the 3 Bona Fide. His odds will be high, but his trainer flourishes in a race such as this with these conditions.

5 Captain Crench--- 3.20
6 Pecky's Boy--- 9.80 6.20
4 Better Shop Around
3 Bona Fide

Race 3: ** 7500 Results: 2-1-5
Another one of my least favorite races, a cheap maiden bout going 5 and 1/2 furlongs. I like the 2 Concerto Relic who is now back in to his proper condition after getting blown away at the Maiden Claiming 10,000 dollar level. I'll throw the 4 Bankers Solo out for a price.

2 Concerto Relic-- 6.20 3.80 4.00
3 King Star
4 Bankers Solo
1 Iron Mystery-- 2.80 2.80

2/1 EXA 7.30

Race 4: Claiming 15,000 never won 3 lifetime Results: 1-2-5
The 5 Cut the Corner will probably be the favorite in a race where his trainer is hitting a +.80 moving down two classes, as Cut the Corner has struggled in her last two stops in higher level claimers. I also like the coupled entry in this field, the 1 Song of Stars and the 1A Cool Joe Brown who have the class of this field but up to this point not the form. I think the 1 has the best chance here, as he ran well off the 1A the last time they raced as a couple. The 3 Higher Place will factor here in his first under Ron Potts with Ricardo CHiappe on top.

5 Cut the Corner-- 2.40
1 Song of Stars and 1A Cool Joe Brown--- 6.60 3.80 2.40
3 Higher Place
4 Richie's Rocket

Race 5:Claiming 20,000 who have never won 2 races Results 4-9-10

The fifth race here moves to the turf for the first time, and it matches claimers for 20,000 dollars who have never won 2 races. My pick here is the 5 Champagne Spirit, who has the best closing speed in this field and should be able to set up the way she wants to for top honors today. I think the 6 Glorious Notion can factor here, but will have to overcome her trainers poor turf stats to find the winners circle today. The also eligibles have some potential, as the 14 Misty's Song and the 13 Alpha Darlin both intrigue my interest from their morning line odds, especially with Misty's Song's success on turf, where she broke her maiden. Finally, the 4 Lady Winaway has terrific trainer stats going from dirt to turf, and should be a good play for a price.

5 Champaigne Spirit
6 Glorious Notion
9 Pats Kitten-- 4.60 3.80
4 Lady Winaway-- 46.80 21.60 9.00
EXA 4-9 207.60

Race 6: Clm 5,000 non-winners of 4 lifetime Results: 4-7-2
The 2 Giuseppina will most likely be the favorite here, and as the trends have gone, the races today have lent themselves to the morning line favorites. Giuseppina finished fourth in the next step down condition, and now moves up here for the first time to this non-winners of four lifetime class.
Next up is the 5 Timber Lane who will need to improve on her previous early pace numbers to have a chance to factor here. The positives to that note is only the 2 and the 7 Go Gone Girl, who also has a chance with Naparavnik on top, have the early speed to leave Timber Lane behind.

5 Timber Lane
2 Giuespinna--- 2.40
7 Go Gone Girl--- 3.40 2.60
4 Issues Echo--- 12.20 6.20 3.40
EXA 4/7 22.50 TRI 4/7/2 69.80

Race 7: Claiming 6,250 Results: 3-1-6
Cheap horses will race in the seventh race for 6,250 dollar claimers, and for the first time I'm heading to a non morning live favorite, the 2 The Great McGee, won the last time out and has the early speed figures to run on the pace and in front with this group, which is where he's had success in the past. The morning line favorite 3 Cherokee Rider should take a lot of money and with good reason, but I believe McGee should be able to out run Cherokee Rider today. The 5 Rock Lobster returns to dirt for the first time since winning under these same conditions in May, and should return while heading back to the dirt surface.

2 The Great McGee
5 Rock Lobster
3 Cherokee Rider-- 4.60 2.40 2.20
7 Vindicat

Race 8: OC 50,000 for non-winners of maiden, claimer, or starter Results: 2-5-6
The feature race on the card shouldn't be much of a race, or so it appears on paper, as the 6 Sporting Holiday is going to take a ton of money and with good reason as she has the best speed figures in this field, and has been in the money five of her last five races on the turf, which is where this race will be run today. 8 Regal Revenge heads to the turf for the first time and should factor today without having dirt kicked in his face, and 2 Star Zapper should improve in his second off the lay-off and his first under Juan Vazquez. If any horse has a chance to blow past Holiday for the win, it's Star Zapper.

6 Sporting Holiday
2 Star Zapper-- 10.20 3.40
8 Regal Revenge
5 Commander--- 2.60
EXA 2/5 12.50

Race 9: Maiden 7,500 Results: 7-6-9
We'll close down the card with a final maiden race, and one I'm going to pass on. Here's my speed figures:

4 Real Fortuna
8 Dazzle and Shine
6 Desert Baby--- 6.40 4.00
7 Cayman Islands--- 6.80 4.60 2.80
EXA 6/7 22.70

BOL all!

zebra58 · 06-28-11, 12:01 PM

nice start abe, good luck w/your thread

AbeFroman · 06-28-11, 02:29 PM

Great hit in the 5th at Delaware, exacta paid 213. Thanks for stopping by, Zebra.

AbeFroman · 06-28-11, 04:44 PM

Not a great day in terms of consistency, but that exata in the fifth was huge. Also had a 5 dollar W/P on Star Zapper there in the eighth and finished up 200 for the day. See everyone tomorrow!

AbeFroman · 06-28-11, 10:47 PM

Heading back to Delaware Park today, and also plan to hit Presque Islands as well.

Race 1: Maiden 15,000
Again, not my favorite, but my top pick here will be the 6 Jazz Age, who ran well under this condition last time out, and in her third career start, is under a trainer and jockey who have great route records with no change in class. Also like the 7 Dance with Falcons in this one, who has been regaining form in her last two starts, and may be ready to run for top honors today.

6 Jazz Age
7 Dance with Falcons
2 Enemy Fire

Race 2: Clm 7,500 n2L
We move on to Race 2 on the card for fillies and mares non-winners of two lifetime for 7500 dollars, and I think the first and second favorites here in no particular order will be and should be the 6 Watsup Queen and the 7 Girlofmydreams. Watsup Queen will run her first race after breaking her maiden, and Girlofmydreams will run under this condition for the second time, where she finished second her last out. I think if anyone can steal the show from these two, it'll be the 2 Vice or Vurtue, who has shown form of his own of late even those he hasn't crossed the line in front yet in his racing career. Don't look past the 3 Surreal Dancer.

2 Vice or Virture
6 Watsup Queen
7 Girlofmydreams

Race 3: Clam 5,000 n2L
The third race is for non-winners of two lifetime dropping in for a 5,000 dollar tag, and I don't see much value in this race. The 3 Run for Shelter is the 3/2 morning line favorite, but I think this horse will need a race under her belt after sitting on the bench for three months, and I'm going to try and beat her with the 4 Art's Girl, as I'm curious to see if she can return to her late 2009 form at a route distance to get the job done today at a price and the third outing off a lay-off. The 2 Arthur's Appeal may be a more conservative choice to beat the favorite, as he will run for the second time since coming off the bench for Juan Carlos Vasquez.

4 Art's Girl
2 Arthur's Appeal
3 Run for the Shelter

Race 4: Clm 7,500 N2L
I'll try to beat another short favorite here with Naparavnik on top as the 3/2 morning line favorite the 3 Dance with Another is going to take a ton of money after running the spring meet at Churchill Downs and the winter meet at Gulfstream Park. I'll give the 5 and the 6 a shot in this one to beat the favorite, and I think the 6 Just Money finally gets off the turf and out of the route distance to the more favorable dirt sprint in which he's flourished, and the 5 Anna's Gin who has had nice form of late and has ran well at this distance.

6 Just Money
3 Dance with Another
5 Anna's Gin

Race 5: Clm 20,000 N2L
This race is the fullest field of the day and offers a good challenge with 20,000 dollar claimers who have not won two life time. The 10 Lights out Lidge drops a class to run with the 20,000 dollar claimers and will run for the second time since last November, and trainer Tim Ritchey has great stats with moving down a class. I'm going to try another price in here, the 1 Fast Joe, and the 8 Expressivo ships in from Tampa Bay and will run for the first time at Delaware Park.

10 Lights out Lidge
1 Fast Joe
8 Expressivo

Race 6: Clm 5,000 N4L
We move on to race 6 and the 2 Seperate Cheecks has the form, class, and speed figures to wire this field with ease. I'll put him on top and the 6 Mariposa Rosa beneath, as this was drops in from 12,500 dollar conditioned claimers to run against 5,000 dollar horses here. I'll use the 7 Dance Raven Dance as well.

2 Seperate Cheeks
6 Mariposa Rosa
7 Dance Raven Dance

Race 7: Alw 40,500 n2l
Race 7 features a closed allowance for 40,500 for non-winners of two lifetime, and the 5 Terra Rolla will move up in the allowance ranks for the third straight time today, as she was in the money her previous two starts at lower allowance levels. I think this race sets up for a closer which will bode well for the 9 Armarante, who went off at less than even money in her debut which she won by half a length and now flies up to the allowance ranks. The 8 Cofaqhcui will be able to work from the middle of the pack and close hard if it sets up that way.

5 Terra Rolla
9 Armarante
8 Cofachiqui

Race 8: Oclm 16,000 n1x
In this huge field of closed condition claimers I'm going to start by talking about the 2 Naphtali. This horse may be the price of the day that Lady Winaway was in yesterday's fifth race, although the odds may not be as high. This horse has been run way above it's head the first two times back off a lay-off, and this play falls in to the angle of starting a horse first back off a lay-off way over it's head, then slightly over it's head, then dropping it in where it should be with good odds. Naphtali ran back to back show finishes last out, and I wouldn't be surprised if her 12/1 morning line is greater than her post time odds. Another price here may come from the 6 Round Trip Loner, who has Victor Lebron on top today and re-broke well last time out to win. I'll also try the 9 The First to Know who will try this distance and condition on turf after finishing third last out under these conditions on dirt. I'm going to throw the 3 Big Top in here and box the four for a one dollar exata for 12 bucks.

2 Naphtal
6 Round Trip Loner
9 The First to Know
3 Big Top

Race 9: ** 15000
The final race on the card at Delaware Park is for maidens claiming 15,000, and this is a mess for those like myself who have untrained eyes for maiden races.

1/1a Roadster Mhf, Awesome Power Mhf
2 Whip Pizzaz
8 Fond Farewell

AbeFroman · 06-29-11, 10:09 AM

Worth noting all races moved off the turf today at Del. Park.

JayAre · 06-29-11, 10:42 AM

Excellent thread you have going here...does the move to the main track impact your analysis at all for the 5th and the 8th races?

Thanks!

AbeFroman · 06-29-11, 01:23 PM

Hi Jay,

Thanks for stopping in! In the 5th my picks remain the same with the move to the main track. In the 8th, my top pick the 2 scratches due to the move, I'll include the 7 Forgotten Knot to the four horse exata box.

JayAre · 06-30-11, 07:55 AM

Great call on the 7, Abe! Heading anywhere to play today?

AbeFroman · 06-30-11, 09:26 AM

Hi Jay,

Thanks for stopping in again today! I will be posting yesterday's results but then taking the rest of the day off. If you haven't noticed, I play mostly daytime tracks, and today is light on the ones I like to play. I hate playing Belmont, and Churchill Downs always has good fields but I seem to struggle there and don't feel like throwing money at it after the last few days. I'll be back tomorrow laying either Monmouth, Calder, or Finger Lakes. BOL today!

AbeFroman · 06-30-11, 09:39 AM

Results from yesterday at Del. Park. Couldn't edit the original post for some reason so here they are.

Originally posted by AbeFroman

Heading back to Delaware Park today, and also plan to hit Presque Islands as well.

Race 1: Maiden 15,000
Again, not my favorite, but my top pick here will be the 6 Jazz Age, who ran well under this condition last time out, and in her third career start, is under a trainer and jockey who have great route records with no change in class. Also like the 7 Dance with Falcons in this one, who has been regaining form in her last two starts, and may be ready to run for top honors today.
Results: 3-6-2
6 Jazz Age--4.40 3.00
7 Dance with Falcons
2 Enemy Fire-- 2.40

Race 2: Clm 7,500 n2L
We move on to Race 2 on the card for fillies and mares non-winners of two lifetime for 7500 dollars, and I think the first and second favorites here in no particular order will be and should be the 6 Watsup Queen and the 7 Girlofmydreams. Watsup Queen will run her first race after breaking her maiden, and Girlofmydreams will run under this condition for the second time, where she finished second her last out. I think if anyone can steal the show from these two, it'll be the 2 Vice or Vurtue, who has shown form of his own of late even those he hasn't crossed the line in front yet in his racing career. Don't look past the 3 Surreal Dancer.
Results: 7-6-4
2 Vice or Virture
6 Watsup Queen
7 Girlofmydreams
$1 Exacta$7.20

Race 3: Clam 5,000 n2L
The third race is for non-winners of two lifetime dropping in for a 5,000 dollar tag, and I don't see much value in this race. The 3 Run for Shelter is the 3/2 morning line favorite, but I think this horse will need a race under her belt after sitting on the bench for three months, and I'm going to try and beat her with the 4 Art's Girl, as I'm curious to see if she can return to her late 2009 form at a route distance to get the job done today at a price and the third outing off a lay-off. The 2 Arthur's Appeal may be a more conservative choice to beat the favorite, as he will run for the second time since coming off the bench for Juan Carlos Vasquez.
Results: 2-3-4
4 Art's Girl
2 Arthur's Appeal
3 Run for the Shelter
$1 Exacta $8.80 $1 Trifecta$49.50
Race 4: Clm 7,500 N2L
I'll try to beat another short favorite here with Naparavnik on top as the 3/2 morning line favorite the 3 Dance with Another is going to take a ton of money after running the spring meet at Churchill Downs and the winter meet at Gulfstream Park. I'll give the 5 and the 6 a shot in this one to beat the favorite, and I think the 6 Just Money finally gets off the turf and out of the route distance to the more favorable dirt sprint in which he's flourished, and the 5 Anna's Gin who has had nice form of late and has ran well at this distance.
Results: 4-6-3
6 Just Money
3 Dance with Another
5 Anna's Gin

Race 5: Clm 20,000 N2L
This race is the fullest field of the day and offers a good challenge with 20,000 dollar claimers who have not won two life time. The 10 Lights out Lidge drops a class to run with the 20,000 dollar claimers and will run for the second time since last November, and trainer Tim Ritchey has great stats with moving down a class. I'm going to try another price in here, the 1 Fast Joe, and the 8 Expressivo ships in from Tampa Bay and will run for the first time at Delaware Park.
Results: 4-1-10
10 Lights out Lidge
1 Fast Joe
8 Expressivo

Race 6: Clm 5,000 N4L
We move on to race 6 and the 2 Seperate Cheecks has the form, class, and speed figures to wire this field with ease. I'll put him on top and the 6 Mariposa Rosa beneath, as this was drops in from 12,500 dollar conditioned claimers to run against 5,000 dollar horses here. I'll use the 7 Dance Raven Dance as well.
2-1-4
2 Seperate Cheeks----- 12.40 4.40 3.40
6 Mariposa Rosa
7 Dance Raven Dance

Race 7: Alw 40,500 n2l
Race 7 features a closed allowance for 40,500 for non-winners of two lifetime, and the 5 Terra Rolla will move up in the allowance ranks for the third straight time today, as she was in the money her previous two starts at lower allowance levels. I think this race sets up for a closer which will bode well for the 9 Armarante, who went off at less than even money in her debut which she won by half a length and now flies up to the allowance ranks. The 8 Cofaqhcui will be able to work from the middle of the pack and close hard if it sets up that way.
Results: 8-7-9
5 Terra Rolla
9 Armarante
8 Cofachiqui

Race 8: Oclm 16,000 n1x
In this huge field of closed condition claimers I'm going to start by talking about the 2 Naphtali. This horse may be the price of the day that Lady Winaway was in yesterday's fifth race, although the odds may not be as high. This horse has been run way above it's head the first two times back off a lay-off, and this play falls in to the angle of starting a horse first back off a lay-off way over it's head, then slightly over it's head, then dropping it in where it should be with good odds. Naphtali ran back to back show finishes last out, and I wouldn't be surprised if her 12/1 morning line is greater than her post time odds. Another price here may come from the 6 Round Trip Loner, who has Victor Lebron on top today and re-broke well last time out to win. I'll also try the 9 The First to Know who will try this distance and condition on turf after finishing third last out under these conditions on dirt. I'm going to throw the 3 Big Top in here and box the four for a one dollar exata for 12 bucks.
Results: 7-9-3
7 Forgotton Knot*
6 Round Trip Loner
9 The First to Know
3 Big Top
$1 Exacta$33.70
$1 Trifecta $120.20

Race 9: ** 15000
The final race on the card at Delaware Park is for maidens claiming 15,000, and this is a mess for those like myself who have untrained eyes for maiden races.
Results: 8-4-1A
1/1a Roadster Mhf, Awesome Power Mhf
2 Whip Pizzaz
8 Fond Farewell

AbeFroman · 07-01-11, 09:57 AM

Back in the saddle, and off to Finger Lakes today!

Race 1: Clm5,000 n1y
This race is going to offer little value as the coupled entry 1Bullstar and the 1A Wesniak and the 6 Great Addiction are going to take a lot of money and with good reason. Great Addicition drops in here with a great trainer record when dropping one class, and the 1 and 1A, particularly the 1A. I'll use the 4 Insightful to round out the exacta.

1A/1 Wesniak/Bullstar
4 Insightful
6 Great Addiction

Race 2: Clm 4,000 n1y
The 6 Fearless Buzz intrigues me at a price as this one is the third off a lay-off and has been running in this condition. The catch for me is her speed figures, which have been much the best compared to most in this field. I also like the 8 in here, D.C. Thunder. He's had good form of late, and may finally be able to jump up for top honor today. I'm not thrilled with the 5 Mendelsshon here, as she sky bombs in here from the allowance ranks, but I'll add her to the exacta.

6 Fearless Buzz
8 D.C. Thunder
5 Mendelsshon

Race 3: Clm 4,000 N1Y
Another claiming 4,000 for non-winners since January, and I'll start with the 4 Star of Rome. He's been in the money his last two out in this condition, and has the best speed figures at this distance in the field today. His trainer is superb with second start off a lay-off, as well. The 6 Bryan Kicks is the heavy morning line favorite, and even though this is her first time out this year, she may be much the best at this distance. I'm also going to take a stab at this with the coupled entry once again, but if the 1 gets scratched, don't play the 1A, and use the 2 Edubaiyah Way.

4 Star of Rome
6 Bryan Kicks
1 Coach Frucisco/1A Son of Sabato

Race 4: Clm 4,000 N4L
This one will be simple, not much of an explanation. I like my speed figures, and am using them here:
2 My Lucky Way
1 Our Lady Liberty
6 Ain't Love Grand

Race 5: Clm 4,000 N2Y
We get to Race 5 with a race for three year olds who have not won two races since January. I like the 5 Brock N Roll to start off here, who can close off the pack or in the middle of things to win at this distance. I like the 4 Isn't It Tuesday yet as well here, who won her first race since January last time out and will go for number two. Don't think she wins, but certainly hits the money. I'll use the 1 to close it out, Surfing Ian, who with Grabowski on top should be able to get to the front and threaten strong from there.

5 Brock N Roll
4 Isn't It Tuesday
1 Surfing Ian

Race 6: Clm 4,000
An open claiming race crosses the card for the first time today as 4,000 dollar horses run here. I'm running low on time here, I have to get out the door for work, so here are my picks:
2B Blue Diablo
4 Zip of Fools
5 Rockin Sarah

Race 7: Clm 7,5000 N3L
3 Googlelized
4 Born to Dazzle
5 Titusville

Race 8: Alw16,800N2L
4 Inthewest
1 Allaboutthedream/1A Hi Ho Silverman
6 Double Wham

Race 9: Md 4,000
3 Ceclia's Cat
4 Juliets Secret
5 Goldon Grove

Best of luck all! I'll be back later to check on scratches.

AbeFroman · 07-01-11, 02:15 PM

Tough day so far, going to give it one last stab here in the seventh:
$2.00 Exa box: 3,4,5
$1 Exa: 3,4 WT 3,4,5,7

AbeFroman · 07-01-11, 02:57 PM

Another frustrating finish in the eighth as the five finished first ahead of 6, 1A, 4.

Not playing the ninth, finish down 12 bucks live money for the day. Back at it tomorrow, I'll update the results from today later on. BOL all!

JayAre · 07-02-11, 10:28 AM

Hey Abe, used your numbers to play a pick 4 in Race 2 yesterday. My ticket was 6 8/4 6/1 2/5...just missed! I was tempted to play the pick 3 in the third, and would have hit...oh well. Though it was a tough day, all of your picks were in the mix. Heading anywhere today?

AbeFroman · 07-02-11, 01:17 PM

It was a tough day, for sure. I give Hollywood Park a shot, but only gonna play a few races. Will post them in a bit. Thanks for stopping by! You have any favorite tracks?

AbeFroman · 07-02-11, 01:31 PM

Hollywood Park today:

Race 1:
It's not going to be the tote board favorite, but I think the #5 has a very good chance with these runners today coming off his show finish last time out. I'll use the #4 Lamm in here as well who drops down to the 25,000 dollar level from the next step up and has run well under this condition. I'll use the 2 Obsess in her first start of the year.

4 Lamm
5 Fandino
2 Obsess

Race 2: Md 20,000-
Going to play the 5 Pet Me Pet Me to Win/Show, and that's it here.

Race 3:
Loving the 6 B Lucky Strikes in this one, who I think can close down this field and hit the money if not top honors. I think the 2 El Aldantado can hit the money here, but not going to throw her in the exacta.

6 B Lucky Strikes
7 Star Nicholas
5 Jailbird Jimmy

Race 4:
Think the 4 gets up here at morning line odds of 8/1, and that's all I like here.

Race 5:
1 Sky Thrill
7 Mark of a Warrior
8 Danny James

Race 6:
3 Smokey Lonesome
5 Carcortado
2 Blue Chagall

Going to Skip race 7 and 8 and head straight to Race 9

Race 9:
I'll box up the 7,2,5 here in the exacta

7 Amazombie
5 Color of Courage
2 Camp Victory

Sorry for the lack of explanation later in the card, gotta get my bets down and head out the door. BOL all!

zebra58 · 07-02-11, 01:41 PM

best of luck today abe

AbeFroman · 07-02-11, 10:34 PM

Wish I woulda posted it, but I decided to throw the 2 in the third race exacta, COMPLETED: 60490644931047 HOL #3 $1 Exacta BX,2,5,6,7 none $ 12.00 $ 84.10 + $ 72.10
Looking at the rest of my picks, winner in the first, the third is above, got picked off by the six in the fifth, and Smiling Tiger ran a great race in the ninth to pull me down there as well.

Not sure where I'm off to tomorrow quite yet.. Maybe Prairie Meadows, maybe Louisiana Downs, I'm not sure yet. Anyone have any suggestions or desires leave them below and I might head there. BOL all!

AbeFroman · 07-02-11, 10:39 PM

Hey Zebra, thanks for stopping by. How have the horses been treatin ya lately?

zebra58 · 07-03-11, 10:32 AM

i'm still the same i hit a few then miss a few, good luck today

AbeFroman · 07-03-11, 10:44 AM

Alrighty, going to Arlington Park today, and don't think I'll play the first three races live money due to maidens, but I'll decide that later.

Race 1:
I like the 3 Rising Star in here, use the 5 Reggivlle and the 6 Kathy's Man.

Race 2:
No explanation here, just like on paper:
7 Tequiala Factor
5 Fairy Cat
4 Dakota his Due

Race 3:
7 Fapitude
5 Candy Train
3 Ssschille Day

Race 4:
Finally done with the maiden section of the card, and we begin with 5,000 dollar claimers who have not won this racing year, or have not won four races lifetime. I'm going to start with the 9 Cuban Missile. This one has not had any form lately, but I think can get up here while dropping down a level to hit the board at a price today. Next up is the 6 Dooney Rocks, who has great form and drops down here. My concern with this one is pretty big; it's been run ragget this spring and keeps dropping down to no avail in the claiming box. That being said, top honors look to be in store for this one today, and I'll use the 7 Rockerfella.

6 Dooney Rocks
7 Rockerfella
9 Cuban Missle

Race 5:
An early level allowance race greets us in Race 5 as horses who have run in claiming races for 30,000 dollars or less enter here to go a mile on the turf. The 9 Top Surprize has won back to back races including her maiden the last two out, and is in great form to bump up for a win here. I'll try the 5 Legendary Kings as well.

9 Top Surprize
5 Legendary Kings
8 Live in Joy

Race 6:
Race 6 moves back to the claiming category, as horses who have not won two races lifetime enter here for 25,000. The trainer of the six Doodle Dandy is a perfect two for two with second time starters on grass, and sitting at 22 percent win percentage and 50 percent in the money with horses off a lay-off, and I don't feel there is anyway to leave this horse of the exactas today. I'm going to box up the 2, 7, 8 in the exacta with the 6 here.

6 Doodle Dandy
2 Nikki's Sandcastle
7 Tiger Mike
8 Knightfeister

Race 7:
Race 7 brings us the feature race of the day in the Grade III Chicago H., and I like the 8 Hot Hot Mama to start here, as she'll run for the first time this year on the all-weather track at Arlington, and I think she can get away from these ones early. The 7 Dr. Zic has good speed numbers as well, and I feel E.T. Baird on top today gives her great opportunity in here, and I'll again use four horses, adding the 3 and the 4.

8 Hot Hot Mama
7 Dr. Zic
3 Home's the Best
4 Hooh Why

Race 8:
I'll throw the 8 Cougar Shadow out here, but nothing else strong enough.

Race 9:
I'm going to love my some prices in the 9th race, as I feel this larger field, I believe it's the largest of the day, will offer some great value. I think the 10 Gavilan gets up and gets it done in this claiming race, but I'm not looking past the 6 Huckleberry Boy or the 3 Cantonic, and going to box those up for an exacta in race 9.

10 Gavilan
6 Huckleberry Boy
3 Cantonic

Race 10:
Final race here I'm not too strong on, but I'm going to go with a three horse exacta.

8 Black Cross WITH 9 Twylas Red Cat and 4 Abounding Aptitude.

Best of luck all!

bigcat21 · 07-03-11, 11:15 AM

Are you going to tifecta any of these or just play exacta? Are you going to play any pick 3s or 4s?

Thanks

AbeFroman · 07-03-11, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by bigcat21

Are you going to tifecta any of these or just play exacta? Are you going to play any pick 3s or 4s? Thanks

Not sure if I'll play them, but I'd be confident throwing any of the races I chose four horses; the 6th and 7th, as well as the 4th race, in the tri.

Looking in the pick 4/3 as we speak.

bigcat21 · 07-03-11, 12:46 PM

Originally posted by AbeFroman

Not sure if I'll play them, but I'd be confident throwing any of the races I chose four horses; the 6th and 7th, as well as the 4th race, in the tri.

Looking in the pick 4/3 as we speak.

okay thanks. let me know about the pick 4/3

thanks

AbeFroman · 07-03-11, 09:57 PM

Sorry bigcat, never got around to the pick 3 and four as I got called in to work.

Looking over the results, the 1 took us down in the first race but did have the winner and the show horse, Race 2 hit the 96 dollar exacta, race 3 was the big hit of the day with the 147 dollar exacta coming in, had a short exacta in the fifth of 12.20. Wish I would have got in the first race pick 3, those three together paid 898 for the dollar pick 3!

The back end of the card was a wash in terms of exactas, but still a pretty good day.

Probably going to take tomorrow off, I'm golfing in the morning and going to two cookouts later in the day which will probably limit my computer time. Best of luck all and if anyone has anything drop it in and I'll try and get some plays to go with it. Enjoy the fourth!

AbeFroman · 07-04-11, 11:14 AM

Going to give Belmont a try today, no time for explanations, just my picks:

Race 1:
5
4
7

I like the 6 to hit the money in here as well for vertical wagering purposes.

Race 2:
Skip

Race 3:
Skip

Race 4:
1
6
5

Race 5:
Skip

Race 6:
7
2
4

Race 7:
Skip

Race 8:
3
5
4

Race 9:
5
3
2

Race 10:
Skip

Best of luck all!

AbeFroman · 07-05-11, 09:43 AM

Yesterday is a prime example of why rushing and just playing and not handicapping when playing the horses can turn bad. Played three races, only hit one and that was the only race I even had plays in the money. Not a great day.

Going to head out to Delaware Park again today, mostly because today's SBR contest is being played at Del. Park

Race 1:
A maiden claiming race leads us off here, and you all know my feelings on those races at this point. That being said, the 4 in this one So Raven, will go with blinkers on today, and her trainer has superb stats with first time blinkers. Include her in any exotics in a less than stellar field.

7 Archrival
5 Miss Shoppin Diva
2 Dreamin of Nata
4 So Raven

Race 2:
Short field greets us in the second race, and I'm going to use a few horses that have been in the money of late but still are seeking top honors.

4 Mr. Haywood
2 Charlies Swell
3 Reflejo

Race 3:
Have to go chalky in Race 3 which takes us in to the claiming box for the first time, so I'll try and beat the favorite with a horse who should be a second favorite.
2 Myosistis Survivor
6 Goernment Bailout
5 Always a Pleasure

Race 4:
8 Target the Gold
With the 1 of the couple entry scratched, going to use the 7 Saint Abe
2 All My Chips

Race 5:
A huge field enters a 20,000 dollar claimer here and I think this race will live up the the anticipation of a large field. I love the 5 Dontgetgladgetmad, and I think this horse will get top honors today. The 12 Tony's Back ran last out at my stomping grounds at Penn, and ran away with his last race by 22 lengths and will contend today. Use the 10 Giant Move, and damn, the 8 Richie Rules certainly peaks my interest here.

5 Dontgetgladget mad
10 Giant Move
12 Tony's Back
8 Richie Rules

Race 6
AN optional claimer greets us here, and I think the 7 Avenue can get it done here; she has great speed figs. The 6 Bear's Rocket should be able to factor here, who has had fantastic form of late, and the 3 Roy L. has the best speed figure in this race.

7 Avenue
6 Bear's Rocket
3 Roy L.
4 Aussi Austin

Race 7:
This is a tough race, and I really don't feel comfortable on gambling on anyone in it. The 1 and 1a are going to take a majority of the money, and of price purposes, I like the 8 Gotta Believe as well as 7 Awesome's Rhythm and the 3 Sudden Shift. I'm either going to get great prices or lose by a thousand. We'll see.

The 1 is scratched, but still going to use the 1A on top
8 Gotta Believe
7 Awesome's Rhythm
3 Sudden Shift

Race 8:
The 4 War Prospector is my top pick in here, as she comes from a variety of graded races to this allowance field today. I also like the 9 Sarah's Song, and the 3 Sea Wing

4 War Prospector
9 Sarah's Song
3 Sea Wing

Race 9:
In the final race we get first time or lightly raced maidens, and my picks are as followed:

3 Jango
1/1a
5 Suchke

Best of luck all!

bigcat21 · 07-05-11, 10:22 AM

thanks for the picks, you going to play any pick 3s?

AbeFroman · 07-05-11, 10:31 AM

Hey Bigcat

I'm not going after the pick 3 today, but with that being said, I'd feel confident playing the pick 3 that is the middle one, either races 4,5,6 or races 5,6,7. BOL!

AbeFroman · 07-05-11, 12:19 PM

Yikes, the 2 bumps the rail on the home stretch and drops out of the exacta to finish third. Tough beat, on to the next one.

bigcat21 · 07-06-11, 11:57 AM

Any plays today

AbeFroman · 07-06-11, 03:34 PM

Hey bigcat,

None for today, I went out small game hunting this morning and now off to work in a little bit. I tend to take Wednesday's off, as it's an off day at a lot of tracks I care to play.